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Thu Jul 10 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Pirates What If?

The Pirates What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Pirates play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Pirates What If?

Next Game - Twins (45‑47)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 38 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 38 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Current Series - Twins (45‑47) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Pirates Sweeps 41 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 38 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Twins Sweeps 38 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
68 of 68 100% 106 56 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 68 96% 103 59 94% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 68 94% 102 60 90% 9% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 68 93% 101 61 85% 13% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 68 91% 100 62 75% 20% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 68 90% 99 63 67% 24% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 68 88% 98 64 54% 31% 4% 11% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 68 87% 97 65 42% 35% 7% 15% 1% <1% <1%
58 of 68 85% 96 66 30% 37% 10% 21% 2% <1% <1%
57 of 68 84% 95 67 19% 35% 14% 28% 4% <1% <1%
56 of 68 82% 94 68 10% 30% 18% 34% 8% <1% <1%
55 of 68 81% 93 69 5% 22% 20% 37% 14% 2% <1%
54 of 68 79% 92 70 2% 14% 20% 36% 23% 4% <1%
53 of 68 78% 91 71 1% 8% 18% 31% 31% 10% 1%
52 of 68 76% 90 72 <1% 4% 13% 24% 37% 18% 4%
51 of 68 75% 89 73 <1% 1% 9% 14% 36% 29% 10%
50 of 68 74% 88 74 <1% <1% 6% 8% 29% 35% 22%
49 of 68 72% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 3% 18% 36% 40%
48 of 68 71% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 1% 10% 28% 60%
47 of 68 69% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 78%
46 of 68 68% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
40 of 68 59% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 68 44% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 68 29% 58 104 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 68 15% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 68 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs