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Fri Jul 26 1:15 am

MLB - Week 19 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Guardians (61‑41)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 65 38 66% 21% 7% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 64 38 62% 22% 8% 6% 2% 1% <1%
Lose Next Game 64 39 58% 23% 9% 7% 2% 1% <1%


Current Series - Guardians (61‑41) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 67 38 70% 19% 5% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 64 38 62% 22% 8% 6% 2% 1% <1%
Guardians Sweeps 64 41 52% 26% 11% 7% 3% 1% 1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
60 of 60 100% 124 38 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 60 83% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
40 of 60 67% 104 58 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 60 63% 102 60 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 60 62% 101 61 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 60 60% 100 62 85% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 60 58% 99 63 78% 21% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 60 57% 98 64 69% 28% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
33 of 60 55% 97 65 58% 36% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
32 of 60 53% 96 66 45% 43% 7% 4% <1% <1% <1%
31 of 60 52% 95 67 33% 46% 13% 7% <1% <1% <1%
30 of 60 50% 94 68 22% 48% 19% 10% <1% <1% <1%
29 of 60 48% 93 69 13% 44% 26% 16% 1% <1% <1%
28 of 60 47% 92 70 7% 34% 33% 23% 3% <1% <1%
27 of 60 45% 91 71 3% 25% 36% 29% 7% <1% <1%
26 of 60 43% 90 72 1% 15% 36% 33% 14% 2% <1%
25 of 60 42% 89 73 <1% 7% 32% 32% 23% 6% 1%
24 of 60 40% 88 74 <1% 3% 26% 25% 30% 13% 2%
23 of 60 38% 87 75 <1% 1% 18% 18% 33% 23% 7%
22 of 60 37% 86 76 <1% <1% 11% 9% 29% 32% 18%
21 of 60 35% 85 77 <1% <1% 6% 4% 20% 33% 37%
20 of 60 33% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% 1% 11% 28% 57%
19 of 60 32% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 16% 78%
18 of 60 30% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
10 of 60 17% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 60 0% 64 98 X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs