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Thu Mar 12 4:00 am

NCAA Basketball - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 42 and 43. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Kansas Big 12Big 12 28 3 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 29 2 93% 7% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Baylor Big 12Big 12 26 4 88% 12% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Florida St. ACCACC 26 5 46% 50% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Villanova Big EastBig East 24 7 38% 56% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 31 2 12% 88% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Duke ACCACC 25 6 8% 26% 60% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 30 2 X 26% 73% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Creighton Big EastBig East 24 7 13% 26% 34% 27% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 Auburn SECSEC 25 6 <1% 27% 41% 32% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 Oregon PAC 12PAC 12 24 7 <1% 26% 41% 33% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 Maryland Big 10Big 10 24 7 1% 23% 37% 38% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 Louisville ACCACC 24 7 <1% 13% 27% 54% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 Kentucky SECSEC 25 6 <1% 15% 24% 50% 11% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 21 9 X 6% 18% 47% 30% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 Virginia ACCACC 23 7 X 1% 17% 33% 46% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 Butler Big EastBig East 22 9 X <1% 11% 27% 52% 9% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 22 9 X X 4% 25% 61% 10% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 21 10 X <1% 2% 20% 73% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 25 8 X X X X 11% 87% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 Houston American AthleticAm. Athletic 23 8 X X X 1% 25% 35% 31% 9% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 BYU West CoastWest Coast 24 8 X X X X <1% 67% 32% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 21 10 X X <1% 5% 9% 24% 33% 22% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
24 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 21 10 X X X 1% 17% 16% 40% 26% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 USC PAC 12PAC 12 22 9 X X X <1% 13% 15% 29% 37% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
26 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 23 8 X X X <1% 13% 15% 29% 23% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
27 LSU SECSEC 21 10 X X X <1% 9% 11% 31% 29% 19% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
28 Oklahoma Big 12Big 12 19 12 X X X <1% 5% 12% 28% 33% 19% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
29 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 24 7 X X X <1% 5% 14% 18% 14% 28% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
30 Colorado PAC 12PAC 12 21 11 X X X X X <1% 14% 71% 16% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 Arizona St. PAC 12PAC 12 20 11 X X X X <1% 15% 17% 17% 22% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
32 Arizona PAC 12PAC 12 21 11 X X X X 1% 10% 7% 18% 24% 36% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
33 E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 30 4 X X X X X X <1% 7% 64% 28% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
34 Iowa Big 10Big 10 20 11 X X X <1% 4% 6% 12% 8% 11% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 35%
35 Providence Big EastBig East 19 12 X X X X <1% 5% 7% 10% 16% 32% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 15%
36 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 23 8 X X X X <1% 8% 6% 7% 26% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 35%
37 Penn State Big 10Big 10 21 10 X X X <1% 4% 4% 9% 6% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 47%
38 Illinois Big 10Big 10 21 10 X X X X <1% 8% 9% 8% 14% 13% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 42%
39 Marquette Big EastBig East 18 12 X X X X <1% 4% 4% 5% 13% 19% 19% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 36%
40 Florida SECSEC 19 12 X X X X <1% 4% 6% 9% 12% 19% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 40%
41 Texas Big 12Big 12 19 12 X X X X <1% 2% 5% 5% 21% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 44%
42 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 21 9 X X X X <1% 3% 7% 8% 9% 15% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 52%
Cutline - Click Here to View 44 Line Movers
43 Xavier Big EastBig East 19 13 X X X X X X X <1% 2% 50% 24% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 24%
44 Michigan Big 10Big 10 19 12 X X X X <1% 4% 5% 3% 9% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 56%
45 Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 26 8 X X X X X X X X <1% 21% 79% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
46 Cincinnati American AthleticAm. Athletic 20 10 X X X X X <1% 10% 7% 4% 11% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 58%
47 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 20 11 X X X X <1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 9% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 71%
48 Indiana Big 10Big 10 20 12 X X X X X <1% 3% 1% 2% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 88%
49 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 20 11 X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 4% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 86%
50 N.C. State ACCACC 20 12 X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 90%
51 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 21 10 X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 87%
52 Arkansas SECSEC 20 12 X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 91%
53 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 18 14 X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 95%
54 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 25 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Stanford PAC 12PAC 12 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 18 13 X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 95%
57 Akron MACMAC 24 7 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 35% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 65%
58 UCLA PAC 12PAC 12 19 12 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 89%
59 Notre Dame ACCACC 20 12 X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
60 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 21 9 X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
61 Tennessee SECSEC 17 14 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
62 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 21 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 90%
63 Purdue Big 10Big 10 16 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
64 South Carolina SECSEC 18 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
65 Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 28 3 X X X X X X X X X <1% 38% 21% <1% <1% <1% <1% 42%
66 Oregon St. PAC 12PAC 12 18 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 95%
67 Georgia Tech ACCACC 17 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
68 St. John's Big EastBig East 17 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
69 Liberty Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 30 4 X X X X X X X X X <1% 22% 78% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 22 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
71 ConnecticutConnect. American AthleticAm. Athletic 19 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
72 Syracuse ACCACC 18 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
73 Furman SouthernSouthern 25 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
74 Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 23 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% 19% 19% <1% <1% <1% <1% 62%
75 Vermont America EastAmerica East 26 7 X X X X X X X X X X 4% 77% <1% <1% <1% <1% 18%
76 Georgetown Big EastBig East 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
77 Alabama SECSEC 16 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
78 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 15 16 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
79 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
80 DePaul Big EastBig East 16 16 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
81 TCU Big 12Big 12 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
82 Utah PAC 12PAC 12 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
83 Southern Methodist American AthleticAm. Athletic 19 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
84 Clemson ACCACC 16 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
85 New Mexico St. WACWAC 25 6 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 51% 8% <1% <1% <1% 41%
86 Georgia SECSEC 16 16 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
87 Hofstra Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 26 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 36% 64% ^ ^ ^ ^
88 Texas A&M SECSEC 16 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
89 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
90 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 18 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
91 Miami ACCACC 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
92 N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 23 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
93 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 21 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 25% 9% <1% <1% <1% 65%
94 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
95 Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 23 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 23% 7% <1% <1% <1% 70%
96 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 23 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
97 Bowling Green MACMAC 21 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% 81%
98 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 23 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 82% 11% ^ ^ ^
99 Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 22 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 16% 5% <1% <1% <1% 79%
100 Belmont Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 26 7 X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 80% 18% ^ ^ ^
101 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 19 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
102 Pittsburgh ACCACC 16 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
103 North Carolina ACCACC 14 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
104 Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 20 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 12% <1% <1% <1% 80%
105 Washington PAC 12PAC 12 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
106 North Texas Conference USAConf. USA 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 14% <1% <1% <1% 78%
107 Missouri SECSEC 15 16 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
108 Virginia Tech ACCACC 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
109 Loyola-ChicagoLoyl-Chcgo Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 21 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
110 UALR SunbeltSunbelt 21 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 27% 2% <1% <1% 69%
111 California PAC 12PAC 12 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
112 North Dakota St. SummitSummit 25 8 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 30% 70% ^ ^ ^
113 Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 25 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
114 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
115 Wright St. HorizonHorizon 25 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
116 UCF American AthleticAm. Athletic 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
117 Buffalo MACMAC 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
118 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
119 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
120 Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 22 9 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 15% 9% <1% <1% 77%
121 Texas St. (SM) SunbeltSunbelt 21 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 14% 14% <1% <1% 72%
122 Ole Miss SECSEC 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
123 Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
124 Kent State MACMAC 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 5% <1% <1% 87%
125 Wake Forest ACCACC 13 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
126 Washington St. PAC 12PAC 12 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% 97%
127 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
128 Delaware Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 22 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
129 William & Mary Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 21 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
130 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 19 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
131 Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 23 9 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 85% 11% ^ ^
132 Boston College ACCACC 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
133 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
134 UC Irvine Big WestBig West 21 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 26% 1% <1% 70%
135 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 20 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
136 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 20 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
137 MassachusettsMass. Atlantic 10Atl. 10 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
138 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
139 Winthrop Big SouthBig South 24 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 46% 54% ^ ^
140 Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
141 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
142 South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 18% <1% <1% 79%
143 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 16 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 13% <1% <1% 84%
144 St. Francis (PA) NortheastNorth East 22 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
145 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 19 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
146 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
147 Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
148 Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 20 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 17% 3% <1% 80%
149 ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 20 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
150 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 99%
151 North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 21 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
152 UCSB Big WestBig West 21 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 18% 5% <1% 76%
153 Murray St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 23 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
154 Towson Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
155 South Dakota St. SummitSummit 22 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
156 Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 20 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 13% 21% <1% 66%
157 Stony Brook America EastAmerica East 20 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
158 Radford Big SouthBig South 21 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
159 Charleston Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 17 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
160 Northern Illinois MACMAC 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 4% <1% 91%
161 Ball State MACMAC 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 2% <1% 93%
162 Austin Peay Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 21 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
163 Missouri St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 16 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
164 Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 21 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 90% 8% ^
165 Ohio MACMAC 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 3% <1% 93%
166 Montana Big SkyBig Sky 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 14% <1% 83%
167 Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 21 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 10% <1% 87%
168 Wofford SouthernSouthern 19 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
169 FIU Conference USAConf. USA 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% <1% 91%
170 Appalachian St.App. St. SunbeltSunbelt 18 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
171 Toledo MACMAC 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 4% <1% 94%
172 Merrimack NortheastNorth East 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
173 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
174 Charlotte Conference USAConf. USA 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% <1% 91%
175 Marshall Conference USAConf. USA 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% <1% 93%
176 UAB Conference USAConf. USA 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% <1% 93%
177 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
178 South Dakota SummitSummit 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
179 Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 17% <1% 82%
180 Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
181 Vanderbilt SECSEC 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
182 Hawaii Big WestBig West 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 14% 1% 84%
183 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 10% <1% 89%
184 California Baptist WACWAC 21 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
185 Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 18 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 8% <1% 90%
186 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
187 Monmouth Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 11% 2% 86%
188 NortheasternN. Eastern Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
189 St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 20% 5% 75%
190 Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
191 Oral Roberts SummitSummit 17 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
192 Eastern Michigan MACMAC 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
193 Sacred Heart NortheastNorth East 20 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
194 Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 13% 21% 66%
195 Abilene Christian SouthlandSouth-land 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 11% 4% 85%
196 Texas Arlington SunbeltSunbelt 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
197 Robert Morris NortheastNorth East 20 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 12% 88% ^
198 Mercer SouthernSouthern 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
199 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
200 Southern Utah Big SkyBig Sky 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 1% 93%
201 UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
202 Green Bay HorizonHorizon 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
203 Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 16 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
204 Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
205 Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 22% 72%
206 Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 1% 94%
207 Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 2% 93%
208 Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
209 American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
210 UMKC WACWAC 17 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 7% 89%
211 CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 7% 88%
212 Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 18 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
213 Florida Atlantic Conference USAConf. USA 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 2% 96%
214 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
215 Ill. Chicago HorizonHorizon 18 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
216 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
217 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
218 Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 18 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
219 Nebraska Big 10Big 10 7 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
220 Hartford America EastAmerica East 18 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 18% 82%
221 Sam Houston St. SouthlandSouth-land 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 94%
222 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
223 Miami OH MACMAC 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
224 Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
225 Rice Conference USAConf. USA 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
226 Central Michigan MACMAC 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
227 Old Dominion Conference USAConf. USA 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
228 LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 14 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
229 N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 32% 68%
230 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
231 Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
232 Drexel Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 14 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
233 Western Michigan MACMAC 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
234 UC Riverside Big WestBig West 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 93%
235 North Dakota SummitSummit 15 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
236 Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 96%
237 Southern SouthwesternSWAC 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 21% 79%
238 N.C. A&T MideasternMid-Eastern 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 31% 69%
239 Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
240 Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
241 Eastern Kentucky Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 16 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
242 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
243 UMBC America EastAmerica East 16 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
244 Oakland HorizonHorizon 14 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
245 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 9 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
246 Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
247 New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
248 Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 16 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
249 Texas-San Antonio Conference USAConf. USA 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
250 Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 14 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
251 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
252 UC Davis Big WestBig West 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 95%
253 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
254 Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
255 UT-Rio Grande Valley WACWAC 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 92%
256 Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
257 LIU NortheastNorth East 15 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
258 Florida A&M MideasternMid-Eastern 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
259 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 9 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
260 Grand Canyon WACWAC 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 95%
261 Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 96%
262 Bryant NortheastNorth East 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
263 Albany America EastAmerica East 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
264 Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn MideasternMid-Eastern 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 13% 87%
265 Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 16% 84%
266 Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
267 Seattle WACWAC 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 92%
268 Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
269 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
270 Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
271 N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
272 Hampton Big SouthBig South 15 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
273 Elon Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 12 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
274 Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
275 San Jose St. Mountain WestMntn West 7 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
276 Portland West CoastWest Coast 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
277 Campbell Big SouthBig South 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
278 North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
279 Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
280 UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
281 IPFW SummitSummit 14 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
282 Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 13 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
283 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
284 Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
285 McNeese St. SouthlandSouth-land 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
286 Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 96%
287 Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 12% 88%
288 LA Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 9 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
289 Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
290 Central Arkansas SouthlandSouth-land 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
291 Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 12 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
292 CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
293 Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
294 Cal St. BakersfieldCal St. BF WACWAC 12 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 5% 95%
295 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 9 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
296 Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
297 S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 13 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
298 Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
299 Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
300 St. Francis (NY) NortheastNorth East 13 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
301 Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
302 Southern Miss Conference USAConf. USA 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
303 Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 8% 92%
304 N.C. Wilmington Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 10 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
305 Longwood Big SouthBig South 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
306 Utah Valley WACWAC 12 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 96%
307 James Madison Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
308 Jacksonville St.Jack.ville St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
309 Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
310 Samford SouthernSouthern 10 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
311 Troy SunbeltSunbelt 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
312 Binghamton America EastAmerica East 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
313 Maine America EastAmerica East 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
314 Detroit HorizonHorizon 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
315 Mount St. Mary's NortheastNorth East 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
316 Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
317 New Jersey Tech Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
318 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 10 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
319 Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 8 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
320 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 7 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
321 Cal Poly Big WestBig West 7 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
322 VMI SouthernSouthern 9 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
323 Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 9 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
324 Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 5% 95%
325 High Point Big SouthBig South 9 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
326 S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
327 Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 8 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
328 Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
329 New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
330 Wagner NortheastNorth East 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
331 Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 8 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
332 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
333 Denver SummitSummit 7 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
334 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 10 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
335 Citadel SouthernSouthern 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
336 Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 8 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
337 IUPUI HorizonHorizon 7 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
338 SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
339 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
340 Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
341 Houston Baptist SouthlandSouth-land 4 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
342 Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 7 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
343 Western Illinois SummitSummit 5 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
344 SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 7 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
345 Chicago St. WACWAC 5 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
346 AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 4 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
347 Central Conn. St. NortheastNorth East 4 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
348 MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 5 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
349 Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 3 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
350 Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 4 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
351 Kennesaw St. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 1 28 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
352 Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 6 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
353 Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 4 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot