The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (34‑32) vs Dodgers (42‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
20 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 72% | ||
| Athletics (31‑34) vs Brewers (40‑23) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Rockies (24‑42) vs Cubs (34‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Blue Jays (32‑34) vs Phillies (35‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% | ||
| White Sox (34‑31) vs Braves (45‑21) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Mets (29‑36) vs Cardinals (35‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Reds (31‑33) vs Padres (33‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Giants (27‑39) vs Nationals (33‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (34‑31) vs Marlins (31‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (34‑32) vs Dodgers (42‑24) |
6 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Blue Jays (32‑34) vs Phillies (35‑30) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Mets (29‑36) vs Cardinals (35‑28) |
2 | Mets Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Giants (27‑39) vs Nationals (33‑33) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Athletics (31‑34) vs Brewers (40‑23) |
1 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Rockies (24‑42) vs Cubs (34‑32) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 65% | ||
| White Sox (34‑31) vs Braves (45‑21) |
1 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Reds (31‑33) vs Padres (33‑31) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Marlins (31‑35) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (34‑31) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 65% | ||