The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Nationals (47‑56) vs Cardinals (53‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
Orioles (61‑41) vs Padres (55‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Mets (54‑48) vs Braves (54‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Royals (56‑47) vs Cubs (49‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Marlins (37‑66) vs Brewers (59‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Astros (53‑49) vs Dodgers (62‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Pirates (52‑50) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (53‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Rays (52‑51) vs Reds (49‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Rockies (38‑65) vs Giants (49‑55) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Giants Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Phillies (64‑38) vs Guardians (61‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Nationals (47‑56) vs Cardinals (53‑49) |
1 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
Rays (52‑51) vs Reds (49‑53) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Marlins (37‑66) vs Brewers (59‑43) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Royals (56‑47) vs Cubs (49‑55) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Orioles (61‑41) vs Padres (55‑50) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Braves (54‑47) vs Mets (54‑48) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Guardians (61‑41) vs Phillies (64‑38) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Dodgers (62‑42) vs Astros (53‑49) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Rockies (38‑65) vs Giants (49‑55) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
Pirates (52‑50) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (53‑50) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||