The Most Important Games for the Valparaiso Crusaders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crusaders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Valparaiso Crusaders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Valparaiso Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Valparaiso (6‑5) vs Murray State (9‑3) |
9 | Valparaiso Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Murray State Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Evansville (4‑8) vs Drake (6‑6) |
1 | Evansville Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Drake Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Illinois St. (8‑3) vs Indiana St. (7‑5) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Southern Illinois (6‑6) vs Bradley (7‑4) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||