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Sat Aug 22 1:45 am

MLB - Week 22 of 27

Dodgers What If?

The Dodgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dodgers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dodgers What If?

Next Game - Pirates (63‑67)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 79 51 34% 51% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 78 51 31% 52% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 78 52 26% 54% 19% <1% 1% <1% <1%


Current Series - Pirates (63‑67) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Dodgers Sweeps 80 51 37% 50% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 78 51 31% 52% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pirates Sweeps 78 53 21% 55% 22% 1% 1% <1% <1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
33 of 33 100% 111 51 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 33 91% 108 54 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 33 82% 105 57 95% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 33 79% 104 58 91% 9% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 33 76% 103 59 84% 16% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 33 73% 102 60 75% 25% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 33 70% 101 61 64% 36% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 33 67% 100 62 52% 48% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
21 of 33 64% 99 63 39% 60% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 33 61% 98 64 25% 71% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 33 58% 97 65 15% 77% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 33 55% 96 66 8% 76% 17% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 33 52% 95 67 3% 68% 28% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 33 48% 94 68 1% 56% 42% 1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 33 45% 93 69 <1% 41% 56% 2% 1% <1% <1%
14 of 33 42% 92 70 <1% 25% 67% 4% 4% <1% <1%
13 of 33 39% 91 71 <1% 13% 73% 5% 8% 1% <1%
12 of 33 36% 90 72 <1% 5% 69% 5% 16% 4% <1%
11 of 33 33% 89 73 <1% 2% 59% 4% 22% 12% 1%
10 of 33 30% 88 74 <1% <1% 44% 2% 24% 25% 5%
9 of 33 27% 87 75 <1% <1% 28% 1% 18% 35% 19%
8 of 33 24% 86 76 <1% <1% 16% <1% 10% 35% 39%
7 of 33 21% 85 77 <1% <1% 8% <1% 3% 25% 64%
6 of 33 18% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 11% 85%
5 of 33 15% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
0 of 33 0% 78 84 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs