The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (62‑71) vs Rockies (50‑81) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Pirates (64‑69) vs Padres (71‑61) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cubs (76‑56) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (69‑63) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mariners (63‑69) vs Phillies (73‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dodgers (80‑51) vs Braves (76‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑66) vs Orioles (63‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Red Sox (72‑59) vs Marlins (67‑65) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants (53‑78) vs Reds (62‑70) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets (59‑72) vs Brewers (81‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (62‑71) vs Rockies (50‑81) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Braves (76‑55) vs Dodgers (80‑51) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Red Sox (72‑59) vs Marlins (67‑65) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orioles (63‑68) vs Cardinals (66‑66) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets (59‑72) vs Brewers (81‑50) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Pirates (64‑69) vs Padres (71‑61) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants (53‑78) vs Reds (62‑70) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cubs (76‑56) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (69‑63) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mariners (63‑69) vs Phillies (73‑59) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||