The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (54‑48) vs Braves (54‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
33 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 30% | 20% | 14% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 57% | ||
| Orioles (61‑41) vs Padres (55‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 23% | 18% | 15% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Guardians (61‑41) vs Phillies (64‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Nationals (47‑56) vs Cardinals (53‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 23% | 18% | 15% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 44% | ||
| Rays (52‑51) vs Reds (49‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Rockies (38‑65) vs Giants (49‑55) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Rockies Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 44% | ||
| Royals (56‑47) vs Cubs (49‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 44% | ||
| Marlins (37‑66) vs Brewers (59‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 44% | ||
| Astros (53‑49) vs Dodgers (62‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Pirates (52‑50) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (53‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 42% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (54‑48) vs Braves (54‑47) |
11 | Mets Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 25% | 18% | 15% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 48% | ||
| Guardians (61‑41) vs Phillies (64‑38) |
2 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Rockies (38‑65) vs Giants (49‑55) |
2 | Rockies Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Orioles (61‑41) vs Padres (55‑50) |
2 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Dodgers (62‑42) vs Astros (53‑49) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Rays (52‑51) vs Reds (49‑53) |
1 | Rays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Reds Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Pirates (52‑50) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (53‑50) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Marlins (37‑66) vs Brewers (59‑43) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Cardinals (53‑49) vs Nationals (47‑56) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 42% | ||
| Royals (56‑47) vs Cubs (49‑55) |
0 | Royals Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 43% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 43% | ||