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Sun Jul 26 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 19 of 27

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (53‑52)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 60 46 1% 4% 3% 47% 19% 11% 16%
Current Standings 59 46 1% 3% 2% 44% 19% 12% 19%
Lose Next Game 59 47 1% 3% 2% 41% 19% 13% 21%


Current Series - Cardinals (53‑52) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 63 46 2% 5% 3% 56% 17% 8% 8%
Current Standings 59 46 1% 3% 2% 44% 19% 12% 19%
Cardinals Sweeps 59 50 <1% 2% 2% 31% 20% 14% 31%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
57 of 57 100% 116 46 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 57 88% 109 53 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
48 of 57 84% 107 55 95% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 57 82% 106 56 91% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 57 81% 105 57 85% 12% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 57 79% 104 58 77% 18% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 57 77% 103 59 67% 24% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 57 75% 102 60 54% 31% 1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 57 74% 101 61 42% 36% 1% 21% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 57 72% 100 62 30% 38% 3% 29% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 57 70% 99 63 20% 37% 5% 39% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 57 68% 98 64 11% 34% 6% 49% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 57 67% 97 65 6% 28% 8% 59% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 57 65% 96 66 3% 19% 9% 69% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 57 63% 95 67 1% 13% 10% 76% 1% <1% <1%
35 of 57 61% 94 68 <1% 8% 9% 81% 2% <1% <1%
34 of 57 60% 93 69 <1% 4% 7% 85% 5% <1% <1%
33 of 57 58% 92 70 <1% 2% 5% 84% 9% <1% <1%
32 of 57 56% 91 71 <1% 1% 3% 78% 17% 1% <1%
31 of 57 54% 90 72 <1% <1% 2% 67% 27% 4% <1%
30 of 57 53% 89 73 <1% <1% 1% 53% 38% 8% 1%
29 of 57 51% 88 74 <1% <1% <1% 38% 42% 17% 3%
28 of 57 49% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 22% 42% 27% 8%
27 of 57 47% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 11% 34% 35% 20%
26 of 57 46% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 36% 37%
25 of 57 44% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 29% 59%
24 of 57 42% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 78%
23 of 57 40% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
20 of 57 35% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 57 18% 69 93 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 57 0% 59 103 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs