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Tue May 19 1:15 am

MLB - Week 9 of 27

Brewers What If?

The Brewers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Brewers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brewers What If?

Next Game - Cubs (29‑19)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 28 18 13% 12% 7% 14% 11% 9% 35%
Current Standings 27 18 12% 11% 6% 15% 11% 9% 37%
Lose Next Game 27 19 10% 10% 6% 14% 12% 9% 38%


Current Series - Cubs (29‑19) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Brewers Sweeps 29 18 14% 12% 7% 15% 11% 9% 32%
Current Standings 27 18 12% 11% 6% 15% 11% 9% 37%
Cubs Sweeps 27 20 10% 10% 6% 15% 11% 9% 38%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
117 of 117 100% 144 18 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 117 94% 137 25 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 117 85% 127 35 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 117 77% 117 45 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 117 73% 112 50 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 117 72% 111 51 92% 8% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 117 71% 110 52 89% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 117 70% 109 53 85% 13% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 117 69% 108 54 80% 17% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 117 68% 107 55 75% 20% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 117 68% 106 56 69% 24% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 117 67% 105 57 61% 28% 2% 8% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 117 66% 104 58 55% 31% 4% 10% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 117 65% 103 59 47% 35% 4% 14% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 117 64% 102 60 40% 36% 6% 18% 1% <1% <1%
74 of 117 63% 101 61 32% 36% 8% 23% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 117 62% 100 62 25% 36% 11% 26% 2% <1% <1%
72 of 117 62% 99 63 18% 34% 13% 31% 4% <1% <1%
71 of 117 61% 98 64 13% 31% 15% 34% 6% <1% <1%
70 of 117 60% 97 65 9% 26% 16% 38% 10% 1% <1%
69 of 117 59% 96 66 6% 22% 18% 39% 14% 1% <1%
68 of 117 58% 95 67 3% 17% 18% 39% 19% 3% <1%
67 of 117 57% 94 68 2% 13% 17% 37% 25% 6% <1%
66 of 117 56% 93 69 1% 9% 16% 33% 31% 9% 1%
65 of 117 56% 92 70 <1% 6% 14% 28% 35% 14% 2%
64 of 117 55% 91 71 <1% 4% 13% 21% 36% 20% 6%
63 of 117 54% 90 72 <1% 2% 10% 16% 35% 27% 10%
62 of 117 53% 89 73 <1% 1% 8% 11% 31% 32% 18%
61 of 117 52% 88 74 <1% 1% 6% 7% 25% 34% 28%
60 of 117 51% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 4% 18% 34% 41%
59 of 117 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 2% 11% 28% 57%
58 of 117 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 7% 22% 69%
57 of 117 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 14% 82%
56 of 117 48% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
55 of 117 47% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
50 of 117 43% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 117 34% 67 95 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 117 26% 57 105 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 117 17% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 117 9% 37 125 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 117 0% 27 135 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs