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Fri Jul 26 1:15 am

MLB - Week 19 of 28

Mets What If?

The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mets What If?

Next Game - Braves (54‑47)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 55 48 1% 1% 1% 25% 18% 15% 39%
Current Standings 54 48 1% 1% 1% 22% 18% 15% 43%
Lose Next Game 54 49 <1% 1% 1% 18% 17% 15% 48%


Current Series - Braves (54‑47) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets Sweeps 57 48 1% 2% 2% 30% 20% 14% 31%
Current Standings 54 48 1% 1% 1% 22% 18% 15% 43%
Braves Sweeps 54 51 <1% 1% <1% 12% 15% 15% 57%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
60 of 60 100% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
50 of 60 83% 104 58 94% 3% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 60 82% 103 59 89% 6% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 60 80% 102 60 82% 9% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 60 78% 101 61 73% 12% <1% 15% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 60 77% 100 62 62% 16% 1% 21% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 60 75% 99 63 50% 20% 1% 29% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 60 73% 98 64 37% 23% 2% 38% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 60 72% 97 65 26% 23% 4% 48% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 60 70% 96 66 16% 21% 5% 57% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 60 68% 95 67 9% 18% 6% 66% 1% <1% <1%
40 of 60 67% 94 68 4% 13% 7% 73% 3% <1% <1%
39 of 60 65% 93 69 2% 9% 7% 77% 6% <1% <1%
38 of 60 63% 92 70 1% 5% 6% 76% 12% <1% <1%
37 of 60 62% 91 71 <1% 3% 4% 72% 19% 2% <1%
36 of 60 60% 90 72 <1% 1% 3% 65% 28% 4% <1%
35 of 60 58% 89 73 <1% <1% 2% 50% 38% 9% 1%
34 of 60 57% 88 74 <1% <1% 1% 35% 43% 18% 3%
33 of 60 55% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 22% 41% 28% 8%
32 of 60 53% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 11% 35% 36% 18%
31 of 60 52% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 5% 24% 36% 35%
30 of 60 50% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 31% 55%
29 of 60 48% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 75%
28 of 60 47% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 88%
20 of 60 33% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 60 17% 64 98 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 60 0% 54 108 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs