The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (23‑24) vs Guardians (25‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Angels (19‑25) vs Dodgers (29‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| White Sox (14‑32) vs Cubs (27‑19) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Royals (25‑22) vs Cardinals (26‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Mets (29‑17) vs Yankees (26‑19) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Marlins (17‑27) vs Rays (21‑24) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Pirates (15‑31) vs Phillies (27‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (24‑22) vs Rockies (8‑37) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Red Sox (23‑24) vs Braves (23‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Twins (26‑20) vs Brewers (21‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Nationals (20‑27) vs Orioles (15‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Athletics (22‑24) vs Giants (27‑19) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Mariners (25‑19) vs Padres (27‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (23‑24) vs Guardians (25‑20) |
3 | Reds Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Angels (19‑25) vs Dodgers (29‑17) |
1 | Angels Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| White Sox (14‑32) vs Cubs (27‑19) |
1 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Royals (25‑22) vs Cardinals (26‑20) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Mets (29‑17) vs Yankees (26‑19) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Marlins (17‑27) vs Rays (21‑24) |
1 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Pirates (15‑31) vs Phillies (27‑18) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (24‑22) vs Rockies (8‑37) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Red Sox (23‑24) vs Braves (23‑23) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Twins (26‑20) vs Brewers (21‑25) |
0 | Twins Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Nationals (20‑27) vs Orioles (15‑29) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Athletics (22‑24) vs Giants (27‑19) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Mariners (25‑19) vs Padres (27‑17) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||