The Most Important Games for the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mount St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Mount St. Mary's (14‑16) vs Fairfield (19‑11) |
100 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fairfield Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Canisius (10‑20) vs Quinnipiac (18‑12) |
0 | Canisius Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 30% | 70% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iona (17‑13) vs Manhattan (12‑18) |
0 | Iona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manhattan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marist (18‑10) vs St. Peter's (16‑11) |
0 | Marist Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Merrimack (20‑10) vs Niagara (8‑21) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Siena (19‑11) vs Rider (4‑24) |
0 | Siena Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rider Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||