The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Nationals (37‑52) vs Red Sox (45‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Orioles (39‑49) vs Braves (39‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cubs (53‑36) vs Cardinals (48‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Phillies (52‑37) vs Reds (45‑43) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Astros (54‑35) vs Dodgers (56‑34) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
White Sox (30‑59) vs Rockies (20‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Mariners (47‑42) vs Pirates (38‑52) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Rangers (44‑45) vs Padres (47‑41) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Brewers (49‑40) vs Marlins (40‑47) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Mets (52‑38) vs Yankees (48‑41) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Athletics (37‑54) vs Giants (48‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Royals (42‑48) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (44‑44) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Nationals (37‑52) vs Red Sox (45‑45) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Orioles (39‑49) vs Braves (39‑49) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cubs (53‑36) vs Cardinals (48‑42) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Phillies (52‑37) vs Reds (45‑43) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Astros (54‑35) vs Dodgers (56‑34) |
0 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
White Sox (30‑59) vs Rockies (20‑69) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Mariners (47‑42) vs Pirates (38‑52) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Rangers (44‑45) vs Padres (47‑41) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Brewers (49‑40) vs Marlins (40‑47) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Mets (52‑38) vs Yankees (48‑41) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Athletics (37‑54) vs Giants (48‑42) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Royals (42‑48) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (44‑44) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||