The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (50‑53) vs Marlins (52‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
12 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Yankees (57‑45) vs Phillies (56‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Nationals (52‑51) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (54‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Reds (47‑54) vs Cardinals (52‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Giants (42‑60) vs Angels (41‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Mets (43‑60) vs Dodgers (65‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Rockies (41‑63) vs Brewers (64‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Orioles (50‑53) vs Braves (60‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% | ||
| Pirates (53‑50) vs Cubs (57‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (50‑53) vs Marlins (52‑51) |
4 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Nationals (52‑51) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (54‑49) |
1 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Giants (42‑60) vs Angels (41‑62) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Reds (47‑54) vs Cardinals (52‑50) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Rockies (41‑63) vs Brewers (64‑38) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Mets (43‑60) vs Dodgers (65‑38) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% | ||
| Cubs (57‑45) vs Pirates (53‑50) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Orioles (50‑53) vs Braves (60‑42) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Phillies (56‑47) vs Yankees (57‑45) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||