The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (17‑9) vs Dodgers (17‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
10 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 13% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 45% | ||
| Tigers (14‑13) vs Reds (17‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Mariners (12‑15) vs Cardinals (14‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Braves (19‑8) vs Phillies (8‑18) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Nationals (11‑16) vs White Sox (11‑15) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Mets (9‑17) vs Rockies (11‑16) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 44% | ||
| Padres (17‑8) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (14‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Pirates (15‑11) vs Brewers (13‑12) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Marlins (13‑13) vs Giants (11‑15) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (17‑9) vs Dodgers (17‑9) |
4 | Cubs Wins | 12% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Braves (19‑8) vs Phillies (8‑18) |
2 | Braves Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 12% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 44% | ||
| White Sox (11‑15) vs Nationals (11‑16) |
2 | White Sox Wins | 12% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Giants (11‑15) vs Marlins (13‑13) |
1 | Giants Wins | 12% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Brewers (13‑12) vs Pirates (15‑11) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Rockies (11‑16) vs Mets (9‑17) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 12% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Mets Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Tigers (14‑13) vs Reds (17‑9) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Reds Wins | 11% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Cardinals (14‑11) vs Mariners (12‑15) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 44% | ||
| Padres (17‑8) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (14‑11) |
0 | Padres Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 44% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 44% | ||