The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (84‑68) vs Rockies (65‑87) 1 Game Remaining |
12 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 57% | 33% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | 38% | 41% | 21% | ||
| Reds (59‑93) vs Brewers (82‑70) 1 Game Remaining |
8 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 49% | 34% | 18% | ||
| Braves (94‑58) vs Phillies (83‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | 57% | 30% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 43% | 42% | 16% | ||
| Cardinals (89‑64) vs Dodgers (105‑47) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 49% | 36% | 15% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (71‑82) vs Giants (74‑78) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 15% | ||
| Pirates (56‑96) vs Cubs (66‑86) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Marlins (63‑89) vs Nationals (52‑99) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Athletics (56‑96) vs Mets (96‑57) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (84‑68) vs Rockies (65‑87) |
12 | Padres Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 57% | 33% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Rockies Wins | X | X | X | X | 38% | 41% | 21% | ||
| Reds (59‑93) vs Brewers (82‑70) |
8 | Reds Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Brewers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 49% | 34% | 18% | ||
| Braves (94‑58) vs Phillies (83‑68) |
3 | Braves Wins | X | X | X | X | 57% | 30% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Phillies Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 43% | 42% | 16% | ||
| Cardinals (89‑64) vs Dodgers (105‑47) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 49% | 36% | 15% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (71‑82) vs Giants (74‑78) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Giants Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 15% | ||
| Pirates (56‑96) vs Cubs (66‑86) |
0 | Pirates Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Cubs Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Marlins (63‑89) vs Nationals (52‑99) |
0 | Marlins Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Nationals Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Athletics (56‑96) vs Mets (96‑57) |
0 | Athletics Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Mets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||