The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (72‑62) vs Marlins (63‑71) 3 Games Remaining |
38 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 11% | 2% | 11% | 61% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 3% | 53% | 40% | ||
| Braves (61‑73) vs Phillies (77‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
16 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 16% | 1% | 6% | 54% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 62% | 23% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑69) vs Reds (68‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
11 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 65% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 54% | 29% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 63% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 57% | 26% | ||
| Dodgers (77‑57) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 62% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 10% | 55% | 25% | ||
| Rays (64‑69) vs Nationals (53‑80) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 60% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 60% | 23% | ||
| Rockies (38‑96) vs Cubs (76‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 56% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 61% | 23% | ||
| Brewers (83‑52) vs Blue Jays (78‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 60% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 60% | 23% | ||
| Red Sox (75‑60) vs Pirates (59‑76) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 59% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 10% | 57% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 6% | 61% | 24% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (72‑62) vs Marlins (63‑71) |
13 | Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 61% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 59% | 28% | ||
| Braves (61‑73) vs Phillies (77‑57) |
5 | Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 7% | 58% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 61% | 23% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑69) vs Reds (68‑66) |
3 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 62% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 58% | 25% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) |
2 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 61% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 24% | ||
| Dodgers (77‑57) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑69) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 60% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Brewers (83‑52) vs Blue Jays (78‑56) |
1 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 60% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 60% | 23% | ||
| Red Sox (75‑60) vs Pirates (59‑76) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 60% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 60% | 23% | ||
| Rockies (38‑96) vs Cubs (76‑58) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 59% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 60% | 23% | ||
| Rays (64‑69) vs Nationals (53‑80) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 60% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 60% | 23% | ||
| Padres (75‑59) vs Twins (60‑73) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 60% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 59% | 23% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 59% | 23% | ||