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Tue May 20 3:30 am

MLB - Week 10 of 28

Mets What If?

The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mets What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (24‑25)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 30 19 18% 15% 13% 11% 8% 9% 26%
Current Standings 29 19 18% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 28%
Lose Next Game 29 20 16% 14% 13% 11% 9% 8% 30%


Current Series - Red Sox (24‑25) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets Sweeps 31 19 20% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 25%
Current Standings 29 19 18% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 28%
Red Sox Sweeps 29 21 15% 14% 13% 11% 8% 8% 31%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
114 of 114 100% 143 19 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 114 96% 139 23 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 114 88% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 114 79% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 114 71% 110 52 94% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 114 70% 109 53 90% 8% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 114 69% 108 54 86% 11% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 114 68% 107 55 82% 14% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 114 68% 106 56 74% 20% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 114 67% 105 57 67% 24% 2% 7% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 114 66% 104 58 57% 30% 3% 9% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 114 65% 103 59 50% 34% 5% 11% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 114 64% 102 60 41% 38% 7% 13% 1% <1% <1%
72 of 114 63% 101 61 33% 41% 10% 15% 1% <1% <1%
71 of 114 62% 100 62 25% 41% 14% 18% 2% <1% <1%
70 of 114 61% 99 63 18% 40% 18% 21% 3% <1% <1%
69 of 114 61% 98 64 13% 37% 21% 23% 5% 1% <1%
68 of 114 60% 97 65 8% 33% 26% 24% 8% 1% <1%
67 of 114 59% 96 66 5% 29% 27% 25% 12% 2% <1%
66 of 114 58% 95 67 3% 23% 30% 24% 15% 4% <1%
65 of 114 57% 94 68 1% 19% 31% 22% 20% 6% 1%
64 of 114 56% 93 69 1% 14% 31% 19% 23% 10% 2%
63 of 114 55% 92 70 <1% 10% 30% 17% 26% 14% 4%
62 of 114 54% 91 71 <1% 6% 28% 13% 27% 20% 7%
61 of 114 54% 90 72 <1% 4% 24% 10% 25% 24% 13%
60 of 114 53% 89 73 <1% 2% 21% 7% 22% 27% 21%
59 of 114 52% 88 74 <1% 1% 18% 4% 18% 29% 29%
58 of 114 51% 87 75 <1% 1% 15% 2% 12% 28% 42%
57 of 114 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 11% 1% 9% 24% 55%
56 of 114 49% 85 77 <1% <1% 8% <1% 5% 19% 67%
55 of 114 48% 84 78 <1% <1% 6% <1% 3% 13% 79%
54 of 114 47% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 8% 87%
53 of 114 46% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 5% 92%
50 of 114 44% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
40 of 114 35% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 114 26% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 114 18% 49 113 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 114 9% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 114 0% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs