PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Nov 9 2:45 am

Mountain West Football - Week 12 of 14

Utah St. Aggies Standings

Are the Utah St. Aggies going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Utah St. standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mountain West Football Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
8 game season
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Boise State 4i
Boise State Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 11 vs New Mexico      41-25
Won  Sat, Oct 18 vs UNLV            56-31
Won  Fri, Oct 24 @  Nevada          24-3 
Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Fresno State     7-30
     Sat, Nov 15 @  San Diego State 
     Sat, Nov 22 vs Colorado St.    
     Fri, Nov 28 @  Utah St.        

1 5 37% 17% 15% 12% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
San Diego State 4
San Diego State Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 11 @  Nevada          44-10
Won  Sat, Oct 25 @  Fresno State    23-0 
Won  Sat, Nov 01 vs Wyoming         24-7 
Lost Sat, Nov 08 @  Hawaii           6-38
     Sat, Nov 15 vs Boise State     
     Sat, Nov 22 vs San José State  
     Fri, Nov 28 @  New Mexico      

1 5 34% 16% 15% 11% 10% 8% 3% 2% 1% <1% ^ ^
 
Hawaii 4
Hawaii Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 11 vs Utah St.        44-26
Won  Sat, Oct 18 @  Colorado St.    31-19
Lost Sat, Nov 01 @  San José State  38-45
Won  Sat, Nov 08 vs San Diego State 38-6 
     Fri, Nov 21 @  UNLV            
     Sat, Nov 29 vs Wyoming         

2 6 8% 14% 13% 16% 18% 14% 10% 6% 2% <1% ^ ^
New Mexico 3
New Mexico Recent Games

Lost Sat, Oct 11 @  Boise State     25-41
Won  Sat, Oct 18 vs Nevada          24-22
Won  Sat, Oct 25 vs Utah St.        33-14
Won  Sat, Nov 01 @  UNLV            40-35
     Sat, Nov 15 vs Colorado St.    
     Sat, Nov 22 @  Air Force       
     Fri, Nov 28 vs San Diego State 

2 5 11% 15% 14% 16% 14% 10% 6% 6% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Fresno State 3
Fresno State Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 04 vs Nevada          20-17
Lost Fri, Oct 10 @  Colorado St.    21-49
Lost Sat, Oct 25 vs San Diego State  0-23
Won  Sat, Nov 01 @  Boise State     30-7 
     Sat, Nov 15 vs Wyoming         
     Sat, Nov 22 vs Utah St.        
     Sat, Nov 29 @  San José State  

2 5 6% 18% 14% 15% 12% 9% 8% 10% 4% 4% <1% <1%
UNLV 3
UNLV Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 11 vs Air Force       51-48
Lost Sat, Oct 18 @  Boise State     31-56
Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs New Mexico      35-40
Won  Sat, Nov 08 @  Colorado St.    42-10
     Sat, Nov 15 vs Utah St.        
     Fri, Nov 21 vs Hawaii          
     Sat, Nov 29 @  Nevada          

2 5 2% 15% 19% 16% 17% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Utah St. 3
Utah St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Oct 11 @  Hawaii          26-44
Won  Fri, Oct 17 vs San José State  30-25
Lost Sat, Oct 25 @  New Mexico      14-33
Won  Sat, Nov 08 vs Nevada          51-14
     Sat, Nov 15 @  UNLV            
     Sat, Nov 22 @  Fresno State    
     Fri, Nov 28 vs Boise State     

2 5 2% 4% 6% 9% 10% 16% 25% 17% 8% 2% <1% <1%
Wyoming 2
Wyoming Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 11 vs San José State  35-28
Lost Sat, Oct 18 @  Air Force       21-24
Won  Sat, Oct 25 vs Colorado St.    28-0 
Lost Sat, Nov 01 @  San Diego State  7-24
     Sat, Nov 15 @  Fresno State    
     Sat, Nov 22 vs Nevada          
     Sat, Nov 29 @  Hawaii          

3 5 <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 11% 14% 17% 25% 17% 5% 1%
San José State 2
San José State Recent Games

Lost Sat, Oct 11 @  Wyoming         28-35
Lost Fri, Oct 17 @  Utah St.        25-30
Won  Sat, Nov 01 vs Hawaii          45-38
Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs Air Force       16-26
     Sat, Nov 15 @  Nevada          
     Sat, Nov 22 @  San Diego State 
     Sat, Nov 29 vs Fresno State    

3 5 <1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 5% 11% 10% 18% 32% 13% 4%
Air Force 2
Air Force Recent Games

Lost Sat, Oct 11 @  UNLV            48-51
Won  Sat, Oct 18 vs Wyoming         24-21
Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Black Knights   17-20
Won  Sat, Nov 08 @  San José State  26-16
     Sat, Nov 15 @  UConn           
     Sat, Nov 22 vs New Mexico      
     Fri, Nov 28 @  Colorado St.    

4 6 X X <1% <1% 1% 6% 7% 23% 23% 15% 24% 1%
Colorado St. 1
Colorado St. Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 10 vs Fresno State    49-21
Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Hawaii          19-31
Lost Sat, Oct 25 @  Wyoming          0-28
Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs UNLV            10-42
     Sat, Nov 15 @  New Mexico      
     Sat, Nov 22 @  Boise State     
     Fri, Nov 28 vs Air Force       

4 5 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 11% 23% 44% 17%
Nevada 0
Nevada Recent Games

Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs San Diego State 10-44
Lost Sat, Oct 18 @  New Mexico      22-24
Lost Fri, Oct 24 vs Boise State      3-24
Lost Sat, Nov 08 @  Utah St.        14-51
     Sat, Nov 15 vs San José State  
     Sat, Nov 22 @  Wyoming         
     Sat, Nov 29 vs UNLV            

5 5 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 12% 77%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant


(7) Aggies 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
(1)Boise State 4 1 2%
(2)San Diego State 4 1 2%
(3)Hawaii 4 2 1%
(4)New Mexico 3 2 1%
(5)Fresno State 3 2 <1%
(6)UNLV 3 2 <1%
(8)Wyoming 2 3 <1%
(9)San José State 2 3 <1%
Elimination 94%



Aggies Conference Schedule
Current Week 12
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
3 Air Force
(3‑6)
49‑30 Home Sat Sep 13, 9:45 pm
7 Hawaii
(7‑3)
26‑44 Away Sat Oct 11, 11:59 pm
8 San José State
(3‑6)
30‑25 Home Fri Oct 17, 9:00 pm
9 New Mexico
(6‑3)
14‑33 Away Sat Oct 25, 3:00 pm
11 Nevada
(1‑8)
51‑14 Home Sat Nov 8, 7:30 pm
12 UNLV
(7‑2)
  Away Sat Nov 15, 7:00 pm
13 Fresno State
(6‑3)
  Away Sat Nov 22, 10:30 pm
14 Boise State
(6‑3)
  Home Fri Nov 28, 4:00 pm


Aggies Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 UTEP
(2‑7)
Conference USAConf. USA 28‑16 Home Sat Aug 30, 7:30 pm
2 Texas A&M
(9‑0)
SECSEC 22‑44 Away Sat Sep 6, 12:45 pm
4 McNeese ‑‑ 48‑7 Home Sat Sep 20, 8:00 pm
5 Vanderbilt
(8‑2)
SECSEC 35‑55 Away Sat Sep 27, 12:45 pm