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Wed Sep 17 2:30 am

MLB - Week 27 of 28

Brewers What If?

The Brewers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Brewers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brewers What If?

Next Game - Angels (69‑82)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 93 59 83% 16% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
Current Standings 92 59 78% 19% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
Lose Next Game 92 60 69% 27% <1% 4% <1% ^ ^


Current Series - Angels (69‑82) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Brewers Sweeps 94 59 87% 12% <1% 1% ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 92 59 78% 19% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
Angels Sweeps 92 61 57% 36% <1% 7% <1% ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 83% 16% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
Current Standings 78% 19% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario 69% 27% <1% 4% <1% ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Brewers beats Angels
 Worst Case Scenario
   Angels beats Brewers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
11 of 11 100% 103 59 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 102 60 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 11 82% 101 61 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 11 73% 100 62 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 11 64% 99 63 94% 6% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 11 55% 98 64 79% 21% X <1% ^ ^ ^
5 of 11 45% 97 65 54% 43% X 2% ^ ^ ^
4 of 11 36% 96 66 29% 61% X 10% ^ ^ ^
3 of 11 27% 95 67 10% 63% X 27% ^ ^ ^
2 of 11 18% 94 68 2% 50% <1% 47% ^ ^ ^
1 of 11 9% 93 69 <1% 29% 1% 70% <1% ^ ^
0 of 11 0% 92 70 <1% 12% 1% 86% 1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs