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Wed May 27 1:45 am

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Pirates (29‑26)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 30 26 2% 5% 6% 10% 10% 10% 57%
Current Standings 29 26 2% 5% 6% 9% 10% 10% 59%
Lose Next Game 29 27 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 60%


Current Series - Pirates (29‑26) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 31 26 3% 6% 7% 10% 11% 10% 54%
Current Standings 29 26 2% 5% 6% 9% 10% 10% 59%
Pirates Sweeps 29 28 1% 4% 5% 8% 10% 10% 62%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
107 of 107 100% 136 26 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 107 93% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 107 84% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 107 79% 114 48 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 107 79% 113 49 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 107 78% 112 50 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 107 77% 111 51 87% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 107 76% 110 52 83% 16% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 107 75% 109 53 78% 19% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 107 74% 108 54 73% 23% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 107 73% 107 55 68% 28% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 107 72% 106 56 61% 32% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 107 71% 105 57 54% 36% 5% 6% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 107 70% 104 58 48% 38% 6% 7% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 107 69% 103 59 40% 41% 8% 10% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 107 68% 102 60 33% 43% 11% 13% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 107 67% 101 61 26% 42% 14% 18% 1% <1% <1%
71 of 107 66% 100 62 20% 41% 17% 21% 1% <1% <1%
70 of 107 65% 99 63 15% 37% 19% 27% 2% <1% <1%
69 of 107 64% 98 64 10% 34% 22% 30% 4% <1% <1%
68 of 107 64% 97 65 7% 28% 25% 32% 7% <1% <1%
67 of 107 63% 96 66 4% 23% 27% 35% 11% 1% <1%
66 of 107 62% 95 67 2% 17% 26% 36% 17% 2% <1%
65 of 107 61% 94 68 1% 13% 25% 34% 22% 5% <1%
64 of 107 60% 93 69 1% 8% 22% 31% 28% 9% 1%
63 of 107 59% 92 70 <1% 5% 19% 26% 33% 14% 3%
62 of 107 58% 91 71 <1% 3% 16% 21% 35% 20% 6%
61 of 107 57% 90 72 <1% 1% 13% 15% 34% 27% 11%
60 of 107 56% 89 73 <1% <1% 9% 10% 29% 32% 20%
59 of 107 55% 88 74 <1% <1% 6% 6% 24% 34% 30%
58 of 107 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 3% 17% 33% 44%
57 of 107 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 1% 11% 28% 57%
56 of 107 52% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 6% 20% 72%
55 of 107 51% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 14% 82%
54 of 107 50% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 89%
53 of 107 50% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
50 of 107 47% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 107 37% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 107 28% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 107 19% 49 113 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 107 9% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 107 0% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs