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Tue Dec 23 10:45 pm

NCAA Basketball - Week 8 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 44 and 45 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 105 teams in 11 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 11 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L
48 Clemson ACCACC $MWP$ 10 3 5%
56 Miami ACCACC $MWP$ 11 2 5%
70 N.C. State ACCACC $MWP$ 9 4 3%
73 Wake Forest ACCACC $MWP$ 9 4 4%
79 Notre Dame ACCACC $MWP$ 9 4 3%
102 Syracuse ACCACC $MWP$ 9 4 2%
138 Georgia Tech ACCACC $MWP$ 8 4 1%
153 Pittsburgh ACCACC $MWP$ 7 6 1%
173 Florida St. ACCACC $MWP$ 7 6 <1%
226 Boston College ACCACC $MWP$ 6 6 <1%
 
99 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 8 5 10%
109 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 7 5 10%
127 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 9 4 9%
129 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 8 5 7%
132 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 9 4 7%
154 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 9 4 6%
166 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 8 5 5%
167 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 5 7 5%
221 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 6 7 2%
253 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 5 8 1%
254 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 6 7 1%
256 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 4 8 1%
 
55 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 10 2 9%
85 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 4 7%
88 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 4 8%
107 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 4 7%
113 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 8 4 5%
115 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 4 5%
176 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 7 5 2%
189 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 7 5 1%
233 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 4 1%
298 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 4 9 <1%
302 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 4 9 <1%
 
45 UCLA Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 10 3 4%
59 Indiana Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 10 3 3%
60 Washington Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 8 4 2%
63 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 9 3 2%
89 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 8 4 1%
123 Penn State Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 8 4 1%
144 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 7 5 <1%
145 Oregon Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 6 6 <1%
147 Maryland Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 6 5 <1%
150 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 7 5 <1%
168 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 6 6 <1%
 
52 Baylor Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 9 2 3%
61 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 8 4 2%
77 Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 8 4 2%
82 TCU Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 9 3 2%
104 Utah Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 8 4 1%
152 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 9 4 1%
160 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 7 5 <1%
 
49 Butler Big EastBig East $MWP$ 10 3 9%
95 Creighton Big EastBig East $MWP$ 8 5 5%
103 Xavier Big EastBig East $MWP$ 9 4 5%
111 Georgetown Big EastBig East $MWP$ 9 4 3%
136 Providence Big EastBig East $MWP$ 7 6 2%
149 DePaul Big EastBig East $MWP$ 7 4 2%
240 Marquette Big EastBig East $MWP$ 5 8 <1%
 
87 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 9 3 27%
170 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 6 5 9%
185 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 6 5 8%
235 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 6 7 4%
259 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 5 6 3%
285 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 5 7 1%
335 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 3 11 <1%
 
65 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 9 3 18%
66 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 10 3 19%
69 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 9 3 17%
134 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 8 4 8%
205 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 7 6 2%
210 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 6 7 2%
227 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 7 6 3%
260 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 6 6 1%
293 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 4 8 1%
299 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 4 9 <1%
 
46 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 8 3 15%
84 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 9 3 8%
90 Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 8 3 10%
96 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 7 4 7%
98 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 8 3 8%
174 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 5 6 2%
207 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 6 5 1%
209 San José State Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 5 7 1%
303 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 3 9 <1%
 
50 Tennessee SECSEC $MWP$ 9 3 5%
53 Arkansas SECSEC $MWP$ 8 3 6%
58 Auburn SECSEC $MWP$ 7 3 5%
72 Florida SECSEC $MWP$ 8 4 5%
78 Texas A&M SECSEC $MWP$ 9 3 4%
83 Kentucky SECSEC $MWP$ 9 4 3%
86 Missouri SECSEC $MWP$ 10 3 3%
91 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC $MWP$ 7 5 3%
142 Ole Miss SECSEC $MWP$ 7 4 1%
143 Texas SECSEC $MWP$ 8 4 1%
146 South Carolina SECSEC $MWP$ 8 4 1%
 
47 Seattle West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 11 2 8%
71 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 8 4 4%
108 Pacific West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 9 4 4%
116 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 8 4 3%
131 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 9 4 3%
179 Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 7 6 1%
184 Portland West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 7 6 1%
222 Washington St. West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 5 7 <1%
228 San Diego West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 5 7 <1%
289 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 5 8 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny