Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT |
| Merrimack | 9i Merrimack Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Quinnip. 83-71 Won Mon, Jan 19 @ Marist 68-55 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Iona 60-61 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs St. Peter's 67-59 Sun, Feb 01 vs Sacred Heart Thu, Feb 05 @ Mount St. Mary's Sat, Feb 07 @ Rider Thu, Feb 12 vs Marist |
2 | 11 | 44% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| St. Peter's | 8 St. Peter's Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Quinnip. 74-70 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Rider 69-58 Won Mon, Jan 19 vs Iona 77-63 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Merrimack 59-67 Fri, Jan 30 vs Mount St. Mary's Sun, Feb 01 @ Rider Thu, Feb 05 @ Manhattan Sat, Feb 07 vs Siena |
2 | 10 | 26% | 24% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Siena | 7 Siena Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Sacred Heart 80-86 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Manhattan 74-59 Won Mon, Jan 19 vs Fairfield 85-77 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Marist 69-50 Fri, Jan 30 @ Niagara Sun, Feb 01 @ Canisius Thu, Feb 05 vs Iona Sat, Feb 07 @ St. Peter's |
3 | 10 | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Quinnipiac | 7 Quinnipiac Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Merrimack 71-83 Won Mon, Jan 19 vs Manhattan 98-92 Won Thu, Jan 22 @ Mount St. Mary's 77-62 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Marist 64-71 Fri, Jan 30 vs Sacred Heart Sun, Feb 01 @ Fairfield Thu, Feb 05 vs Canisius Sat, Feb 07 vs Niagara |
4 | 11 | 8% | 16% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Marist | 7 Marist Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Fairfield 82-67 Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs Merrimack 55-68 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Siena 50-69 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Quinnip. 71-64 Fri, Jan 30 @ Canisius Sun, Feb 01 @ Niagara Thu, Feb 05 vs Rider Sat, Feb 07 @ Fairfield |
4 | 11 | 7% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Iona | 6 Iona Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Rider 68-72 Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ St. Peter's 63-77 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Merrimack 61-60 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Manhattan 66-57 Fri, Jan 30 vs Fairfield Thu, Feb 05 @ Siena Sat, Feb 07 vs Mount St. Mary's Fri, Feb 13 @ Canisius |
5 | 11 | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Sacred Heart | 5 Sacred Heart Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Siena 86-80 Won Mon, Jan 19 @ Rider 105-85 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Canisius 69-66 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Niagara 71-70 Fri, Jan 30 @ Quinnip. Sun, Feb 01 @ Merrimack Thu, Feb 05 vs Fairfield Sat, Feb 07 @ Manhattan |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 15% |
| Mount St. Mary's | 5 Mount St. Mary's Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Canisius 78-68 Won Mon, Jan 19 @ Niagara 68-58 Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs Quinnip. 62-77 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Rider 71-61 Fri, Jan 30 @ St. Peter's Sun, Feb 01 vs Manhattan Thu, Feb 05 vs Merrimack Sat, Feb 07 @ Iona |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 9% |
| Fairfield | 5 Fairfield Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Marist 67-82 Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ Siena 77-85 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Niagara 62-61 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Canisius 61-55 Fri, Jan 30 @ Iona Sun, Feb 01 vs Quinnip. Thu, Feb 05 @ Sacred Heart Sat, Feb 07 vs Marist |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 7% |
| Manhattan | 4 Manhattan Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Fairfield 62-98 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Siena 59-74 Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ Quinnip. 92-98 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Iona 57-66 Fri, Jan 30 vs Rider Sun, Feb 01 @ Mount St. Mary's Thu, Feb 05 vs St. Peter's Sat, Feb 07 vs Sacred Heart |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 29% |
| Canisius | 3 Canisius Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Niagara 54-59 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Mount St. Mary's 68-78 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Sacred Heart 66-69 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Fairfield 55-61 Fri, Jan 30 vs Marist Sun, Feb 01 vs Siena Tue, Feb 03 @ Niagara Thu, Feb 05 @ Quinnip. |
7 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 20% | 52% |
| Niagara | 2 Niagara Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Canisius 59-54 Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs Mount St. Mary's 58-68 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Fairfield 61-62 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Sacred Heart 70-71 Fri, Jan 30 vs Siena Sun, Feb 01 vs Marist Tue, Feb 03 vs Canisius Sat, Feb 07 @ Quinnip. |
8 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| Rider | 1 Rider Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Iona 72-68 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ St. Peter's 58-69 Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs Sacred Heart 85-105 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Mount St. Mary's 61-71 Fri, Jan 30 @ Manhattan Sun, Feb 01 vs St. Peter's Thu, Feb 05 @ Marist Sat, Feb 07 vs Merrimack |
9 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 99% | ||
| (10)Manhattan | 4 | 7 | <1% |
| (11)Canisius | 3 | 7 | <1% |
| (9)Fairfield | 5 | 6 | <1% |
| (7)Sacred Heart | 5 | 6 | <1% |
| (8)Mount St. Mary's | 5 | 6 | <1% |
| (12)Niagara | 2 | 8 | <1% |
| (13)Rider | 1 | 9 | <1% |
| (6)Iona | 6 | 5 | <1% |
| (5)Marist | 7 | 4 | <1% |
| (4)Quinnipiac | 7 | 4 | <1% |
| (2)St. Peter's | 8 | 2 | <1% |
| (3)Siena | 7 | 3 | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rider (2‑17) |
68‑66 | Home | Thu Dec 4, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Fairfield (13‑9) |
74‑63 | Home | Sun Dec 7, 12:00 pm |
| 9 | Sacred Heart (9‑13) |
80‑72 | Away | Mon Dec 29, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Mount St. Mary's (9‑13) |
75‑65 | Home | Fri Jan 2, 3:00 pm |
| 9 | Manhattan (8‑14) |
73‑66 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 11:00 am |
| 10 | Siena (14‑7) |
63‑59 | Away | Fri Jan 9, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | St. Peter's (11‑7) |
63‑76 | Away | Sun Jan 11, 2:00 pm |
| 11 | Quinnipiac (14‑8) |
83‑71 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 3:00 pm |
| 12 | Marist (13‑7) |
68‑55 | Away | Mon Jan 19, 2:00 pm |
| 12 | Iona (14‑8) |
60‑61 | Away | Thu Jan 22, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | St. Peter's (11‑7) |
67‑59 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 3:00 pm |
| 13 | Sacred Heart (9‑13) |
Home | Sun Feb 1, 1:00 pm | |
| 14 | Mount St. Mary's (9‑13) |
Away | Thu Feb 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Rider (2‑17) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Marist (13‑7) |
Home | Thu Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Quinnipiac (14‑8) |
Away | Sun Feb 15, 2:00 pm | |
| 16 | Siena (14‑7) |
Home | Fri Feb 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Iona (14‑8) |
Home | Sun Feb 22, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Canisius (8‑13) |
Away | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Niagara (5‑15) |
Away | Sun Mar 1, 2:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Dakota St. (10‑12) |
SummitSummit | 66‑75 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Auburn (14‑7) |
SECSEC | 57‑95 | Away | Thu Nov 6 |
| 2 | Tarleton St. (11‑9) |
WACWAC | 62‑76 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Boston U. (8‑14) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 91‑79 | Away | Sat Nov 15, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Maine (5‑17) |
America EastAmerica East | 72‑65 | Home | Wed Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Florida (15‑6) |
SECSEC | 45‑80 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | PennsylvaniaPenn. (9‑9) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 65‑77 | Away | Fri Nov 28, 4:30 pm |
| 4 | Hofstra (13‑8) |
CoastalCoastal | 58‑78 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 2:00 pm |
| 4 | La Salle (7‑14) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 66‑60 | Away | Sun Nov 30, 12:00 pm |
| 6 | Princeton (7‑13) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 59‑56 | Away | Wed Dec 10, 5:00 pm |
| 6 | Vermont (13‑8) |
America EastAmerica East | 59‑66 | Away | Sun Dec 14, 2:00 pm |