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Sat Jun 10 5:45 pm

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Dodgers What If?

The Dodgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dodgers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dodgers What If?

Next Game - Phillies (31‑32)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 37 28 16% 14% 5% 22% 13% 9% 20%
Current Standings 36 28 15% 13% 5% 21% 13% 10% 22%
Lose Next Game 36 29 14% 13% 5% 21% 14% 10% 24%


Current Series - Phillies (31‑32) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Dodgers Sweeps 38 28 17% 14% 6% 23% 14% 9% 18%
Current Standings 36 28 15% 13% 5% 21% 13% 10% 22%
Phillies Sweeps 36 30 12% 13% 6% 21% 13% 11% 25%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
98 of 98 100% 134 28 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 98 92% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
80 of 98 82% 116 46 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 98 73% 108 54 95% 3% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 98 72% 107 55 93% 5% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 98 71% 106 56 89% 8% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 98 70% 105 57 86% 10% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 98 69% 104 58 81% 13% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 98 68% 103 59 75% 16% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 98 67% 102 60 69% 19% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 98 66% 101 61 63% 23% 1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 98 65% 100 62 54% 26% 1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 98 64% 99 63 47% 30% 1% 22% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 98 63% 98 64 39% 32% 2% 26% 1% <1% <1%
61 of 98 62% 97 65 32% 33% 3% 31% 1% <1% <1%
60 of 98 61% 96 66 23% 34% 5% 35% 2% <1% <1%
59 of 98 60% 95 67 17% 33% 6% 39% 4% <1% <1%
58 of 98 59% 94 68 12% 30% 9% 42% 6% <1% <1%
57 of 98 58% 93 69 8% 27% 11% 44% 10% 1% <1%
56 of 98 57% 92 70 4% 22% 12% 45% 15% 2% <1%
55 of 98 56% 91 71 2% 18% 13% 43% 21% 3% <1%
54 of 98 55% 90 72 1% 13% 13% 39% 28% 6% <1%
53 of 98 54% 89 73 <1% 9% 12% 33% 34% 10% 1%
52 of 98 53% 88 74 <1% 5% 11% 26% 37% 17% 3%
51 of 98 52% 87 75 <1% 3% 9% 19% 37% 24% 7%
50 of 98 51% 86 76 <1% 1% 7% 13% 35% 30% 13%
49 of 98 50% 85 77 <1% 1% 5% 7% 29% 34% 24%
48 of 98 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 4% 4% 20% 35% 37%
47 of 98 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% 2% 13% 31% 52%
46 of 98 47% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% 1% 6% 23% 69%
45 of 98 46% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 15% 81%
44 of 98 45% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
40 of 98 41% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 98 31% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 98 20% 56 106 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 98 10% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 98 0% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs