The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (11‑14) vs Mets (18‑7) 4 Games Remaining |
16 | Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Mariners (14‑11) vs Marlins (11‑13) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Cubs (16‑10) vs Phillies (13‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Brewers (13‑13) vs Cardinals (10‑15) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Rays (11‑14) vs Padres (17‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (14‑11) vs Braves (10‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Reds (12‑13) vs Rockies (4‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Rangers (14‑11) vs Giants (17‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Pirates (10‑16) vs Dodgers (16‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (11‑14) vs Mets (18‑7) |
5 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Rangers (14‑11) vs Giants (17‑9) |
2 | Rangers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Reds (12‑13) vs Rockies (4‑20) |
1 | Reds Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Mariners (14‑11) vs Marlins (11‑13) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Cardinals (10‑15) vs Brewers (13‑13) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Braves (10‑14) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (14‑11) |
0 | Braves Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Phillies (13‑12) vs Cubs (16‑10) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Padres (17‑8) vs Rays (11‑14) |
0 | Padres Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Rays Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Pirates (10‑16) vs Dodgers (16‑9) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||