The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (35‑35) vs Tigers (46‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Mets (45‑26) vs Rays (38‑32) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 83% | ||
| Pirates (29‑43) vs Cubs (43‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Brewers (38‑34) vs Cardinals (37‑34) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Phillies (41‑29) vs Blue Jays (38‑32) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Nationals (30‑40) vs Marlins (27‑41) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Rockies (13‑57) vs Braves (31‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Giants (41‑30) vs Dodgers (42‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑33) vs Padres (38‑31) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (35‑35) vs Tigers (46‑26) |
5 | Reds Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Mets (45‑26) vs Rays (38‑32) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 83% | ||
| Pirates (29‑43) vs Cubs (43‑28) |
1 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Brewers (38‑34) vs Cardinals (37‑34) |
1 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Phillies (41‑29) vs Blue Jays (38‑32) |
1 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Nationals (30‑40) vs Marlins (27‑41) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Rockies (13‑57) vs Braves (31‑38) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Giants (41‑30) vs Dodgers (42‑29) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑33) vs Padres (38‑31) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 82% | ||