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Wed Jul 2 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Mets Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Mets Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets
(48‑37)
vs
Brewers
(47‑37)
3 Games Remaining		 37 Mets Sweeps 3 Games 8% 14% 18% 15% 12% 10% 23%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Brewers Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 17% 10% 11% 11% 41%
Padres
(45‑39)
vs
Phillies
(50‑35)
2 Games Remaining		 9 Padres Sweeps 2 Games 6% 12% 21% 10% 10% 10% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Phillies Sweeps 2 Games 5% 10% 16% 15% 12% 11% 31%
Red Sox
(42‑44)
vs
Reds
(43‑41)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games 5% 11% 18% 12% 12% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Reds Sweeps 2 Games 5% 11% 17% 12% 11% 10% 32%
Guardians
(40‑43)
vs
Cubs
(50‑35)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Guardians Sweeps 2 Games 6% 12% 17% 13% 11% 10% 30%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Cubs Sweeps 2 Games 5% 11% 19% 12% 12% 11% 31%
Twins
(40‑45)
vs
Marlins
(38‑45)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Twins Sweeps 2 Games 5% 11% 18% 12% 12% 11% 30%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Marlins Sweeps 2 Games 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 30%
Astros
(51‑34)
vs
Rockies
(19‑66)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Astros Sweeps 2 Games 5% 11% 18% 12% 12% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Rockies Sweeps 2 Games 5% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
White Sox
(28‑57)
vs
Dodgers
(54‑32)
2 Games Remaining		 1 White Sox Sweeps 2 Games 6% 11% 17% 13% 11% 11% 30%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games 5% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
Giants
(45‑41)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(43‑41)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Giants Sweeps 2 Games 6% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games 6% 11% 18% 13% 12% 10% 31%
Cardinals
(47‑40)
vs
Pirates
(37‑50)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game 5% 11% 18% 12% 12% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Pirates Sweeps 1 Game 5% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
Nationals
(35‑49)
vs
Tigers
(53‑32)
3 Games Remaining		 0 Nationals Sweeps 3 Games 5% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Tigers Sweeps 3 Games 6% 11% 18% 13% 12% 10% 31%
Angels
(42‑42)
vs
Braves
(38‑46)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Angels Sweeps 2 Games 5% 11% 18% 12% 11% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Braves Sweeps 2 Games 6% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%


Mets Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets
(48‑37)
vs
Brewers
(47‑37)		 14 Mets Wins 6% 12% 18% 14% 12% 10% 28%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Brewers Wins 5% 10% 17% 12% 11% 11% 34%
Padres
(45‑39)
vs
Phillies
(50‑35)		 4 Padres Wins 5% 11% 20% 12% 11% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Phillies Wins 5% 11% 17% 14% 12% 11% 31%
Braves
(38‑46)
vs
Angels
(42‑42)		 2 Braves Wins 6% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 30%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Angels Wins 5% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
Nationals
(35‑49)
vs
Tigers
(53‑32)		 2 Nationals Wins 6% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 30%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Tigers Wins 5% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(43‑41)
vs
Giants
(45‑41)		 1 DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 6% 11% 18% 12% 12% 11% 30%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Giants Wins 6% 11% 18% 13% 11% 10% 31%
Guardians
(40‑43)
vs
Cubs
(50‑35)		 1 Guardians Wins 6% 11% 17% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Cubs Wins 5% 11% 19% 12% 11% 11% 31%
Reds
(43‑41)
vs
Red Sox
(42‑44)		 1 Reds Wins 5% 11% 17% 12% 12% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Red Sox Wins 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Dodgers
(54‑32)
vs
White Sox
(28‑57)		 0 Dodgers Wins 5% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
White Sox Wins 6% 11% 17% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Cardinals
(47‑40)
vs
Pirates
(37‑50)		 0 Cardinals Wins 5% 11% 18% 12% 12% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Pirates Wins 5% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
Rockies
(19‑66)
vs
Astros
(51‑34)		 0 Rockies Wins 5% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Astros Wins 5% 11% 18% 12% 11% 10% 31%
Marlins
(38‑45)
vs
Twins
(40‑45)		 0 Marlins Wins 5% 11% 18% 12% 11% 11% 31%
Current Probabilities 5% 11% 18% 13% 12% 11% 31%
Twins Wins 5% 11% 17% 13% 12% 11% 31%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs