The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (88‑64) vs Reds (76‑76) 4 Games Remaining |
29 | Cubs Sweeps 4 Games | X | X | X | X | 1% | 68% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 4 Games | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Dodgers (85‑67) vs Giants (76‑76) 4 Games Remaining |
27 | Dodgers Sweeps 4 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 64% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 4 Games | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 36% | 62% | ||
| Phillies (91‑62) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (77‑76) 3 Games Remaining |
22 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 66% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 44% | 55% | ||
| Mets (78‑74) vs Padres (83‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
19 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 68% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 49% | ||
| Marlins (72‑80) vs Rockies (41‑111) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 39% | ||
| Brewers (93‑59) vs Angels (69‑83) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (78‑74) vs Padres (83‑69) |
19 | Mets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 68% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Padres Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 49% | ||
| Cubs (88‑64) vs Reds (76‑76) |
8 | Cubs Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 63% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Reds Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 56% | 44% | ||
| Phillies (91‑62) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (77‑76) |
7 | Phillies Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 63% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 56% | 43% | ||
| Dodgers (85‑67) vs Giants (76‑76) |
5 | Dodgers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 62% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Giants Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 57% | 43% | ||
| Marlins (72‑80) vs Rockies (41‑111) |
0 | Marlins Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Rockies Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 39% | ||
| Brewers (93‑59) vs Angels (69‑83) |
0 | Brewers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||
| Angels Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 60% | 40% | ||