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Sun Jul 6 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Reds (45‑43)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 53 37 15% 19% 23% 13% 10% 8% 13%
Current Standings 52 37 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Lose Next Game 52 38 11% 16% 24% 12% 10% 9% 17%


Current Series - Reds (45‑43) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 53 37 15% 19% 23% 13% 10% 8% 13%
Current Standings 52 37 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Reds Sweeps 52 38 11% 16% 24% 12% 10% 9% 17%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
73 of 73 100% 125 37 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 73 96% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 73 82% 112 50 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 73 74% 106 56 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 73 73% 105 57 90% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 73 71% 104 58 85% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 73 70% 103 59 79% 19% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 73 68% 102 60 72% 25% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 73 67% 101 61 62% 32% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 73 66% 100 62 53% 37% 7% 4% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 73 64% 99 63 43% 41% 10% 6% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 73 63% 98 64 32% 44% 15% 9% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 73 62% 97 65 23% 44% 20% 12% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 73 60% 96 66 15% 40% 27% 17% 1% <1% <1%
43 of 73 59% 95 67 9% 35% 33% 21% 2% <1% <1%
42 of 73 58% 94 68 4% 29% 37% 24% 6% <1% <1%
41 of 73 56% 93 69 2% 20% 41% 26% 10% 1% <1%
40 of 73 55% 92 70 1% 12% 42% 25% 16% 3% <1%
39 of 73 53% 91 71 <1% 7% 39% 22% 23% 7% 1%
38 of 73 52% 90 72 <1% 4% 37% 17% 27% 13% 3%
37 of 73 51% 89 73 <1% 1% 31% 11% 28% 21% 7%
36 of 73 49% 88 74 <1% 1% 25% 6% 24% 28% 16%
35 of 73 48% 87 75 <1% <1% 19% 3% 18% 31% 29%
34 of 73 47% 86 76 <1% <1% 14% 2% 10% 29% 46%
33 of 73 45% 85 77 <1% <1% 10% <1% 5% 21% 64%
32 of 73 44% 84 78 <1% <1% 7% <1% 2% 13% 78%
31 of 73 42% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 7% 89%
30 of 73 41% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 2% 96%
20 of 73 27% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 73 14% 62 100 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 73 0% 52 110 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs