PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Apr 24 3:15 am

MLB - Week 6 of 28

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Dodgers (14‑11)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 11 12 2% 4% 3% 6% 8% 7% 70%
Current Standings 10 12 2% 4% 4% 6% 7% 8% 70%
Lose Next Game 10 13 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 71%


Current Series - Dodgers (14‑11) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 12 12 2% 4% 4% 7% 7% 8% 68%
Current Standings 10 12 2% 4% 4% 6% 7% 8% 70%
Dodgers Sweeps 10 14 1% 3% 4% 5% 7% 7% 72%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
140 of 140 100% 150 12 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 140 93% 140 22 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
120 of 140 86% 130 32 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 140 79% 120 42 98% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
107 of 140 76% 117 45 94% 4% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
106 of 140 76% 116 46 92% 5% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 140 75% 115 47 89% 7% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 140 74% 114 48 85% 9% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 140 74% 113 49 80% 12% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 140 73% 112 50 76% 14% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 140 72% 111 51 70% 17% 1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 140 71% 110 52 64% 20% 1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 140 71% 109 53 58% 23% 1% 17% 1% <1% <1%
98 of 140 70% 108 54 50% 27% 2% 20% 1% <1% <1%
97 of 140 69% 107 55 43% 29% 2% 24% 2% <1% <1%
96 of 140 69% 106 56 37% 30% 4% 27% 3% <1% <1%
95 of 140 68% 105 57 29% 32% 5% 29% 4% <1% <1%
94 of 140 67% 104 58 23% 32% 6% 33% 6% <1% <1%
93 of 140 66% 103 59 18% 32% 8% 34% 8% 1% <1%
92 of 140 66% 102 60 14% 29% 9% 37% 10% 1% <1%
91 of 140 65% 101 61 10% 26% 11% 37% 14% 2% <1%
90 of 140 64% 100 62 7% 25% 13% 36% 17% 2% <1%
89 of 140 64% 99 63 5% 22% 14% 35% 21% 4% <1%
88 of 140 63% 98 64 3% 18% 15% 33% 24% 6% 1%
87 of 140 62% 97 65 2% 15% 15% 31% 28% 8% 1%
86 of 140 61% 96 66 1% 12% 15% 28% 30% 11% 2%
85 of 140 61% 95 67 1% 9% 15% 23% 33% 15% 4%
84 of 140 60% 94 68 <1% 8% 14% 20% 33% 19% 6%
83 of 140 59% 93 69 <1% 6% 13% 17% 34% 22% 8%
82 of 140 59% 92 70 <1% 4% 13% 14% 32% 25% 12%
81 of 140 58% 91 71 <1% 3% 12% 11% 29% 29% 17%
80 of 140 57% 90 72 <1% 2% 10% 8% 26% 31% 23%
79 of 140 56% 89 73 <1% 1% 9% 6% 22% 32% 29%
78 of 140 56% 88 74 <1% 1% 8% 3% 18% 31% 39%
77 of 140 55% 87 75 <1% <1% 6% 2% 15% 30% 46%
76 of 140 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 2% 11% 27% 55%
75 of 140 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 4% 1% 8% 22% 64%
74 of 140 53% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% <1% 5% 19% 73%
73 of 140 52% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% <1% 3% 15% 79%
72 of 140 51% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 11% 86%
71 of 140 51% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 8% 90%
70 of 140 50% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 4% 94%
60 of 140 43% 70 92 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 140 36% 60 102 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 140 29% 50 112 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 140 21% 40 122 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 140 14% 30 132 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 140 7% 20 142 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 140 0% 10 152 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs