The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (57‑54) vs Cubs (65‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
16 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Guardians (56‑55) vs Mets (63‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 88% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (53‑58) vs Padres (62‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Orioles (51‑61) vs Phillies (63‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Pirates (48‑64) vs Giants (56‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Astros (62‑50) vs Marlins (55‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Braves (47‑63) vs Brewers (67‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Dodgers (65‑47) vs Cardinals (56‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Nationals (44‑67) vs Athletics (49‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Rockies (30‑81) vs Blue Jays (65‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (57‑54) vs Cubs (65‑46) |
4 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 89% | ||
| Orioles (51‑61) vs Phillies (63‑48) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Guardians (56‑55) vs Mets (63‑49) |
1 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Astros (62‑50) vs Marlins (55‑55) |
1 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (53‑58) vs Padres (62‑50) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Pirates (48‑64) vs Giants (56‑56) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Braves (47‑63) vs Brewers (67‑44) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Dodgers (65‑47) vs Cardinals (56‑57) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Nationals (44‑67) vs Athletics (49‑65) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Rockies (30‑81) vs Blue Jays (65‑48) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||