PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Jan 25 11:30 pm

Missouri Valley Basketball - Week 12 of 16

Evansville Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Evansville Aces are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aces final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Evansville Aces fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Evansville Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Evansville Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Murray State
(11‑10)

vs
Missouri St.
(11‑10)
0 Murray State Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 80%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 80%
Missouri St. Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 79%
Illinois St.
(8‑14)

vs
Southern Illinois
(17‑5)
0 Illinois St. Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 80%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 80%
Southern Illinois Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 79%
Drake
(16‑6)

vs
Belmont
(15‑6)
0 Drake Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 80%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 80%
Belmont Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 16% 80%
Bradley
(14‑8)

vs
UIC
(9‑13)
0 Bradley Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18% 78%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 80%
UIC Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 86%
Northern Iowa
(12‑9)

vs
Indiana St.
(13‑9)
0 Northern Iowa Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 79%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 80%
Indiana St. Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 80%
Evansville
(3‑18)

vs
Valparaiso
(8‑13)
0 Evansville Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 71%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17% 80%
Valparaiso Wins X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 15% 84%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament