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Sun Jun 22 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Reds What If?

The Reds What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Reds play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Reds What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (42‑35)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 38 <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 84%
Current Standings 38 38 <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 86%
Lose Next Game 38 39 <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 87%


Current Series - Cardinals (42‑35) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Reds Sweeps 39 38 <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 84%
Current Standings 38 38 <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 86%
Cardinals Sweeps 38 39 <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 87%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
86 of 86 100% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
80 of 86 93% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
70 of 86 81% 108 54 99% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
67 of 86 78% 105 57 93% 5% <1% 2% ^ ^ ^
66 of 86 77% 104 58 88% 8% <1% 3% ^ ^ ^
65 of 86 76% 103 59 82% 13% <1% 6% ^ ^ ^
64 of 86 74% 102 60 73% 17% 1% 8% <1% ^ ^
63 of 86 73% 101 61 64% 23% 2% 11% <1% ^ ^
62 of 86 72% 100 62 53% 29% 3% 15% <1% ^ ^
61 of 86 71% 99 63 41% 32% 5% 21% 1% <1% ^
60 of 86 70% 98 64 30% 34% 8% 26% 2% <1% ^
59 of 86 69% 97 65 20% 33% 11% 32% 4% <1% ^
58 of 86 67% 96 66 12% 28% 15% 37% 8% 1% <1%
57 of 86 66% 95 67 7% 23% 16% 38% 14% 2% <1%
56 of 86 65% 94 68 3% 17% 17% 37% 21% 4% <1%
55 of 86 64% 93 69 1% 10% 16% 34% 29% 8% 1%
54 of 86 63% 92 70 <1% 6% 15% 26% 34% 15% 3%
53 of 86 62% 91 71 <1% 3% 12% 19% 35% 23% 7%
52 of 86 60% 90 72 <1% 1% 8% 11% 32% 32% 16%
51 of 86 59% 89 73 <1% 1% 5% 5% 24% 36% 30%
50 of 86 58% 88 74 <1% <1% 3% 3% 16% 34% 44%
49 of 86 57% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 1% 8% 26% 63%
48 of 86 56% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 18% 77%
47 of 86 55% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 88%
46 of 86 53% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 95%
40 of 86 47% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 86 35% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 86 23% 58 104 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 86 12% 48 114 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 86 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs