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Fri Jul 26 1:15 am

MLB - Week 19 of 28

Cardinals What If?

The Cardinals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cardinals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cardinals What If?

Next Game - Nationals (47‑56)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 54 49 <1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 14% 55%
Current Standings 53 49 <1% 2% 6% 9% 12% 14% 57%
Lose Next Game 53 50 <1% 1% 5% 7% 11% 13% 62%


Current Series - Nationals (47‑56) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cardinals Sweeps 56 49 <1% 2% 7% 12% 14% 15% 49%
Current Standings 53 49 <1% 2% 6% 9% 12% 14% 57%
Nationals Sweeps 53 52 <1% 1% 4% 5% 9% 11% 70%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
60 of 60 100% 113 49 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
54 of 60 90% 107 55 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 60 88% 106 56 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 60 87% 105 57 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 60 85% 104 58 82% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 60 83% 103 59 75% 24% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 60 82% 102 60 67% 31% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 60 80% 101 61 57% 39% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 60 78% 100 62 47% 45% 4% 4% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 60 77% 99 63 37% 50% 7% 5% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 60 75% 98 64 27% 53% 11% 9% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 60 73% 97 65 17% 52% 17% 14% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 60 72% 96 66 11% 46% 22% 20% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 60 70% 95 67 6% 39% 27% 27% 1% <1% <1%
41 of 60 68% 94 68 3% 29% 32% 34% 2% <1% <1%
40 of 60 67% 93 69 1% 21% 33% 40% 5% <1% <1%
39 of 60 65% 92 70 <1% 12% 33% 44% 11% 1% <1%
38 of 60 63% 91 71 <1% 6% 29% 43% 19% 2% <1%
37 of 60 62% 90 72 <1% 3% 24% 39% 28% 6% <1%
36 of 60 60% 89 73 <1% 1% 18% 32% 36% 12% 2%
35 of 60 58% 88 74 <1% <1% 13% 21% 39% 22% 5%
34 of 60 57% 87 75 <1% <1% 8% 13% 36% 31% 12%
33 of 60 55% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 7% 28% 36% 25%
32 of 60 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% 3% 17% 34% 43%
31 of 60 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 27% 62%
30 of 60 50% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 80%
29 of 60 48% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
20 of 60 33% 73 89 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 60 17% 63 99 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
0 of 60 0% 53 109 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs