The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (39‑29) vs Blue Jays (38‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
23 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 7% | 7% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 6% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 45% | ||
| Rays (36‑32) vs Mets (45‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 7% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 5% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Rockies (13‑55) vs Braves (29‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Pirates (28‑42) vs Cubs (42‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Tigers (45‑25) vs Reds (34‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Giants (40‑29) vs Dodgers (41‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Brewers (37‑33) vs Cardinals (36‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Marlins (25‑41) vs Nationals (30‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Padres (38‑29) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (34‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (39‑29) vs Blue Jays (38‑30) |
8 | Phillies Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 17% | 13% | 13% | 41% | ||
| Rays (36‑32) vs Mets (45‑24) |
3 | Rays Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Mets Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Nationals (30‑38) vs Marlins (25‑41) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 40% | ||
| Giants (40‑29) vs Dodgers (41‑28) |
1 | Giants Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (34‑33) vs Padres (38‑29) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Padres Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Pirates (28‑42) vs Cubs (42‑27) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Braves (29‑38) vs Rockies (13‑55) |
0 | Braves Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Tigers (45‑25) vs Reds (34‑34) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Reds Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Cardinals (36‑33) vs Brewers (37‑33) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 39% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 39% | ||