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Sat Jun 13 1:45 am

MLB - Week 12 of 27

Cardinals What If?

The Cardinals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cardinals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cardinals What If?

Next Game - Twins (32‑39)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 38 30 3% 6% 8% 20% 14% 11% 38%
Current Standings 37 30 3% 6% 7% 18% 13% 11% 41%
Lose Next Game 37 31 3% 6% 7% 18% 13% 12% 42%


Current Series - Twins (32‑39) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cardinals Sweeps 39 30 4% 7% 8% 20% 14% 11% 36%
Current Standings 37 30 3% 6% 7% 18% 13% 11% 41%
Twins Sweeps 37 32 2% 5% 7% 16% 13% 11% 45%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
95 of 95 100% 132 30 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 95 95% 127 35 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
80 of 95 84% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 95 77% 110 52 94% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 95 76% 109 53 91% 8% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 95 75% 108 54 86% 11% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 95 74% 107 55 81% 15% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 95 73% 106 56 74% 20% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 95 72% 105 57 68% 23% 2% 7% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 95 71% 104 58 60% 27% 3% 10% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 95 69% 103 59 51% 31% 4% 13% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 95 68% 102 60 42% 35% 6% 17% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 95 67% 101 61 34% 36% 8% 22% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 95 66% 100 62 27% 35% 10% 27% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 95 65% 99 63 20% 35% 13% 32% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 95 64% 98 64 14% 33% 16% 36% 1% <1% <1%
60 of 95 63% 97 65 10% 30% 18% 41% 1% <1% <1%
59 of 95 62% 96 66 6% 24% 19% 47% 3% <1% <1%
58 of 95 61% 95 67 4% 20% 21% 50% 6% <1% <1%
57 of 95 60% 94 68 2% 15% 21% 52% 9% 1% <1%
56 of 95 59% 93 69 1% 10% 20% 51% 16% 2% <1%
55 of 95 58% 92 70 <1% 6% 19% 48% 22% 4% <1%
54 of 95 57% 91 71 <1% 4% 16% 43% 29% 7% 1%
53 of 95 56% 90 72 <1% 2% 12% 34% 37% 13% 2%
52 of 95 55% 89 73 <1% 1% 10% 26% 38% 20% 5%
51 of 95 54% 88 74 <1% <1% 7% 17% 38% 28% 11%
50 of 95 53% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 10% 31% 34% 20%
49 of 95 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 6% 24% 35% 33%
48 of 95 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 3% 16% 32% 48%
47 of 95 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 25% 64%
46 of 95 48% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18% 77%
45 of 95 47% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 88%
44 of 95 46% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
40 of 95 42% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 95 32% 67 95 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 95 21% 57 105 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 95 11% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 95 0% 37 125 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs