The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (22‑29) vs Reds (23‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Braves (31‑21) vs Phillies (25‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Mariners (27‑25) vs Pirates (26‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Yankees (31‑23) vs Padres (24‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Rockies (23‑30) vs Mets (27‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Guardians (22‑29) vs Cardinals (24‑30) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Nationals (23‑29) vs Royals (15‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Giants (27‑25) vs Brewers (27‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Rays (38‑16) vs Dodgers (32‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Marlins (27‑26) vs Angels (28‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Red Sox (28‑24) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (29‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (22‑29) vs Reds (23‑29) |
4 | Cubs Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Braves (31‑21) vs Phillies (25‑27) |
1 | Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Mariners (27‑25) vs Pirates (26‑25) |
1 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Yankees (31‑23) vs Padres (24‑28) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Rockies (23‑30) vs Mets (27‑26) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Guardians (22‑29) vs Cardinals (24‑30) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Nationals (23‑29) vs Royals (15‑38) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Giants (27‑25) vs Brewers (27‑25) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Rays (38‑16) vs Dodgers (32‑21) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Marlins (27‑26) vs Angels (28‑25) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Red Sox (28‑24) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (29‑23) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 85% | ||