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Sun Oct 25 3:00 am

MLS - Week 36 of 38

MLS Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLS Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

MLS Post Season Probabilities
Record Current Series MLS Cup Winner MLS Cup Conference Championship Conf Series Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference Conf W L T Pts
Nashville SC EasternEast 21 3 7 70   41% 55% 71% 89% 100%
Whitecaps WesternWest 16 8 7 55   20% 40% 58% 80% 100%
Inter Miami CF EasternEast 15 6 10 55   8% 15% 38% 67% 100%
FC Dallas WesternWest 15 7 9 54   7% 18% 38% 65% 100%
St. Louis City SC WesternWest 14 8 9 51   4% 13% 28% 59% >99%
LAFC WesternWest 12 9 10 46   4% 11% 25% 56% >99%
Revolution EasternEast 17 10 4 55   4% 9% 30% 62% 100%
EarthquakesEarthquaks WesternWest 13 9 9 48   3% 8% 19% 48% >99%
Fire EasternEast 15 10 6 51   3% 6% 16% 54% 100%
Union EasternEast 13 11 7 46   2% 5% 17% 43% 99%
Charlotte FC EasternEast 13 10 8 47   2% 5% 13% 44% >99%
Dynamo WesternWest 13 9 9 48   1% 4% 12% 36% >99%
Sounders WesternWest 11 10 10 43   <1% 2% 7% 21% 75%
Rapids WesternWest 12 13 6 42   <1% 2% 6% 17% 59%
Orlando City SC EasternEast 12 13 6 42   <1% 1% 5% 16% 69%
FC Cincinnati EasternEast 11 11 9 42   <1% 1% 5% 15% 64%
Real Salt Lake WesternWest 11 14 6 39   <1% 1% 4% 10% 35%
Crew EasternEast 11 15 5 38   <1% 1% 2% 6% 30%
Galaxy WesternWest 10 11 10 40   <1% <1% 1% 4% 22%
NY City FC EasternEast 8 12 11 35   <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
Red Bull EasternEast 11 14 6 39   <1% <1% 1% 2% 18%
Timbers WesternWest 10 14 7 37   <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Toronto FC EasternEast 8 11 12 36   <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Minnesota United WesternWest 8 12 11 35   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
San Diego FC WesternWest 8 12 11 35   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Austin FC WesternWest 8 13 10 34   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
D.C. United EasternEast 7 12 12 33   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atlanta United EasternEast 8 17 6 30   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
CF Montréal EasternEast 6 18 7 25   X X X X X
Sporting KC WesternWest 6 21 4 22   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot