The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (31‑27) vs Cardinals (30‑25) 2 Games Remaining |
16 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 56% | ||
| Astros (26‑33) vs Brewers (34‑20) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Padres (32‑24) vs Nationals (29‑29) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Mariners (29‑29) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (31‑25) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Mets (24‑33) vs Marlins (26‑32) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Twins (27‑31) vs Pirates (30‑28) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Braves (39‑19) vs Reds (29‑27) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 53% | ||
| Giants (22‑35) vs Rockies (21‑37) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Dodgers (37‑20) vs Phillies (29‑28) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (31‑27) vs Cardinals (30‑25) |
6 | Cubs Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 53% | ||
| Twins (27‑31) vs Pirates (30‑28) |
3 | Twins Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Padres (32‑24) vs Nationals (29‑29) |
2 | Padres Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 53% | ||
| Braves (39‑19) vs Reds (29‑27) |
1 | Braves Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Reds Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Mets (24‑33) vs Marlins (26‑32) |
1 | Mets Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 52% | ||
| Astros (26‑33) vs Brewers (34‑20) |
1 | Astros Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 51% | ||
| Mariners (29‑29) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (31‑25) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Phillies (29‑28) vs Dodgers (37‑20) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Giants (22‑35) vs Rockies (21‑37) |
0 | Giants Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 52% | ||