The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (55‑50) vs Orioles (61‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
34 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 8% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 53% | ||
| Astros (53‑49) vs Dodgers (62‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
10 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Nationals (47‑56) vs Cardinals (53‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Rays (52‑51) vs Reds (49‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 5% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Royals (56‑47) vs Cubs (49‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Rockies (38‑65) vs Giants (49‑55) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Rockies Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Pirates (52‑50) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (53‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Mets (54‑48) vs Braves (54‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 5% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Marlins (37‑66) vs Brewers (59‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Phillies (64‑38) vs Guardians (61‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 45% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (55‑50) vs Orioles (61‑41) |
12 | Padres Wins | <1% | 4% | 6% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 49% | ||
| Astros (53‑49) vs Dodgers (62‑42) |
3 | Astros Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Marlins (37‑66) vs Brewers (59‑43) |
2 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Rays (52‑51) vs Reds (49‑53) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Pirates (52‑50) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (53‑50) |
1 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Nationals (47‑56) vs Cardinals (53‑49) |
1 | Nationals Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Giants (49‑55) vs Rockies (38‑65) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Braves (54‑47) vs Mets (54‑48) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Phillies (64‑38) vs Guardians (61‑41) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Cubs (49‑55) vs Royals (56‑47) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 45% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 46% | ||