The Most Important Games for the Fairfield Stags are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Stags final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fairfield Stags fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fairfield Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Fairfield (19‑11) vs Mount St. Mary's (14‑16) |
100 | Fairfield Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 50% | 38% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 8% | 35% | 26% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Peter's (16‑11) vs Marist (18‑10) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | X | X | X | 19% | 50% | X | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 8% | 35% | 26% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marist Wins | X | X | X | X | 24% | 45% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Quinnipiac (18‑12) vs Canisius (10‑20) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | X | X | X | X | 33% | 36% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 8% | 35% | 26% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | X | X | 28% | 41% | X | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Siena (19‑11) vs Rider (4‑24) |
0 | Siena Wins | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 29% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 8% | 35% | 26% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rider Wins | X | X | X | 8% | 61% | X | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manhattan (12‑18) vs Iona (17‑13) |
0 | Manhattan Wins | X | X | X | 8% | 35% | 26% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 8% | 35% | 26% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iona Wins | X | X | X | 8% | 35% | 26% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Merrimack (20‑10) vs Niagara (8‑21) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | X | X | X | 8% | 35% | 26% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 8% | 35% | 26% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | X | 8% | 35% | 26% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||