The Most Important Games for the Valparaiso Crusaders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crusaders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Valparaiso Crusaders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Valparaiso Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Valparaiso (4‑4) vs Bradley (8‑1) |
6 | Valparaiso Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Bradley Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 14% | ||
| UIC (6‑4) vs Illinois St. (5‑4) |
0 | UIC Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Southern Illinois (4‑6) vs Northern Iowa (5‑4) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Murray State (6‑2) vs Indiana St. (6‑4) |
0 | Murray State Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Evansville (3‑6) vs Missouri St. (5‑4) |
0 | Evansville Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Belmont (8‑2) vs Drake (8‑0) |
0 | Belmont Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Drake Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||