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MLB - Week 19 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Phillies What If?

Next Game - Giants (56-44)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Win Next Game 44 57 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
Current Standings 43 57 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
Lose Next Game 43 58 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%




Current Series - Giants (56-44) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Phillies Sweeps 45 57 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
Current Standings 43 57 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
Giants Sweeps 43 59 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%




Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
62 of 62 100% 105 57 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
60 of 62 97% 103 59 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
55 of 62 89% 98 64 93% 7% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
54 of 62 87% 97 65 87% 12% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
53 of 62 85% 96 66 79% 18% 1% 2% < 1% < 1%
52 of 62 84% 95 67 69% 26% 2% 4% < 1% < 1%
51 of 62 82% 94 68 53% 37% 4% 6% < 1% < 1%
50 of 62 81% 93 69 38% 41% 9% 11% < 1% < 1%
49 of 62 79% 92 70 25% 43% 15% 16% 2% < 1%
48 of 62 77% 91 71 14% 38% 22% 22% 4% < 1%
47 of 62 76% 90 72 6% 29% 28% 26% 10% 1%
46 of 62 74% 89 73 2% 19% 31% 26% 17% 4%
45 of 62 73% 88 74 1% 10% 29% 23% 27% 11%
44 of 62 71% 87 75 < 1% 4% 24% 15% 31% 25%
43 of 62 69% 86 76 < 1% 1% 18% 9% 27% 45%
42 of 62 68% 85 77 < 1% < 1% 11% 4% 20% 65%
41 of 62 66% 84 78 < 1% < 1% 6% 1% 10% 84%
40 of 62 65% 83 79 < 1% < 1% 3% < 1% 3% 94%
30 of 62 48% 73 89 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
20 of 62 32% 63 99 X X X X X 100%
10 of 62 16% 53 109 X X X X X 100%
0 of 62 0% 43 119 X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the playoffs

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