The Most Important Games for the Toledo Rockets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rockets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toledo Rockets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toledo Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Toledo (8‑2) vs Bowling Green (3‑7) |
36 | Toledo Wins | 29% | 23% | 18% | 28% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 22% | 18% | 27% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 3% | 13% | 29% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Central Michigan (5‑5) vs Buffalo (7‑3) |
14 | Central Michigan Wins | 46% | 9% | 12% | 24% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 22% | 18% | 27% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Buffalo Wins | 14% | 28% | 21% | 29% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eastern Michigan (4‑6) vs Western Michigan (7‑3) |
12 | Eastern Michigan Wins | 21% | 36% | 26% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 22% | 18% | 27% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 26% | 19% | 16% | 30% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ball State (3‑7) vs Ohio (7‑3) |
6 | Ball State Wins | 25% | 26% | 15% | 25% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 22% | 18% | 27% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio Wins | 24% | 21% | 19% | 28% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami OH (6‑4) vs Kent State (3‑7) |
0 | Miami OH Wins | 25% | 22% | 16% | 28% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 22% | 18% | 27% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kent State Wins | 24% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UMass (5‑5) vs Akron (1‑9) |
0 | UMass Wins | 25% | 22% | 18% | 27% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 22% | 18% | 27% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Akron Wins | 25% | 22% | 18% | 27% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||