PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Jul 21 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 19 of 28

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Brewers (57‑42)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 49 53 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 88%
Current Standings 48 53 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 90%
Lose Next Game 48 54 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 92%


Current Series - Brewers (57‑42) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 51 53 <1% <1% 2% 1% 4% 6% 85%
Current Standings 48 53 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 90%
Brewers Sweeps 48 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 95%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
61 of 61 100% 109 53 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
60 of 61 98% 108 54 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 61 93% 105 57 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 61 92% 104 58 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 61 90% 103 59 86% 14% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 61 89% 102 60 78% 20% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 61 87% 101 61 70% 28% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 61 85% 100 62 59% 35% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 61 84% 99 63 49% 42% 3% 6% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 61 82% 98 64 37% 47% 5% 10% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 61 80% 97 65 26% 50% 8% 15% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 61 79% 96 66 16% 49% 14% 21% 1% <1% <1%
47 of 61 77% 95 67 10% 44% 18% 26% 2% <1% <1%
46 of 61 75% 94 68 5% 37% 23% 31% 5% <1% <1%
45 of 61 74% 93 69 2% 27% 26% 35% 10% <1% <1%
44 of 61 72% 92 70 1% 19% 28% 35% 17% 1% <1%
43 of 61 70% 91 71 <1% 11% 26% 34% 25% 3% <1%
42 of 61 69% 90 72 <1% 6% 22% 30% 34% 8% 1%
41 of 61 67% 89 73 <1% 3% 17% 23% 39% 15% 3%
40 of 61 66% 88 74 <1% 1% 12% 15% 40% 25% 7%
39 of 61 64% 87 75 <1% <1% 7% 9% 33% 34% 17%
38 of 61 62% 86 76 <1% <1% 4% 4% 23% 37% 31%
37 of 61 61% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 2% 13% 32% 51%
36 of 61 59% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 6% 23% 71%
35 of 61 57% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 85%
34 of 61 56% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 95%
30 of 61 49% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 61 33% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 61 16% 58 104 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 61 0% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs