PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Mar 28 11:15 pm

MLB - Week 2 of 28

Marlins What If?

The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Marlins What If?

Next Game - Pirates (1‑0)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 1 1 4% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 63%
Current Standings 0 1 4% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 64%
Lose Next Game 0 2 4% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 64%


Current Series - Pirates (1‑0) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Marlins Sweeps 3 1 5% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 63%
Current Standings 0 1 4% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 64%
Pirates Sweeps 0 4 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 66%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
161 of 161 100% 161 1 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
160 of 161 99% 160 2 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
150 of 161 93% 150 12 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
140 of 161 87% 140 22 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
138 of 161 86% 138 24 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
137 of 161 85% 137 25 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
136 of 161 84% 136 26 89% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
135 of 161 84% 135 27 86% 13% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
134 of 161 83% 134 28 81% 16% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
133 of 161 83% 133 29 76% 20% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
132 of 161 82% 132 30 71% 23% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1%
131 of 161 81% 131 31 65% 27% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1%
130 of 161 81% 130 32 59% 31% 4% 6% <1% <1% <1%
129 of 161 80% 129 33 53% 34% 5% 8% <1% <1% <1%
128 of 161 80% 128 34 47% 37% 7% 10% <1% <1% <1%
127 of 161 79% 127 35 40% 40% 8% 12% 1% <1% <1%
126 of 161 78% 126 36 34% 40% 11% 14% 1% <1% <1%
125 of 161 78% 125 37 29% 41% 12% 17% 1% <1% <1%
124 of 161 77% 124 38 24% 40% 14% 19% 3% <1% <1%
123 of 161 76% 123 39 19% 40% 16% 21% 3% <1% <1%
122 of 161 76% 122 40 16% 37% 18% 23% 5% <1% <1%
121 of 161 75% 121 41 12% 36% 20% 25% 6% <1% <1%
120 of 161 75% 120 42 9% 33% 22% 27% 8% 1% <1%
119 of 161 74% 119 43 7% 31% 24% 28% 10% 1% <1%
118 of 161 73% 118 44 6% 27% 25% 28% 13% 2% <1%
117 of 161 73% 117 45 4% 25% 25% 28% 15% 2% <1%
116 of 161 72% 116 46 3% 22% 26% 28% 18% 3% <1%
115 of 161 71% 115 47 3% 18% 26% 28% 21% 4% <1%
114 of 161 71% 114 48 2% 17% 26% 26% 23% 6% <1%
113 of 161 70% 113 49 1% 14% 26% 26% 25% 7% 1%
112 of 161 70% 112 50 1% 12% 25% 24% 27% 10% 1%
111 of 161 69% 111 51 1% 11% 26% 22% 28% 11% 2%
110 of 161 68% 110 52 <1% 9% 25% 20% 30% 13% 2%
109 of 161 68% 109 53 <1% 8% 24% 18% 31% 16% 4%
108 of 161 67% 108 54 <1% 6% 23% 16% 31% 19% 5%
107 of 161 66% 107 55 <1% 5% 22% 15% 30% 21% 6%
106 of 161 66% 106 56 <1% 5% 21% 13% 30% 22% 8%
105 of 161 65% 105 57 <1% 4% 20% 12% 29% 24% 10%
104 of 161 65% 104 58 <1% 3% 20% 10% 28% 27% 13%
103 of 161 64% 103 59 <1% 3% 18% 9% 27% 27% 16%
102 of 161 63% 102 60 <1% 2% 17% 8% 25% 30% 18%
101 of 161 63% 101 61 <1% 2% 16% 7% 23% 30% 22%
100 of 161 62% 100 62 <1% 2% 16% 5% 23% 30% 25%
99 of 161 61% 99 63 <1% 1% 14% 4% 20% 31% 28%
98 of 161 61% 98 64 <1% 1% 13% 4% 19% 31% 32%
97 of 161 60% 97 65 <1% 1% 13% 3% 16% 31% 36%
96 of 161 60% 96 66 <1% 1% 12% 3% 15% 30% 40%
95 of 161 59% 95 67 <1% 1% 12% 2% 14% 28% 43%
94 of 161 58% 94 68 <1% 1% 10% 2% 12% 27% 48%
93 of 161 58% 93 69 <1% <1% 9% 2% 11% 26% 51%
92 of 161 57% 92 70 <1% <1% 9% 1% 10% 24% 55%
91 of 161 57% 91 71 <1% <1% 9% 1% 8% 23% 59%
90 of 161 56% 90 72 <1% <1% 8% 1% 7% 21% 63%
89 of 161 55% 89 73 <1% <1% 8% 1% 6% 20% 65%
88 of 161 55% 88 74 <1% <1% 7% <1% 5% 19% 68%
87 of 161 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 7% <1% 4% 17% 72%
86 of 161 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 6% <1% 4% 15% 75%
85 of 161 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% <1% 3% 13% 78%
84 of 161 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 5% <1% 3% 12% 80%
83 of 161 52% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 11% 82%
82 of 161 51% 82 80 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 10% 85%
81 of 161 50% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 8% 87%
80 of 161 50% 80 82 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 7% 88%
79 of 161 49% 79 83 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 6% 90%
78 of 161 48% 78 84 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 5% 91%
77 of 161 48% 77 85 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 4% 92%
76 of 161 47% 76 86 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 3% 94%
75 of 161 47% 75 87 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
74 of 161 46% 74 88 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 2% 95%
70 of 161 43% 70 92 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
60 of 161 37% 60 102 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 161 31% 50 112 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 161 25% 40 122 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
30 of 161 19% 30 132 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 161 12% 20 142 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 161 6% 10 152 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 161 0% 0 162 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs