PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Jul 8 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Giants (50‑42)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 54 38 16% 19% 25% 11% 9% 8% 12%
Current Standings 53 38 14% 18% 26% 10% 9% 8% 14%
Lose Next Game 53 39 13% 17% 27% 9% 9% 9% 16%


Current Series - Giants (50‑42) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 55 38 18% 21% 24% 12% 8% 7% 10%
Current Standings 53 38 14% 18% 26% 10% 9% 8% 14%
Giants Sweeps 53 40 11% 17% 27% 9% 9% 9% 18%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
71 of 71 100% 124 38 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 71 99% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 71 85% 113 49 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
53 of 71 75% 106 56 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 71 73% 105 57 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 71 72% 104 58 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 71 70% 103 59 84% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 71 69% 102 60 76% 21% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 71 68% 101 61 68% 28% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 71 66% 100 62 58% 34% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 71 65% 99 63 49% 39% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 71 63% 98 64 38% 44% 13% 6% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 71 62% 97 65 27% 46% 18% 8% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 71 61% 96 66 18% 44% 25% 12% 1% <1% <1%
42 of 71 59% 95 67 10% 38% 33% 16% 2% <1% <1%
41 of 71 58% 94 68 5% 31% 40% 19% 5% <1% <1%
40 of 71 56% 93 69 2% 22% 44% 20% 9% 1% <1%
39 of 71 55% 92 70 1% 15% 46% 21% 14% 3% <1%
38 of 71 54% 91 71 <1% 8% 46% 18% 20% 7% 1%
37 of 71 52% 90 72 <1% 4% 41% 14% 25% 13% 3%
36 of 71 51% 89 73 <1% 2% 36% 8% 25% 22% 7%
35 of 71 49% 88 74 <1% 1% 31% 5% 21% 27% 16%
34 of 71 48% 87 75 <1% <1% 24% 2% 15% 30% 30%
33 of 71 46% 86 76 <1% <1% 18% 1% 8% 26% 47%
32 of 71 45% 85 77 <1% <1% 12% <1% 4% 20% 64%
31 of 71 44% 84 78 <1% <1% 8% <1% 1% 11% 79%
30 of 71 42% 83 79 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 6% 89%
29 of 71 41% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 2% 95%
20 of 71 28% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 71 14% 63 99 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 71 0% 53 109 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs