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Tue Jun 2 1:15 am

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Reds What If?

The Reds What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Reds play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Reds What If?

Next Game - Royals (23‑37)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 31 29 <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 78%
Current Standings 30 29 <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 79%
Lose Next Game 30 30 <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 81%


Current Series - Royals (23‑37) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Reds Sweeps 32 29 <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 77%
Current Standings 30 29 <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 79%
Royals Sweeps 30 31 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 83%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
103 of 103 100% 133 29 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 103 97% 130 32 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 103 87% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 103 80% 112 50 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 103 79% 111 51 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 103 78% 110 52 88% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 103 77% 109 53 85% 14% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 103 76% 108 54 81% 18% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 103 75% 107 55 75% 23% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 103 74% 106 56 69% 26% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 103 73% 105 57 63% 31% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 103 72% 104 58 55% 35% 3% 6% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 103 71% 103 59 48% 38% 5% 8% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 103 70% 102 60 40% 40% 7% 12% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 103 69% 101 61 33% 41% 10% 16% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 103 68% 100 62 26% 40% 11% 21% 1% <1% <1%
69 of 103 67% 99 63 19% 38% 15% 26% 2% <1% <1%
68 of 103 66% 98 64 13% 35% 17% 31% 3% <1% <1%
67 of 103 65% 97 65 9% 30% 19% 37% 5% <1% <1%
66 of 103 64% 96 66 5% 25% 21% 39% 9% 1% <1%
65 of 103 63% 95 67 3% 19% 21% 41% 14% 2% <1%
64 of 103 62% 94 68 1% 13% 21% 42% 20% 4% <1%
63 of 103 61% 93 69 1% 8% 18% 38% 28% 7% 1%
62 of 103 60% 92 70 <1% 5% 15% 32% 33% 12% 2%
61 of 103 59% 91 71 <1% 2% 12% 25% 37% 19% 5%
60 of 103 58% 90 72 <1% 1% 9% 18% 36% 26% 10%
59 of 103 57% 89 73 <1% 1% 6% 12% 32% 32% 18%
58 of 103 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 4% 7% 25% 35% 30%
57 of 103 55% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 3% 18% 33% 44%
56 of 103 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 1% 11% 29% 58%
55 of 103 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 6% 21% 72%
54 of 103 52% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 83%
53 of 103 51% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
50 of 103 49% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
40 of 103 39% 70 92 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 103 29% 60 102 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 103 19% 50 112 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 103 10% 40 122 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 103 0% 30 132 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs