The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (45‑28) vs Brewers (39‑35) 2 Games Remaining |
20 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 25% | 23% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 23% | 23% | 24% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||
| White Sox (23‑50) vs Cardinals (38‑35) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 25% | 24% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 24% | 22% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Twins (36‑36) vs Reds (37‑35) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 25% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Guardians (36‑35) vs Giants (41‑32) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 24% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Rockies (16‑57) vs Nationals (30‑43) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Marlins (29‑42) vs Phillies (43‑30) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 25% | 22% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 9% | ||
| Blue Jays (39‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑35) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Braves (32‑39) vs Mets (45‑28) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 24% | 22% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 24% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Padres (39‑33) vs Dodgers (45‑29) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 30% | 24% | 22% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 25% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Tigers (47‑27) vs Pirates (29‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 25% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (45‑28) vs Brewers (39‑35) |
11 | Cubs Wins | 30% | 25% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 25% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 10% | ||
| White Sox (23‑50) vs Cardinals (38‑35) |
2 | White Sox Wins | 28% | 25% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 28% | 25% | 22% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Twins (36‑36) vs Reds (37‑35) |
2 | Twins Wins | 29% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Reds Wins | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 9% | ||
| Blue Jays (39‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑35) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 27% | 24% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Rockies (16‑57) vs Nationals (30‑43) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 28% | 25% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Guardians (36‑35) vs Giants (41‑32) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 28% | 25% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Giants Wins | 28% | 25% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Padres (39‑33) vs Dodgers (45‑29) |
0 | Padres Wins | 29% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Pirates (29‑45) vs Tigers (47‑27) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Braves (32‑39) vs Mets (45‑28) |
0 | Braves Wins | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Mets Wins | 27% | 24% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Marlins (29‑42) vs Phillies (43‑30) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 28% | 24% | 22% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 28% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||