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Tue Jun 17 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Brewers (39‑34)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 45 28 25% 24% 26% 4% 6% 5% 10%
Current Standings 44 28 24% 23% 26% 4% 6% 6% 11%
Lose Next Game 44 29 22% 23% 26% 5% 6% 6% 12%


Current Series - Brewers (39‑34) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 47 28 28% 25% 26% 4% 5% 5% 7%
Current Standings 44 28 24% 23% 26% 4% 6% 6% 11%
Brewers Sweeps 44 31 17% 21% 26% 5% 7% 8% 16%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
90 of 90 100% 134 28 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 90 89% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
70 of 90 78% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 90 72% 109 53 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 90 71% 108 54 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 90 70% 107 55 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 90 69% 106 56 83% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 90 68% 105 57 76% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 90 67% 104 58 69% 28% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 90 66% 103 59 61% 34% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 90 64% 102 60 52% 40% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 90 63% 101 61 42% 46% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 90 62% 100 62 33% 49% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 90 61% 99 63 25% 52% 22% 2% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 90 60% 98 64 17% 49% 30% 3% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 90 59% 97 65 12% 47% 36% 4% 1% <1% <1%
52 of 90 58% 96 66 7% 40% 45% 6% 2% <1% <1%
51 of 90 57% 95 67 4% 32% 53% 8% 4% 1% <1%
50 of 90 56% 94 68 2% 24% 57% 9% 7% 1% <1%
49 of 90 54% 93 69 1% 17% 58% 10% 10% 3% <1%
48 of 90 53% 92 70 <1% 10% 58% 9% 14% 6% 1%
47 of 90 52% 91 71 <1% 6% 53% 9% 18% 11% 3%
46 of 90 51% 90 72 <1% 3% 48% 6% 19% 17% 7%
45 of 90 50% 89 73 <1% 2% 39% 4% 18% 24% 13%
44 of 90 49% 88 74 <1% 1% 32% 2% 14% 27% 24%
43 of 90 48% 87 75 <1% <1% 24% 1% 11% 26% 39%
42 of 90 47% 86 76 <1% <1% 17% <1% 6% 23% 54%
41 of 90 46% 85 77 <1% <1% 12% <1% 3% 17% 68%
40 of 90 44% 84 78 <1% <1% 7% <1% 1% 11% 81%
39 of 90 43% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 6% 90%
38 of 90 42% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
30 of 90 33% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 90 22% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 90 11% 54 108 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
0 of 90 0% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs