PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Jun 4 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Cubs (26‑32)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 28 32 1% 2% 2% 4% 7% 8% 78%
Current Standings 27 32 <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 79%
Lose Next Game 27 33 <1% 1% 1% 4% 6% 7% 80%


Current Series - Cubs (26‑32) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 28 32 1% 2% 2% 4% 7% 8% 78%
Current Standings 27 32 <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 79%
Cubs Sweeps 27 33 <1% 1% 1% 4% 6% 7% 80%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
103 of 103 100% 130 32 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 103 97% 127 35 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 103 87% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 103 78% 107 55 95% 3% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 103 77% 106 56 93% 5% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 103 76% 105 57 90% 7% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 103 75% 104 58 86% 9% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 103 74% 103 59 82% 11% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 103 73% 102 60 75% 15% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 103 72% 101 61 69% 18% 1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 103 71% 100 62 61% 20% 1% 17% 1% <1% <1%
72 of 103 70% 99 63 53% 23% 2% 21% 1% <1% <1%
71 of 103 69% 98 64 43% 26% 2% 27% 2% <1% <1%
70 of 103 68% 97 65 35% 27% 4% 31% 3% <1% <1%
69 of 103 67% 96 66 26% 29% 5% 35% 5% <1% <1%
68 of 103 66% 95 67 19% 28% 7% 39% 7% <1% <1%
67 of 103 65% 94 68 14% 26% 8% 42% 11% <1% <1%
66 of 103 64% 93 69 8% 22% 10% 43% 16% 1% <1%
65 of 103 63% 92 70 5% 19% 10% 42% 21% 3% <1%
64 of 103 62% 91 71 3% 14% 11% 40% 27% 5% <1%
63 of 103 61% 90 72 2% 9% 11% 37% 33% 8% 1%
62 of 103 60% 89 73 1% 7% 10% 31% 37% 13% 2%
61 of 103 59% 88 74 <1% 4% 8% 24% 39% 20% 4%
60 of 103 58% 87 75 <1% 2% 7% 16% 37% 27% 10%
59 of 103 57% 86 76 <1% 1% 5% 11% 33% 33% 17%
58 of 103 56% 85 77 <1% <1% 4% 6% 25% 36% 28%
57 of 103 55% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% 3% 17% 34% 44%
56 of 103 54% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 28% 61%
55 of 103 53% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 5% 19% 75%
54 of 103 52% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
53 of 103 51% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 94%
50 of 103 49% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 103 39% 67 95 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 103 29% 57 105 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 103 19% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 103 10% 37 125 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 103 0% 27 135 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs