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Sat Jul 5 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Phillies Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Phillies Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies
(51‑37)
vs
Reds
(45‑42)
2 Games Remaining		 24 Phillies Sweeps 2 Games 12% 19% 28% 11% 9% 8% 13%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Reds Sweeps 2 Games 7% 14% 28% 9% 10% 9% 22%
Yankees
(48‑40)
vs
Mets
(51‑38)
2 Games Remaining		 11 Yankees Sweeps 2 Games 10% 18% 32% 8% 8% 8% 16%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Mets Sweeps 2 Games 10% 16% 26% 12% 10% 9% 17%
Rangers
(43‑45)
vs
Padres
(47‑40)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Rangers Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 11% 10% 8% 16%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Padres Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 8% 17%
White Sox
(29‑59)
vs
Rockies
(20‑68)
2 Games Remaining		 2 White Sox Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 11% 10% 8% 16%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Rockies Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 10% 9% 17%
Athletics
(37‑53)
vs
Giants
(47‑42)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Athletics Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 11% 10% 9% 16%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Giants Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 8% 17%
Pirates
(38‑51)
vs
Mariners
(46‑42)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Pirates Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 10% 9% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Mariners Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 10% 9% 17%
Marlins
(39‑47)
vs
Brewers
(49‑39)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Marlins Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 11% 10% 8% 16%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Brewers Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Cubs
(53‑35)
vs
Cardinals
(47‑42)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Cubs Sweeps 2 Games 9% 17% 28% 10% 10% 9% 16%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games 11% 17% 26% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Red Sox
(44‑45)
vs
Nationals
(37‑51)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 11% 9% 8% 16%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Nationals Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 8% 17%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(43‑44)
vs
Royals
(42‑47)
2 Games Remaining		 1 DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 8% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Royals Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 8% 17%
Braves
(39‑48)
vs
Orioles
(38‑49)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Braves Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 10% 8% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Orioles Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 28% 10% 10% 9% 17%
Astros
(53‑35)
vs
Dodgers
(56‑33)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Astros Sweeps 2 Games 11% 17% 27% 10% 9% 8% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games 9% 17% 29% 10% 9% 9% 17%


Phillies Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies
(51‑37)
vs
Reds
(45‑42)		 13 Phillies Wins 12% 18% 28% 11% 10% 8% 15%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Reds Wins 9% 16% 28% 10% 9% 9% 19%
Yankees
(48‑40)
vs
Mets
(51‑38)		 5 Yankees Wins 10% 18% 29% 9% 9% 8% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Mets Wins 10% 17% 27% 11% 10% 9% 17%
Rangers
(43‑45)
vs
Padres
(47‑40)		 2 Rangers Wins 10% 17% 28% 11% 10% 8% 16%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Padres Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 10% 8% 17%
Braves
(39‑48)
vs
Orioles
(38‑49)		 2 Braves Wins 10% 17% 28% 11% 9% 9% 16%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Orioles Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 10% 8% 17%
Dodgers
(56‑33)
vs
Astros
(53‑35)		 1 Dodgers Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 16%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Astros Wins 11% 17% 27% 11% 9% 9% 17%
Mariners
(46‑42)
vs
Pirates
(38‑51)		 1 Mariners Wins 10% 17% 28% 11% 9% 8% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Pirates Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 10% 9% 17%
Red Sox
(44‑45)
vs
Nationals
(37‑51)		 1 Red Sox Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 10% 8% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Nationals Wins 10% 17% 28% 11% 9% 8% 17%
Athletics
(37‑53)
vs
Giants
(47‑42)		 1 Athletics Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 10% 8% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Giants Wins 10% 17% 28% 11% 9% 8% 17%
White Sox
(29‑59)
vs
Rockies
(20‑68)		 0 White Sox Wins 10% 17% 29% 10% 9% 8% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Rockies Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Royals
(42‑47)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(43‑44)		 0 Royals Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 8% 17%
Marlins
(39‑47)
vs
Brewers
(49‑39)		 0 Marlins Wins 10% 17% 28% 11% 9% 9% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Brewers Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Cardinals
(47‑42)
vs
Cubs
(53‑35)		 0 Cardinals Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 8% 17%
Current Probabilities 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 9% 17%
Cubs Wins 10% 17% 28% 10% 9% 8% 17%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs