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Mon Jul 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Padres (52‑44)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 38 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 38 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Current Series - Padres (52‑44) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 41 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 38 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Padres Sweeps 38 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
66 of 66 100% 104 58 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 66 98% 103 59 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 66 97% 102 60 84% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 66 95% 101 61 77% 21% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 66 94% 100 62 67% 29% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 66 92% 99 63 57% 36% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 66 91% 98 64 46% 43% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 66 89% 97 65 34% 46% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 66 88% 96 66 23% 47% 22% 7% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 66 86% 95 67 15% 42% 30% 12% 1% <1% <1%
56 of 66 85% 94 68 8% 35% 38% 16% 3% <1% <1%
55 of 66 83% 93 69 3% 26% 42% 19% 8% 1% <1%
54 of 66 82% 92 70 1% 17% 44% 20% 15% 3% <1%
53 of 66 80% 91 71 1% 9% 42% 18% 21% 8% 1%
52 of 66 79% 90 72 <1% 4% 36% 13% 27% 16% 3%
51 of 66 77% 89 73 <1% 2% 28% 9% 27% 24% 10%
50 of 66 76% 88 74 <1% <1% 20% 4% 21% 31% 23%
49 of 66 74% 87 75 <1% <1% 13% 2% 13% 31% 41%
48 of 66 73% 86 76 <1% <1% 8% <1% 6% 24% 61%
47 of 66 71% 85 77 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 14% 79%
46 of 66 70% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 7% 90%
40 of 66 61% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 66 45% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 66 30% 58 104 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 66 15% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 66 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs