The Most Important Games for the Evansville Aces are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aces final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Evansville Aces fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Evansville Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Murray State (11‑10) vs Missouri St. (11‑10) |
0 | Murray State Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 80% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 79% | ||
| Illinois St. (8‑14) vs Southern Illinois (17‑5) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 80% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 79% | ||
| Drake (16‑6) vs Belmont (15‑6) |
0 | Drake Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 80% | ||
| Belmont Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 16% | 80% | ||
| Bradley (14‑8) vs UIC (9‑13) |
0 | Bradley Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 80% | ||
| UIC Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 86% | ||
| Northern Iowa (12‑9) vs Indiana St. (13‑9) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 80% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 80% | ||
| Evansville (3‑18) vs Valparaiso (8‑13) |
0 | Evansville Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 80% | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 84% | ||