PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Feb 2 12:30 am

Missouri Valley Basketball - Week 13 of 16

Southern Illinois Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Southern Illinois Salukis are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Salukis final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Illinois Salukis fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Southern Illinois Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Southern Illinois Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Southern Illinois
(17‑7)

vs
Missouri St.
(12‑11)
19 Southern Illinois Wins 38% 24% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 22% 16% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Missouri St. Wins 18% 19% 18% 16% 13% 9% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Illinois St.
(10‑14)

vs
Belmont
(16‑8)
2 Illinois St. Wins 36% 22% 16% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 22% 16% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Belmont Wins 31% 21% 16% 13% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Bradley
(16‑8)

vs
Northern Iowa
(12‑11)
2 Bradley Wins 31% 22% 17% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 22% 16% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Northern Iowa Wins 34% 21% 15% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Murray State
(13‑10)

vs
Indiana St.
(15‑9)
1 Murray State Wins 32% 22% 17% 12% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 22% 16% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Indiana St. Wins 31% 22% 17% 13% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Valparaiso
(10‑14)

vs
Drake
(18‑6)
1 Valparaiso Wins 35% 22% 16% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 22% 16% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Drake Wins 31% 22% 16% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
UIC
(9‑15)

vs
Evansville
(4‑20)
0 UIC Wins 32% 22% 16% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 22% 16% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Evansville Wins 32% 22% 16% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament