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Thu Jul 23 10:15 pm

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Marlins (52‑51)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 51 53 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 88%
Current Standings 50 53 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 90%
Lose Next Game 50 54 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 92%


Current Series - Marlins (52‑51) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 53 53 <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 9% 83%
Current Standings 50 53 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 90%
Marlins Sweeps 50 56 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 94%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
59 of 59 100% 109 53 98% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 59 97% 107 55 93% 2% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 59 95% 106 56 89% 3% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 59 93% 105 57 83% 6% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 59 92% 104 58 73% 9% <1% 18% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 59 90% 103 59 63% 13% <1% 24% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 59 88% 102 60 52% 17% <1% 30% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 59 86% 101 61 41% 20% 1% 38% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 59 85% 100 62 28% 22% 1% 49% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 59 83% 99 63 19% 22% 2% 57% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 59 81% 98 64 12% 20% 3% 65% 1% <1% <1%
47 of 59 80% 97 65 6% 16% 4% 72% 2% <1% <1%
46 of 59 78% 96 66 3% 12% 5% 77% 4% <1% <1%
45 of 59 76% 95 67 1% 9% 4% 78% 7% <1% <1%
44 of 59 75% 94 68 <1% 5% 4% 78% 12% <1% <1%
43 of 59 73% 93 69 <1% 3% 4% 72% 20% 1% <1%
42 of 59 71% 92 70 <1% 1% 2% 64% 29% 3% <1%
41 of 59 69% 91 71 <1% <1% 2% 52% 39% 7% <1%
40 of 59 68% 90 72 <1% <1% 1% 37% 46% 14% 1%
39 of 59 66% 89 73 <1% <1% 1% 25% 46% 24% 4%
38 of 59 64% 88 74 <1% <1% <1% 13% 40% 34% 12%
37 of 59 63% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 6% 30% 39% 25%
36 of 59 61% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 37% 43%
35 of 59 59% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 64%
34 of 59 58% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 82%
33 of 59 56% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
30 of 59 51% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 59 34% 70 92 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 59 17% 60 102 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 59 0% 50 112 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs