The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (48‑42) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (45‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
31 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 59% | ||
| Orioles (40‑49) vs Mets (52‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 50% | ||
| Nationals (37‑53) vs Cardinals (48‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 50% | ||
| Marlins (41‑48) vs Reds (45‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 50% | ||
| Phillies (53‑38) vs Giants (50‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Brewers (51‑40) vs Dodgers (56‑36) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Rockies (21‑70) vs Red Sox (47‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Twins (43‑47) vs Cubs (54‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Royals (44‑48) vs Pirates (38‑54) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Braves (39‑50) vs Athletics (37‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (48‑42) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (45‑45) |
10 | Padres Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 52% | ||
| Phillies (53‑38) vs Giants (50‑42) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Giants Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 49% | ||
| Dodgers (56‑36) vs Brewers (51‑40) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 2% | 4% | 3% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 50% | ||
| Nationals (37‑53) vs Cardinals (48‑43) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Twins (43‑47) vs Cubs (54‑36) |
1 | Twins Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Royals (44‑48) vs Pirates (38‑54) |
1 | Royals Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Braves (39‑50) vs Athletics (37‑55) |
0 | Braves Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Orioles (40‑49) vs Mets (52‑39) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Mets Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Marlins (41‑48) vs Reds (45‑45) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Reds Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Rockies (21‑70) vs Red Sox (47‑45) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 49% | ||