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Sun May 28 2:00 am

MLB - Week 9 of 27

Mets What If?

The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mets What If?

Next Game - Rockies (23‑30)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 28 26 4% 6% 5% 9% 10% 9% 58%
Current Standings 27 26 4% 6% 5% 9% 9% 9% 59%
Lose Next Game 27 27 3% 6% 5% 9% 9% 8% 61%


Current Series - Rockies (23‑30) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets Sweeps 28 26 4% 6% 5% 9% 10% 9% 58%
Current Standings 27 26 4% 6% 5% 9% 9% 9% 59%
Rockies Sweeps 27 27 3% 6% 5% 9% 9% 8% 61%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
109 of 109 100% 136 26 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 109 92% 127 35 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 109 83% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 109 74% 108 54 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 109 73% 107 55 93% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 109 72% 106 56 90% 8% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 109 72% 105 57 86% 10% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 109 71% 104 58 82% 13% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 109 70% 103 59 78% 16% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 109 69% 102 60 70% 20% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 109 68% 101 61 65% 23% 1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 109 67% 100 62 55% 28% 2% 15% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 109 66% 99 63 49% 31% 2% 17% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 109 65% 98 64 41% 34% 4% 21% 1% <1% <1%
70 of 109 64% 97 65 32% 36% 5% 25% 2% <1% <1%
69 of 109 63% 96 66 26% 36% 7% 29% 3% <1% <1%
68 of 109 62% 95 67 18% 35% 9% 31% 5% <1% <1%
67 of 109 61% 94 68 13% 33% 11% 35% 8% 1% <1%
66 of 109 61% 93 69 8% 29% 13% 36% 12% 1% <1%
65 of 109 60% 92 70 5% 24% 15% 36% 17% 3% <1%
64 of 109 59% 91 71 3% 18% 16% 35% 23% 6% <1%
63 of 109 58% 90 72 1% 13% 17% 30% 28% 9% 1%
62 of 109 57% 89 73 1% 9% 16% 25% 32% 14% 3%
61 of 109 56% 88 74 <1% 5% 14% 20% 34% 21% 6%
60 of 109 55% 87 75 <1% 3% 12% 13% 33% 27% 12%
59 of 109 54% 86 76 <1% 1% 9% 9% 28% 32% 21%
58 of 109 53% 85 77 <1% 1% 7% 4% 21% 33% 34%
57 of 109 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 5% 2% 14% 30% 50%
56 of 109 51% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% 1% 9% 23% 64%
55 of 109 50% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 4% 16% 78%
54 of 109 50% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 10% 88%
53 of 109 49% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
50 of 109 46% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 109 37% 67 95 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 109 28% 57 105 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 109 18% 47 115 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 109 9% 37 125 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 109 0% 27 135 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs