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Sat Jun 10 5:45 pm

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Braves (39‑24)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 26 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Standings 25 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Lose Next Game 25 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 97%


Current Series - Braves (39‑24) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 27 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Standings 25 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Braves Sweeps 25 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
100 of 100 100% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 100 90% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 100 82% 107 55 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 100 81% 106 56 93% 5% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 100 80% 105 57 88% 9% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 100 79% 104 58 85% 11% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 100 78% 103 59 80% 14% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 100 77% 102 60 73% 18% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 100 76% 101 61 66% 22% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 100 75% 100 62 59% 25% 1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 100 74% 99 63 49% 29% 1% 20% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 100 73% 98 64 42% 32% 1% 24% 1% <1% <1%
72 of 100 72% 97 65 33% 33% 3% 29% 2% <1% <1%
71 of 100 71% 96 66 25% 34% 4% 33% 4% <1% <1%
70 of 100 70% 95 67 18% 33% 5% 38% 6% <1% <1%
69 of 100 69% 94 68 13% 31% 7% 39% 10% 1% <1%
68 of 100 68% 93 69 8% 28% 8% 41% 14% 1% <1%
67 of 100 67% 92 70 5% 22% 10% 40% 21% 3% <1%
66 of 100 66% 91 71 2% 16% 11% 38% 27% 6% <1%
65 of 100 65% 90 72 1% 12% 11% 34% 33% 9% 1%
64 of 100 64% 89 73 1% 7% 10% 27% 38% 15% 2%
63 of 100 63% 88 74 <1% 4% 8% 20% 39% 23% 6%
62 of 100 62% 87 75 <1% 2% 7% 13% 37% 30% 11%
61 of 100 61% 86 76 <1% 1% 5% 9% 31% 35% 20%
60 of 100 60% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% 5% 23% 37% 33%
59 of 100 59% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% 2% 15% 34% 48%
58 of 100 58% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% 1% 8% 25% 65%
57 of 100 57% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 18% 78%
56 of 100 56% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 89%
55 of 100 55% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
50 of 100 50% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 100 40% 65 97 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 100 30% 55 107 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 100 20% 45 117 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 100 10% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 100 0% 25 137 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs