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Tue May 20 3:30 am

MLB - Week 10 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Rockies (8‑39)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 30 18 17% 14% 12% 12% 9% 8% 28%
Current Standings 29 18 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 29%
Lose Next Game 29 19 15% 13% 12% 11% 9% 8% 31%


Current Series - Rockies (8‑39) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 32 18 18% 15% 13% 12% 9% 8% 26%
Current Standings 29 18 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 29%
Rockies Sweeps 29 21 11% 13% 12% 10% 9% 9% 35%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
115 of 115 100% 144 18 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 115 96% 139 23 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 115 87% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 115 78% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 115 71% 111 51 94% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 115 70% 110 52 92% 7% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 115 70% 109 53 88% 10% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 115 69% 108 54 84% 13% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 115 68% 107 55 77% 18% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 115 67% 106 56 70% 22% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 115 66% 105 57 62% 27% 3% 9% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 115 65% 104 58 54% 32% 4% 10% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 115 64% 103 59 46% 35% 6% 13% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 115 63% 102 60 37% 37% 9% 16% 1% <1% <1%
72 of 115 63% 101 61 27% 40% 12% 20% 1% <1% <1%
71 of 115 62% 100 62 21% 40% 15% 22% 2% <1% <1%
70 of 115 61% 99 63 15% 37% 18% 25% 4% <1% <1%
69 of 115 60% 98 64 10% 34% 22% 27% 7% 1% <1%
68 of 115 59% 97 65 6% 31% 24% 28% 10% 1% <1%
67 of 115 58% 96 66 4% 25% 27% 28% 13% 2% <1%
66 of 115 57% 95 67 2% 20% 29% 26% 18% 5% <1%
65 of 115 57% 94 68 1% 15% 30% 23% 22% 7% 1%
64 of 115 56% 93 69 1% 11% 29% 20% 26% 12% 2%
63 of 115 55% 92 70 <1% 8% 27% 18% 27% 16% 4%
62 of 115 54% 91 71 <1% 5% 25% 13% 28% 21% 8%
61 of 115 53% 90 72 <1% 3% 21% 10% 26% 26% 13%
60 of 115 52% 89 73 <1% 2% 18% 6% 22% 29% 23%
59 of 115 51% 88 74 <1% 1% 14% 4% 18% 30% 33%
58 of 115 50% 87 75 <1% <1% 12% 2% 13% 29% 44%
57 of 115 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 8% 1% 9% 24% 57%
56 of 115 49% 85 77 <1% <1% 6% <1% 5% 19% 69%
55 of 115 48% 84 78 <1% <1% 4% <1% 3% 13% 80%
54 of 115 47% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 8% 88%
53 of 115 46% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 4% 94%
50 of 115 43% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
40 of 115 35% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 115 26% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 115 17% 49 113 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 115 9% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 115 0% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs