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Fri Jul 26 1:15 am

MLB - Week 19 of 28

Dodgers What If?

The Dodgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dodgers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dodgers What If?

Next Game - Astros (53‑49)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 63 42 22% 39% 27% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Standings 62 42 21% 38% 28% 5% 4% 2% 2%
Lose Next Game 62 43 18% 37% 30% 6% 4% 2% 2%


Current Series - Astros (53‑49) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Dodgers Sweeps 65 42 28% 40% 24% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 62 42 21% 38% 28% 5% 4% 2% 2%
Astros Sweeps 62 45 14% 35% 33% 7% 5% 3% 3%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
58 of 58 100% 120 42 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 58 86% 112 50 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
44 of 58 76% 106 56 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 58 74% 105 57 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 58 72% 104 58 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 58 71% 103 59 80% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 58 69% 102 60 73% 27% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 58 67% 101 61 66% 34% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 58 66% 100 62 56% 42% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 58 64% 99 63 46% 51% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 58 62% 98 64 36% 58% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 58 60% 97 65 27% 63% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 58 59% 96 66 18% 64% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1%
33 of 58 57% 95 67 12% 62% 24% 2% <1% <1% <1%
32 of 58 55% 94 68 6% 56% 34% 4% <1% <1% <1%
31 of 58 53% 93 69 3% 47% 43% 6% 1% <1% <1%
30 of 58 52% 92 70 2% 37% 50% 10% 2% <1% <1%
29 of 58 50% 91 71 1% 26% 56% 13% 4% <1% <1%
28 of 58 48% 90 72 <1% 16% 57% 15% 9% 2% <1%
27 of 58 47% 89 73 <1% 9% 55% 16% 15% 4% <1%
26 of 58 45% 88 74 <1% 5% 49% 14% 21% 9% 2%
25 of 58 43% 87 75 <1% 2% 40% 11% 24% 18% 6%
24 of 58 41% 86 76 <1% 1% 30% 7% 21% 25% 16%
23 of 58 40% 85 77 <1% <1% 20% 3% 15% 29% 32%
22 of 58 38% 84 78 <1% <1% 12% 1% 9% 25% 53%
21 of 58 36% 83 79 <1% <1% 7% <1% 4% 15% 74%
20 of 58 34% 82 80 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 7% 88%
19 of 58 33% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
10 of 58 17% 72 90 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 58 0% 62 100 X X <1% X X X >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs