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Fri May 8 1:45 am

MLB - Week 7 of 27

Cardinals What If?

The Cardinals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cardinals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cardinals What If?

Next Game - Padres (22‑15)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 23 15 9% 8% 4% 16% 12% 9% 42%
Current Standings 22 15 9% 8% 4% 16% 12% 9% 43%
Lose Next Game 22 16 8% 7% 4% 16% 11% 10% 44%


Current Series - Padres (22‑15) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cardinals Sweeps 25 15 10% 9% 4% 17% 12% 10% 38%
Current Standings 22 15 9% 8% 4% 16% 12% 9% 43%
Padres Sweeps 22 18 7% 7% 4% 14% 12% 9% 47%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
125 of 125 100% 147 15 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 125 96% 142 20 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 125 88% 132 30 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
100 of 125 80% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 125 74% 115 47 94% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 125 74% 114 48 92% 6% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 125 73% 113 49 89% 8% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 125 72% 112 50 86% 10% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 125 71% 111 51 82% 12% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 125 70% 110 52 77% 15% 1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 125 70% 109 53 71% 18% 1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 125 69% 108 54 66% 21% 1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 125 68% 107 55 59% 24% 2% 15% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 125 67% 106 56 52% 27% 3% 19% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 125 66% 105 57 46% 28% 3% 22% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 125 66% 104 58 38% 29% 4% 28% 1% <1% <1%
81 of 125 65% 103 59 32% 30% 5% 31% 2% <1% <1%
80 of 125 64% 102 60 27% 30% 6% 34% 2% <1% <1%
79 of 125 63% 101 61 21% 28% 8% 39% 4% <1% <1%
78 of 125 62% 100 62 15% 26% 9% 43% 6% <1% <1%
77 of 125 62% 99 63 12% 24% 10% 45% 9% 1% <1%
76 of 125 61% 98 64 8% 21% 11% 46% 13% 1% <1%
75 of 125 60% 97 65 6% 18% 11% 46% 18% 2% <1%
74 of 125 59% 96 66 3% 14% 11% 45% 23% 3% <1%
73 of 125 58% 95 67 2% 11% 11% 42% 27% 6% 1%
72 of 125 58% 94 68 1% 8% 10% 39% 33% 9% 1%
71 of 125 57% 93 69 1% 6% 9% 34% 36% 13% 2%
70 of 125 56% 92 70 <1% 4% 8% 27% 39% 18% 4%
69 of 125 55% 91 71 <1% 2% 7% 21% 39% 24% 7%
68 of 125 54% 90 72 <1% 1% 5% 15% 37% 29% 12%
67 of 125 54% 89 73 <1% 1% 4% 11% 32% 34% 19%
66 of 125 53% 88 74 <1% <1% 3% 6% 26% 36% 29%
65 of 125 52% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 4% 20% 34% 40%
64 of 125 51% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 2% 14% 31% 52%
63 of 125 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 26% 63%
62 of 125 50% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 5% 19% 75%
61 of 125 49% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 84%
60 of 125 48% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 90%
59 of 125 47% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
50 of 125 40% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 125 32% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 125 24% 52 110 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 125 16% 42 120 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 125 8% 32 130 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 125 0% 22 140 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs