The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (82‑68) vs Mets (77‑73) 3 Games Remaining |
45 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 38% | 5% | 56% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 6% | 1% | 84% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Phillies (90‑61) vs Dodgers (84‑66) 2 Games Remaining |
28 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 30% | 1% | 66% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 8% | 4% | 85% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Pirates (65‑86) vs Cubs (86‑64) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 18% | 6% | 73% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 18% | 1% | 78% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Rockies (41‑109) vs Marlins (70‑80) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 76% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 78% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Reds (75‑75) vs Cardinals (73‑78) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 19% | 3% | 76% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 18% | 2% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (76‑75) vs Giants (75‑75) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 19% | 3% | 76% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Angels (69‑81) vs Brewers (91‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 76% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (62‑88) vs Braves (67‑83) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (82‑68) vs Mets (77‑73) |
14 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 73% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | 13% | 2% | 81% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Phillies (90‑61) vs Dodgers (84‑66) |
13 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | 23% | 2% | 72% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | 13% | 3% | 81% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Pirates (65‑86) vs Cubs (86‑64) |
1 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 4% | 75% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 2% | 78% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Giants (75‑75) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (76‑75) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 76% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Marlins (70‑80) vs Rockies (41‑109) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 76% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Brewers (91‑59) vs Angels (69‑81) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals (73‑78) vs Reds (75‑75) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (62‑88) vs Braves (67‑83) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 3% | 77% | 2% | <1% | ||