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Mon Jul 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Padres Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Padres Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres
(52‑44)
vs
Nationals
(38‑58)
3 Games Remaining		 32 Padres Sweeps 3 Games 4% 7% 6% 17% 17% 16% 33%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Nationals Sweeps 3 Games 1% 3% 4% 10% 14% 15% 52%
Brewers
(56‑40)
vs
Dodgers
(58‑39)
3 Games Remaining		 8 Brewers Sweeps 3 Games 3% 7% 7% 10% 15% 15% 42%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games 3% 4% 3% 18% 16% 15% 41%
Blue Jays
(55‑41)
vs
Giants
(52‑45)
3 Games Remaining		 5 Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 40%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Giants Sweeps 3 Games 3% 5% 5% 14% 15% 15% 43%
Angels
(47‑49)
vs
Phillies
(55‑41)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Angels Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 5% 15% 17% 15% 40%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Phillies Sweeps 3 Games 2% 5% 6% 13% 16% 15% 42%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(47‑49)
vs
Cardinals
(51‑46)
3 Games Remaining		 2 DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 5% 15% 16% 15% 40%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
Royals
(47‑50)
vs
Marlins
(44‑51)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Royals Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Marlins Sweeps 3 Games 3% 5% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
Rockies
(22‑74)
vs
Twins
(47‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Rockies Sweeps 3 Games 3% 5% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Twins Sweeps 3 Games 3% 5% 5% 14% 16% 16% 42%
Braves
(42‑53)
vs
Yankees
(53‑43)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Braves Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Yankees Sweeps 3 Games 3% 5% 5% 14% 15% 15% 42%
Red Sox
(53‑45)
vs
Cubs
(57‑39)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games 3% 5% 5% 15% 15% 15% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Cubs Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
Reds
(49‑47)
vs
Mets
(55‑42)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Reds Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 5% 15% 16% 15% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Mets Sweeps 3 Games 3% 5% 6% 13% 16% 16% 41%
Pirates
(39‑58)
vs
White Sox
(32‑65)
3 Games Remaining		 0 Pirates Sweeps 3 Games 3% 5% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
White Sox Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%


Padres Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres
(52‑44)
vs
Nationals
(38‑58)		 11 Padres Wins 3% 6% 5% 15% 16% 15% 39%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Nationals Wins 2% 5% 5% 12% 15% 15% 45%
Blue Jays
(55‑41)
vs
Giants
(52‑45)		 3 Blue Jays Wins 3% 6% 6% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Giants Wins 3% 5% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
Brewers
(56‑40)
vs
Dodgers
(58‑39)		 2 Brewers Wins 3% 6% 6% 12% 15% 16% 42%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Dodgers Wins 3% 5% 5% 15% 16% 15% 42%
Red Sox
(53‑45)
vs
Cubs
(57‑39)		 2 Red Sox Wins 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 16% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Cubs Wins 3% 6% 5% 14% 15% 15% 42%
Angels
(47‑49)
vs
Phillies
(55‑41)		 2 Angels Wins 3% 6% 5% 14% 15% 15% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Phillies Wins 3% 5% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
Mets
(55‑42)
vs
Reds
(49‑47)		 1 Mets Wins 3% 5% 6% 15% 15% 15% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Reds Wins 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
Twins
(47‑49)
vs
Rockies
(22‑74)		 0 Twins Wins 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Rockies Wins 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(47‑49)
vs
Cardinals
(51‑46)		 0 DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 3% 5% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Cardinals Wins 3% 6% 5% 14% 15% 15% 42%
White Sox
(32‑65)
vs
Pirates
(39‑58)		 0 White Sox Wins 3% 6% 5% 14% 15% 15% 42%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Pirates Wins 3% 5% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
Royals
(47‑50)
vs
Marlins
(44‑51)		 0 Royals Wins 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 16% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Marlins Wins 3% 5% 5% 14% 16% 16% 41%
Yankees
(53‑43)
vs
Braves
(42‑53)		 0 Yankees Wins 3% 5% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 41%
Braves Wins 3% 6% 5% 14% 16% 15% 42%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs