The Utah St. Aggies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Utah St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 2 | 5% | 10% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 3 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 16% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 32% | 22% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 13% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 16% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 13% | 34% | 22% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Colorado St. beats New Mexico Utah St. beats UNLV Boise State beats San Diego State |
Worst Case Scenario New Mexico beats Colorado St. UNLV beats Utah St. San Diego State beats Boise State |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 28% | 46% | 22% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 32% | 31% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 4 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 28% | 45% | 17% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 26% | 40% | 27% | 7% | 1% | <1% |