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Sun Jun 15 3:30 am

MLB - Week 13 of 28

Mets What If?

The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mets What If?

Next Game - Rays (38‑32)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 46 26 35% 21% 17% 9% 6% 4% 6%
Current Standings 45 26 33% 21% 18% 10% 6% 5% 7%
Lose Next Game 45 27 31% 21% 19% 9% 6% 5% 8%


Current Series - Rays (38‑32) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets Sweeps 46 26 35% 21% 17% 9% 6% 4% 6%
Current Standings 45 26 33% 21% 18% 10% 6% 5% 7%
Rays Sweeps 45 27 31% 21% 19% 9% 6% 5% 8%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
91 of 91 100% 136 26 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 91 99% 135 27 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 91 88% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
70 of 91 77% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 91 68% 107 55 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 91 67% 106 56 90% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 91 66% 105 57 86% 13% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 91 65% 104 58 80% 18% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 91 64% 103 59 74% 22% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 91 63% 102 60 66% 28% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 91 62% 101 61 56% 35% 5% 4% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 91 60% 100 62 47% 39% 8% 6% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 91 59% 99 63 36% 44% 12% 8% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 91 58% 98 64 28% 44% 16% 11% 1% <1% <1%
52 of 91 57% 97 65 19% 44% 21% 14% 2% <1% <1%
51 of 91 56% 96 66 12% 41% 27% 16% 3% <1% <1%
50 of 91 55% 95 67 8% 35% 32% 18% 6% 1% <1%
49 of 91 54% 94 68 4% 28% 39% 20% 9% 1% <1%
48 of 91 53% 93 69 2% 22% 41% 19% 13% 3% <1%
47 of 91 52% 92 70 1% 15% 43% 17% 17% 6% 1%
46 of 91 51% 91 71 <1% 9% 43% 14% 21% 11% 2%
45 of 91 49% 90 72 <1% 6% 40% 10% 22% 17% 5%
44 of 91 48% 89 73 <1% 3% 35% 7% 21% 22% 11%
43 of 91 47% 88 74 <1% 1% 32% 4% 18% 26% 20%
42 of 91 46% 87 75 <1% 1% 27% 2% 13% 26% 33%
41 of 91 45% 86 76 <1% <1% 21% 1% 8% 23% 48%
40 of 91 44% 85 77 <1% <1% 16% <1% 4% 17% 63%
39 of 91 43% 84 78 <1% <1% 11% <1% 2% 11% 76%
38 of 91 42% 83 79 <1% <1% 7% <1% 1% 6% 86%
37 of 91 41% 82 80 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 3% 92%
30 of 91 33% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 91 22% 65 97 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 91 11% 55 107 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
0 of 91 0% 45 117 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs