The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 12 | 10 | 6% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 53% |
| Current Standings | 11 | 10 | 6% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 55% |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 11 | 5% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 55% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Padres Sweeps | 14 | 10 | 6% | 10% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 53% |
| Current Standings | 11 | 10 | 6% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 55% |
| Blue Jays Sweeps | 11 | 13 | 4% | 9% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 57% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 141 of 141 | 100% | 152 | 10 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 140 of 141 | 99% | 151 | 11 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 141 | 92% | 141 | 21 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 120 of 141 | 85% | 131 | 31 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 110 of 141 | 78% | 121 | 41 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 109 of 141 | 77% | 120 | 42 | 92% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 108 of 141 | 77% | 119 | 43 | 89% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 107 of 141 | 76% | 118 | 44 | 86% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 106 of 141 | 75% | 117 | 45 | 81% | 17% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 105 of 141 | 74% | 116 | 46 | 78% | 19% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 104 of 141 | 74% | 115 | 47 | 73% | 24% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 103 of 141 | 73% | 114 | 48 | 68% | 28% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 102 of 141 | 72% | 113 | 49 | 62% | 31% | 4% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 101 of 141 | 72% | 112 | 50 | 57% | 35% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 100 of 141 | 71% | 111 | 51 | 51% | 38% | 6% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 99 of 141 | 70% | 110 | 52 | 44% | 41% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 98 of 141 | 70% | 109 | 53 | 38% | 43% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 97 of 141 | 69% | 108 | 54 | 31% | 46% | 14% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 96 of 141 | 68% | 107 | 55 | 27% | 45% | 17% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 95 of 141 | 67% | 106 | 56 | 21% | 45% | 20% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 94 of 141 | 67% | 105 | 57 | 17% | 44% | 23% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 93 of 141 | 66% | 104 | 58 | 13% | 41% | 26% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 92 of 141 | 65% | 103 | 59 | 10% | 39% | 29% | 16% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| 91 of 141 | 65% | 102 | 60 | 7% | 36% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| 90 of 141 | 64% | 101 | 61 | 5% | 31% | 34% | 19% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| 89 of 141 | 63% | 100 | 62 | 3% | 27% | 36% | 18% | 12% | 3% | <1% |
| 88 of 141 | 62% | 99 | 63 | 2% | 23% | 38% | 18% | 14% | 4% | <1% |
| 87 of 141 | 62% | 98 | 64 | 1% | 19% | 38% | 18% | 17% | 6% | 1% |
| 86 of 141 | 61% | 97 | 65 | 1% | 16% | 38% | 17% | 19% | 8% | 1% |
| 85 of 141 | 60% | 96 | 66 | 1% | 12% | 37% | 15% | 21% | 11% | 3% |
| 84 of 141 | 60% | 95 | 67 | <1% | 10% | 37% | 13% | 22% | 13% | 4% |
| 83 of 141 | 59% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 8% | 35% | 12% | 23% | 17% | 6% |
| 82 of 141 | 58% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 6% | 34% | 10% | 22% | 19% | 9% |
| 81 of 141 | 57% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 4% | 30% | 9% | 22% | 22% | 13% |
| 80 of 141 | 57% | 91 | 71 | <1% | 3% | 28% | 7% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| 79 of 141 | 56% | 90 | 72 | <1% | 2% | 26% | 5% | 19% | 25% | 23% |
| 78 of 141 | 55% | 89 | 73 | <1% | 2% | 24% | 4% | 16% | 27% | 29% |
| 77 of 141 | 55% | 88 | 74 | <1% | 1% | 21% | 3% | 14% | 26% | 35% |
| 76 of 141 | 54% | 87 | 75 | <1% | 1% | 19% | 2% | 11% | 24% | 44% |
| 75 of 141 | 53% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 16% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 51% |
| 74 of 141 | 52% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 14% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 59% |
| 73 of 141 | 52% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 12% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 67% |
| 72 of 141 | 51% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 73% |
| 71 of 141 | 50% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 9% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 78% |
| 70 of 141 | 50% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 8% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 83% |
| 69 of 141 | 49% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 88% |
| 68 of 141 | 48% | 79 | 83 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 91% |
| 67 of 141 | 48% | 78 | 84 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 93% |
| 66 of 141 | 47% | 77 | 85 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 95% |
| 60 of 141 | 43% | 71 | 91 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| 50 of 141 | 35% | 61 | 101 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 141 | 28% | 51 | 111 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 141 | 21% | 41 | 121 | X | X | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 20 of 141 | 14% | 31 | 131 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 141 | 7% | 21 | 141 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 141 | 0% | 11 | 151 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |