The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (61‑77) vs Dodgers (78‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Reds (70‑68) vs Blue Jays (79‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Tigers (80‑59) vs Mets (74‑64) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Nationals (54‑83) vs Marlins (65‑73) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cubs (79‑59) vs Braves (62‑76) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals (68‑71) vs Athletics (64‑75) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rockies (39‑99) vs Giants (69‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑71) vs Rangers (72‑67) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres (76‑62) vs Orioles (62‑76) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Brewers (85‑54) vs Phillies (80‑58) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (61‑77) vs Dodgers (78‑59) |
0 | Pirates Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Reds (70‑68) vs Blue Jays (79‑59) |
0 | Reds Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Tigers (80‑59) vs Mets (74‑64) |
0 | Tigers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Nationals (54‑83) vs Marlins (65‑73) |
0 | Nationals Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Marlins Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cubs (79‑59) vs Braves (62‑76) |
0 | Cubs Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Braves Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals (68‑71) vs Athletics (64‑75) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Athletics Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rockies (39‑99) vs Giants (69‑69) |
0 | Rockies Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑71) vs Rangers (72‑67) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rangers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres (76‑62) vs Orioles (62‑76) |
0 | Padres Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orioles Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Brewers (85‑54) vs Phillies (80‑58) |
0 | Brewers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||