The Ohio Bobcats What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Ohio plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 0 | 65% | 18% | 12% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 5 | 0 | 52% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 1 | 32% | 23% | 20% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 67% | 29% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 52% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 27% | 23% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Akron beats Western Michigan Ohio beats Miami OH Ball State beats Buffalo |
Worst Case Scenario Western Michigan beats Akron Miami OH beats Ohio Buffalo beats Ball State |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 7 | 1 | 55% | 34% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 6 | 2 | 6% | 25% | 40% | 27% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 9% | 33% | 42% | 13% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |