The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (26‑27) vs Braves (36‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 71% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (27‑24) vs Rockies (20‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Pirates (26‑26) vs Blue Jays (25‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 71% | ||
| Astros (22‑31) vs Cubs (29‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Padres (31‑20) vs Athletics (26‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Dodgers (32‑20) vs Brewers (30‑19) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 71% | ||
| Mets (22‑30) vs Marlins (24‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Reds (27‑25) vs Cardinals (29‑22) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Giants (21‑31) vs White Sox (26‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Phillies (26‑26) vs Guardians (31‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (26‑27) vs Braves (36‑17) |
6 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 71% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (27‑24) vs Rockies (20‑33) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Pirates (26‑26) vs Blue Jays (25‑27) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 71% | ||
| Astros (22‑31) vs Cubs (29‑23) |
1 | Astros Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Padres (31‑20) vs Athletics (26‑26) |
1 | Padres Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Dodgers (32‑20) vs Brewers (30‑19) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 71% | ||
| Mets (22‑30) vs Marlins (24‑29) |
1 | Mets Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Reds (27‑25) vs Cardinals (29‑22) |
0 | Reds Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Giants (21‑31) vs White Sox (26‑25) |
0 | Giants Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Phillies (26‑26) vs Guardians (31‑23) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||