The Air Force Falcons What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Air Force plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 40% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 37% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 27% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 3% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 40% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 37% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 27% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario Air Force beats San Diego State |
Worst Case Scenario San Diego State beats Air Force |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 7 | 1 | 81% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 6 | 2 | 35% | 47% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 31% | 43% | 19% | 2% | <1% |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 5% | 28% | 43% | 21% | 2% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 29% | 48% | 18% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 44% | 49% |