The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (29‑43) vs Cubs (43‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets (45‑26) vs Rays (38‑32) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Rockies (13‑57) vs Braves (31‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Brewers (38‑34) vs Cardinals (37‑34) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Padres (38‑31) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Giants (41‑30) vs Dodgers (42‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Blue Jays (38‑32) vs Phillies (41‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Tigers (46‑26) vs Reds (35‑35) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Nationals (30‑40) vs Marlins (27‑41) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (29‑43) vs Cubs (43‑28) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets (45‑26) vs Rays (38‑32) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Rockies (13‑57) vs Braves (31‑38) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Brewers (38‑34) vs Cardinals (37‑34) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Padres (38‑31) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑33) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Giants (41‑30) vs Dodgers (42‑29) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Blue Jays (38‑32) vs Phillies (41‑29) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Tigers (46‑26) vs Reds (35‑35) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Nationals (30‑40) vs Marlins (27‑41) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||