The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (59‑46) vs Cardinals (53‑52) 4 Games Remaining |
38 | Cubs Sweeps 4 Games | 2% | 5% | 3% | 56% | 17% | 8% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 2% | 2% | 31% | 20% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Giants (44‑61) vs Brewers (66‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 4% | 41% | 19% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 1% | 46% | 19% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Blue Jays (48‑58) vs Nationals (54‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 45% | 19% | 11% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 43% | 19% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Marlins (52‑54) vs Phillies (57‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 46% | 18% | 11% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 41% | 20% | 12% | 20% | ||
| Rockies (42‑65) vs Padres (53‑53) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 45% | 19% | 11% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Pirates (54‑52) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 45% | 19% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 43% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Guardians (54‑53) vs Reds (49‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Mets (44‑62) vs Braves (62‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 2% | 45% | 18% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 43% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (59‑46) vs Cardinals (53‑52) |
10 | Cubs Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 47% | 19% | 11% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 41% | 19% | 13% | 21% | ||
| Marlins (52‑54) vs Phillies (57‑49) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 45% | 18% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 43% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Giants (44‑61) vs Brewers (66‑39) |
1 | Giants Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 42% | 19% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 45% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Reds (49‑55) vs Guardians (54‑53) |
0 | Reds Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Pirates (54‑52) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑51) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Blue Jays (48‑58) vs Nationals (54‑52) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 43% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Rockies (42‑65) vs Padres (53‑53) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 43% | 20% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Mets (44‑62) vs Braves (62‑43) |
0 | Mets Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 2% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 44% | 19% | 12% | 19% | ||