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Wed Mar 26 1:15 pm

MLB - Week 1 of 28

Pirates What If?

The Pirates What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Pirates play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Pirates What If?

Next Game - Marlins (0‑0)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 1 0 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 7% 60%
Current Standings 0 0 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 60%
Lose Next Game 0 1 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 7% 61%


Current Series - Marlins (0‑0) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Pirates Sweeps 4 0 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 58%
Current Standings 0 0 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 60%
Marlins Sweeps 0 4 4% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 62%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
162 of 162 100% 162 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
160 of 162 99% 160 2 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
150 of 162 93% 150 12 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
140 of 162 86% 140 22 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
138 of 162 85% 138 24 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
137 of 162 85% 137 25 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
136 of 162 84% 136 26 89% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
135 of 162 83% 135 27 85% 13% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
134 of 162 83% 134 28 81% 16% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
133 of 162 82% 133 29 76% 21% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
132 of 162 81% 132 30 70% 25% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1%
131 of 162 81% 131 31 64% 29% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1%
130 of 162 80% 130 32 59% 31% 5% 6% <1% <1% <1%
129 of 162 80% 129 33 52% 35% 6% 8% <1% <1% <1%
128 of 162 79% 128 34 45% 38% 7% 9% <1% <1% <1%
127 of 162 78% 127 35 39% 39% 9% 12% 1% <1% <1%
126 of 162 78% 126 36 32% 41% 11% 14% 1% <1% <1%
125 of 162 77% 125 37 28% 41% 13% 16% 2% <1% <1%
124 of 162 77% 124 38 22% 40% 16% 19% 3% <1% <1%
123 of 162 76% 123 39 18% 39% 18% 21% 4% <1% <1%
122 of 162 75% 122 40 14% 37% 20% 24% 5% <1% <1%
121 of 162 75% 121 41 11% 35% 21% 26% 7% <1% <1%
120 of 162 74% 120 42 9% 33% 23% 26% 8% 1% <1%
119 of 162 73% 119 43 7% 29% 24% 28% 11% 1% <1%
118 of 162 73% 118 44 5% 27% 25% 28% 13% 2% <1%
117 of 162 72% 117 45 4% 23% 27% 28% 16% 3% <1%
116 of 162 72% 116 46 3% 21% 27% 28% 18% 3% <1%
115 of 162 71% 115 47 2% 18% 27% 27% 21% 5% <1%
114 of 162 70% 114 48 2% 16% 26% 26% 23% 6% 1%
113 of 162 70% 113 49 1% 14% 27% 24% 25% 8% 1%
112 of 162 69% 112 50 1% 12% 26% 23% 27% 10% 2%
111 of 162 69% 111 51 1% 10% 25% 21% 29% 12% 2%
110 of 162 68% 110 52 <1% 8% 25% 19% 30% 15% 3%
109 of 162 67% 109 53 <1% 8% 24% 17% 30% 17% 4%
108 of 162 67% 108 54 <1% 6% 23% 16% 31% 19% 6%
107 of 162 66% 107 55 <1% 5% 22% 14% 30% 22% 7%
106 of 162 65% 106 56 <1% 4% 21% 12% 29% 24% 9%
105 of 162 65% 105 57 <1% 4% 20% 11% 29% 26% 11%
104 of 162 64% 104 58 <1% 3% 19% 10% 27% 27% 14%
103 of 162 64% 103 59 <1% 3% 18% 8% 26% 28% 17%
102 of 162 63% 102 60 <1% 2% 17% 7% 25% 29% 20%
101 of 162 62% 101 61 <1% 2% 16% 6% 23% 31% 23%
100 of 162 62% 100 62 <1% 1% 15% 6% 22% 30% 26%
99 of 162 61% 99 63 <1% 1% 14% 5% 20% 31% 30%
98 of 162 60% 98 64 <1% 1% 13% 4% 18% 31% 33%
97 of 162 60% 97 65 <1% 1% 13% 3% 16% 30% 37%
96 of 162 59% 96 66 <1% 1% 11% 3% 14% 30% 41%
95 of 162 59% 95 67 <1% 1% 11% 2% 13% 28% 45%
94 of 162 58% 94 68 <1% 1% 11% 2% 12% 26% 49%
93 of 162 57% 93 69 <1% <1% 10% 2% 10% 26% 52%
92 of 162 57% 92 70 <1% <1% 9% 1% 10% 24% 56%
91 of 162 56% 91 71 <1% <1% 9% 1% 8% 22% 59%
90 of 162 56% 90 72 <1% <1% 8% 1% 7% 21% 63%
89 of 162 55% 89 73 <1% <1% 7% 1% 6% 20% 66%
88 of 162 54% 88 74 <1% <1% 7% <1% 5% 18% 70%
87 of 162 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 6% <1% 4% 17% 72%
86 of 162 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 6% <1% 4% 15% 75%
85 of 162 52% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% <1% 3% 13% 78%
84 of 162 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 5% <1% 2% 12% 81%
83 of 162 51% 83 79 <1% <1% 5% <1% 2% 11% 82%
82 of 162 51% 82 80 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 10% 84%
81 of 162 50% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 8% 87%
80 of 162 49% 80 82 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 7% 88%
79 of 162 49% 79 83 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 6% 90%
78 of 162 48% 78 84 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 5% 92%
77 of 162 48% 77 85 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 4% 93%
76 of 162 47% 76 86 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 94%
75 of 162 46% 75 87 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
70 of 162 43% 70 92 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
60 of 162 37% 60 102 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 162 31% 50 112 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 162 25% 40 122 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
30 of 162 19% 30 132 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 162 12% 20 142 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 162 6% 10 152 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 162 0% 0 162 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs