PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Jun 24 11:45 pm

MLB - Week 15 of 28

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Nationals (38‑39)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 42 41 <1% 2% 5% 7% 12% 13% 61%
Current Standings 41 41 <1% 2% 5% 6% 12% 12% 64%
Lose Next Game 41 42 <1% 1% 4% 5% 11% 11% 67%


Current Series - Nationals (38‑39) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 44 41 <1% 3% 5% 8% 14% 14% 56%
Current Standings 41 41 <1% 2% 5% 6% 12% 12% 64%
Nationals Sweeps 41 44 <1% 1% 3% 4% 8% 10% 73%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
80 of 80 100% 121 41 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
72 of 80 90% 113 49 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 80 89% 112 50 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 80 88% 111 51 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 80 86% 110 52 87% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 80 85% 109 53 83% 17% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 80 84% 108 54 79% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 80 83% 107 55 73% 26% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 80 81% 106 56 67% 31% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 80 80% 105 57 61% 36% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 80 79% 104 58 54% 41% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 80 78% 103 59 46% 46% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 80 76% 102 60 38% 50% 4% 8% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 80 75% 101 61 31% 52% 6% 11% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 80 74% 100 62 24% 53% 8% 14% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 80 73% 99 63 18% 52% 10% 19% 1% <1% <1%
57 of 80 71% 98 64 12% 50% 14% 23% 1% <1% <1%
56 of 80 70% 97 65 8% 44% 18% 28% 2% <1% <1%
55 of 80 69% 96 66 5% 40% 20% 31% 4% <1% <1%
54 of 80 68% 95 67 3% 32% 22% 36% 8% <1% <1%
53 of 80 66% 94 68 2% 26% 23% 38% 11% <1% <1%
52 of 80 65% 93 69 1% 20% 24% 38% 17% 1% <1%
51 of 80 64% 92 70 <1% 15% 23% 37% 23% 2% <1%
50 of 80 63% 91 71 <1% 9% 22% 35% 30% 4% <1%
49 of 80 61% 90 72 <1% 6% 19% 31% 36% 7% <1%
48 of 80 60% 89 73 <1% 4% 16% 25% 41% 14% 1%
47 of 80 59% 88 74 <1% 2% 13% 18% 42% 21% 4%
46 of 80 58% 87 75 <1% 1% 10% 12% 40% 29% 8%
45 of 80 56% 86 76 <1% <1% 7% 7% 33% 35% 18%
44 of 80 55% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% 3% 23% 38% 30%
43 of 80 54% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% 2% 15% 35% 46%
42 of 80 53% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% 1% 8% 27% 63%
41 of 80 51% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 17% 78%
40 of 80 50% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 89%
39 of 80 49% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
30 of 80 38% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 80 25% 61 101 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 80 13% 51 111 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 80 0% 41 121 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs