PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Jul 15 7:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Reds (47‑50)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 45 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 95%
Current Standings 44 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Lose Next Game 44 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%


Current Series - Reds (47‑50) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 47 53 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 94%
Current Standings 44 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Reds Sweeps 44 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
65 of 65 100% 109 53 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
60 of 65 92% 104 58 94% 1% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 65 91% 103 59 90% 2% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 65 89% 102 60 84% 3% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 65 88% 101 61 76% 5% <1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 65 86% 100 62 67% 7% <1% 26% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 65 85% 99 63 57% 9% <1% 34% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 65 83% 98 64 46% 11% <1% 42% 1% <1% <1%
53 of 65 82% 97 65 34% 13% 1% 50% 1% <1% <1%
52 of 65 80% 96 66 23% 13% 1% 60% 3% <1% <1%
51 of 65 78% 95 67 15% 12% 1% 66% 5% <1% <1%
50 of 65 77% 94 68 9% 11% 2% 70% 9% <1% <1%
49 of 65 75% 93 69 4% 8% 2% 72% 14% <1% <1%
48 of 65 74% 92 70 2% 5% 2% 68% 22% 1% <1%
47 of 65 72% 91 71 1% 3% 2% 62% 31% 2% <1%
46 of 65 71% 90 72 <1% 1% 1% 51% 41% 5% <1%
45 of 65 69% 89 73 <1% <1% 1% 39% 47% 11% 1%
44 of 65 68% 88 74 <1% <1% <1% 27% 49% 20% 3%
43 of 65 66% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 16% 45% 30% 9%
42 of 65 65% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 8% 34% 37% 20%
41 of 65 63% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 3% 22% 38% 38%
40 of 65 62% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 29% 59%
39 of 65 60% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 78%
38 of 65 58% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
30 of 65 46% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 65 31% 64 98 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 65 15% 54 108 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 65 0% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs