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Wed May 27 2:30 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Marlins What If?

The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Marlins What If?

Next Game - Blue Jays (26‑29)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 27 30 <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 5% 85%
Current Standings 26 30 <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 86%
Lose Next Game 26 31 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 87%


Current Series - Blue Jays (26‑29) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Marlins Sweeps 27 30 <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 5% 85%
Current Standings 26 30 <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 86%
Blue Jays Sweeps 26 31 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 87%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
106 of 106 100% 132 30 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 106 94% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 106 85% 116 46 99% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 106 82% 113 49 95% 2% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 106 81% 112 50 93% 2% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 106 80% 111 51 91% 4% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 106 79% 110 52 88% 4% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 106 78% 109 53 83% 7% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 106 77% 108 54 76% 10% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 106 76% 107 55 72% 12% <1% 17% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 106 75% 106 56 65% 15% 1% 20% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 106 75% 105 57 58% 17% 1% 23% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 106 74% 104 58 50% 20% 2% 28% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 106 73% 103 59 42% 23% 3% 33% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 106 72% 102 60 36% 24% 3% 36% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 106 71% 101 61 28% 26% 5% 41% 1% <1% <1%
74 of 106 70% 100 62 22% 26% 6% 45% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 106 69% 99 63 16% 25% 8% 48% 3% <1% <1%
72 of 106 68% 98 64 11% 24% 9% 50% 5% <1% <1%
71 of 106 67% 97 65 8% 20% 12% 53% 7% <1% <1%
70 of 106 66% 96 66 4% 16% 13% 53% 12% 1% <1%
69 of 106 65% 95 67 2% 13% 13% 50% 19% 2% <1%
68 of 106 64% 94 68 1% 9% 14% 46% 24% 5% <1%
67 of 106 63% 93 69 1% 7% 12% 39% 32% 8% 1%
66 of 106 62% 92 70 <1% 4% 12% 30% 36% 15% 3%
65 of 106 61% 91 71 <1% 2% 11% 23% 37% 21% 6%
64 of 106 60% 90 72 <1% 1% 8% 16% 36% 27% 12%
63 of 106 59% 89 73 <1% 1% 6% 11% 29% 33% 21%
62 of 106 58% 88 74 <1% <1% 4% 5% 23% 33% 34%
61 of 106 58% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 3% 16% 32% 47%
60 of 106 57% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 1% 10% 27% 60%
59 of 106 56% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 5% 18% 75%
58 of 106 55% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 12% 85%
57 of 106 54% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 91%
50 of 106 47% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 106 38% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 106 28% 56 106 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 106 19% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 106 9% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 106 0% 26 136 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs