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Mon Jul 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Reds Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Reds Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Reds
(49‑47)
vs
Mets
(55‑42)
3 Games Remaining		 15 Reds Sweeps 3 Games <1% 1% 1% 4% 6% 10% 79%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Mets Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 92%
Angels
(47‑49)
vs
Phillies
(55‑41)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Angels Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Phillies Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 87%
Blue Jays
(55‑41)
vs
Giants
(52‑45)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 85%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Giants Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 87%
Dodgers
(58‑39)
vs
Brewers
(56‑40)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Brewers Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 87%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(47‑49)
vs
Cardinals
(51‑46)
3 Games Remaining		 1 DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 87%
Nationals
(38‑58)
vs
Padres
(52‑44)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Nationals Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 85%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Padres Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 87%
Red Sox
(53‑45)
vs
Cubs
(57‑39)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Cubs Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Yankees
(53‑43)
vs
Braves
(42‑53)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Yankees Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Braves Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 87%
White Sox
(32‑65)
vs
Pirates
(39‑58)
3 Games Remaining		 1 White Sox Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Pirates Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 87%
Rockies
(22‑74)
vs
Twins
(47‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 0 Rockies Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Twins Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Marlins
(44‑51)
vs
Royals
(47‑50)
3 Games Remaining		 0 Marlins Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Royals Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%


Reds Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Reds
(49‑47)
vs
Mets
(55‑42)		 5 Reds Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 84%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Mets Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 89%
Marlins
(44‑51)
vs
Royals
(47‑50)		 1 Marlins Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 85%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Royals Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(47‑49)
vs
Cardinals
(51‑46)		 1 DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Cardinals Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 87%
Dodgers
(58‑39)
vs
Brewers
(56‑40)		 0 Dodgers Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Brewers Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Blue Jays
(55‑41)
vs
Giants
(52‑45)		 0 Blue Jays Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Giants Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 87%
Braves
(42‑53)
vs
Yankees
(53‑43)		 0 Braves Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Yankees Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Pirates
(39‑58)
vs
White Sox
(32‑65)		 0 Pirates Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
White Sox Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Twins
(47‑49)
vs
Rockies
(22‑74)		 0 Twins Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Rockies Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Cubs
(57‑39)
vs
Red Sox
(53‑45)		 0 Cubs Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Red Sox Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Phillies
(55‑41)
vs
Angels
(47‑49)		 0 Phillies Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Angels Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Nationals
(38‑58)
vs
Padres
(52‑44)		 0 Nationals Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Padres Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 87%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs