The Most Important Games for the Valparaiso Crusaders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crusaders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Valparaiso Crusaders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Valparaiso Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Valparaiso (4‑3) vs Belmont (5‑3) |
4 | Valparaiso Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | ||
| Belmont Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 19% | ||
| Illinois St. (3‑3) vs UIC (5‑2) |
1 | Illinois St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | ||
| UIC Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 17% | ||
| Bradley (6‑1) vs Indiana St. (6‑1) |
0 | Bradley Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 18% | ||
| Northern Iowa (2‑5) vs Evansville (6‑1) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | ||
| Evansville Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 17% | ||
| Drake (6‑1) vs Missouri St. (6‑1) |
0 | Drake Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 17% | ||