The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (13‑17) vs Phillies (16‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 84% | ||
| Dodgers (20‑10) vs Marlins (12‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Cubs (18‑12) vs Pirates (11‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Rockies (4‑25) vs Braves (14‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Reds (16‑13) vs Cardinals (12‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Giants (19‑11) vs Padres (18‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (15‑14) vs Mets (21‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| White Sox (7‑22) vs Brewers (15‑15) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (13‑17) vs Phillies (16‑13) |
4 | Nationals Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Pirates (11‑19) vs Cubs (18‑12) |
2 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| White Sox (7‑22) vs Brewers (15‑15) |
1 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (15‑14) vs Mets (21‑9) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Dodgers (20‑10) vs Marlins (12‑17) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Rockies (4‑25) vs Braves (14‑15) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Giants (19‑11) vs Padres (18‑11) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Cardinals (12‑17) vs Reds (16‑13) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||