The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (70‑68) vs Blue Jays (79‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
11 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 93% | ||
| Tigers (80‑59) vs Mets (74‑64) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Rockies (39‑99) vs Giants (69‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 89% | ||
| Phillies (80‑58) vs Brewers (85‑54) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Rangers (72‑67) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑71) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Braves (62‑76) vs Cubs (79‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Orioles (62‑76) vs Padres (76‑62) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% | ||
| Cardinals (68‑71) vs Athletics (64‑75) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Dodgers (78‑59) vs Pirates (61‑77) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Marlins (65‑73) vs Nationals (54‑83) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (70‑68) vs Blue Jays (79‑59) |
6 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 90% | ||
| Tigers (80‑59) vs Mets (74‑64) |
4 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 90% | ||
| Rockies (39‑99) vs Giants (69‑69) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Padres (76‑62) vs Orioles (62‑76) |
1 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Phillies (80‑58) vs Brewers (85‑54) |
1 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% | ||
| Rangers (72‑67) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑71) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Marlins (65‑73) vs Nationals (54‑83) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Athletics (64‑75) vs Cardinals (68‑71) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% | ||
| Braves (62‑76) vs Cubs (79‑59) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Pirates (61‑77) vs Dodgers (78‑59) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 88% | ||