The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (49‑55) vs Royals (56‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
9 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Nationals (47‑56) vs Cardinals (53‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Marlins (37‑66) vs Brewers (59‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Rockies (38‑65) vs Giants (49‑55) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Orioles (61‑41) vs Padres (55‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Mets (54‑48) vs Braves (54‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Phillies (64‑38) vs Guardians (61‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Reds (49‑53) vs Rays (52‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Pirates (52‑50) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (53‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Astros (53‑49) vs Dodgers (62‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (49‑55) vs Royals (56‑47) |
3 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Marlins (37‑66) vs Brewers (59‑43) |
1 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Orioles (61‑41) vs Padres (55‑50) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Pirates (52‑50) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (53‑50) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Phillies (64‑38) vs Guardians (61‑41) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Rockies (38‑65) vs Giants (49‑55) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Astros (53‑49) vs Dodgers (62‑42) |
0 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Nationals (47‑56) vs Cardinals (53‑49) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Braves (54‑47) vs Mets (54‑48) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Reds (49‑53) vs Rays (52‑51) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||