The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (76‑64) vs Rockies (39‑101) 3 Games Remaining |
46 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 14% | 24% | 10% | 44% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 54% | 25% | 7% | ||
| Pirates (63‑77) vs Dodgers (78‑61) 1 Game Remaining |
13 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 10% | 24% | 7% | 45% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 16% | 9% | 52% | 13% | 2% | ||
| Nationals (56‑83) vs Cubs (80‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 20% | 19% | 38% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 20% | 5% | 52% | 13% | 2% | ||
| Cardinals (70‑71) vs Giants (71‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 20% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 48% | 12% | 3% | ||
| Red Sox (78‑63) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (70‑71) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 20% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 20% | 8% | 48% | 12% | 3% | ||
| Phillies (80‑59) vs Brewers (86‑54) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 21% | 8% | 48% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 10% | 18% | 8% | 48% | 13% | 2% | ||
| Braves (63‑77) vs Mariners (73‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 13% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 13% | 2% | ||
| Reds (70‑70) vs Mets (75‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 54% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 20% | 8% | 41% | 21% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (76‑64) vs Rockies (39‑101) |
16 | Padres Wins | <1% | 10% | 21% | 9% | 47% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | 6% | 17% | 6% | 52% | 16% | 3% | ||
| Pirates (63‑77) vs Dodgers (78‑61) |
13 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 10% | 24% | 7% | 45% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 8% | 16% | 9% | 52% | 13% | 2% | ||
| Red Sox (78‑63) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (70‑71) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 10% | 19% | 8% | 48% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Braves (63‑77) vs Mariners (73‑67) |
1 | Braves Wins | <1% | 9% | 20% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Nationals (56‑83) vs Cubs (80‑60) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | 9% | 19% | 11% | 46% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 9% | 20% | 7% | 50% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Phillies (80‑59) vs Brewers (86‑54) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 7% | 21% | 8% | 48% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 10% | 18% | 8% | 48% | 13% | 2% | ||
| Cardinals (70‑71) vs Giants (71‑69) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 9% | 20% | 9% | 48% | 13% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 9% | 19% | 9% | 48% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Reds (70‑70) vs Mets (75‑65) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | 9% | 20% | 8% | 51% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 49% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 47% | 14% | 2% | ||