PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Apr 25 3:30 am

MLB - Week 6 of 28

Marlins What If?

The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Marlins What If?

Next Game - Mariners (14‑11)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 12 13 1% 4% 6% 5% 7% 7% 70%
Current Standings 11 13 1% 4% 6% 5% 7% 7% 71%
Lose Next Game 11 14 1% 3% 5% 5% 6% 7% 72%


Current Series - Mariners (14‑11) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Marlins Sweeps 14 13 1% 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 68%
Current Standings 11 13 1% 4% 6% 5% 7% 7% 71%
Mariners Sweeps 11 16 1% 3% 5% 4% 6% 7% 74%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
138 of 138 100% 149 13 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 138 94% 141 21 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
120 of 138 87% 131 31 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 138 80% 121 41 96% 3% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
109 of 138 79% 120 42 94% 4% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
108 of 138 78% 119 43 91% 6% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
107 of 138 78% 118 44 88% 7% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
106 of 138 77% 117 45 84% 10% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 138 76% 116 46 81% 13% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 138 75% 115 47 75% 16% 1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 138 75% 114 48 70% 20% 1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 138 74% 113 49 64% 23% 2% 12% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 138 73% 112 50 57% 27% 2% 14% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 138 72% 111 51 51% 30% 3% 15% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 138 72% 110 52 46% 32% 4% 18% 1% <1% <1%
98 of 138 71% 109 53 39% 35% 6% 20% 1% <1% <1%
97 of 138 70% 108 54 32% 37% 7% 22% 1% <1% <1%
96 of 138 70% 107 55 28% 38% 9% 24% 2% <1% <1%
95 of 138 69% 106 56 23% 38% 11% 25% 3% <1% <1%
94 of 138 68% 105 57 18% 39% 12% 28% 4% <1% <1%
93 of 138 67% 104 58 14% 37% 14% 29% 6% <1% <1%
92 of 138 67% 103 59 11% 34% 17% 30% 8% 1% <1%
91 of 138 66% 102 60 8% 33% 18% 30% 9% 1% <1%
90 of 138 65% 101 61 6% 29% 20% 30% 13% 2% <1%
89 of 138 64% 100 62 4% 25% 22% 30% 16% 3% <1%
88 of 138 64% 99 63 3% 22% 23% 29% 19% 4% <1%
87 of 138 63% 98 64 2% 19% 23% 27% 22% 6% 1%
86 of 138 62% 97 65 1% 15% 23% 26% 25% 9% 1%
85 of 138 62% 96 66 1% 11% 22% 23% 28% 13% 3%
84 of 138 61% 95 67 <1% 9% 22% 20% 28% 16% 4%
83 of 138 60% 94 68 <1% 6% 22% 17% 30% 19% 6%
82 of 138 59% 93 69 <1% 5% 19% 13% 30% 23% 10%
81 of 138 59% 92 70 <1% 4% 17% 11% 27% 27% 14%
80 of 138 58% 91 71 <1% 2% 16% 8% 25% 30% 20%
79 of 138 57% 90 72 <1% 1% 13% 5% 22% 31% 27%
78 of 138 57% 89 73 <1% 1% 11% 4% 19% 31% 35%
77 of 138 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 9% 3% 14% 30% 43%
76 of 138 55% 87 75 <1% <1% 7% 2% 11% 27% 53%
75 of 138 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 6% 1% 8% 23% 62%
74 of 138 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% <1% 5% 19% 70%
73 of 138 53% 84 78 <1% <1% 4% <1% 3% 15% 78%
72 of 138 52% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 11% 84%
71 of 138 51% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 7% 89%
70 of 138 51% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 5% 93%
60 of 138 43% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 138 36% 61 101 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 138 29% 51 111 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 138 22% 41 121 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 138 14% 31 131 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 138 7% 21 141 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 138 0% 11 151 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs