The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (27‑26) vs Rockies (23‑30) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Red Sox (28‑24) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (29‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Angels (28‑25) vs Marlins (27‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Mariners (27‑25) vs Pirates (26‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Yankees (31‑23) vs Padres (24‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Phillies (25‑27) vs Braves (31‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Reds (23‑29) vs Cubs (22‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 59% | ||
| Rays (38‑16) vs Dodgers (32‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Nationals (23‑29) vs Royals (15‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Cardinals (24‑30) vs Guardians (22‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 59% | ||
| Brewers (27‑25) vs Giants (27‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (27‑26) vs Rockies (23‑30) |
5 | Mets Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Red Sox (28‑24) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (29‑23) |
2 | Red Sox Wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Angels (28‑25) vs Marlins (27‑26) |
1 | Angels Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Mariners (27‑25) vs Pirates (26‑25) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Yankees (31‑23) vs Padres (24‑28) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Padres Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Phillies (25‑27) vs Braves (31‑21) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Braves Wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Reds (23‑29) vs Cubs (22‑29) |
0 | Reds Wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 59% | ||
| Rays (38‑16) vs Dodgers (32‑21) |
0 | Rays Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Nationals (23‑29) vs Royals (15‑38) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Royals Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Cardinals (24‑30) vs Guardians (22‑29) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 59% | ||
| Brewers (27‑25) vs Giants (27‑25) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Giants Wins | 3% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||