The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (41‑29) vs Blue Jays (38‑32) 1 Game Remaining |
8 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 9% | 9% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 33% | ||
| Rays (38‑32) vs Mets (45‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 9% | 8% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Pirates (29‑43) vs Cubs (43‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 12% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Marlins (27‑41) vs Nationals (30‑40) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 31% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑33) vs Padres (38‑31) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 30% | ||
| Braves (31‑38) vs Rockies (13‑57) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 31% | ||
| Dodgers (42‑29) vs Giants (41‑30) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Brewers (38‑34) vs Cardinals (37‑34) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Tigers (46‑26) vs Reds (35‑35) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 12% | 12% | 31% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (41‑29) vs Blue Jays (38‑32) |
8 | Phillies Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 33% | ||
| Rays (38‑32) vs Mets (45‑26) |
5 | Rays Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Mets Wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Pirates (29‑43) vs Cubs (43‑28) |
2 | Pirates Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 12% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Marlins (27‑41) vs Nationals (30‑40) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 31% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑33) vs Padres (38‑31) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Padres Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 30% | ||
| Braves (31‑38) vs Rockies (13‑57) |
1 | Braves Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 31% | ||
| Dodgers (42‑29) vs Giants (41‑30) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Giants Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Brewers (38‑34) vs Cardinals (37‑34) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Tigers (46‑26) vs Reds (35‑35) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 31% | ||
| Reds Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 12% | 12% | 31% | ||