The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (55‑39) vs Yankees (53‑41) 2 Games Remaining |
20 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 35% | 20% | 12% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 24% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Nationals (38‑56) vs Brewers (54‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 30% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 19% | 12% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Braves (41‑52) vs Cardinals (50‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 20% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 9% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (46‑48) vs Angels (46‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Dodgers (56‑39) vs Giants (52‑43) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 30% | 19% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Royals (46‑49) vs Mets (54‑41) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 19% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Twins (46‑48) vs Pirates (38‑57) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Rockies (22‑72) vs Reds (47‑47) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Phillies (54‑40) vs Padres (51‑43) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 20% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 30% | 20% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Orioles (43‑50) vs Marlins (42‑51) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (55‑39) vs Yankees (53‑41) |
10 | Cubs Wins | 32% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 26% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Nationals (38‑56) vs Brewers (54‑40) |
4 | Nationals Wins | 29% | 21% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Braves (41‑52) vs Cardinals (50‑45) |
2 | Braves Wins | 29% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Orioles (43‑50) vs Marlins (42‑51) |
2 | Orioles Wins | 30% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 29% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Royals (46‑49) vs Mets (54‑41) |
2 | Royals Wins | 28% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Mets Wins | 28% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Angels (46‑48) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (46‑48) |
1 | Angels Wins | 29% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 29% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Dodgers (56‑39) vs Giants (52‑43) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 29% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Giants Wins | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Padres (51‑43) vs Phillies (54‑40) |
0 | Padres Wins | 29% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Rockies (22‑72) vs Reds (47‑47) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Reds Wins | 29% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Twins (46‑48) vs Pirates (38‑57) |
0 | Twins Wins | 29% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 29% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||