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Thu Jun 11 11:15 pm

MLB - Week 12 of 27

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Mariners (36‑34)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 36 34 1% 2% 2% 13% 12% 12% 59%
Current Standings 35 34 1% 1% 2% 12% 12% 11% 62%
Lose Next Game 35 35 <1% 1% 2% 11% 11% 11% 64%


Current Series - Mariners (36‑34) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 38 34 1% 2% 2% 14% 13% 12% 56%
Current Standings 35 34 1% 1% 2% 12% 12% 11% 62%
Mariners Sweeps 35 37 <1% 1% 1% 8% 10% 11% 69%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
93 of 93 100% 128 34 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 93 97% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
80 of 93 86% 115 47 99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 93 83% 112 50 95% 3% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 93 82% 111 51 93% 4% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 93 81% 110 52 90% 6% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 93 80% 109 53 86% 7% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 93 78% 108 54 80% 11% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 93 77% 107 55 73% 14% 1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 93 76% 106 56 66% 17% 1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 93 75% 105 57 59% 20% 1% 20% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 93 74% 104 58 51% 24% 2% 24% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 93 73% 103 59 42% 26% 3% 29% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 93 72% 102 60 34% 27% 4% 34% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 93 71% 101 61 28% 27% 5% 39% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 93 70% 100 62 21% 27% 6% 46% 1% <1% <1%
64 of 93 69% 99 63 15% 24% 9% 51% 1% <1% <1%
63 of 93 68% 98 64 11% 22% 10% 56% 2% <1% <1%
62 of 93 67% 97 65 7% 19% 12% 59% 4% <1% <1%
61 of 93 66% 96 66 4% 15% 12% 61% 8% <1% <1%
60 of 93 65% 95 67 2% 12% 12% 62% 12% 1% <1%
59 of 93 63% 94 68 1% 8% 11% 61% 18% 2% <1%
58 of 93 62% 93 69 <1% 5% 9% 56% 26% 3% <1%
57 of 93 61% 92 70 <1% 3% 8% 48% 33% 7% <1%
56 of 93 60% 91 71 <1% 1% 7% 40% 38% 12% 2%
55 of 93 59% 90 72 <1% 1% 5% 31% 41% 19% 4%
54 of 93 58% 89 73 <1% <1% 3% 19% 41% 28% 9%
53 of 93 57% 88 74 <1% <1% 2% 13% 35% 33% 16%
52 of 93 56% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 7% 27% 36% 28%
51 of 93 55% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 3% 19% 35% 43%
50 of 93 54% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 57%
49 of 93 53% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 72%
48 of 93 52% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 84%
47 of 93 51% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
40 of 93 43% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 93 32% 65 97 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 93 22% 55 107 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 93 11% 45 117 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 93 0% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs