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Fri Jul 26 1:15 am

MLB - Week 19 of 28

Braves What If?

The Braves What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Braves play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Braves What If?

Next Game - Mets (54‑48)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 55 47 2% 2% 2% 29% 19% 14% 33%
Current Standings 54 47 1% 2% 1% 25% 19% 14% 37%
Lose Next Game 54 48 1% 2% 1% 23% 18% 15% 40%


Current Series - Mets (54‑48) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Braves Sweeps 57 47 2% 3% 2% 36% 20% 13% 23%
Current Standings 54 47 1% 2% 1% 25% 19% 14% 37%
Mets Sweeps 54 50 1% 1% 1% 17% 16% 16% 48%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
61 of 61 100% 115 47 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
60 of 61 98% 114 48 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
50 of 61 82% 104 58 96% 1% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 61 80% 103 59 93% 2% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 61 79% 102 60 87% 4% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 61 77% 101 61 80% 7% <1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 61 75% 100 62 70% 10% <1% 20% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 61 74% 99 63 59% 14% <1% 27% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 61 72% 98 64 45% 18% 1% 36% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 61 70% 97 65 32% 20% 2% 46% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 61 69% 96 66 21% 21% 4% 55% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 61 67% 95 67 12% 19% 5% 63% 1% <1% <1%
40 of 61 66% 94 68 6% 15% 6% 70% 3% <1% <1%
39 of 61 64% 93 69 3% 10% 7% 74% 6% <1% <1%
38 of 61 62% 92 70 1% 6% 6% 73% 13% 1% <1%
37 of 61 61% 91 71 <1% 3% 5% 68% 22% 2% <1%
36 of 61 59% 90 72 <1% 1% 3% 59% 31% 5% <1%
35 of 61 57% 89 73 <1% <1% 2% 45% 40% 12% 1%
34 of 61 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 1% 29% 45% 20% 4%
33 of 61 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 18% 41% 30% 10%
32 of 61 52% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 8% 31% 37% 23%
31 of 61 51% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 3% 20% 37% 39%
30 of 61 49% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 60%
29 of 61 48% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 78%
28 of 61 46% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 91%
20 of 61 33% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 61 16% 64 98 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 61 0% 54 108 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs