The Most Important Games for the Southern Illinois Salukis are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Salukis final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Illinois Salukis fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Southern Illinois (17‑7) vs Missouri St. (12‑11) |
19 | Southern Illinois Wins | 38% | 24% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | 18% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois St. (10‑14) vs Belmont (16‑8) |
2 | Illinois St. Wins | 36% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Belmont Wins | 31% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bradley (16‑8) vs Northern Iowa (12‑11) |
2 | Bradley Wins | 31% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Murray State (13‑10) vs Indiana St. (15‑9) |
1 | Murray State Wins | 32% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 31% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valparaiso (10‑14) vs Drake (18‑6) |
1 | Valparaiso Wins | 35% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Drake Wins | 31% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UIC (9‑15) vs Evansville (4‑20) |
0 | UIC Wins | 32% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Evansville Wins | 32% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||