The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (42‑35) vs Nationals (32‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
25 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 4% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 56% | ||
| Rockies (18‑60) vs Dodgers (48‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 48% | ||
| Marlins (31‑45) vs Giants (44‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 5% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 47% | ||
| White Sox (25‑53) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 48% | ||
| Yankees (45‑32) vs Reds (39‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 48% | ||
| Pirates (31‑48) vs Brewers (43‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 4% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 48% | ||
| Braves (35‑41) vs Mets (46‑32) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 4 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 5% | 5% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Cubs (46‑31) vs Cardinals (42‑36) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Cubs Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 4 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 48% | ||
| Astros (45‑33) vs Phillies (47‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 4% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 48% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (42‑35) vs Nationals (32‑46) |
9 | Padres Wins | 5% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 50% | ||
| Rockies (18‑60) vs Dodgers (48‑31) |
3 | Rockies Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 47% | ||
| Marlins (31‑45) vs Giants (44‑34) |
2 | Marlins Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Giants Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 48% | ||
| Braves (35‑41) vs Mets (46‑32) |
1 | Braves Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Mets Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Pirates (31‑48) vs Brewers (43‑35) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Yankees (45‑32) vs Reds (39‑38) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Reds Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Astros (45‑33) vs Phillies (47‑31) |
1 | Astros Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| White Sox (25‑53) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑37) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Cubs (46‑31) vs Cardinals (42‑36) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||