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MLB - Week 6 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Phillies What If?

Next Game - Dodgers (12-8)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Win Next Game 10 10 4% 6% 5% 8% 8% 70%
Current Standings 9 10 3% 5% 5% 8% 8% 71%
Lose Next Game 9 11 3% 5% 5% 8% 8% 72%




Current Series - Dodgers (12-8) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Phillies Sweeps 12 10 4% 6% 5% 9% 8% 68%
Current Standings 9 10 3% 5% 5% 8% 8% 71%
Dodgers Sweeps 9 13 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 73%




Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
143 of 143 100% 152 10 > 99% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
140 of 143 98% 149 13 > 99% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 143 91% 139 23 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^ ^
120 of 143 84% 129 33 98% 2% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
116 of 143 81% 125 37 95% 5% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
115 of 143 80% 124 38 94% 6% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
114 of 143 80% 123 39 92% 7% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
113 of 143 79% 122 40 90% 9% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
112 of 143 78% 121 41 89% 10% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
111 of 143 78% 120 42 87% 12% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
110 of 143 77% 119 43 84% 14% < 1% 2% < 1% < 1%
109 of 143 76% 118 44 82% 15% < 1% 2% < 1% < 1%
108 of 143 76% 117 45 79% 18% < 1% 3% < 1% < 1%
107 of 143 75% 116 46 75% 20% 1% 5% < 1% < 1%
106 of 143 74% 115 47 72% 22% 1% 5% < 1% < 1%
105 of 143 73% 114 48 66% 25% 1% 7% < 1% < 1%
104 of 143 73% 113 49 62% 27% 2% 8% < 1% < 1%
103 of 143 72% 112 50 55% 30% 3% 12% < 1% < 1%
102 of 143 71% 111 51 50% 33% 4% 13% < 1% < 1%
101 of 143 71% 110 52 46% 33% 5% 16% < 1% < 1%
100 of 143 70% 109 53 40% 36% 5% 18% 1% < 1%
99 of 143 69% 108 54 35% 36% 8% 20% 1% < 1%
98 of 143 69% 107 55 29% 36% 9% 23% 2% < 1%
97 of 143 68% 106 56 23% 38% 11% 26% 2% < 1%
96 of 143 67% 105 57 20% 36% 12% 29% 4% < 1%
95 of 143 66% 104 58 15% 34% 14% 31% 6% < 1%
94 of 143 66% 103 59 11% 32% 16% 32% 8% 1%
93 of 143 65% 102 60 9% 28% 17% 34% 11% 1%
92 of 143 64% 101 61 6% 25% 18% 36% 12% 2%
91 of 143 64% 100 62 4% 21% 21% 35% 17% 2%
90 of 143 63% 99 63 3% 18% 21% 35% 21% 4%
89 of 143 62% 98 64 1% 15% 20% 34% 25% 6%
88 of 143 62% 97 65 1% 12% 20% 31% 28% 9%
87 of 143 61% 96 66 1% 9% 19% 27% 31% 13%
86 of 143 60% 95 67 < 1% 6% 17% 24% 34% 18%
85 of 143 59% 94 68 < 1% 5% 15% 21% 34% 25%
84 of 143 59% 93 69 < 1% 3% 15% 15% 35% 31%
83 of 143 58% 92 70 < 1% 2% 13% 13% 34% 38%
82 of 143 57% 91 71 < 1% 1% 11% 10% 30% 48%
81 of 143 57% 90 72 < 1% 1% 9% 7% 27% 56%
80 of 143 56% 89 73 < 1% 1% 7% 4% 22% 66%
79 of 143 55% 88 74 < 1% < 1% 7% 3% 18% 72%
78 of 143 55% 87 75 < 1% < 1% 5% 2% 14% 79%
77 of 143 54% 86 76 < 1% < 1% 4% 1% 10% 85%
76 of 143 53% 85 77 < 1% < 1% 3% < 1% 7% 89%
75 of 143 52% 84 78 < 1% < 1% 3% < 1% 4% 93%
74 of 143 52% 83 79 < 1% < 1% 2% < 1% 3% 95%
70 of 143 49% 79 83 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 99%
60 of 143 42% 69 93 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
50 of 143 35% 59 103 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
40 of 143 28% 49 113 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
30 of 143 21% 39 123 X X X X X 100%
20 of 143 14% 29 133 X X X X X 100%
10 of 143 7% 19 143 X X X X X 100%
0 of 143 0% 9 153 X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the playoffs