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Wed Apr 30 3:30 am

MLB - Week 7 of 28

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Phillies (16‑13)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 14 17 <1% 2% 3% 3% 5% 6% 80%
Current Standings 13 17 <1% 1% 3% 3% 5% 6% 81%
Lose Next Game 13 18 <1% 1% 3% 2% 5% 6% 83%


Current Series - Phillies (16‑13) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 15 17 <1% 2% 4% 3% 5% 7% 79%
Current Standings 13 17 <1% 1% 3% 3% 5% 6% 81%
Phillies Sweeps 13 19 <1% 1% 3% 2% 4% 6% 84%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
132 of 132 100% 145 17 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 132 98% 143 19 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
120 of 132 91% 133 29 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
110 of 132 83% 123 39 99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 132 80% 118 44 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 132 79% 117 45 93% 5% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 132 78% 116 46 90% 7% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 132 77% 115 47 87% 10% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 132 77% 114 48 83% 12% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 132 76% 113 49 78% 15% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 132 75% 112 50 72% 19% 1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 132 74% 111 51 67% 22% 1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 132 73% 110 52 60% 26% 2% 12% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 132 73% 109 53 54% 29% 3% 14% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 132 72% 108 54 46% 33% 4% 17% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 132 71% 107 55 40% 35% 5% 19% 1% <1% <1%
93 of 132 70% 106 56 35% 36% 7% 21% 1% <1% <1%
92 of 132 70% 105 57 28% 37% 8% 24% 2% <1% <1%
91 of 132 69% 104 58 22% 38% 10% 26% 3% <1% <1%
90 of 132 68% 103 59 17% 37% 13% 28% 5% <1% <1%
89 of 132 67% 102 60 13% 34% 15% 30% 7% 1% <1%
88 of 132 67% 101 61 9% 33% 16% 31% 10% 1% <1%
87 of 132 66% 100 62 7% 29% 17% 32% 13% 2% <1%
86 of 132 65% 99 63 4% 24% 20% 32% 16% 3% <1%
85 of 132 64% 98 64 3% 21% 20% 31% 20% 4% <1%
84 of 132 64% 97 65 2% 18% 21% 29% 23% 6% 1%
83 of 132 63% 96 66 1% 13% 21% 26% 27% 10% 2%
82 of 132 62% 95 67 1% 10% 21% 23% 29% 13% 3%
81 of 132 61% 94 68 <1% 8% 19% 19% 31% 18% 5%
80 of 132 61% 93 69 <1% 5% 17% 17% 32% 22% 7%
79 of 132 60% 92 70 <1% 4% 16% 13% 30% 26% 12%
78 of 132 59% 91 71 <1% 2% 14% 10% 28% 29% 17%
77 of 132 58% 90 72 <1% 2% 12% 6% 24% 32% 25%
76 of 132 58% 89 73 <1% 1% 10% 5% 19% 33% 33%
75 of 132 57% 88 74 <1% <1% 8% 3% 16% 30% 42%
74 of 132 56% 87 75 <1% <1% 6% 2% 11% 27% 54%
73 of 132 55% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 1% 8% 24% 63%
72 of 132 55% 85 77 <1% <1% 4% <1% 5% 19% 72%
71 of 132 54% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% <1% 3% 13% 80%
70 of 132 53% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 10% 87%
69 of 132 52% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 6% 92%
68 of 132 52% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
60 of 132 45% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 132 38% 63 99 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 132 30% 53 109 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 132 23% 43 119 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
20 of 132 15% 33 129 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 132 8% 23 139 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 132 0% 13 149 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs