The Most Important Games for the Marlins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Marlins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marlins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (65‑64) vs Nationals (61‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
6 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Twins (63‑66) vs Padres (69‑60) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 94% | ||
| Reds (61‑68) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑61) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| Mariners (61‑68) vs Cubs (74‑55) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑64) vs Phillies (71‑58) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Pirates (63‑67) vs Dodgers (78‑51) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Giants (52‑76) vs Red Sox (69‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Braves (75‑54) vs Brewers (80‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Guardians (63‑66) vs Rockies (50‑78) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Mets (58‑71) vs White Sox (67‑61) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (65‑64) vs Nationals (61‑69) |
3 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 95% | ||
| Twins (63‑66) vs Padres (69‑60) |
1 | Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 94% | ||
| Reds (61‑68) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑61) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| Mariners (61‑68) vs Cubs (74‑55) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑64) vs Phillies (71‑58) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Dodgers (78‑51) vs Pirates (63‑67) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Guardians (63‑66) vs Rockies (50‑78) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Mets (58‑71) vs White Sox (67‑61) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Brewers (80‑49) vs Braves (75‑54) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Giants (52‑76) vs Red Sox (69‑59) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||