The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (14‑10) vs Phillies (15‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Nationals (10‑13) vs Dodgers (15‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Astros (7‑18) vs Cubs (15‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Cardinals (11‑14) vs Mets (13‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 53% | ||
| Padres (14‑13) vs Rockies (6‑19) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Brewers (15‑8) vs Pirates (13‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (14‑10) vs Phillies (15‑10) |
3 | Reds Wins | 8% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Nationals (10‑13) vs Dodgers (15‑11) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Astros (7‑18) vs Cubs (15‑9) |
1 | Astros Wins | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 7% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Padres (14‑13) vs Rockies (6‑19) |
1 | Padres Wins | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 7% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Cardinals (11‑14) vs Mets (13‑11) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 8% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Mets Wins | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Brewers (15‑8) vs Pirates (13‑12) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 7% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 52% | ||