PlayoffStatus.com

Tue May 3 3:45 am

MLB - Week 6 of 27

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (13‑13)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Win Next Game 16 11 9% 7% 4% 15% 11% 55%
Current Standings 15 11 8% 7% 3% 14% 10% 57%
Lose Next Game 15 12 8% 7% 4% 14% 11% 57%


Current Series - Cardinals (13‑13) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Phillies Sweeps 18 11 10% 8% 3% 15% 11% 53%
Current Standings 15 11 8% 7% 3% 14% 10% 57%
Cardinals Sweeps 15 14 7% 7% 4% 13% 10% 60%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
136 of 136 100% 151 11 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 136 96% 145 17 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 136 88% 135 27 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
110 of 136 81% 125 37 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
106 of 136 78% 121 41 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1%
105 of 136 77% 120 42 93% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1%
104 of 136 76% 119 43 92% 6% <1% 2% <1% <1%
103 of 136 76% 118 44 89% 8% <1% 3% <1% <1%
102 of 136 75% 117 45 87% 10% <1% 3% <1% <1%
101 of 136 74% 116 46 84% 12% <1% 4% <1% <1%
100 of 136 74% 115 47 80% 13% <1% 6% <1% <1%
99 of 136 73% 114 48 76% 15% <1% 8% <1% <1%
98 of 136 72% 113 49 72% 18% <1% 10% <1% <1%
97 of 136 71% 112 50 68% 19% <1% 14% <1% <1%
96 of 136 71% 111 51 63% 21% <1% 16% <1% <1%
95 of 136 70% 110 52 57% 23% 1% 19% <1% <1%
94 of 136 69% 109 53 51% 25% 1% 23% 1% <1%
93 of 136 68% 108 54 46% 27% 1% 25% 1% <1%
92 of 136 68% 107 55 40% 28% 2% 29% 2% <1%
91 of 136 67% 106 56 34% 28% 2% 34% 2% <1%
90 of 136 66% 105 57 29% 28% 3% 36% 4% <1%
89 of 136 65% 104 58 23% 29% 4% 39% 5% <1%
88 of 136 65% 103 59 19% 27% 5% 42% 7% <1%
87 of 136 64% 102 60 15% 26% 7% 44% 9% <1%
86 of 136 63% 101 61 11% 25% 8% 44% 11% 1%
85 of 136 63% 100 62 8% 23% 9% 44% 15% 1%
84 of 136 62% 99 63 5% 20% 11% 44% 19% 2%
83 of 136 61% 98 64 4% 16% 11% 43% 22% 3%
82 of 136 60% 97 65 2% 14% 12% 38% 28% 5%
81 of 136 60% 96 66 1% 11% 11% 37% 31% 9%
80 of 136 59% 95 67 1% 9% 11% 31% 35% 13%
79 of 136 58% 94 68 <1% 6% 12% 28% 36% 18%
78 of 136 57% 93 69 <1% 4% 10% 23% 39% 24%
77 of 136 57% 92 70 <1% 3% 9% 18% 38% 32%
76 of 136 56% 91 71 <1% 2% 8% 14% 36% 40%
75 of 136 55% 90 72 <1% 1% 8% 10% 31% 50%
74 of 136 54% 89 73 <1% 1% 5% 6% 29% 59%
73 of 136 54% 88 74 <1% <1% 5% 5% 23% 67%
72 of 136 53% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 2% 18% 76%
71 of 136 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 1% 11% 85%
70 of 136 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 1% 7% 89%
69 of 136 51% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 5% 93%
60 of 136 44% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 136 37% 65 97 X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 136 29% 55 107 X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 136 22% 45 117 X X X X X 100%
20 of 136 15% 35 127 X X X X X 100%
10 of 136 7% 25 137 X X X X X 100%
0 of 136 0% 15 147 X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • New Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs