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Thu Jul 10 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Diamondbacks (46‑46)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 50 43 3% 4% 5% 12% 14% 14% 48%
Current Standings 49 43 2% 4% 5% 11% 13% 14% 51%
Lose Next Game 49 44 2% 4% 4% 9% 12% 13% 55%


Current Series - Diamondbacks (46‑46) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 50 43 3% 4% 5% 12% 14% 14% 48%
Current Standings 49 43 2% 4% 5% 11% 13% 14% 51%
Diamondbacks Sweeps 49 44 2% 4% 4% 9% 12% 13% 55%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
70 of 70 100% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 70 86% 109 53 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 70 79% 104 58 94% 5% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 70 77% 103 59 90% 8% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 70 76% 102 60 85% 11% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 70 74% 101 61 78% 15% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 70 73% 100 62 69% 21% 1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 70 71% 99 63 58% 26% 2% 13% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 70 70% 98 64 45% 32% 4% 19% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 70 69% 97 65 34% 33% 7% 25% 1% <1% <1%
47 of 70 67% 96 66 22% 34% 11% 32% 2% <1% <1%
46 of 70 66% 95 67 13% 30% 14% 38% 5% <1% <1%
45 of 70 64% 94 68 7% 24% 17% 42% 10% <1% <1%
44 of 70 63% 93 69 3% 17% 18% 43% 17% 2% <1%
43 of 70 61% 92 70 1% 10% 18% 39% 26% 5% <1%
42 of 70 60% 91 71 <1% 6% 15% 32% 34% 11% 2%
41 of 70 59% 90 72 <1% 2% 12% 22% 38% 21% 4%
40 of 70 57% 89 73 <1% 1% 8% 13% 36% 30% 11%
39 of 70 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 5% 6% 28% 38% 23%
38 of 70 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 2% 17% 37% 40%
37 of 70 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 29% 60%
36 of 70 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 19% 77%
35 of 70 50% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 88%
30 of 70 43% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 70 29% 69 93 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 70 14% 59 103 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 70 0% 49 113 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs