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Sat Jul 18 8:00 am

MLB - Week 17 of 27

Cardinals What If?

The Cardinals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cardinals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cardinals What If?

Next Game - Diamondbacks (49‑48)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 52 45 <1% 2% 1% 19% 16% 15% 47%
Current Standings 51 45 <1% 1% 1% 16% 15% 14% 52%
Lose Next Game 51 46 <1% 1% 1% 15% 14% 13% 56%


Current Series - Diamondbacks (49‑48) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cardinals Sweeps 53 45 1% 2% 1% 20% 17% 15% 44%
Current Standings 51 45 <1% 1% 1% 16% 15% 14% 52%
Diamondbacks Sweeps 51 47 <1% 1% 1% 13% 14% 13% 58%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
66 of 66 100% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
60 of 66 91% 111 51 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
56 of 66 85% 107 55 93% 4% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 66 83% 106 56 90% 5% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 66 82% 105 57 83% 9% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 66 80% 104 58 76% 12% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 66 79% 103 59 67% 16% <1% 17% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 66 77% 102 60 57% 20% <1% 23% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 66 76% 101 61 45% 24% 1% 30% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 66 74% 100 62 35% 27% 2% 37% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 66 73% 99 63 24% 26% 3% 46% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 66 71% 98 64 16% 26% 4% 53% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 66 70% 97 65 10% 22% 5% 62% 1% <1% <1%
45 of 66 68% 96 66 6% 17% 6% 69% 2% <1% <1%
44 of 66 67% 95 67 2% 14% 7% 72% 4% <1% <1%
43 of 66 65% 94 68 1% 9% 7% 75% 7% <1% <1%
42 of 66 64% 93 69 <1% 5% 6% 72% 15% 1% <1%
41 of 66 62% 92 70 <1% 2% 5% 65% 25% 2% <1%
40 of 66 61% 91 71 <1% 1% 3% 53% 36% 6% <1%
39 of 66 59% 90 72 <1% <1% 2% 40% 44% 13% 2%
38 of 66 58% 89 73 <1% <1% 1% 27% 44% 23% 5%
37 of 66 56% 88 74 <1% <1% <1% 16% 39% 32% 13%
36 of 66 55% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 7% 30% 38% 25%
35 of 66 53% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 35% 43%
34 of 66 52% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 62%
33 of 66 50% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 79%
32 of 66 48% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
30 of 66 45% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
20 of 66 30% 71 91 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 66 15% 61 101 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 66 0% 51 111 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs