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Sat Apr 18 1:15 am

MLB - Week 4 of 27

Dodgers What If?

The Dodgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dodgers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dodgers What If?

Next Game - Rockies (7‑13)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 16 4 30% 10% 8% 10% 8% 7% 27%
Current Standings 15 4 30% 11% 7% 10% 8% 7% 28%
Lose Next Game 15 5 28% 11% 8% 10% 8% 7% 29%


Current Series - Rockies (7‑13) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Dodgers Sweeps 18 4 31% 11% 8% 10% 8% 7% 25%
Current Standings 15 4 30% 11% 7% 10% 8% 7% 28%
Rockies Sweeps 15 7 25% 11% 7% 10% 8% 7% 31%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
143 of 143 100% 158 4 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
140 of 143 98% 155 7 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 143 91% 145 17 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
120 of 143 84% 135 27 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
110 of 143 77% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 143 73% 119 43 94% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 143 72% 118 44 92% 6% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 143 71% 117 45 89% 8% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 143 71% 116 46 86% 10% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 143 70% 115 47 81% 14% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 143 69% 114 48 77% 16% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 143 69% 113 49 72% 20% 1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 143 68% 112 50 65% 23% 2% 10% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 143 67% 111 51 58% 27% 3% 12% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 143 66% 110 52 51% 30% 3% 15% 1% <1% <1%
94 of 143 66% 109 53 45% 33% 5% 17% 1% <1% <1%
93 of 143 65% 108 54 39% 34% 6% 20% 1% <1% <1%
92 of 143 64% 107 55 32% 36% 8% 22% 2% <1% <1%
91 of 143 64% 106 56 26% 36% 9% 25% 3% <1% <1%
90 of 143 63% 105 57 20% 36% 12% 27% 5% <1% <1%
89 of 143 62% 104 58 16% 35% 14% 28% 6% <1% <1%
88 of 143 62% 103 59 12% 34% 16% 30% 8% 1% <1%
87 of 143 61% 102 60 9% 30% 18% 31% 10% 1% <1%
86 of 143 60% 101 61 6% 28% 20% 30% 14% 2% <1%
85 of 143 59% 100 62 4% 24% 21% 31% 16% 3% <1%
84 of 143 59% 99 63 3% 20% 22% 30% 20% 4% 1%
83 of 143 58% 98 64 2% 18% 23% 27% 23% 6% 1%
82 of 143 57% 97 65 1% 13% 24% 24% 26% 10% 1%
81 of 143 57% 96 66 1% 11% 23% 21% 28% 13% 3%
80 of 143 56% 95 67 <1% 8% 23% 19% 29% 17% 5%
79 of 143 55% 94 68 <1% 6% 21% 15% 29% 21% 8%
78 of 143 55% 93 69 <1% 5% 19% 12% 29% 24% 11%
77 of 143 54% 92 70 <1% 3% 18% 10% 27% 27% 16%
76 of 143 53% 91 71 <1% 2% 16% 7% 25% 29% 21%
75 of 143 52% 90 72 <1% 2% 14% 5% 21% 30% 28%
74 of 143 52% 89 73 <1% 1% 12% 4% 17% 30% 36%
73 of 143 51% 88 74 <1% 1% 10% 3% 14% 28% 44%
72 of 143 50% 87 75 <1% <1% 9% 1% 10% 26% 53%
71 of 143 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 8% 1% 7% 22% 61%
70 of 143 49% 85 77 <1% <1% 6% <1% 6% 18% 69%
69 of 143 48% 84 78 <1% <1% 5% <1% 4% 15% 76%
68 of 143 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 11% 82%
67 of 143 47% 82 80 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 8% 88%
66 of 143 46% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 5% 91%
65 of 143 45% 80 82 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 4% 94%
60 of 143 42% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
50 of 143 35% 65 97 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 143 28% 55 107 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 143 21% 45 117 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
20 of 143 14% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 143 7% 25 137 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 143 0% 15 147 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs