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Tue Jun 17 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Marlins What If?

The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Marlins What If?

Next Game - Phillies (43‑29)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 29 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 28 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 28 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Current Series - Phillies (43‑29) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Marlins Sweeps 31 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
Current Standings 28 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Phillies Sweeps 28 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
92 of 92 100% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 92 98% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
82 of 92 89% 110 52 95% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
81 of 92 88% 109 53 93% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 92 87% 108 54 90% 9% <1% 1% <1% <1% ^
79 of 92 86% 107 55 86% 12% 1% 1% <1% <1% ^
78 of 92 85% 106 56 81% 16% 1% 2% <1% <1% ^
77 of 92 84% 105 57 75% 20% 2% 3% <1% <1% ^
76 of 92 83% 104 58 67% 25% 3% 5% <1% <1% ^
75 of 92 82% 103 59 59% 29% 4% 8% <1% <1% ^
74 of 92 80% 102 60 50% 33% 6% 11% <1% <1% ^
73 of 92 79% 101 61 41% 36% 8% 15% <1% <1% ^
72 of 92 78% 100 62 32% 37% 11% 19% 1% <1% ^
71 of 92 77% 99 63 24% 36% 13% 25% 1% <1% ^
70 of 92 76% 98 64 17% 34% 16% 30% 3% <1% ^
69 of 92 75% 97 65 12% 29% 18% 35% 6% <1% ^
68 of 92 74% 96 66 7% 25% 20% 37% 10% 1% <1%
67 of 92 73% 95 67 4% 19% 21% 39% 15% 2% <1%
66 of 92 72% 94 68 2% 14% 21% 37% 22% 4% <1%
65 of 92 71% 93 69 1% 9% 19% 34% 28% 8% 1%
64 of 92 70% 92 70 <1% 5% 17% 26% 35% 15% 2%
63 of 92 68% 91 71 <1% 3% 14% 20% 36% 22% 6%
62 of 92 67% 90 72 <1% 2% 10% 13% 34% 30% 12%
61 of 92 66% 89 73 <1% 1% 8% 7% 28% 35% 22%
60 of 92 65% 88 74 <1% <1% 6% 4% 20% 35% 36%
59 of 92 64% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 2% 13% 31% 52%
58 of 92 63% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 1% 7% 24% 66%
57 of 92 62% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 16% 80%
56 of 92 61% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 9% 89%
55 of 92 60% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
50 of 92 54% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 92 43% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 92 33% 58 104 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 92 22% 48 114 X X X X X <1% >99%
10 of 92 11% 38 124 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 92 0% 28 134 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs