The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (24‑28) vs Yankees (31‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Royals (15‑38) vs Nationals (23‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Rays (38‑16) vs Dodgers (32‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Rockies (23‑30) vs Mets (27‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 76% | ||
| Pirates (26‑25) vs Mariners (27‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Giants (27‑25) vs Brewers (27‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Red Sox (28‑24) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (29‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Cubs (22‑29) vs Reds (23‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Phillies (25‑27) vs Braves (31‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Angels (28‑25) vs Marlins (27‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Cardinals (24‑30) vs Guardians (22‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (24‑28) vs Yankees (31‑23) |
4 | Padres Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Royals (15‑38) vs Nationals (23‑29) |
1 | Royals Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Rays (38‑16) vs Dodgers (32‑21) |
1 | Rays Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Rockies (23‑30) vs Mets (27‑26) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Mets Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 76% | ||
| Pirates (26‑25) vs Mariners (27‑25) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Giants (27‑25) vs Brewers (27‑25) |
1 | Giants Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Red Sox (28‑24) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (29‑23) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Cubs (22‑29) vs Reds (23‑29) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Reds Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Phillies (25‑27) vs Braves (31‑21) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Angels (28‑25) vs Marlins (27‑26) |
0 | Angels Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Cardinals (24‑30) vs Guardians (22‑29) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 76% | ||