PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jul 5 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Cardinals What If?

The Cardinals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cardinals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cardinals What If?

Next Game - Cubs (53‑35)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 48 42 2% 4% 5% 12% 14% 15% 49%
Current Standings 47 42 1% 3% 4% 11% 14% 14% 53%
Lose Next Game 47 43 1% 3% 3% 10% 13% 15% 56%


Current Series - Cubs (53‑35) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Cardinals Sweeps 49 42 2% 5% 6% 13% 14% 15% 45%
Current Standings 47 42 1% 3% 4% 11% 14% 14% 53%
Cubs Sweeps 47 44 1% 2% 2% 10% 13% 14% 58%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
73 of 73 100% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 73 96% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
60 of 73 82% 107 55 96% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 73 81% 106 56 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 73 79% 105 57 90% 9% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 73 78% 104 58 85% 13% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 73 77% 103 59 78% 18% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 73 75% 102 60 70% 23% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 73 74% 101 61 61% 28% 2% 9% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 73 73% 100 62 51% 33% 4% 13% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 73 71% 99 63 40% 35% 6% 18% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 73 70% 98 64 28% 37% 9% 25% 1% <1% <1%
50 of 73 68% 97 65 19% 35% 12% 32% 1% <1% <1%
49 of 73 67% 96 66 12% 31% 15% 39% 4% <1% <1%
48 of 73 66% 95 67 7% 26% 17% 42% 8% <1% <1%
47 of 73 64% 94 68 3% 19% 17% 46% 13% 1% <1%
46 of 73 63% 93 69 1% 12% 18% 44% 22% 3% <1%
45 of 73 62% 92 70 <1% 7% 15% 40% 31% 7% <1%
44 of 73 60% 91 71 <1% 4% 12% 32% 38% 13% 2%
43 of 73 59% 90 72 <1% 2% 8% 23% 41% 22% 4%
42 of 73 58% 89 73 <1% 1% 6% 13% 37% 33% 11%
41 of 73 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 3% 7% 30% 38% 21%
40 of 73 55% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 3% 19% 39% 37%
39 of 73 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 1% 11% 32% 55%
38 of 73 52% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 72%
37 of 73 51% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
36 of 73 49% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
30 of 73 41% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 73 27% 67 95 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 73 14% 57 105 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 73 0% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs