The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (43‑41) vs Red Sox (42‑44) 2 Games Remaining |
11 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Guardians (40‑42) vs Cubs (49‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Pirates (36‑50) vs Cardinals (47‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Phillies (50‑35) vs Padres (45‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (42‑41) vs Giants (45‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Angels (41‑42) vs Braves (38‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% | ||
| Tigers (53‑32) vs Nationals (35‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% | ||
| Mets (48‑37) vs Brewers (47‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 78% | ||
| Rockies (19‑65) vs Astros (50‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 78% | ||
| White Sox (28‑56) vs Dodgers (53‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Twins (40‑44) vs Marlins (37‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (43‑41) vs Red Sox (42‑44) |
5 | Reds Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Guardians (40‑42) vs Cubs (49‑35) |
1 | Guardians Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% | ||
| Pirates (36‑50) vs Cardinals (47‑39) |
1 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Angels (41‑42) vs Braves (38‑45) |
1 | Angels Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (42‑41) vs Giants (45‑40) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Marlins (37‑45) vs Twins (40‑44) |
1 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% | ||
| White Sox (28‑56) vs Dodgers (53‑32) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Brewers (47‑37) vs Mets (48‑37) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Phillies (50‑35) vs Padres (45‑39) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Rockies (19‑65) vs Astros (50‑34) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% | ||
| Nationals (35‑49) vs Tigers (53‑32) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 78% | ||