Where are the Evansville Aces going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Evansville standings table presents the probabilities of the Aces winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Drake | 1i Drake Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 22 @ Florida At. 75-63 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Vanderbilt 81-70 Won Sat, Nov 30 vs Georgia Southern 61-47 Won Thu, Dec 05 @ Valparaiso 66-60 Thu, Dec 12 vs St. Ambrose Tue, Dec 17 @ Kansas St. Sat, Dec 21 vs Green Bay Sun, Dec 29 vs Belmont |
0 | 1 | 45% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bradley | 1 Bradley Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 22 @ Wright St. 77-74 Won Sun, Nov 24 vs Middle Tenn. 80-69 Won Fri, Nov 29 vs Judson (IL) 107-41 Won Tue, Dec 03 @ Southern Illinois 83-60 Sat, Dec 14 @ Santa Clara Wed, Dec 18 vs San Francisco Sat, Dec 21 vs Canisius Sun, Dec 29 vs Valparaiso |
0 | 1 | 24% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Belmont | 1 Belmont Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 27 vs Tulane 89-66 Won Fri, Nov 29 vs Gardner-Webb 83-74 Won Wed, Dec 04 vs Illinois St. 99-97 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Middle Tenn. 82-79 Sat, Dec 14 @ Richmond Thu, Dec 19 vs UC Irvine Sun, Dec 29 @ Drake Wed, Jan 01 @ Northern Iowa |
0 | 1 | 13% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Murray State | 1 Murray State Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 22 vs Utah Valley 75-77 Won Tue, Nov 26 vs UT Arlington 79-66 Won Tue, Dec 03 vs Evansville 63-61 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs SE Missouri St. 73-53 Sat, Dec 14 @ Western Kentucky Wed, Dec 18 @ Indiana St. Sun, Dec 22 vs Nebraska Thu, Jan 02 vs Illinois St. |
0 | 1 | 7% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Northern Iowa | 1 Northern Iowa Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 28 @ North Texas 48-68 Lost Fri, Nov 29 vs St. Bonavnt 56-68 Won Wed, Dec 04 @ UIC 83-56 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Northern Illinois 101-57 Fri, Dec 13 vs Nebraska O. Mon, Dec 16 vs Montana Sat, Dec 21 @ Washington St. Sun, Dec 29 vs Southern Illinois |
0 | 1 | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Indiana St. | 1 Indiana St. Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 29 @ Arkansas St. 81-86 Won Sat, Nov 30 vs Iona 83-80 Won Sun, Dec 01 vs Tarleton St. 87-71 Won Sat, Dec 07 @ Missouri St. 80-77 Wed, Dec 18 vs Murray State Sat, Dec 21 vs UHSP Sun, Dec 29 @ Ohio St. Wed, Jan 01 vs Bradley |
0 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% |
| Illinois St. | 0 Illinois St. Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 23 vs UAB 84-83 Lost Mon, Nov 25 @ Geo. Washington 64-72 Lost Wed, Dec 04 @ Belmont 97-99 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Pacific 72-61 Sun, Dec 15 vs St. Louis Wed, Dec 18 vs Northern Illinois Sun, Dec 22 @ Cornell Sun, Dec 29 vs UIC |
1 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Missouri St. | 0 Missouri St. Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 25 @ Boston College 74-76 Lost Tue, Nov 26 vs South Dakota St. 55-75 Won Sun, Dec 01 @ O. Roberts 72-67 Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs Indiana St. 77-80 Sat, Dec 14 @ Washington St. Wed, Dec 18 vs Lincoln (MO) Sun, Dec 22 vs UCSB Sun, Dec 29 @ Evansville |
1 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% |
| UIC | 0 UIC Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 23 vs E. Carolina 55-72 Won Sat, Nov 30 vs Aurora 91-76 Lost Wed, Dec 04 vs Northern Iowa 56-83 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs Dartmouth 69-68 Sun, Dec 15 @ UALR Fri, Dec 20 @ Seattle Sun, Dec 29 @ Illinois St. Wed, Jan 01 vs Drake |
1 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Valparaiso | 0 Valparaiso Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 24 vs Eastern Illinois 81-53 Won Wed, Nov 27 vs Northern Illinois 87-82 Lost Fri, Nov 29 @ DePaul 70-89 Lost Thu, Dec 05 vs Drake 60-66 Sat, Dec 14 vs Central Michigan Tue, Dec 17 @ Ohio St. Fri, Dec 20 @ Western Michigan Sun, Dec 22 vs Calumet Col. |
1 | 1 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Southern Illinois | 0 Southern Illinois Recent Games Lost Tue, Nov 26 vs E. Kentucky 72-77 Won Wed, Nov 27 @ Florida Tech 81-54 Lost Tue, Dec 03 vs Bradley 60-83 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Southern Indiana 73-70 Sat, Dec 14 @ Austin Peay Sat, Dec 21 vs High Point Sun, Dec 29 @ Northern Iowa Wed, Jan 01 vs Evansville |
1 | 1 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% |
| Evansville | 0 Evansville Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 22 vs Green Bay 98-81 Won Sun, Nov 24 vs Campbell 66-53 Lost Tue, Dec 03 @ Murray State 61-63 Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs Western Kentucky 65-79 Thu, Dec 12 vs Chattan. Wed, Dec 18 @ UT Arlington Sat, Dec 21 @ Ball State Sun, Dec 29 vs Missouri St. |
1 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 26% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 4% | ||
| (6)Indiana St. | 1 | 0 | 11% |
| (9)UIC | 0 | 1 | 11% |
| (10)Valparaiso | 0 | 1 | 11% |
| (8)Missouri St. | 0 | 1 | 11% |
| (7)Illinois St. | 0 | 1 | 11% |
| (11)Southern Illinois | 0 | 1 | 10% |
| (5)Northern Iowa | 1 | 0 | 10% |
| (4)Murray State | 1 | 0 | 8% |
| (3)Belmont | 1 | 0 | 7% |
| (2)Bradley | 1 | 0 | 5% |
| (1)Drake | 1 | 0 | 2% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Murray State (6‑2) |
61‑63 | Away | Tue Dec 3, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | Missouri St. (5‑4) |
Home | Sun Dec 29, TBD | |
| 9 | Southern Illinois (4‑6) |
Away | Wed Jan 1, TBD | |
| 9 | Indiana St. (6‑4) |
Home | Sat Jan 4, TBD | |
| 10 | Illinois St. (5‑4) |
Home | Wed Jan 8, TBD | |
| 10 | Drake (8‑0) |
Away | Sat Jan 11, TBD | |
| 11 | Northern Iowa (5‑4) |
Away | Tue Jan 14, TBD | |
| 11 | Belmont (8‑2) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, TBD | |
| 12 | UIC (6‑4) |
Home | Wed Jan 22, TBD | |
| 12 | Valparaiso (4‑4) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, TBD | |
| 13 | Murray State (6‑2) |
Home | Wed Jan 29, TBD | |
| 13 | Belmont (8‑2) |
Away | Sun Feb 2, 3:00 pm | |
| 14 | Southern Illinois (4‑6) |
Home | Wed Feb 5, TBD | |
| 14 | Bradley (8‑1) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, TBD | |
| 15 | Missouri St. (5‑4) |
Away | Wed Feb 12, TBD | |
| 15 | Valparaiso (4‑4) |
Home | Sun Feb 16, TBD | |
| 16 | Indiana St. (6‑4) |
Away | Wed Feb 19, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | UIC (6‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 3:00 pm | |
| 17 | Drake (8‑0) |
Home | Wed Feb 26, TBD | |
| 17 | Illinois St. (5‑4) |
Away | Sun Mar 2, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Texas (5‑3) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 63‑80 | Away | Tue Nov 5, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | Brescia | ‑‑ | 96‑49 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 2:00 pm |
| 2 | Middle Tenn. (7‑3) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 63‑80 | Away | Wed Nov 13, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Radford (9‑2) |
Big SouthBig South | 81‑92 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Ohio St. (6‑3) |
Big 10Big 10 | 30‑80 | Away | Tue Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Green Bay (2‑8) |
HorizonHorizon | 98‑81 | Home | Fri Nov 22, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Campbell (4‑5) |
CoastalCoastal | 66‑53 | Home | Sun Nov 24, 4:00 pm |
| 5 | Western Kentucky (5‑3) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 65‑79 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 2:00 pm |
| 6 | ChattanoogaChattan. (5‑4) |
SouthernSouthern | Home | Thu Dec 12, TBD | |
| 7 | UT Arlington (4‑5) |
WACWAC | Away | Wed Dec 18, 8:00 pm | |
| 7 | Ball State (3‑6) |
MACMAC | Away | Sat Dec 21, 2:00 pm |