The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 18 | 8 | 18% | 9% | 5% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 34% |
| Current Standings | 17 | 8 | 18% | 9% | 5% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 35% |
| Lose Next Game | 17 | 9 | 17% | 9% | 5% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 36% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Padres Sweeps | 20 | 8 | 19% | 9% | 5% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 33% |
| Current Standings | 17 | 8 | 18% | 9% | 5% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 35% |
| Rays Sweeps | 17 | 11 | 14% | 9% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 38% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 137 of 137 | 100% | 154 | 8 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 137 | 95% | 147 | 15 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 120 of 137 | 88% | 137 | 25 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 110 of 137 | 80% | 127 | 35 | 99% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 104 of 137 | 76% | 121 | 41 | 94% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 103 of 137 | 75% | 120 | 42 | 93% | 6% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 102 of 137 | 74% | 119 | 43 | 91% | 8% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 101 of 137 | 74% | 118 | 44 | 89% | 10% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 100 of 137 | 73% | 117 | 45 | 85% | 12% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 99 of 137 | 72% | 116 | 46 | 83% | 14% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 98 of 137 | 72% | 115 | 47 | 79% | 16% | 1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 97 of 137 | 71% | 114 | 48 | 74% | 19% | 1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 96 of 137 | 70% | 113 | 49 | 68% | 22% | 2% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 95 of 137 | 69% | 112 | 50 | 63% | 24% | 2% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 94 of 137 | 69% | 111 | 51 | 57% | 26% | 3% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 93 of 137 | 68% | 110 | 52 | 52% | 28% | 3% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 92 of 137 | 67% | 109 | 53 | 46% | 29% | 4% | 21% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 91 of 137 | 66% | 108 | 54 | 40% | 30% | 5% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 90 of 137 | 66% | 107 | 55 | 34% | 29% | 6% | 28% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 89 of 137 | 65% | 106 | 56 | 29% | 30% | 7% | 31% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 88 of 137 | 64% | 105 | 57 | 23% | 29% | 8% | 35% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 87 of 137 | 64% | 104 | 58 | 19% | 28% | 8% | 37% | 7% | <1% | <1% |
| 86 of 137 | 63% | 103 | 59 | 15% | 25% | 10% | 40% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
| 85 of 137 | 62% | 102 | 60 | 10% | 24% | 11% | 42% | 12% | 1% | <1% |
| 84 of 137 | 61% | 101 | 61 | 8% | 22% | 11% | 41% | 16% | 2% | <1% |
| 83 of 137 | 61% | 100 | 62 | 5% | 19% | 12% | 41% | 19% | 3% | <1% |
| 82 of 137 | 60% | 99 | 63 | 4% | 16% | 13% | 40% | 23% | 4% | <1% |
| 81 of 137 | 59% | 98 | 64 | 2% | 13% | 13% | 38% | 27% | 7% | 1% |
| 80 of 137 | 58% | 97 | 65 | 2% | 11% | 13% | 34% | 30% | 9% | 1% |
| 79 of 137 | 58% | 96 | 66 | 1% | 8% | 13% | 31% | 33% | 12% | 2% |
| 78 of 137 | 57% | 95 | 67 | 1% | 6% | 13% | 26% | 35% | 16% | 4% |
| 77 of 137 | 56% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 4% | 12% | 22% | 35% | 21% | 6% |
| 76 of 137 | 55% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 3% | 11% | 18% | 35% | 24% | 9% |
| 75 of 137 | 55% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 2% | 9% | 13% | 33% | 28% | 14% |
| 74 of 137 | 54% | 91 | 71 | <1% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 30% | 32% | 19% |
| 73 of 137 | 53% | 90 | 72 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 25% | 33% | 27% |
| 72 of 137 | 53% | 89 | 73 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 21% | 33% | 34% |
| 71 of 137 | 52% | 88 | 74 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 32% | 43% |
| 70 of 137 | 51% | 87 | 75 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 2% | 12% | 29% | 53% |
| 69 of 137 | 50% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 24% | 63% |
| 68 of 137 | 50% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 70% |
| 67 of 137 | 49% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 78% |
| 66 of 137 | 48% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 85% |
| 65 of 137 | 47% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 90% |
| 64 of 137 | 47% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% |
| 60 of 137 | 44% | 77 | 85 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| 50 of 137 | 36% | 67 | 95 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 137 | 29% | 57 | 105 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 137 | 22% | 47 | 115 | X | X | <1% | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 20 of 137 | 15% | 37 | 125 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 137 | 7% | 27 | 135 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 137 | 0% | 17 | 145 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |