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MLB - Week 3 of 27

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Phillies What If?

Next Game - Nationals (5-6)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Win Next Game 4 8 1% 3% 5% 4% 6% 80%
Current Standings 3 8 1% 3% 5% 5% 6% 81%
Lose Next Game 3 9 1% 3% 5% 4% 6% 82%




Current Series - Nationals (5-6) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Phillies Sweeps 5 8 1% 4% 5% 5% 6% 79%
Current Standings 3 8 1% 3% 5% 5% 6% 81%
Nationals Sweeps 3 10 1% 3% 4% 4% 5% 83%




Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
151 of 151 100% 154 8 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
150 of 151 99% 153 9 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
140 of 151 93% 143 19 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^ ^
130 of 151 86% 133 29 98% 2% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
127 of 151 84% 130 32 95% 4% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
126 of 151 83% 129 33 93% 6% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
125 of 151 83% 128 34 91% 8% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
124 of 151 82% 127 35 89% 9% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
123 of 151 81% 126 36 86% 12% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
122 of 151 81% 125 37 83% 15% 1% 2% < 1% < 1%
121 of 151 80% 124 38 78% 19% 1% 3% < 1% < 1%
120 of 151 79% 123 39 73% 22% 1% 4% < 1% < 1%
119 of 151 79% 122 40 69% 24% 2% 5% < 1% < 1%
118 of 151 78% 121 41 64% 27% 2% 6% < 1% < 1%
117 of 151 77% 120 42 59% 29% 4% 8% < 1% < 1%
116 of 151 77% 119 43 53% 33% 5% 9% < 1% < 1%
115 of 151 76% 118 44 46% 36% 6% 11% < 1% < 1%
114 of 151 75% 117 45 42% 36% 7% 14% 1% < 1%
113 of 151 75% 116 46 37% 37% 9% 16% 1% < 1%
112 of 151 74% 115 47 30% 39% 11% 18% 1% < 1%
111 of 151 74% 114 48 26% 39% 13% 21% 2% < 1%
110 of 151 73% 113 49 21% 38% 15% 23% 3% < 1%
109 of 151 72% 112 50 17% 36% 18% 25% 4% < 1%
108 of 151 72% 111 51 13% 34% 18% 28% 6% < 1%
107 of 151 71% 110 52 11% 33% 20% 28% 7% 1%
106 of 151 70% 109 53 8% 31% 21% 30% 9% 1%
105 of 151 70% 108 54 6% 27% 23% 31% 12% 1%
104 of 151 69% 107 55 4% 23% 24% 31% 15% 2%
103 of 151 68% 106 56 4% 22% 24% 30% 18% 3%
102 of 151 68% 105 57 2% 18% 25% 30% 20% 5%
101 of 151 67% 104 58 2% 17% 24% 28% 23% 6%
100 of 151 66% 103 59 1% 13% 24% 28% 26% 9%
99 of 151 66% 102 60 1% 11% 24% 25% 29% 11%
98 of 151 65% 101 61 1% 8% 24% 23% 30% 15%
97 of 151 64% 100 62 < 1% 7% 22% 19% 32% 19%
96 of 151 64% 99 63 < 1% 6% 22% 18% 32% 23%
95 of 151 63% 98 64 < 1% 4% 20% 16% 33% 27%
94 of 151 62% 97 65 < 1% 3% 19% 12% 31% 35%
93 of 151 62% 96 66 < 1% 2% 17% 11% 30% 40%
92 of 151 61% 95 67 < 1% 2% 16% 9% 29% 45%
91 of 151 60% 94 68 < 1% 1% 15% 7% 25% 52%
90 of 151 60% 93 69 < 1% 1% 13% 5% 23% 58%
89 of 151 59% 92 70 < 1% 1% 11% 4% 21% 63%
88 of 151 58% 91 71 < 1% 1% 10% 3% 16% 70%
87 of 151 58% 90 72 < 1% < 1% 9% 2% 13% 76%
86 of 151 57% 89 73 < 1% < 1% 7% 2% 12% 79%
85 of 151 56% 88 74 < 1% < 1% 8% 1% 9% 82%
84 of 151 56% 87 75 < 1% < 1% 6% 1% 7% 86%
83 of 151 55% 86 76 < 1% < 1% 5% < 1% 5% 90%
82 of 151 54% 85 77 < 1% < 1% 5% < 1% 4% 92%
81 of 151 54% 84 78 < 1% < 1% 4% < 1% 3% 93%
80 of 151 53% 83 79 < 1% < 1% 3% < 1% 2% 95%
70 of 151 46% 73 89 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
60 of 151 40% 63 99 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
50 of 151 33% 53 109 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
40 of 151 26% 43 119 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
30 of 151 20% 33 129 X X X X X 100%
20 of 151 13% 23 139 X X X X X 100%
10 of 151 7% 13 149 X X X X X 100%
0 of 151 0% 3 159 X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the playoffs