The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (85‑68) vs Mets (69‑84) 3 Games Remaining |
17 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 3% | 57% | 34% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | <1% | 8% | 39% | 48% | 5% | ||
| Reds (71‑82) vs Cubs (85‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 56% | 26% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 60% | 25% | 1% | ||
| Astros (77‑76) vs Braves (89‑64) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 4% | 30% | 43% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Yankees (88‑64) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (80‑73) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 42% | 21% | 3% | ||
| Marlins (76‑77) vs Padres (84‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 36% | 57% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 28% | 33% | 37% | 1% | ||
| Royals (67‑86) vs Pirates (76‑77) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 32% | 44% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 43% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Dodgers (93‑60) vs Giants (64‑89) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | 1% | 33% | 43% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Orioles (75‑78) vs Brewers (95‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Rockies (56‑97) vs Mariners (71‑82) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Cardinals (75‑78) vs Nationals (71‑82) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (85‑68) vs Mets (69‑84) |
6 | Phillies Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 43% | 15% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Mets Wins | X | X | <1% | 23% | 45% | 30% | 2% | ||
| Reds (71‑82) vs Cubs (85‑68) |
3 | Reds Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 41% | 37% | 21% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Cubs Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 26% | 48% | 24% | 1% | ||
| Astros (77‑76) vs Braves (89‑64) |
1 | Astros Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 32% | 43% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Braves Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 33% | 43% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Yankees (88‑64) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (80‑73) |
1 | Yankees Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 43% | 22% | 2% | ||
| Marlins (76‑77) vs Padres (84‑69) |
1 | Marlins Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 34% | 48% | 15% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Padres Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 32% | 40% | 27% | 1% | ||
| Pirates (76‑77) vs Royals (67‑86) |
0 | Pirates Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 43% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Royals Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Giants (64‑89) vs Dodgers (93‑60) |
0 | Giants Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 43% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | X | X | 1% | 33% | 43% | 23% | 1% | ||
| Orioles (75‑78) vs Brewers (95‑58) |
0 | Orioles Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Brewers Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Rockies (56‑97) vs Mariners (71‑82) |
0 | Rockies Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Mariners Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Cardinals (75‑78) vs Nationals (71‑82) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||
| Nationals Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 1% | ||