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Mon Jun 30 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Diamondbacks What If?

The Diamondbacks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Diamondbacks play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Diamondbacks What If?

Next Game - Giants (45‑39)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 42 41 <1% 1% 1% 4% 6% 8% 80%
Current Standings 41 41 <1% 1% 1% 4% 5% 7% 82%
Lose Next Game 41 42 <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 84%


Current Series - Giants (45‑39) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Diamondbacks Sweeps 45 41 <1% 1% 1% 6% 8% 10% 74%
Current Standings 41 41 <1% 1% 1% 4% 5% 7% 82%
Giants Sweeps 41 45 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
80 of 80 100% 121 41 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
70 of 80 88% 111 51 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 80 81% 106 56 94% 3% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 80 80% 105 57 91% 4% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 80 79% 104 58 86% 6% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 80 78% 103 59 80% 9% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 80 76% 102 60 72% 12% <1% 15% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 80 75% 101 61 63% 16% 1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 80 74% 100 62 52% 20% 2% 26% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 80 73% 99 63 42% 23% 3% 32% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 80 71% 98 64 31% 25% 5% 38% 1% <1% <1%
56 of 80 70% 97 65 21% 25% 6% 45% 3% <1% <1%
55 of 80 69% 96 66 14% 23% 9% 49% 5% <1% <1%
54 of 80 68% 95 67 7% 19% 10% 53% 10% 1% <1%
53 of 80 66% 94 68 4% 15% 11% 52% 16% 2% <1%
52 of 80 65% 93 69 1% 9% 11% 49% 25% 4% <1%
51 of 80 64% 92 70 1% 6% 10% 40% 33% 9% 1%
50 of 80 63% 91 71 <1% 3% 8% 30% 40% 16% 3%
49 of 80 61% 90 72 <1% 1% 5% 20% 40% 26% 8%
48 of 80 60% 89 73 <1% <1% 3% 11% 34% 34% 17%
47 of 80 59% 88 74 <1% <1% 2% 5% 24% 37% 32%
46 of 80 58% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 2% 15% 34% 49%
45 of 80 56% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 26% 66%
44 of 80 55% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 82%
43 of 80 54% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
40 of 80 50% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 80 38% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 80 25% 61 101 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 80 13% 51 111 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 80 0% 41 121 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs