The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (18‑13) vs Pirates (12‑19) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 12% | 17% | 17% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 16% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 39% | ||
| Nationals (13‑18) vs Phillies (17‑13) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 38% | ||
| Mets (21‑10) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (16‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Rockies (5‑25) vs Giants (19‑12) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 4 Games | 13% | 16% | 17% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 4 Games | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% | ||
| Reds (16‑15) vs Cardinals (14‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 12% | 16% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Braves (14‑16) vs Dodgers (21‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% | ||
| White Sox (7‑23) vs Brewers (16‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (18‑13) vs Pirates (12‑19) |
7 | Cubs Wins | 12% | 17% | 17% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 11% | 16% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 39% | ||
| Nationals (13‑18) vs Phillies (17‑13) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 38% | ||
| Mets (21‑10) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (16‑14) |
1 | Mets Wins | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 11% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Rockies (5‑25) vs Giants (19‑12) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 12% | 17% | 17% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Giants Wins | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% | ||
| Reds (16‑15) vs Cardinals (14‑17) |
0 | Reds Wins | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 12% | 16% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Braves (14‑16) vs Dodgers (21‑10) |
0 | Braves Wins | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| White Sox (7‑23) vs Brewers (16‑15) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 12% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 37% | ||