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MLB - Week 20 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Phillies What If?

Next Game - Nationals (58-47)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Win Next Game 48 61 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
Current Standings 47 61 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
Lose Next Game 47 62 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%




Current Series - Nationals (58-47) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
Phillies Sweeps 51 61 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
Current Standings 47 61 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
Nationals Sweeps 47 65 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%




Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L 1* 2* 3* 4 5 6
54 of 54 100% 101 61 98% 2% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
52 of 54 96% 99 63 95% 5% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
51 of 54 94% 98 64 92% 8% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
50 of 54 93% 97 65 86% 13% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
49 of 54 91% 96 66 80% 19% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
48 of 54 89% 95 67 70% 28% 1% 1% < 1% < 1%
47 of 54 87% 94 68 58% 37% 3% 1% < 1% < 1%
46 of 54 85% 93 69 47% 43% 7% 4% < 1% < 1%
45 of 54 83% 92 70 31% 50% 12% 7% < 1% < 1%
44 of 54 81% 91 71 19% 47% 22% 12% 1% < 1%
43 of 54 80% 90 72 10% 39% 30% 18% 3% < 1%
42 of 54 78% 89 73 4% 27% 36% 22% 9% 1%
41 of 54 76% 88 74 1% 16% 39% 25% 16% 4%
40 of 54 74% 87 75 < 1% 8% 35% 21% 25% 11%
39 of 54 72% 86 76 < 1% 3% 26% 13% 30% 29%
38 of 54 70% 85 77 < 1% 1% 15% 7% 25% 52%
37 of 54 69% 84 78 < 1% < 1% 8% 2% 15% 74%
36 of 54 67% 83 79 < 1% < 1% 3% 1% 6% 91%
30 of 54 56% 77 85 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
20 of 54 37% 67 95 X X X X X 100%
10 of 54 19% 57 105 X X X X X 100%
0 of 54 0% 47 115 X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the playoffs

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