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Fri Jul 26 1:15 am

MLB - Week 19 of 28

Pirates What If?

The Pirates What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Pirates play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Pirates What If?

Next Game - Diamondbacks (53‑50)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 53 50 <1% 1% 4% 6% 9% 11% 69%
Current Standings 52 50 <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 72%
Lose Next Game 52 51 <1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 10% 75%


Current Series - Diamondbacks (53‑50) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Pirates Sweeps 55 50 <1% 2% 5% 8% 12% 13% 60%
Current Standings 52 50 <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 72%
Diamondbacks Sweeps 52 53 <1% <1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 82%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
60 of 60 100% 112 50 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
54 of 60 90% 106 56 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 60 88% 105 57 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 60 87% 104 58 87% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 60 85% 103 59 82% 17% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 60 83% 102 60 74% 24% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 60 82% 101 61 65% 31% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 60 80% 100 62 55% 38% 2% 5% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 60 78% 99 63 45% 45% 4% 7% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 60 77% 98 64 34% 48% 7% 10% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 60 75% 97 65 24% 48% 11% 16% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 60 73% 96 66 16% 47% 15% 22% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 60 72% 95 67 9% 41% 21% 28% 1% <1% <1%
42 of 60 70% 94 68 5% 34% 24% 35% 3% <1% <1%
41 of 60 68% 93 69 2% 23% 28% 41% 6% <1% <1%
40 of 60 67% 92 70 1% 16% 29% 43% 11% 1% <1%
39 of 60 65% 91 71 <1% 9% 26% 44% 19% 2% <1%
38 of 60 63% 90 72 <1% 4% 23% 40% 28% 6% <1%
37 of 60 62% 89 73 <1% 2% 17% 32% 35% 12% 2%
36 of 60 60% 88 74 <1% 1% 12% 21% 38% 22% 5%
35 of 60 58% 87 75 <1% <1% 8% 13% 35% 30% 14%
34 of 60 57% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 6% 26% 35% 28%
33 of 60 55% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 2% 16% 33% 47%
32 of 60 53% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 7% 24% 67%
31 of 60 52% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 83%
30 of 60 50% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
20 of 60 33% 72 90 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 60 17% 62 100 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 60 0% 52 110 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs