The Most Important Games for the Toledo Rockets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rockets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toledo Rockets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toledo Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Toledo (3‑1) vs Ball State (1‑3) |
15 | Toledo Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Ball State Wins | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Bowling Green (0‑4) vs Miami OH (2‑2) |
2 | Bowling Green Wins | 16% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Akron (1‑3) vs Central Michigan (2‑2) |
2 | Akron Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Buffalo (2‑2) vs Western Michigan (2‑2) |
1 | Buffalo Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Eastern Michigan (2‑3) vs UMass (4‑0) |
1 | Eastern Michigan Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| UMass Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Ohio (2‑2) vs Kent State (2‑2) |
1 | Ohio Wins | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Kent State Wins | 14% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | ||