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Sat Jul 5 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Brewers What If?

The Brewers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Brewers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brewers What If?

Next Game - Marlins (39‑47)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 50 39 3% 6% 5% 15% 15% 15% 40%
Current Standings 49 39 3% 5% 5% 15% 15% 14% 43%
Lose Next Game 49 40 2% 5% 5% 13% 15% 14% 46%


Current Series - Marlins (39‑47) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Brewers Sweeps 51 39 3% 6% 6% 17% 16% 14% 38%
Current Standings 49 39 3% 5% 5% 15% 15% 14% 43%
Marlins Sweeps 49 41 2% 4% 4% 12% 14% 15% 49%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
74 of 74 100% 123 39 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 74 95% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
60 of 74 81% 109 53 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 74 77% 106 56 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 74 76% 105 57 92% 6% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 74 74% 104 58 87% 10% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 74 73% 103 59 81% 14% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 74 72% 102 60 73% 19% 1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 74 70% 101 61 63% 24% 1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 74 69% 100 62 52% 30% 3% 15% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 74 68% 99 63 41% 34% 4% 21% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 74 66% 98 64 31% 36% 7% 26% 1% <1% <1%
48 of 74 65% 97 65 20% 34% 10% 34% 2% <1% <1%
47 of 74 64% 96 66 12% 31% 13% 40% 4% <1% <1%
46 of 74 62% 95 67 7% 26% 15% 44% 7% <1% <1%
45 of 74 61% 94 68 3% 19% 17% 47% 14% 1% <1%
44 of 74 59% 93 69 1% 12% 17% 45% 22% 3% <1%
43 of 74 58% 92 70 1% 7% 15% 39% 31% 7% <1%
42 of 74 57% 91 71 <1% 4% 13% 31% 37% 14% 2%
41 of 74 55% 90 72 <1% 2% 8% 21% 41% 23% 5%
40 of 74 54% 89 73 <1% 1% 6% 13% 37% 33% 12%
39 of 74 53% 88 74 <1% <1% 3% 6% 29% 39% 22%
38 of 74 51% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 3% 18% 38% 39%
37 of 74 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 1% 11% 32% 56%
36 of 74 49% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 73%
35 of 74 47% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 86%
34 of 74 46% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
30 of 74 41% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 74 27% 69 93 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 74 14% 59 103 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 74 0% 49 113 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs