The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (47‑46) vs Astros (46‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Mariners (47‑45) vs Marlins (50‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Reds (41‑49) vs Phillies (51‑41) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Pirates (47‑45) vs Braves (52‑38) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Brewers (58‑33) vs Cardinals (47‑43) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Rockies (38‑55) vs Dodgers (60‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Mets (38‑54) vs Royals (38‑54) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Orioles (42‑50) vs Cubs (51‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (45‑46) vs Padres (45‑46) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Blue Jays (43‑49) vs Giants (38‑53) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (47‑46) vs Astros (46‑48) |
7 | Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Reds (41‑49) vs Phillies (51‑41) |
2 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Rockies (38‑55) vs Dodgers (60‑33) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Mariners (47‑45) vs Marlins (50‑42) |
1 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Brewers (58‑33) vs Cardinals (47‑43) |
1 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Orioles (42‑50) vs Cubs (51‑40) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Royals (38‑54) vs Mets (38‑54) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (45‑46) vs Padres (45‑46) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Blue Jays (43‑49) vs Giants (38‑53) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Braves (52‑38) vs Pirates (47‑45) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||