PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Oct 4 4:00 pm

MAC Football - Week 6 of 13

Northern Illinois What If?

The Northern Illinois Huskies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Northern Illinois plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Northern Illinois What If?

Next Game - Toledo (3‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winner No Playoffs
  W L 1 2 3 4 5 6
Win Next Game 1 1 8% 12% 17% 19% 21% 23%
Current Standings 0 1 4% 8% 13% 17% 22% 36%
Lose Next Game 0 2 1% 5% 11% 17% 25% 42%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winner No Playoffs
  1 2 3 4 5 6
Best Case Scenario 8% 12% 17% 19% 21% 23%
Current Standings 4% 8% 13% 17% 22% 36%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 5% 11% 17% 25% 42%
Best Case Scenario
   Northern Illinois beats Toledo
Worst Case Scenario
   Toledo beats Northern Illinois
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winner No Playoffs
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6
7 of 7 100% 7 1 96% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^
6 of 7 86% 6 2 61% 34% 5% <1% <1% ^
5 of 7 71% 5 3 16% 45% 32% 7% <1% <1%
4 of 7 57% 4 4 1% 13% 38% 36% 11% 1%
3 of 7 43% 3 5 <1% 1% 9% 34% 43% 13%
2 of 7 29% 2 6 X <1% <1% 6% 38% 56%
1 of 7 14% 1 7 X X X <1% 7% 93%
0 of 7 0% 0 8 X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method