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Sat May 27 7:45 pm

MLB - Week 9 of 27

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Reds (22‑29)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 23 28 <1% 2% 7% 2% 3% 5% 81%
Current Standings 22 28 <1% 2% 7% 2% 3% 4% 82%
Lose Next Game 22 29 <1% 1% 6% 2% 3% 4% 84%


Current Series - Reds (22‑29) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 24 28 <1% 2% 8% 2% 3% 5% 80%
Current Standings 22 28 <1% 2% 7% 2% 3% 4% 82%
Reds Sweeps 22 30 <1% 1% 6% 1% 3% 4% 85%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
112 of 112 100% 134 28 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 112 98% 132 30 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 112 89% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 112 80% 112 50 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 112 79% 110 52 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 112 78% 109 53 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 112 77% 108 54 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 112 76% 107 55 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 112 75% 106 56 85% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 112 74% 105 57 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 112 73% 104 58 76% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 112 72% 103 59 70% 28% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 112 71% 102 60 65% 33% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 112 71% 101 61 58% 36% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 112 70% 100 62 51% 41% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 112 69% 99 63 44% 45% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 112 68% 98 64 37% 47% 12% 4% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 112 67% 97 65 30% 48% 16% 6% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 112 66% 96 66 22% 49% 21% 8% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 112 65% 95 67 17% 46% 25% 10% 2% <1% <1%
72 of 112 64% 94 68 11% 43% 30% 12% 3% <1% <1%
71 of 112 63% 93 69 7% 36% 36% 15% 5% 1% <1%
70 of 112 63% 92 70 4% 30% 40% 16% 8% 1% <1%
69 of 112 62% 91 71 2% 24% 42% 17% 12% 3% <1%
68 of 112 61% 90 72 1% 17% 42% 16% 17% 6% 1%
67 of 112 60% 89 73 <1% 11% 43% 14% 20% 10% 2%
66 of 112 59% 88 74 <1% 7% 40% 11% 22% 15% 5%
65 of 112 58% 87 75 <1% 4% 36% 8% 22% 20% 10%
64 of 112 57% 86 76 <1% 2% 30% 6% 20% 24% 18%
63 of 112 56% 85 77 <1% 1% 26% 3% 16% 26% 29%
62 of 112 55% 84 78 <1% <1% 19% 1% 10% 25% 44%
61 of 112 54% 83 79 <1% <1% 16% 1% 6% 19% 58%
60 of 112 54% 82 80 <1% <1% 11% <1% 3% 14% 72%
59 of 112 53% 81 81 <1% <1% 7% <1% 1% 8% 84%
58 of 112 52% 80 82 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 4% 91%
57 of 112 51% 79 83 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 1% 95%
50 of 112 45% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 112 36% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 112 27% 52 110 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
20 of 112 18% 42 120 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 112 9% 32 130 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 112 0% 22 140 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs