The Most Important Games for the Murray State Racers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Racers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Murray State Racers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Murray State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Murray State (4‑2) vs Evansville (3‑4) |
9 | Murray State Wins | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Evansville Wins | 4% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Southern Illinois (3‑5) vs Bradley (7‑1) |
1 | Southern Illinois Wins | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Illinois St. (4‑3) vs Belmont (6‑2) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| UIC (5‑3) vs Northern Iowa (3‑4) |
0 | UIC Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Indiana St. (5‑4) vs Missouri St. (5‑3) |
0 | Indiana St. Wins | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | 7% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Valparaiso (4‑3) vs Drake (7‑0) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Drake Wins | 6% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||