PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Apr 24 4:30 am

MLB - Week 6 of 28

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Rays (10‑14)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 18 8 18% 9% 5% 16% 11% 8% 34%
Current Standings 17 8 18% 9% 5% 15% 11% 8% 35%
Lose Next Game 17 9 17% 9% 5% 15% 10% 8% 36%


Current Series - Rays (10‑14) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 20 8 19% 9% 5% 15% 10% 9% 33%
Current Standings 17 8 18% 9% 5% 15% 11% 8% 35%
Rays Sweeps 17 11 14% 9% 4% 15% 11% 9% 38%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
137 of 137 100% 154 8 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 137 95% 147 15 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 137 88% 137 25 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
110 of 137 80% 127 35 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 137 76% 121 41 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 137 75% 120 42 93% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 137 74% 119 43 91% 8% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 137 74% 118 44 89% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 137 73% 117 45 85% 12% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 137 72% 116 46 83% 14% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 137 72% 115 47 79% 16% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 137 71% 114 48 74% 19% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 137 70% 113 49 68% 22% 2% 9% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 137 69% 112 50 63% 24% 2% 10% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 137 69% 111 51 57% 26% 3% 14% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 137 68% 110 52 52% 28% 3% 16% 1% <1% <1%
92 of 137 67% 109 53 46% 29% 4% 21% 1% <1% <1%
91 of 137 66% 108 54 40% 30% 5% 24% 1% <1% <1%
90 of 137 66% 107 55 34% 29% 6% 28% 2% <1% <1%
89 of 137 65% 106 56 29% 30% 7% 31% 4% <1% <1%
88 of 137 64% 105 57 23% 29% 8% 35% 5% <1% <1%
87 of 137 64% 104 58 19% 28% 8% 37% 7% <1% <1%
86 of 137 63% 103 59 15% 25% 10% 40% 9% 1% <1%
85 of 137 62% 102 60 10% 24% 11% 42% 12% 1% <1%
84 of 137 61% 101 61 8% 22% 11% 41% 16% 2% <1%
83 of 137 61% 100 62 5% 19% 12% 41% 19% 3% <1%
82 of 137 60% 99 63 4% 16% 13% 40% 23% 4% <1%
81 of 137 59% 98 64 2% 13% 13% 38% 27% 7% 1%
80 of 137 58% 97 65 2% 11% 13% 34% 30% 9% 1%
79 of 137 58% 96 66 1% 8% 13% 31% 33% 12% 2%
78 of 137 57% 95 67 1% 6% 13% 26% 35% 16% 4%
77 of 137 56% 94 68 <1% 4% 12% 22% 35% 21% 6%
76 of 137 55% 93 69 <1% 3% 11% 18% 35% 24% 9%
75 of 137 55% 92 70 <1% 2% 9% 13% 33% 28% 14%
74 of 137 54% 91 71 <1% 1% 8% 10% 30% 32% 19%
73 of 137 53% 90 72 <1% 1% 7% 7% 25% 33% 27%
72 of 137 53% 89 73 <1% 1% 6% 5% 21% 33% 34%
71 of 137 52% 88 74 <1% <1% 5% 3% 17% 32% 43%
70 of 137 51% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 2% 12% 29% 53%
69 of 137 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 1% 9% 24% 63%
68 of 137 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 1% 6% 21% 70%
67 of 137 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 4% 16% 78%
66 of 137 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 11% 85%
65 of 137 47% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 8% 90%
64 of 137 47% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
60 of 137 44% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
50 of 137 36% 67 95 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 137 29% 57 105 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 137 22% 47 115 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 137 15% 37 125 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 137 7% 27 135 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 137 0% 17 145 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs