The Most Important Games for the Toledo Rockets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rockets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toledo Rockets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toledo Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Toledo (4‑1) vs Buffalo (3‑2) |
21 | Toledo Wins | 23% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | 7% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Akron (1‑5) vs Western Michigan (2‑3) |
2 | Akron Wins | 17% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Miami OH (1‑4) vs Eastern Michigan (4‑1) |
1 | Miami OH Wins | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Central Michigan (3‑2) vs Ohio (3‑2) |
1 | Central Michigan Wins | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Ohio Wins | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Bowling Green (2‑3) vs Northern Illinois (3‑2) |
0 | Bowling Green Wins | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | 17% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Kent State (0‑5) vs Ball State (1‑4) |
0 | Kent State Wins | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Ball State Wins | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||