PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Mar 4 12:45 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 17 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 42 and 43 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 110 teams in 12 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 12 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L
56 Pittsburgh ACCACC 77 19 10 5%
59 Wake Forest ACCACC 77 18 11 5%
71 N.C. State ACCACC 74 17 12 3%
73 Virginia Tech ACCACC 73 16 13 2%
84 Florida St. ACCACC 71 15 14 2%
102 Boston College ACCACC 66 15 14 1%
104 Miami ACCACC 66 15 14 1%
114 Georgia Tech ACCACC 63 13 16 1%
135 Notre Dame ACCACC 56 12 17 <1%
223 Louisville ACCACC 42 8 21 <1%
 
48 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 82 22 8 18%
90 Southern Methodist American AthleticAm. Athletic 70 19 10 8%
92 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 69 18 11 7%
100 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 66 17 11 8%
115 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 62 16 12 3%
162 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 49 13 15 1%
165 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 49 13 17 1%
180 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 48 15 14 1%
184 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 47 14 15 1%
225 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 41 11 18 <1%
236 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 40 11 18 <1%
266 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 35 11 19 <1%
 
45 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 82 22 7 17%
55 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 78 21 8 14%
69 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 74 19 10 11%
86 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 71 18 11 5%
87 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 70 18 10 7%
91 UMass Atlantic 10Atl. 10 70 19 10 6%
98 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 67 18 11 3%
105 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 65 18 11 4%
131 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 57 15 14 1%
171 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 48 15 15 <1%
179 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 48 11 18 <1%
185 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 47 14 15 <1%
199 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 45 11 18 <1%
203 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 45 12 17 <1%
 
50 Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 80 17 11 4%
65 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 75 18 12 2%
70 Iowa Big 10Big 10 74 17 12 2%
75 Indiana Big 10Big 10 73 16 13 2%
82 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 71 18 11 2%
94 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 68 15 14 1%
110 Maryland Big 10Big 10 64 15 15 1%
119 Penn State Big 10Big 10 61 14 16 <1%
157 Michigan Big 10Big 10 51 8 22 <1%
 
43 Texas Big 12Big 12 83 19 10 4%
47 Oklahoma Big 12Big 12 82 19 10 3%
51 TCU Big 12Big 12 80 19 10 3%
67 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 75 17 12 2%
74 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 73 17 12 2%
95 UCF Big 12Big 12 68 15 13 1%
137 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 56 12 17 <1%
156 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 51 9 20 <1%
 
58 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 77 18 11 8%
60 St. John's Big EastBig East 76 17 12 6%
64 Villanova Big EastBig East 75 17 12 5%
66 Providence Big EastBig East 75 18 11 5%
79 Butler Big EastBig East 72 17 13 2%
89 Xavier Big EastBig East 70 15 14 2%
218 Georgetown Big EastBig East 43 9 20 <1%
291 DePaul Big EastBig East 30 3 26 <1%
 
63 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 75 21 10 15%
107 Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 65 19 12 6%
108 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 65 18 13 7%
113 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 63 19 12 4%
145 Missouri St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 55 16 15 2%
158 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 50 15 16 1%
164 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 49 15 16 1%
212 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 44 12 19 <1%
241 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 38 11 20 <1%
302 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 28 7 24 <1%
 
72 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 74 18 10 6%
143 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 55 13 16 1%
195 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 46 11 18 <1%
243 San José State Mountain WestMntn West 38 9 21 <1%
251 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 37 9 19 <1%
 
49 Colorado PAC 12PAC 12 81 20 9 15%
54 Oregon PAC 12PAC 12 78 19 9 11%
57 Utah PAC 12PAC 12 77 18 11 7%
96 Washington PAC 12PAC 12 68 16 14 3%
106 Arizona St. PAC 12PAC 12 65 14 15 2%
123 UCLA PAC 12PAC 12 58 14 14 1%
129 California PAC 12PAC 12 57 13 17 1%
133 USC PAC 12PAC 12 57 12 17 1%
140 Stanford PAC 12PAC 12 55 12 17 1%
150 Oregon St. PAC 12PAC 12 52 12 17 1%
 
68 Texas A&M SECSEC 75 16 13 2%
80 LSU SECSEC 71 16 13 1%
93 Georgia SECSEC 68 15 14 1%
103 Arkansas SECSEC 66 14 15 1%
196 Vanderbilt SECSEC 46 8 21 <1%
200 Missouri SECSEC 45 8 21 <1%
 
81 Tarleton St. WACWAC 71 22 7 24%
136 Seattle WACWAC 56 18 11 9%
146 UT Arlington WACWAC 55 17 13 8%
188 Stephen F. Austin WACWAC 47 15 13 3%
198 Utah Valley WACWAC 45 14 15 3%
205 Abilene Christian WACWAC 45 14 15 3%
224 California Baptist WACWAC 41 15 14 2%
281 Utah Tech WACWAC 32 10 19 <1%
304 Southern Utah WACWAC 27 9 20 <1%
332 UT-Rio Grande Valley WACWAC 18 6 23 <1%
 
44 St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 82 24 7 37%
88 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 70 22 9 14%
111 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 63 19 12 9%
166 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 49 16 14 2%
237 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 40 12 18 1%
256 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 36 11 19 <1%
263 Portland West CoastWest Coast 36 11 19 <1%
340 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 16 6 25 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny