The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Nationals (60‑86) vs Pirates (64‑83) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
Phillies (87‑60) vs Royals (74‑73) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Royals Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Marlins (68‑79) vs Tigers (84‑63) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Mets (76‑71) vs Rangers (77‑70) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Braves (65‑81) vs Astros (79‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Astros Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Brewers (89‑58) vs Cardinals (72‑75) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
Twins (64‑82) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (73‑74) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
Padres (80‑67) vs Rockies (40‑107) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Athletics (67‑80) vs Reds (74‑72) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Reds Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
Giants (74‑72) vs Dodgers (82‑64) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Cubs (84‑63) vs Rays (72‑75) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Rays Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Nationals (60‑86) vs Pirates (64‑83) |
0 | Nationals Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Pirates Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
Phillies (87‑60) vs Royals (74‑73) |
0 | Phillies Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Royals Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Marlins (68‑79) vs Tigers (84‑63) |
0 | Marlins Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Tigers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Mets (76‑71) vs Rangers (77‑70) |
0 | Mets Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Rangers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Braves (65‑81) vs Astros (79‑68) |
0 | Braves Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Astros Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Brewers (89‑58) vs Cardinals (72‑75) |
0 | Brewers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Cardinals Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Twins (64‑82) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (73‑74) |
0 | Twins Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Padres (80‑67) vs Rockies (40‑107) |
0 | Padres Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Rockies Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Athletics (67‑80) vs Reds (74‑72) |
0 | Athletics Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Reds Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Giants (74‑72) vs Dodgers (82‑64) |
0 | Giants Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Dodgers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Cubs (84‑63) vs Rays (72‑75) |
0 | Cubs Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
Rays Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||