The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Nationals (37‑53) vs Cardinals (48‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Royals (44‑48) vs Pirates (38‑54) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Braves (39‑50) vs Athletics (37‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Orioles (40‑49) vs Mets (52‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cubs (54‑36) vs Twins (43‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Dodgers (56‑36) vs Brewers (51‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Marlins (41‑48) vs Reds (45‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Padres (48‑42) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (45‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Giants (50‑42) vs Phillies (53‑38) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Red Sox (47‑45) vs Rockies (21‑70) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Dodgers (56‑36) vs Brewers (51‑40) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Orioles (40‑49) vs Mets (52‑39) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Nationals (37‑53) vs Cardinals (48‑43) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Rockies (21‑70) vs Red Sox (47‑45) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Marlins (41‑48) vs Reds (45‑45) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Giants (50‑42) vs Phillies (53‑38) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Padres (48‑42) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (45‑45) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cubs (54‑36) vs Twins (43‑47) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Braves (39‑50) vs Athletics (37‑55) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Pirates (38‑54) vs Royals (44‑48) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||