The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (9‑15) vs Angels (11‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 86% | ||
| Giants (15‑9) vs Brewers (13‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Mets (17‑7) vs Phillies (13‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Royals (10‑14) vs Rockies (4‑18) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Cardinals (10‑14) vs Braves (9‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Nationals (10‑13) vs Orioles (9‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Dodgers (16‑8) vs Cubs (15‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Padres (17‑7) vs Tigers (14‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (14‑9) vs Rays (9‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Reds (11‑13) vs Marlins (11‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (9‑15) vs Angels (11‑11) |
2 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Rays (9‑14) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (14‑9) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Mets (17‑7) vs Phillies (13‑11) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Orioles (9‑13) vs Nationals (10‑13) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Cardinals (10‑14) vs Braves (9‑14) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Royals (10‑14) vs Rockies (4‑18) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Dodgers (16‑8) vs Cubs (15‑10) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Padres (17‑7) vs Tigers (14‑10) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Brewers (13‑11) vs Giants (15‑9) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Reds (11‑13) vs Marlins (11‑12) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||