The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMass Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Eastern Michigan (4‑4) vs Ohio (5‑2) |
0 | Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 3% | ||
| Ohio Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 3% | ||
| Akron (1‑6) vs Kent State (2‑5) |
0 | Akron Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 3% | ||
| Kent State Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 9% | 3% | ||
| Ball State (2‑5) vs Sacramento St. (1‑6) |
0 | Ball State Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 3% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Buffalo (4‑3) vs Bowling Green (2‑5) |
0 | Buffalo Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 3% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Central Michigan (3‑4) vs Miami OH (4‑3) |
0 | Central Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 3% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 3% | ||
| Toledo (5‑2) vs Western Michigan (5‑2) |
0 | Toledo Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 3% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 3% | ||