The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (40‑37) vs Braves (48‑29) 2 Games Remaining |
14 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 71% | ||
| Mariners (40‑39) vs Pirates (39‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Twins (38‑42) vs Dodgers (50‑29) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Mets (34‑43) vs Cubs (40‑37) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 68% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑39) vs Cardinals (42‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Rangers (38‑40) vs Marlins (40‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Brewers (47‑29) vs Reds (37‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Red Sox (31‑45) vs Rockies (31‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Nationals (41‑38) vs Phillies (42‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Athletics (38‑40) vs Giants (31‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (40‑37) vs Braves (48‑29) |
6 | Padres Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Twins (38‑42) vs Dodgers (50‑29) |
2 | Twins Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Mets (34‑43) vs Cubs (40‑37) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Mariners (40‑39) vs Pirates (39‑39) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Red Sox (31‑45) vs Rockies (31‑48) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 68% | ||
| Brewers (47‑29) vs Reds (37‑40) |
1 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Reds Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Phillies (42‑36) vs Nationals (41‑38) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Rangers (38‑40) vs Marlins (40‑39) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Giants (31‑46) vs Athletics (38‑40) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Cardinals (42‑34) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑39) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 67% | ||