The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 14 | 11 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Standings | 13 | 11 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% |
| Lose Next Game | 13 | 12 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Mets Sweeps | 16 | 11 | 9% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Standings | 13 | 11 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% |
| Cardinals Sweeps | 13 | 14 | 6% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 53% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 138 of 138 | 100% | 151 | 11 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 138 | 94% | 143 | 19 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 120 of 138 | 87% | 133 | 29 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 110 of 138 | 80% | 123 | 39 | 98% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 107 of 138 | 78% | 120 | 42 | 95% | 4% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 106 of 138 | 77% | 119 | 43 | 94% | 4% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 105 of 138 | 76% | 118 | 44 | 91% | 6% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 104 of 138 | 75% | 117 | 45 | 89% | 8% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 103 of 138 | 75% | 116 | 46 | 85% | 9% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 102 of 138 | 74% | 115 | 47 | 82% | 12% | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 101 of 138 | 73% | 114 | 48 | 77% | 14% | <1% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 100 of 138 | 72% | 113 | 49 | 73% | 17% | <1% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 99 of 138 | 72% | 112 | 50 | 68% | 19% | 1% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 98 of 138 | 71% | 111 | 51 | 63% | 22% | 1% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 97 of 138 | 70% | 110 | 52 | 58% | 24% | 1% | 17% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 96 of 138 | 70% | 109 | 53 | 51% | 27% | 2% | 20% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 95 of 138 | 69% | 108 | 54 | 44% | 30% | 3% | 23% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 94 of 138 | 68% | 107 | 55 | 38% | 32% | 3% | 25% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 93 of 138 | 67% | 106 | 56 | 33% | 33% | 4% | 27% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 92 of 138 | 67% | 105 | 57 | 28% | 34% | 5% | 30% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 91 of 138 | 66% | 104 | 58 | 21% | 33% | 7% | 33% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 90 of 138 | 65% | 103 | 59 | 17% | 33% | 9% | 34% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| 89 of 138 | 64% | 102 | 60 | 14% | 31% | 10% | 35% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
| 88 of 138 | 64% | 101 | 61 | 10% | 29% | 12% | 37% | 12% | 1% | <1% |
| 87 of 138 | 63% | 100 | 62 | 7% | 28% | 14% | 35% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
| 86 of 138 | 62% | 99 | 63 | 5% | 24% | 16% | 36% | 17% | 3% | <1% |
| 85 of 138 | 62% | 98 | 64 | 3% | 22% | 16% | 34% | 20% | 5% | <1% |
| 84 of 138 | 61% | 97 | 65 | 2% | 18% | 17% | 32% | 24% | 7% | 1% |
| 83 of 138 | 60% | 96 | 66 | 1% | 14% | 18% | 29% | 28% | 9% | 1% |
| 82 of 138 | 59% | 95 | 67 | 1% | 12% | 17% | 26% | 29% | 12% | 2% |
| 81 of 138 | 59% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 9% | 17% | 22% | 32% | 15% | 4% |
| 80 of 138 | 58% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 7% | 16% | 18% | 32% | 20% | 6% |
| 79 of 138 | 57% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 5% | 15% | 15% | 32% | 24% | 9% |
| 78 of 138 | 57% | 91 | 71 | <1% | 4% | 14% | 12% | 30% | 27% | 13% |
| 77 of 138 | 56% | 90 | 72 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 9% | 26% | 30% | 20% |
| 76 of 138 | 55% | 89 | 73 | <1% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 23% | 32% | 26% |
| 75 of 138 | 54% | 88 | 74 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 20% | 32% | 33% |
| 74 of 138 | 54% | 87 | 75 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 15% | 31% | 43% |
| 73 of 138 | 53% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 12% | 28% | 51% |
| 72 of 138 | 52% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 61% |
| 71 of 138 | 51% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 70% |
| 70 of 138 | 51% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 78% |
| 69 of 138 | 50% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 85% |
| 68 of 138 | 49% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 90% |
| 67 of 138 | 49% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 94% |
| 60 of 138 | 43% | 73 | 89 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 50 of 138 | 36% | 63 | 99 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 138 | 29% | 53 | 109 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 138 | 22% | 43 | 119 | X | X | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 20 of 138 | 14% | 33 | 129 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 138 | 7% | 23 | 139 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 138 | 0% | 13 | 149 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |