PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Jun 12 3:30 am

MLB - Week 13 of 28

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Mets (44‑24)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 31 37 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 94%
Current Standings 30 37 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 95%
Lose Next Game 30 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%


Current Series - Mets (44‑24) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 31 37 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 94%
Current Standings 30 37 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 95%
Mets Sweeps 30 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
95 of 95 100% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 95 95% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
80 of 95 84% 110 52 97% 1% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
78 of 95 82% 108 54 93% 4% <1% 4% <1% ^ ^
77 of 95 81% 107 55 89% 5% <1% 6% <1% ^ ^
76 of 95 80% 106 56 85% 8% <1% 7% <1% ^ ^
75 of 95 79% 105 57 78% 11% <1% 10% <1% ^ ^
74 of 95 78% 104 58 70% 15% 1% 14% <1% ^ ^
73 of 95 77% 103 59 62% 18% 1% 18% <1% ^ ^
72 of 95 76% 102 60 52% 22% 3% 23% <1% ^ ^
71 of 95 75% 101 61 43% 25% 3% 28% 1% ^ ^
70 of 95 74% 100 62 32% 29% 5% 32% 1% <1% ^
69 of 95 73% 99 63 25% 28% 7% 37% 2% <1% ^
68 of 95 72% 98 64 17% 27% 9% 42% 5% <1% ^
67 of 95 71% 97 65 11% 25% 11% 45% 8% <1% <1%
66 of 95 69% 96 66 6% 21% 13% 46% 13% 1% <1%
65 of 95 68% 95 67 3% 16% 15% 45% 19% 3% <1%
64 of 95 67% 94 68 2% 11% 15% 40% 26% 5% <1%
63 of 95 66% 93 69 1% 8% 14% 35% 31% 10% 1%
62 of 95 65% 92 70 <1% 4% 13% 27% 36% 16% 3%
61 of 95 64% 91 71 <1% 2% 10% 20% 37% 24% 7%
60 of 95 63% 90 72 <1% 1% 7% 13% 35% 31% 13%
59 of 95 62% 89 73 <1% <1% 5% 7% 28% 35% 24%
58 of 95 61% 88 74 <1% <1% 4% 4% 20% 36% 37%
57 of 95 60% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 2% 12% 31% 53%
56 of 95 59% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 1% 6% 23% 69%
55 of 95 58% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 15% 81%
54 of 95 57% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
53 of 95 56% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
50 of 95 53% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 95 42% 70 92 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 95 32% 60 102 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 95 21% 50 112 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 95 11% 40 122 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 95 0% 30 132 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs