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Fri Jun 9 1:15 am

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Pirates What If?

The Pirates What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Pirates play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Pirates What If?

Next Game - Mets (30‑33)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 33 29 5% 11% 22% 5% 7% 8% 43%
Current Standings 32 29 5% 10% 21% 5% 7% 8% 45%
Lose Next Game 32 30 4% 10% 20% 4% 6% 7% 48%


Current Series - Mets (30‑33) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Pirates Sweeps 35 29 6% 12% 22% 6% 7% 8% 39%
Current Standings 32 29 5% 10% 21% 5% 7% 8% 45%
Mets Sweeps 32 32 3% 8% 20% 4% 6% 7% 53%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
101 of 101 100% 133 29 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 101 99% 132 30 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 101 89% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 101 79% 112 50 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 101 73% 106 56 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 101 72% 105 57 90% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 101 71% 104 58 86% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 101 70% 103 59 81% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 101 69% 102 60 75% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 101 68% 101 61 68% 29% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 101 67% 100 62 60% 35% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 101 66% 99 63 51% 40% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 101 65% 98 64 43% 45% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 101 64% 97 65 34% 48% 14% 4% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 101 63% 96 66 25% 49% 20% 6% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 101 62% 95 67 19% 47% 25% 8% 1% <1% <1%
62 of 101 61% 94 68 14% 43% 31% 10% 2% <1% <1%
61 of 101 60% 93 69 8% 38% 37% 13% 4% <1% <1%
60 of 101 59% 92 70 5% 31% 43% 14% 6% 1% <1%
59 of 101 58% 91 71 3% 25% 46% 14% 9% 2% <1%
58 of 101 57% 90 72 1% 19% 49% 15% 13% 3% <1%
57 of 101 56% 89 73 1% 14% 48% 14% 16% 6% 1%
56 of 101 55% 88 74 <1% 8% 49% 11% 19% 11% 3%
55 of 101 54% 87 75 <1% 4% 44% 8% 20% 17% 6%
54 of 101 53% 86 76 <1% 2% 39% 5% 20% 22% 12%
53 of 101 52% 85 77 <1% 1% 33% 3% 16% 25% 22%
52 of 101 51% 84 78 <1% <1% 26% 2% 12% 26% 34%
51 of 101 50% 83 79 <1% <1% 20% 1% 7% 22% 50%
50 of 101 50% 82 80 <1% <1% 15% <1% 3% 16% 65%
49 of 101 49% 81 81 <1% <1% 9% <1% 1% 11% 78%
48 of 101 48% 80 82 <1% <1% 6% <1% 1% 5% 88%
47 of 101 47% 79 83 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 2% 94%
40 of 101 40% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 101 30% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 101 20% 52 110 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 101 10% 42 120 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 101 0% 32 130 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs