The Most Important Games for the Murray State Racers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Racers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Murray State Racers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Murray State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Murray State (19‑10) vs Evansville (6‑21) |
31 | Murray State Wins | X | 24% | 25% | 22% | 23% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 22% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Evansville Wins | X | 2% | 10% | 28% | 23% | 31% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bradley (18‑10) vs Illinois St. (18‑10) |
10 | Bradley Wins | X | 25% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 22% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | X | 19% | 25% | 18% | 21% | 15% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Illinois (13‑15) vs Northern Iowa (18‑10) |
7 | Southern Illinois Wins | X | 34% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 22% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | X | 18% | 25% | 21% | 23% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valparaiso (15‑13) vs UIC (16‑12) |
5 | Valparaiso Wins | X | 28% | 25% | 25% | 15% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 22% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UIC Wins | X | 18% | 22% | 19% | 28% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Belmont (24‑4) vs Indiana St. (10‑18) |
0 | Belmont Wins | X | 22% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 22% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | X | 22% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||