Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT |
| Quinnipiac | 2i Quinnipiac Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 25 @ St. Louis 67-81 Lost Sun, Dec 01 @ Stonehill 74-88 Won Fri, Dec 06 @ Rider 72-67 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs Sacred Heart 83-73 Tue, Dec 17 vs Holy Cross Sat, Dec 21 @ Central CT Sun, Dec 29 vs Hofstra Fri, Jan 03 @ St. Peter's |
0 | 2 | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% |
| Merrimack | 2 Merrimack Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 27 vs Texas-SA 74-76 Won Fri, Nov 29 @ Troy 72-68 Won Fri, Dec 06 @ Canisius 60-52 Won Sun, Dec 08 @ Niagara 80-62 Fri, Dec 13 vs Boston U. Tue, Dec 17 @ Stanford Thu, Dec 19 @ St. Mary's Fri, Jan 03 vs Fairfield |
0 | 2 | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% |
| Marist | 2 Marist Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 23 vs New Hampshire 54-49 Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Lehigh 69-74 Won Fri, Dec 06 vs Mount St. Mary's 53-50 Won Sun, Dec 08 @ Manhattan 82-75 Tue, Dec 17 @ Stony Brook Sat, Dec 21 vs UMBC Sun, Dec 29 vs Bingham. Fri, Jan 03 @ Iona |
0 | 2 | 38% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Mount St. Mary's | 1 Mount St. Mary's Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 23 vs Delaware St. 76-66 Won Sat, Nov 30 @ Howard 79-75 Lost Fri, Dec 06 @ Marist 50-53 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs Fairfield 101-94 Sat, Dec 14 vs Loyola-MD Wed, Dec 18 @ LIU Sat, Dec 21 @ Miami Sat, Dec 28 @ George Mason |
1 | 2 | 15% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Sacred Heart | 1 Sacred Heart Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 21 vs Central CT 67-54 Won Sun, Dec 01 @ Boston U. 73-65 Won Fri, Dec 06 vs Iona 83-59 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Quinnip. 73-83 Wed, Dec 18 vs Albany Sun, Dec 22 @ Miami OH Sun, Dec 29 vs Manhattanville Sun, Jan 05 vs Canisius |
1 | 2 | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 20% |
| Niagara | 1 Niagara Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Lafayette 47-59 Won Sun, Dec 01 vs LIU 60-52 Won Fri, Dec 06 vs Siena 69-68 Lost Sun, Dec 08 vs Merrimack 62-80 Sat, Dec 14 vs Francis Sat, Dec 21 @ St. Bonavnt Sun, Dec 29 vs Le Moyne Sun, Jan 05 @ Mount St. Mary's |
1 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 24% |
| Siena | 1 Siena Recent Games Lost Tue, Nov 26 vs Jack.ville 64-75 Won Sat, Nov 30 @ Bucknell 71-58 Lost Fri, Dec 06 @ Niagara 68-69 Won Sun, Dec 08 @ Canisius 66-53 Tue, Dec 17 vs St. Bonavnt Fri, Dec 20 vs Holy Cross Mon, Dec 30 @ Cornell Fri, Jan 03 vs Manhattan |
1 | 2 | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 10% |
| Fairfield | 1 Fairfield Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 24 vs Vermont 67-66 Won Sun, Dec 01 vs Fair. Dickinson 78-74 Won Wed, Dec 04 vs Rider 78-75 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Mount St. Mary's 94-101 Wed, Dec 18 vs Central CT Sat, Dec 21 @ Monmouth Sat, Dec 28 @ Columbia Fri, Jan 03 @ Merrimack |
1 | 2 | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 16% |
| Iona | 1 Iona Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Indiana St. 80-83 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Rice 66-70 Lost Fri, Dec 06 @ Sacred Heart 59-83 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs St. Peter's 72-63 Sun, Dec 22 @ Colgate Sun, Dec 29 vs Harvard Fri, Jan 03 vs Marist Sun, Jan 05 @ Siena |
1 | 2 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 33% |
| Manhattan | 1 Manhattan Recent Games Lost Tue, Nov 26 @ Virginia 65-74 Lost Fri, Nov 29 vs Le Moyne 77-81 Won Fri, Dec 06 @ St. Peter's 70-67 Lost Sun, Dec 08 vs Marist 75-82 Wed, Dec 18 @ Wagner Sat, Dec 21 @ Presbyter. Fri, Jan 03 @ Siena Sun, Jan 05 @ Rider |
1 | 2 | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 21% |
| Rider | 0 Rider Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 27 @ Villanova 48-72 Lost Sat, Nov 30 vs Delaware 66-72 Lost Wed, Dec 04 @ Fairfield 75-78 Lost Fri, Dec 06 vs Quinnip. 67-72 Sat, Dec 14 vs Stony Brook Fri, Dec 20 @ Penn. Sun, Dec 22 @ N.C. State Sun, Jan 05 vs Manhattan |
2 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 26% |
| St. Peter's | 0 St. Peter's Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 26 @ Fair. Dickinson 78-76 Won Tue, Dec 03 @ Duquesne 62-59 Lost Fri, Dec 06 vs Manhattan 67-70 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Iona 63-72 Fri, Dec 20 vs Delaware Fri, Jan 03 vs Quinnip. Fri, Jan 10 @ Niagara Sun, Jan 12 @ Canisius |
2 | 2 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 37% |
| Canisius | 0 Canisius Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 23 vs Brown 76-83 Lost Wed, Nov 27 @ Robert Morris 64-72 Lost Fri, Dec 06 vs Merrimack 52-60 Lost Sun, Dec 08 vs Siena 53-66 Sat, Dec 14 vs Maine Wed, Dec 18 @ L-Chicago Sat, Dec 21 @ Bradley Sun, Jan 05 @ Sacred Heart |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 89% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 58% | ||
| (9)Iona | 1 | 1 | 4% |
| (11)Rider | 0 | 2 | 4% |
| (12)St. Peter's | 0 | 2 | 3% |
| (5)Sacred Heart | 1 | 1 | 3% |
| (10)Manhattan | 1 | 1 | 3% |
| (6)Niagara | 1 | 1 | 3% |
| (8)Fairfield | 1 | 1 | 3% |
| (1)Quinnipiac | 2 | 0 | 2% |
| (7)Siena | 1 | 1 | 2% |
| (4)Mount St. Mary's | 1 | 1 | 2% |
| (13)Canisius | 0 | 2 | 1% |
| (3)Marist | 2 | 0 | 1% |
| Elimination | 10% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Canisius (0‑10) |
60‑52 | Away | Fri Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Niagara (4‑6) |
80‑62 | Away | Sun Dec 8, 1:00 pm |
| 9 | Fairfield (5‑5) |
Home | Fri Jan 3, TBD | |
| 10 | Sacred Heart (4‑6) |
Away | Fri Jan 10, TBD | |
| 10 | Manhattan (4‑5) |
Home | Sun Jan 12, TBD | |
| 11 | Quinnipiac (5‑5) |
Away | Thu Jan 16, 7:00 am | |
| 11 | Siena (5‑5) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, TBD | |
| 12 | St. Peter's (4‑5) |
Away | Thu Jan 23, TBD | |
| 12 | Fairfield (5‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Mount St. Mary's (6‑4) |
Home | Fri Jan 31, TBD | |
| 13 | Rider (4‑6) |
Away | Sun Feb 2, 4:00 pm | |
| 14 | Niagara (4‑6) |
Home | Thu Feb 6, TBD | |
| 14 | Canisius (0‑10) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, TBD | |
| 15 | Manhattan (4‑5) |
Away | Fri Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Marist (6‑2) |
Home | Sun Feb 16, TBD | |
| 16 | Sacred Heart (4‑6) |
Home | Fri Feb 21, TBD | |
| 16 | Iona (3‑8) |
Away | Sun Feb 23, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Rider (4‑6) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, TBD | |
| 17 | Quinnipiac (5‑5) |
Home | Sun Mar 2, 12:01 am | |
| 18 | Marist (6‑2) |
Away | Thu Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont (5‑6) |
America EastAmerica East | 65‑51 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | VCU (8‑2) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 42‑63 | Away | Wed Nov 13, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Princeton (7‑4) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 57‑68 | Home | Sun Nov 17, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Rutgers (6‑4) |
Big 10Big 10 | 63‑74 | Away | Wed Nov 20, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Butler (7‑3) |
Big EastBig East | 39‑78 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (7‑4) |
America EastAmerica East | 74‑81 | Away | Mon Nov 25, 6:00 pm |
| 4 | Texas-San Antonio (3‑5) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 74‑76 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 1:00 pm |
| 4 | Troy (5‑4) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 72‑68 | Away | Fri Nov 29, 2:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston U. (5‑5) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | Home | Fri Dec 13, 12:01 am | |
| 7 | Stanford (8‑2) |
ACCACC | Away | Tue Dec 17, 10:00 pm | |
| 7 | St. Mary's (9‑1) |
West CoastWest Coast | Away | Thu Dec 19, 10:00 pm |