The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (19‑16) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (16‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
14 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Reds (20‑15) vs Cubs (23‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Orioles (15‑20) vs Marlins (16‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Athletics (18‑16) vs Phillies (15‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Dodgers (22‑13) vs Astros (14‑22) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Twins (15‑20) vs Nationals (16‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Padres (20‑14) vs Giants (14‑21) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Braves (25‑11) vs Mariners (17‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Brewers (18‑16) vs Cardinals (21‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Rockies (14‑22) vs Mets (13‑22) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (19‑16) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (16‑17) |
6 | Pirates Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 56% | ||
| Orioles (15‑20) vs Marlins (16‑19) |
2 | Orioles Wins | 5% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 4% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 56% | ||
| Reds (20‑15) vs Cubs (23‑12) |
1 | Reds Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Nationals (16‑19) vs Twins (15‑20) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Twins Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Giants (14‑21) vs Padres (20‑14) |
1 | Giants Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Padres Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Mariners (17‑19) vs Braves (25‑11) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Braves Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Dodgers (22‑13) vs Astros (14‑22) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Astros Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals (21‑14) vs Brewers (18‑16) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 56% | ||
| Athletics (18‑16) vs Phillies (15‑20) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 4% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Mets (13‑22) vs Rockies (14‑22) |
0 | Mets Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||