The Most Important Games for the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mount St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Mount St. Mary's (6‑5) vs Niagara (5‑6) |
14 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | 11% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Niagara Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Marist (6‑2) vs Iona (3‑8) |
1 | Marist Wins | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Iona Wins | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | ||
| Manhattan (4‑5) vs Siena (5‑5) |
1 | Manhattan Wins | 10% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Siena Wins | 10% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | ||
| Canisius (0‑11) vs Sacred Heart (4‑6) |
1 | Canisius Wins | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 10% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 9% | ||
| Fairfield (5‑5) vs Merrimack (5‑6) |
0 | Fairfield Wins | 11% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 9% | ||
| St. Peter's (4‑5) vs Quinnipiac (5‑5) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | 10% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | ||