PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Apr 13 5:00 am

MLB - Week 4 of 28

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Mariners (6‑8)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 8 6 7% 5% 3% 11% 9% 8% 57%
Current Standings 7 6 7% 5% 3% 10% 9% 8% 58%
Lose Next Game 7 7 6% 5% 3% 10% 9% 8% 59%


Current Series - Mariners (6‑8) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 9 6 7% 5% 3% 11% 9% 8% 57%
Current Standings 7 6 7% 5% 3% 10% 9% 8% 58%
Mariners Sweeps 7 8 6% 5% 3% 10% 9% 8% 59%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
149 of 149 100% 156 6 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
140 of 149 94% 147 15 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
130 of 149 87% 137 25 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
120 of 149 81% 127 35 98% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
118 of 149 79% 125 37 95% 3% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
117 of 149 79% 124 38 94% 3% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
116 of 149 78% 123 39 92% 5% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
115 of 149 77% 122 40 90% 6% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
114 of 149 77% 121 41 86% 8% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
113 of 149 76% 120 42 83% 9% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
112 of 149 75% 119 43 78% 11% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
111 of 149 74% 118 44 73% 14% 1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 149 74% 117 45 67% 16% 1% 15% <1% <1% <1%
109 of 149 73% 116 46 63% 18% 1% 17% 1% <1% <1%
108 of 149 72% 115 47 57% 20% 2% 20% 1% <1% <1%
107 of 149 72% 114 48 51% 22% 2% 24% 1% <1% <1%
106 of 149 71% 113 49 44% 24% 3% 27% 2% <1% <1%
105 of 149 70% 112 50 39% 25% 3% 29% 3% <1% <1%
104 of 149 70% 111 51 33% 26% 4% 33% 4% <1% <1%
103 of 149 69% 110 52 28% 27% 5% 35% 5% <1% <1%
102 of 149 68% 109 53 23% 27% 6% 37% 6% <1% <1%
101 of 149 68% 108 54 19% 26% 7% 39% 9% <1% <1%
100 of 149 67% 107 55 15% 25% 8% 41% 11% 1% <1%
99 of 149 66% 106 56 12% 23% 9% 40% 14% 1% <1%
98 of 149 66% 105 57 9% 21% 10% 42% 17% 2% <1%
97 of 149 65% 104 58 6% 19% 10% 41% 20% 3% <1%
96 of 149 64% 103 59 5% 17% 11% 40% 23% 4% <1%
95 of 149 64% 102 60 3% 14% 12% 37% 27% 6% 1%
94 of 149 63% 101 61 2% 13% 12% 36% 29% 8% 1%
93 of 149 62% 100 62 2% 10% 12% 32% 31% 11% 2%
92 of 149 62% 99 63 1% 9% 12% 30% 32% 14% 2%
91 of 149 61% 98 64 1% 7% 12% 25% 35% 17% 4%
90 of 149 60% 97 65 <1% 5% 11% 23% 36% 20% 5%
89 of 149 60% 96 66 <1% 4% 10% 19% 36% 23% 7%
88 of 149 59% 95 67 <1% 4% 9% 16% 34% 27% 10%
87 of 149 58% 94 68 <1% 2% 9% 13% 32% 29% 14%
86 of 149 58% 93 69 <1% 2% 8% 10% 30% 32% 18%
85 of 149 57% 92 70 <1% 1% 7% 9% 27% 33% 23%
84 of 149 56% 91 71 <1% 1% 6% 7% 25% 33% 28%
83 of 149 56% 90 72 <1% 1% 5% 5% 21% 33% 35%
82 of 149 55% 89 73 <1% <1% 5% 4% 19% 31% 41%
81 of 149 54% 88 74 <1% <1% 4% 2% 15% 30% 49%
80 of 149 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 2% 12% 28% 55%
79 of 149 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 1% 9% 24% 62%
78 of 149 52% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 1% 7% 22% 68%
77 of 149 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% 1% 5% 18% 74%
76 of 149 51% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 15% 79%
75 of 149 50% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 12% 84%
74 of 149 50% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 10% 87%
73 of 149 49% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 7% 91%
72 of 149 48% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
70 of 149 47% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 97%
60 of 149 40% 67 95 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 149 34% 57 105 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 149 27% 47 115 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
30 of 149 20% 37 125 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 149 13% 27 135 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 149 7% 17 145 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 149 0% 7 155 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs