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Sun May 28 2:00 am

MLB - Week 9 of 27

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Braves (31‑21)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 26 27 3% 5% 4% 7% 8% 8% 64%
Current Standings 25 27 2% 5% 4% 7% 8% 8% 66%
Lose Next Game 25 28 2% 4% 4% 7% 8% 8% 67%


Current Series - Braves (31‑21) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 26 27 3% 5% 4% 7% 8% 8% 64%
Current Standings 25 27 2% 5% 4% 7% 8% 8% 66%
Braves Sweeps 25 28 2% 4% 4% 7% 8% 8% 67%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
110 of 110 100% 135 27 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 110 91% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 110 82% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 110 75% 108 54 95% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 110 75% 107 55 92% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 110 74% 106 56 89% 9% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 110 73% 105 57 85% 12% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 110 72% 104 58 81% 15% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 110 71% 103 59 76% 19% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 110 70% 102 60 69% 23% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 110 69% 101 61 63% 26% 1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 110 68% 100 62 56% 30% 1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 110 67% 99 63 48% 34% 2% 16% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 110 66% 98 64 40% 36% 3% 20% 1% <1% <1%
72 of 110 65% 97 65 32% 38% 4% 23% 2% <1% <1%
71 of 110 65% 96 66 25% 39% 6% 27% 3% <1% <1%
70 of 110 64% 95 67 18% 37% 9% 31% 5% <1% <1%
69 of 110 63% 94 68 12% 34% 11% 34% 8% 1% <1%
68 of 110 62% 93 69 8% 31% 12% 35% 12% 1% <1%
67 of 110 61% 92 70 5% 25% 14% 35% 17% 3% <1%
66 of 110 60% 91 71 2% 19% 16% 34% 22% 5% 1%
65 of 110 59% 90 72 1% 14% 16% 30% 28% 9% 1%
64 of 110 58% 89 73 1% 10% 16% 25% 32% 15% 3%
63 of 110 57% 88 74 <1% 6% 14% 19% 34% 21% 6%
62 of 110 56% 87 75 <1% 4% 12% 13% 32% 27% 12%
61 of 110 55% 86 76 <1% 2% 9% 8% 28% 32% 21%
60 of 110 55% 85 77 <1% 1% 7% 5% 21% 33% 34%
59 of 110 54% 84 78 <1% <1% 5% 3% 14% 30% 47%
58 of 110 53% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% 1% 8% 25% 63%
57 of 110 52% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 4% 17% 77%
56 of 110 51% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 10% 87%
55 of 110 50% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
50 of 110 45% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 110 36% 65 97 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 110 27% 55 107 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 110 18% 45 117 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 110 9% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 110 0% 25 137 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs