The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (29‑25) vs Mets (22‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Blue Jays (26‑29) vs Marlins (26‑30) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% | ||
| Phillies (28‑27) vs Padres (31‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Giants (22‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (30‑24) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Brewers (32‑20) vs Cardinals (29‑24) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 69% | ||
| Nationals (29‑27) vs Guardians (32‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Cubs (29‑26) vs Pirates (29‑26) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Braves (37‑18) vs Red Sox (22‑31) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 67% | ||
| Dodgers (35‑20) vs Rockies (20‑36) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (29‑25) vs Mets (22‑33) |
5 | Reds Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Mets Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Blue Jays (26‑29) vs Marlins (26‑30) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% | ||
| Phillies (28‑27) vs Padres (31‑23) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Giants (22‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (30‑24) |
1 | Giants Wins | 1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Brewers (32‑20) vs Cardinals (29‑24) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 69% | ||
| Nationals (29‑27) vs Guardians (32‑25) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Pirates (29‑26) vs Cubs (29‑26) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑31) vs Braves (37‑18) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 68% | ||
| Dodgers (35‑20) vs Rockies (20‑36) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% | ||