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Sun Jun 7 1:45 am

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Mets (28‑36)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 34 30 1% 2% 5% 8% 9% 10% 66%
Current Standings 33 30 1% 2% 5% 7% 9% 10% 67%
Lose Next Game 33 31 <1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 9% 69%


Current Series - Mets (28‑36) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 34 30 1% 2% 5% 8% 9% 10% 66%
Current Standings 33 30 1% 2% 5% 7% 9% 10% 67%
Mets Sweeps 33 31 <1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 9% 69%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
99 of 99 100% 132 30 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 99 91% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 99 81% 113 49 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 99 79% 111 51 92% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 99 78% 110 52 90% 9% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 99 77% 109 53 85% 13% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 99 76% 108 54 81% 16% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 99 75% 107 55 74% 21% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 99 74% 106 56 67% 25% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 99 73% 105 57 58% 30% 2% 9% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 99 72% 104 58 51% 33% 4% 12% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 99 71% 103 59 43% 37% 5% 16% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 99 70% 102 60 35% 38% 7% 20% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 99 69% 101 61 27% 39% 9% 24% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 99 68% 100 62 21% 38% 11% 30% 1% <1% <1%
66 of 99 67% 99 63 15% 35% 14% 35% 1% <1% <1%
65 of 99 66% 98 64 10% 32% 17% 38% 3% <1% <1%
64 of 99 65% 97 65 7% 28% 19% 42% 4% <1% <1%
63 of 99 64% 96 66 4% 22% 22% 45% 8% <1% <1%
62 of 99 63% 95 67 2% 17% 23% 45% 12% 1% <1%
61 of 99 62% 94 68 1% 12% 23% 44% 17% 3% <1%
60 of 99 61% 93 69 <1% 8% 21% 41% 24% 5% <1%
59 of 99 60% 92 70 <1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8% 1%
58 of 99 59% 91 71 <1% 3% 17% 28% 35% 14% 3%
57 of 99 58% 90 72 <1% 1% 13% 21% 36% 21% 6%
56 of 99 57% 89 73 <1% <1% 11% 14% 34% 28% 12%
55 of 99 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 8% 9% 28% 34% 21%
54 of 99 55% 87 75 <1% <1% 6% 5% 22% 34% 33%
53 of 99 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 2% 15% 32% 48%
52 of 99 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 1% 9% 25% 62%
51 of 99 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 5% 18% 75%
50 of 99 51% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 11% 86%
49 of 99 49% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
40 of 99 40% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 99 30% 63 99 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 99 20% 53 109 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 99 10% 43 119 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 99 0% 33 129 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs