The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (87‑69) vs Dodgers (96‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
17 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 70% | 26% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 32% | 58% | 5% | ||
| Marlins (76‑80) vs Cubs (87‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 53% | 29% | 16% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 9% | 53% | 37% | 2% | ||
| Rockies (57‑99) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (82‑74) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 34% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 29% | 5% | ||
| Brewers (98‑58) vs Phillies (86‑70) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 31% | 58% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 15% | 25% | 58% | 2% | ||
| Pirates (79‑77) vs Cardinals (76‑80) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Tigers (74‑83) vs Nationals (73‑84) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Braves (92‑64) vs Reds (72‑84) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Rangers (78‑78) vs Mets (71‑85) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Giants (65‑92) vs Twins (73‑84) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (87‑69) vs Dodgers (96‑60) |
6 | Padres Wins | X | X | X | 38% | 41% | 20% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | X | X | X | 18% | 40% | 40% | 3% | ||
| Marlins (76‑80) vs Cubs (87‑69) |
3 | Marlins Wins | X | X | X | 35% | 34% | 28% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Cubs Wins | X | X | X | 20% | 43% | 34% | 2% | ||
| Rockies (57‑99) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (82‑74) |
2 | Rockies Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 33% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 31% | 3% | ||
| Brewers (98‑58) vs Phillies (86‑70) |
1 | Brewers Wins | X | X | X | 28% | 46% | 24% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Phillies Wins | X | X | X | 24% | 34% | 41% | 2% | ||
| Pirates (79‑77) vs Cardinals (76‑80) |
0 | Pirates Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Tigers (74‑83) vs Nationals (73‑84) |
0 | Tigers Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Nationals Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Braves (92‑64) vs Reds (72‑84) |
0 | Braves Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Reds Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Rangers (78‑78) vs Mets (71‑85) |
0 | Rangers Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Mets Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Giants (65‑92) vs Twins (73‑84) |
0 | Giants Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Twins Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 40% | 32% | 2% | ||