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Sat Aug 22 1:45 am

MLB - Week 22 of 27

Marlins What If?

The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Marlins What If?

Next Game - Nationals (61‑69)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 66 64 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 92%
Current Standings 65 64 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
Lose Next Game 65 65 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 95%


Current Series - Nationals (61‑69) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Marlins Sweeps 67 64 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 91%
Current Standings 65 64 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
Nationals Sweeps 65 66 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 97%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
33 of 33 100% 98 64 22% 60% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1%
32 of 33 97% 97 65 11% 55% 28% 5% <1% <1% <1%
31 of 33 94% 96 66 5% 44% 41% 11% <1% <1% <1%
30 of 33 91% 95 67 2% 29% 49% 20% <1% <1% <1%
29 of 33 88% 94 68 <1% 16% 51% 31% 1% <1% <1%
28 of 33 85% 93 69 <1% 6% 45% 44% 5% <1% <1%
27 of 33 82% 92 70 <1% 2% 33% 50% 14% 1% <1%
26 of 33 79% 91 71 <1% 1% 20% 46% 28% 5% <1%
25 of 33 76% 90 72 <1% <1% 10% 34% 40% 14% 1%
24 of 33 73% 89 73 <1% <1% 4% 19% 42% 29% 6%
23 of 33 70% 88 74 <1% <1% 1% 8% 33% 41% 17%
22 of 33 67% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 2% 19% 43% 36%
21 of 33 64% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 33% 59%
20 of 33 61% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 19% 79%
19 of 33 58% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 92%
15 of 33 45% 80 82 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 33 30% 75 87 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 33 15% 70 92 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 33 0% 65 97 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs