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MLB - Week 5 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Phillies What If?

Next Game - Braves (9-4)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Win Next Game 7 7 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 72%
Current Standings 6 7 3% 6% 6% 6% 7% 71%
Lose Next Game 6 8 3% 5% 5% 6% 7% 74%




Current Series - Braves (9-4) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Phillies Sweeps 8 7 3% 6% 6% 7% 8% 70%
Current Standings 6 7 3% 6% 6% 6% 7% 71%
Braves Sweeps 6 9 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 74%




Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
149 of 149 100% 155 7 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
140 of 149 94% 146 16 > 99% < 1% < 1% ^ ^ ^
130 of 149 87% 136 26 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^
121 of 149 81% 127 35 95% 5% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
120 of 149 81% 126 36 93% 6% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
119 of 149 80% 125 37 91% 8% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
118 of 149 79% 124 38 89% 10% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
117 of 149 79% 123 39 87% 12% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
116 of 149 78% 122 40 83% 15% 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
115 of 149 77% 121 41 81% 17% 1% 2% < 1% < 1%
114 of 149 77% 120 42 75% 21% 1% 3% < 1% < 1%
113 of 149 76% 119 43 71% 23% 2% 4% < 1% < 1%
112 of 149 75% 118 44 68% 25% 2% 5% < 1% < 1%
111 of 149 74% 117 45 61% 29% 3% 6% < 1% < 1%
110 of 149 74% 116 46 56% 32% 4% 7% < 1% < 1%
109 of 149 73% 115 47 50% 36% 5% 9% < 1% < 1%
108 of 149 72% 114 48 45% 37% 6% 12% < 1% < 1%
107 of 149 72% 113 49 39% 39% 8% 14% 1% < 1%
106 of 149 71% 112 50 33% 40% 10% 15% 1% < 1%
105 of 149 70% 111 51 30% 40% 11% 18% 2% < 1%
104 of 149 70% 110 52 24% 40% 13% 21% 2% < 1%
103 of 149 69% 109 53 21% 37% 15% 24% 3% < 1%
102 of 149 68% 108 54 16% 37% 17% 25% 4% < 1%
101 of 149 68% 107 55 13% 33% 19% 28% 6% 1%
100 of 149 67% 106 56 10% 32% 20% 29% 8% 1%
99 of 149 66% 105 57 7% 29% 22% 30% 11% 1%
98 of 149 66% 104 58 6% 25% 23% 31% 13% 2%
97 of 149 65% 103 59 3% 22% 24% 32% 16% 3%
96 of 149 64% 102 60 2% 20% 24% 30% 20% 4%
95 of 149 64% 101 61 2% 15% 24% 29% 24% 6%
94 of 149 63% 100 62 1% 12% 24% 28% 26% 9%
93 of 149 62% 99 63 1% 10% 22% 26% 29% 12%
92 of 149 62% 98 64 < 1% 7% 22% 22% 32% 15%
91 of 149 61% 97 65 < 1% 7% 20% 20% 33% 21%
90 of 149 60% 96 66 < 1% 5% 18% 17% 33% 27%
89 of 149 60% 95 67 < 1% 4% 18% 14% 33% 32%
88 of 149 59% 94 68 < 1% 2% 15% 11% 33% 39%
87 of 149 58% 93 69 < 1% 2% 14% 9% 29% 47%
86 of 149 58% 92 70 < 1% 1% 13% 7% 26% 53%
85 of 149 57% 91 71 < 1% 1% 11% 5% 22% 61%
84 of 149 56% 90 72 < 1% 1% 9% 4% 20% 66%
83 of 149 56% 89 73 < 1% < 1% 9% 2% 16% 73%
82 of 149 55% 88 74 < 1% < 1% 8% 2% 12% 78%
81 of 149 54% 87 75 < 1% < 1% 5% 1% 9% 84%
80 of 149 54% 86 76 < 1% < 1% 5% 1% 7% 87%
79 of 149 53% 85 77 < 1% < 1% 4% < 1% 4% 92%
78 of 149 52% 84 78 < 1% < 1% 3% < 1% 3% 93%
77 of 149 52% 83 79 < 1% < 1% 3% < 1% 2% 95%
70 of 149 47% 76 86 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
60 of 149 40% 66 96 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
50 of 149 34% 56 106 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
40 of 149 27% 46 116 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
30 of 149 20% 36 126 X X X X X 100%
20 of 149 13% 26 136 X X X X X 100%
10 of 149 7% 16 146 X X X X X 100%
0 of 149 0% 6 156 X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the playoffs

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