PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jun 22 2:45 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Reds What If?

The Reds What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Reds play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Reds What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (40‑36)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 37 39 <1% 2% 6% 4% 8% 9% 71%
Current Standings 36 39 <1% 2% 6% 4% 7% 9% 73%
Lose Next Game 36 40 <1% 1% 5% 3% 7% 8% 75%


Current Series - Red Sox (40‑36) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Reds Sweeps 38 39 <1% 2% 6% 4% 8% 10% 70%
Current Standings 36 39 <1% 2% 6% 4% 7% 9% 73%
Red Sox Sweeps 36 41 <1% 1% 5% 3% 6% 8% 78%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
87 of 87 100% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 87 92% 116 46 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 87 85% 110 52 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 87 84% 109 53 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 87 83% 108 54 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 87 82% 107 55 83% 16% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 87 80% 106 56 80% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 87 79% 105 57 75% 23% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 87 78% 104 58 68% 30% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 87 77% 103 59 61% 35% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 87 76% 102 60 52% 41% 4% 3% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 87 75% 101 61 44% 46% 6% 5% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 87 74% 100 62 38% 48% 7% 7% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 87 72% 99 63 29% 50% 11% 9% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 87 71% 98 64 21% 51% 15% 13% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 87 70% 97 65 16% 48% 19% 16% 1% <1% <1%
60 of 87 69% 96 66 10% 45% 23% 20% 2% <1% <1%
59 of 87 68% 95 67 6% 38% 28% 25% 4% <1% <1%
58 of 87 67% 94 68 3% 32% 31% 27% 6% <1% <1%
57 of 87 66% 93 69 2% 25% 32% 30% 10% <1% <1%
56 of 87 64% 92 70 1% 18% 33% 31% 16% 1% <1%
55 of 87 63% 91 71 <1% 12% 33% 30% 21% 3% <1%
54 of 87 62% 90 72 <1% 8% 31% 26% 28% 7% 1%
53 of 87 61% 89 73 <1% 5% 27% 20% 34% 12% 2%
52 of 87 60% 88 74 <1% 2% 22% 15% 36% 20% 5%
51 of 87 59% 87 75 <1% 1% 18% 10% 33% 29% 10%
50 of 87 57% 86 76 <1% <1% 12% 6% 27% 34% 21%
49 of 87 56% 85 77 <1% <1% 8% 2% 19% 35% 35%
48 of 87 55% 84 78 <1% <1% 5% 1% 11% 30% 52%
47 of 87 54% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% <1% 6% 22% 69%
46 of 87 53% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 13% 82%
45 of 87 52% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
40 of 87 46% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 87 34% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 87 23% 56 106 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 87 11% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 87 0% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs