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MLB - Week 27 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Phillies What If?

Next Game - Padres (70-80)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Win Next Game 70 82 X X X X X 100%
Current Standings 69 82 X X X X X 100%
Lose Next Game 69 83 X X X X X 100%




Current Series - Padres (70-80) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Phillies Sweeps 71 82 X X X X X 100%
Current Standings 69 82 X X X X X 100%
Padres Sweeps 69 84 X X X X X 100%




Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Current Standings X X X X X 100%
Best Case Scenario
Worst Case Scenario
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
11 of 11 100% 80 82 X X X X X 100%
10 of 11 91% 79 83 X X X X X 100%
9 of 11 82% 78 84 X X X X X 100%
8 of 11 73% 77 85 X X X X X 100%
7 of 11 64% 76 86 X X X X X 100%
6 of 11 55% 75 87 X X X X X 100%
5 of 11 45% 74 88 X X X X X 100%
4 of 11 36% 73 89 X X X X X 100%
3 of 11 27% 72 90 X X X X X 100%
2 of 11 18% 71 91 X X X X X 100%
1 of 11 9% 70 92 X X X X X 100%
0 of 11 0% 69 93 X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the playoffs