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Sat Jul 12 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Yankees (53‑41)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 56 39 32% 20% 13% 14% 9% 6% 7%
Current Standings 55 39 29% 19% 13% 14% 9% 7% 8%
Lose Next Game 55 40 26% 20% 13% 14% 10% 7% 9%


Current Series - Yankees (53‑41) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 57 39 35% 20% 12% 14% 8% 6% 6%
Current Standings 55 39 29% 19% 13% 14% 9% 7% 8%
Yankees Sweeps 55 41 24% 19% 14% 14% 10% 8% 10%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
68 of 68 100% 123 39 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 68 88% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
50 of 68 74% 105 57 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 68 71% 103 59 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 68 69% 102 60 90% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 68 68% 101 61 85% 13% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 68 66% 100 62 78% 19% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 68 65% 99 63 68% 27% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 68 63% 98 64 57% 33% 5% 6% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 68 62% 97 65 44% 40% 8% 8% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 68 60% 96 66 32% 42% 12% 13% 1% <1% <1%
40 of 68 59% 95 67 20% 42% 19% 18% 2% <1% <1%
39 of 68 57% 94 68 12% 36% 25% 23% 4% <1% <1%
38 of 68 56% 93 69 5% 29% 29% 27% 9% 1% <1%
37 of 68 54% 92 70 2% 20% 32% 27% 16% 3% <1%
36 of 68 53% 91 71 1% 11% 31% 24% 25% 7% 1%
35 of 68 51% 90 72 <1% 6% 27% 19% 30% 15% 3%
34 of 68 50% 89 73 <1% 3% 21% 13% 32% 24% 7%
33 of 68 49% 88 74 <1% 1% 15% 7% 28% 33% 17%
32 of 68 47% 87 75 <1% <1% 9% 3% 19% 36% 32%
31 of 68 46% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 1% 10% 33% 50%
30 of 68 44% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% <1% 5% 23% 69%
29 of 68 43% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 13% 84%
28 of 68 41% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 93%
20 of 68 29% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 68 15% 65 97 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 68 0% 55 107 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs