Are the Toledo Rockets going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Toledo standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| UMass | 1i UMass Recent Games Won Thu, Sep 03 @ Rutgers 37-21 Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Sacred Heart 37-10 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Stonehill 36-14 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Sacramento St. 35-6 Sat, Oct 03 vs E. Michigan Sat, Oct 10 vs Miami OH Sat, Oct 17 @ Buffalo Fri, Oct 23 @ UConn |
0 | 1 | 24% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Kent State | 1 Kent State Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 05 @ South Carolina 0-57 Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Wofford 36-15 Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ Ohio St. 3-59 Won Sat, Sep 26 vs Ball State 26-13 Sat, Oct 03 vs Ohio Sat, Oct 10 @ W. Michigan Sat, Oct 17 @ South Florida Sat, Oct 24 vs Akron |
0 | 1 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Eastern Michigan | 1 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Lost Fri, Sep 04 vs San José State 21-27 Lost Sat, Sep 12 @ Michigan St. 7-35 Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ Wisconsin 10-54 Won Sat, Sep 26 vs Lindenwood 29-3 Sat, Oct 03 @ UMass Sat, Oct 10 @ Akron Sat, Oct 17 vs Toledo Sat, Oct 24 @ Ohio |
0 | 1 | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% |
| Toledo | 0 Toledo Recent Games Lost Fri, Sep 04 @ Michigan St. 20-30 Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Central Connecticut 63-10 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Temple 49-48 Won Sat, Sep 26 vs San Diego State 41-16 Sat, Oct 03 @ Ball State Sat, Oct 10 vs Buffalo Sat, Oct 17 @ E. Michigan Sat, Oct 24 vs W. Michigan |
0 | 0 | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Central Michigan | 0 Central Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 05 @ New Mexico 7-38 Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Colgate 13-10 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Wyoming 24-10 Lost Sat, Sep 26 @ Miami 3-52 Sat, Oct 03 vs Akron Sat, Oct 10 @ Ohio Sat, Oct 17 vs W. Michigan Sat, Oct 24 vs Miami OH |
0 | 0 | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| Miami OH | 0 Miami OH Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 05 @ Pittsburgh 14-59 Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Holy Cross 45-7 Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ Cincinnati 31-35 Won Sat, Sep 26 vs UConn 24-21 Sat, Oct 03 vs Bowling Green Sat, Oct 10 @ UMass Sat, Oct 17 vs Akron Sat, Oct 24 @ C. Michigan |
0 | 0 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Ohio | 0 Ohio Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 05 @ Nebraska 21-49 Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Jacksonville St. 29-27 Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ South Alabama 36-41 Won Sat, Sep 26 vs Stonehill 35-7 Sat, Oct 03 @ Kent State Sat, Oct 10 vs C. Michigan Sat, Oct 17 @ Sacramento St. Sat, Oct 24 vs E. Michigan |
0 | 0 | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
| Western Michigan | 0 Western Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 05 @ Michigan 12-13 Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Monmouth 49-14 Won Sat, Sep 19 @ Rice 28-21 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Boise State 7-32 Sat, Oct 03 @ Buffalo Sat, Oct 10 vs Kent State Sat, Oct 17 @ C. Michigan Sat, Oct 24 @ Toledo |
0 | 0 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
| Buffalo | 0 Buffalo Recent Games Won Thu, Sep 03 vs UAlbany 21-17 Lost Sat, Sep 12 @ Florida Intl. 20-33 Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ Penn St. 13-55 Won Sat, Sep 26 vs Robert Morris 31-28 Sat, Oct 03 vs W. Michigan Sat, Oct 10 @ Toledo Sat, Oct 17 vs UMass Sat, Oct 24 vs Bowling Green |
0 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Akron | 0 Akron Recent Games Lost Thu, Sep 03 @ Wake Forest 16-38 Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Robert Morris 45-10 Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ Minnesota 7-41 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs UNLV 10-38 Sat, Oct 03 @ C. Michigan Sat, Oct 10 vs E. Michigan Sat, Oct 17 @ Miami OH Sat, Oct 24 @ Kent State |
0 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| Bowling Green | 0 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 05 vs Tarleton State 13-20 Lost Sat, Sep 12 @ Nebraska 7-56 Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ Iowa St. 7-55 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs South Florida 6-14 Sat, Oct 03 @ Miami OH Sat, Oct 10 vs Sacramento St. Sat, Oct 17 vs Ball State Sat, Oct 24 @ Buffalo |
0 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 22% |
| Ball State | 0 Ball State Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 05 @ Ohio St. 3-56 Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Stony Brook 41-17 Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ Liberty 15-51 Lost Sat, Sep 26 @ Kent State 13-26 Sat, Oct 03 vs Toledo Sat, Oct 10 @ N. Western Sat, Oct 17 @ Bowling Green Sat, Oct 24 vs Sacramento St. |
1 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% |
| Sacramento St. | 0 Sacramento St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 05 vs Mississippi Valley State 52-0 Lost Sat, Sep 12 @ Fresno State 3-49 Lost Sat, Sep 19 vs North Dakota St. 10-31 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs UMass 6-35 Sat, Oct 10 @ Bowling Green Sat, Oct 17 vs Ohio Sat, Oct 24 @ Ball State Fri, Oct 30 vs Kent State |
2 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 19% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)UMass | 1 | 0 | 5% |
| (2)Kent State | 1 | 0 | 4% |
| (6)Miami OH | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (5)Central Michigan | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (7)Ohio | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (8)Western Michigan | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (9)Buffalo | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (3)Eastern Michigan | 1 | 0 | 1% |
| (10)Akron | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (12)Ball State | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (11)Bowling Green | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (13)Sacramento St. | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ball State (1‑3) |
Away | Sat Oct 3, 2:00 pm | |
| 6 | Buffalo (2‑2) |
Home | Sat Oct 10, TBD | |
| 7 | Eastern Michigan (2‑3) |
Away | Sat Oct 17, TBD | |
| 8 | Western Michigan (2‑2) |
Home | Sat Oct 24, TBD | |
| 10 | Sacramento St. (1‑4) |
Away | Wed Nov 4, TBD | |
| 11 | UMass (4‑0) |
Home | Wed Nov 11, TBD | |
| 12 | Bowling Green (0‑4) |
Home | Fri Nov 20, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Ohio (2‑2) |
Away | Fri Nov 27, 12:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan St. (2‑2) |
Big 10Big 10 | 20‑30 | Away | Fri Sep 4, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Central Connecticut | ‑‑ | 63‑10 | Home | Sat Sep 12, 3:30 pm |
| 3 | Temple (1‑3) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 49‑48 (OT) | Home | Sat Sep 19, 3:00 pm |
| 4 | San Diego State (1‑3) |
PAC 12PAC 12 | 41‑16 | Home | Sat Sep 26, 12:00 pm |