The Most Important Games for the Evansville Aces are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aces final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Evansville Aces fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Evansville Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Evansville (4‑9) vs Bradley (8‑4) |
3 | Evansville Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 32% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bradley Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 34% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Murray State (10‑3) vs Southern Illinois (6‑7) |
0 | Murray State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 32% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 32% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 33% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Valparaiso (6‑6) vs Northern Iowa (9‑3) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 34% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 32% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 31% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Belmont (12‑1) vs Indiana St. (7‑6) |
0 | Belmont Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 23% | 31% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 32% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 33% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Illinois St. (9‑3) vs Drake (7‑6) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 32% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 32% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Drake Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 32% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||