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MLB - Week 10 of 27

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Phillies What If?

Next Game - Reds (22-27)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Win Next Game 20 33 < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% 1% 98%
Current Standings 19 33 < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% 1% 98%
Lose Next Game 19 34 < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% 1% 98%




Current Series - Reds (22-27) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Phillies Sweeps 22 33 < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% 1% 98%
Current Standings 19 33 < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% 1% 98%
Reds Sweeps 19 36 < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1% 99%




Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
110 of 110 100% 129 33 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^ ^
100 of 110 91% 119 43 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
92 of 110 84% 111 51 94% 6% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
91 of 110 83% 110 52 93% 7% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
90 of 110 82% 109 53 90% 10% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
89 of 110 81% 108 54 86% 13% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
88 of 110 80% 107 55 83% 16% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
87 of 110 79% 106 56 79% 20% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
86 of 110 78% 105 57 75% 23% 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
85 of 110 77% 104 58 68% 29% 1% 2% < 1% < 1%
84 of 110 76% 103 59 63% 32% 2% 3% < 1% < 1%
83 of 110 75% 102 60 56% 37% 3% 5% < 1% < 1%
82 of 110 75% 101 61 49% 40% 4% 6% < 1% < 1%
81 of 110 74% 100 62 41% 44% 7% 8% < 1% < 1%
80 of 110 73% 99 63 33% 45% 9% 12% < 1% < 1%
79 of 110 72% 98 64 26% 46% 12% 15% 1% < 1%
78 of 110 71% 97 65 20% 43% 16% 19% 2% < 1%
77 of 110 70% 96 66 14% 40% 20% 23% 4% < 1%
76 of 110 69% 95 67 9% 36% 22% 26% 7% < 1%
75 of 110 68% 94 68 6% 29% 27% 27% 10% 1%
74 of 110 67% 93 69 3% 25% 27% 29% 14% 2%
73 of 110 66% 92 70 2% 19% 28% 27% 20% 4%
72 of 110 65% 91 71 1% 12% 27% 26% 25% 8%
71 of 110 65% 90 72 < 1% 7% 26% 24% 28% 14%
70 of 110 64% 89 73 < 1% 5% 23% 17% 31% 24%
69 of 110 63% 88 74 < 1% 3% 20% 12% 32% 33%
68 of 110 62% 87 75 < 1% 1% 16% 8% 28% 48%
67 of 110 61% 86 76 < 1% 1% 13% 4% 21% 61%
66 of 110 60% 85 77 < 1% < 1% 9% 2% 16% 73%
65 of 110 59% 84 78 < 1% < 1% 7% 1% 9% 83%
64 of 110 58% 83 79 < 1% < 1% 4% < 1% 5% 91%
63 of 110 57% 82 80 < 1% < 1% 3% < 1% 2% 95%
60 of 110 55% 79 83 < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1% 99%
50 of 110 45% 69 93 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
40 of 110 36% 59 103 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
30 of 110 27% 49 113 X X X X X 100%
20 of 110 18% 39 123 X X X X X 100%
10 of 110 9% 29 133 X X X X X 100%
0 of 110 0% 19 143 X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the playoffs