The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (47‑41) vs Rangers (44‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
9 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 4% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Astros (54‑35) vs Dodgers (56‑34) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Athletics (37‑54) vs Giants (48‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Yankees (48‑41) vs Mets (52‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Royals (42‑48) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (44‑44) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Phillies (52‑37) vs Reds (45‑43) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Marlins (40‑47) vs Brewers (49‑40) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Nationals (37‑52) vs Red Sox (45‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Mariners (47‑42) vs Pirates (38‑52) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Cardinals (48‑42) vs Cubs (53‑36) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| White Sox (30‑59) vs Rockies (20‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Orioles (39‑49) vs Braves (39‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (47‑41) vs Rangers (44‑45) |
9 | Padres Wins | 3% | 4% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Astros (54‑35) vs Dodgers (56‑34) |
3 | Astros Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Athletics (37‑54) vs Giants (48‑42) |
2 | Athletics Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Giants Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Yankees (48‑41) vs Mets (52‑38) |
2 | Yankees Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Mets Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Royals (42‑48) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (44‑44) |
1 | Royals Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Phillies (52‑37) vs Reds (45‑43) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Reds Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Marlins (40‑47) vs Brewers (49‑40) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Nationals (37‑52) vs Red Sox (45‑45) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Mariners (47‑42) vs Pirates (38‑52) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Cardinals (48‑42) vs Cubs (53‑36) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| White Sox (30‑59) vs Rockies (20‑69) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Orioles (39‑49) vs Braves (39‑49) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Braves Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||