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Sat Mar 2 4:15 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 17 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 42 and 43. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Purdue Big 10Big 10 25 3 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Houston Big 12Big 12 25 3 95% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 UConn Big EastBig East 25 3 79% 19% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Tennessee SECSEC 22 6 57% 38% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 North Carolina ACCACC 22 6 31% 53% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 Arizona PAC 12PAC 12 22 6 5% 51% 30% 10% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Marquette Big EastBig East 22 6 8% 35% 28% 17% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 South Carolina SECSEC 23 5 8% 31% 28% 17% 10% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Alabama SECSEC 19 8 4% 24% 31% 22% 12% 4% 1% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 22 6 4% 27% 27% 19% 11% 7% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 Kansas Big 12Big 12 21 7 3% 24% 29% 18% 15% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 Auburn SECSEC 21 7 2% 20% 31% 21% 14% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 Duke ACCACC 22 6 2% 16% 24% 24% 15% 11% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 23 5 <1% 12% 19% 25% 18% 14% 6% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 Baylor Big 12Big 12 20 8 1% 10% 20% 23% 17% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 22 7 <1% 6% 16% 25% 22% 16% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 Illinois Big 10Big 10 21 7 <1% 8% 19% 21% 16% 14% 12% 5% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 Clemson ACCACC 20 8 <1% 7% 15% 22% 20% 16% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 22 6 <1% 3% 17% 23% 27% 16% 10% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 24 6 <1% 4% 10% 18% 21% 20% 14% 6% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 Creighton Big EastBig East 21 8 <1% 3% 9% 17% 21% 19% 16% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
22 Florida SECSEC 20 8 <1% 2% 6% 12% 16% 19% 16% 12% 8% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
23 Kentucky SECSEC 20 8 <1% 2% 5% 10% 16% 19% 18% 13% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
24 Washington St. PAC 12PAC 12 22 7 X <1% 2% 9% 10% 18% 20% 14% 10% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
25 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 25 5 X X <1% 4% 17% 13% 20% 21% 13% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
26 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 20 8 <1% 1% 4% 7% 12% 16% 13% 16% 11% 6% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 10%
27 BYU Big 12Big 12 20 8 <1% 1% 3% 5% 9% 14% 14% 16% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 13%
28 Virginia ACCACC 21 8 X <1% 2% 4% 8% 13% 17% 16% 15% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
29 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 24 6 X X <1% 1% 8% 11% 13% 20% 17% 12% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 14%
30 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 21 7 X <1% 1% 3% 7% 11% 13% 15% 16% 11% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 17%
31 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 18 10 <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 11% 13% 17% 13% 11% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 18%
32 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 19 9 <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 9% 13% 15% 15% 12% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 21%
33 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 21 7 X <1% <1% 3% 7% 10% 15% 14% 13% 13% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 21%
34 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 20 9 X X <1% <1% 4% 4% 8% 15% 22% 16% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 23%
35 St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 24 6 X X X <1% <1% 6% 13% 10% 19% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 30%
36 Ole Miss SECSEC 19 9 X <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 10% 12% 14% 11% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 34%
37 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 20 8 X <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 11% 13% 11% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 36%
38 Nebraska Big 10Big 10 20 9 X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 12% 15% 18% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 34%
39 Syracuse ACCACC 19 10 X <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 14% 16% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 40%
40 Grand Canyon WACWAC 24 4 X X X <1% <1% 2% 12% 15% 9% 16% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 36%
41 Oklahoma Big 12Big 12 19 9 X <1% <1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 10% 10% 13% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 44%
42 Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 19 9 X <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 11% 13% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 53%
Cutline - Click Here to View 110 Line Movers
43 Texas Big 12Big 12 18 10 X <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 10% 12% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 56%
44 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 21 5 X X X <1% 1% 5% 5% 5% 12% 11% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 52%
45 TCU Big 12Big 12 19 9 X <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 8% 10% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 61%
46 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 21 8 X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 65%
47 Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 22 6 X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 6% 13% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 57%
48 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 22 3 X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 11% 13% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 55%
49 Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 17 10 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 9% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 65%
50 Colorado PAC 12PAC 12 19 9 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 11% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 68%
51 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 21 7 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 6% 9% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 65%
52 Oregon PAC 12PAC 12 19 8 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 75%
53 James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 28 3 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 5% 28% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 63%
54 Wake Forest ACCACC 18 10 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 84%
55 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 21 8 X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 4% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 84%
56 Samford SouthernSouthern 25 5 X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 29% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 61%
57 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 18 10 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 89%
58 Providence Big EastBig East 18 10 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 90%
59 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 21 9 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 84%
60 Utah PAC 12PAC 12 17 11 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
61 St. John's Big EastBig East 17 12 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
62 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 19 9 X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 86%
63 Pittsburgh ACCACC 18 10 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 95%
64 Appalachian St.App.St. SunbeltSunbelt 26 5 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 20% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% 67%
65 N.C. State ACCACC 17 11 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
66 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 17 11 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
67 McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 25 3 X X X X X X X X X <1% 17% 43% 1% <1% <1% <1% 40%
68 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 17 12 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
69 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 17 10 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
70 Villanova Big EastBig East 16 12 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
71 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 21 5 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 12% 17% <1% <1% <1% <1% 71%
72 Florida St. ACCACC 15 13 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
73 Southern Methodist American AthleticAm. Athletic 19 9 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 90%
74 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 16 12 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
75 Texas A&M SECSEC 15 13 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
76 Iowa Big 10Big 10 16 12 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
77 Vermont America EastAmerica East 23 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 37% 5% <1% <1% <1% 52%
78 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 22 8 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% 85%
79 Virginia Tech ACCACC 15 13 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
80 Indiana Big 10Big 10 15 13 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
81 Butler Big EastBig East 16 13 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
82 Tarleton St. WACWAC 21 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% 76%
83 LSU SECSEC 15 13 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
84 Washington PAC 12PAC 12 16 13 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
85 Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 19 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 19% 2% <1% <1% <1% 75%
86 Georgia SECSEC 15 13 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
87 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 18 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 91%
88 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 18 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
89 Charleston CoastalCoastal 23 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% 73%
90 UC Irvine Big WestBig West 21 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 33% 12% <1% <1% <1% 54%
91 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 17 11 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
92 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 15 13 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
93 Xavier Big EastBig East 14 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
94 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 18 10 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
95 UCF Big 12Big 12 15 12 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
96 High Point Big SouthBig South 24 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 24% 13% <1% <1% <1% 63%
97 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
98 UMass Atlantic 10Atl. 10 18 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 95%
99 Boston College ACCACC 15 13 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
100 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 17 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
101 Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 21 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 18% 13% <1% <1% <1% 68%
102 Arkansas SECSEC 14 14 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
103 Maryland Big 10Big 10 15 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
104 Akron MACMAC 20 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 14% 18% <1% <1% <1% 68%
105 Miami ACCACC 15 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
106 Arizona St. PAC 12PAC 12 14 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
107 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% 92%
108 Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% 94%
109 N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 21 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 10% <1% <1% <1% 82%
110 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
111 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 17 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% 94%
112 Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 21 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 8% <1% <1% <1% 86%
113 Penn State Big 10Big 10 14 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
114 Oakland HorizonHorizon 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 21% 2% <1% <1% 72%
115 UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 20 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 10% <1% <1% <1% 85%
116 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 5% <1% <1% <1% 92%
117 Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 22 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 30% 7% <1% <1% 60%
118 Georgia Tech ACCACC 12 16 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
119 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
120 Hofstra CoastalCoastal 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 12% 1% <1% <1% 83%
121 Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 20% 6% <1% <1% 72%
122 UCLA PAC 12PAC 12 14 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
123 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 13 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
124 UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 20 7 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 16% 4% <1% <1% 77%
125 ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 20 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 9% 1% <1% <1% 88%
126 Toledo MACMAC 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 15% 4% <1% <1% 79%
127 California PAC 12PAC 12 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
128 Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 19 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 13% 5% <1% <1% 81%
129 Drexel CoastalCoastal 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 10% 4% <1% <1% 86%
130 UC San Diego Big WestBig West 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
131 N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 13% 9% <1% <1% 78%
132 Montana Big SkyBig Sky 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 12% 7% <1% <1% 80%
133 Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 11% 6% <1% <1% 82%
134 Seattle WACWAC 18 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% 3% <1% <1% 90%
135 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
136 Stanford PAC 12PAC 12 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
137 Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 9% 14% <1% <1% 76%
138 Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 10% 9% <1% <1% 80%
139 Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 22 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 10% 8% <1% <1% 82%
140 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
141 Troy SunbeltSunbelt 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 4% <1% <1% 91%
142 USC PAC 12PAC 12 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
143 Towson CoastalCoastal 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 4% <1% <1% 91%
144 Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 21 9 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 42% 9% <1% 42%
145 Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 8% 6% <1% <1% 85%
146 Notre Dame ACCACC 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
147 Missouri St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 98%
148 Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 20 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 17% 4% <1% 74%
149 UT Arlington WACWAC 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 4% <1% <1% 92%
150 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
151 Oregon St. PAC 12PAC 12 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
152 Bryant America EastAmerica East 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 8% 1% <1% 87%
153 Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 18 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 10% 1% <1% 85%
154 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
155 LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 4% <1% <1% 94%
156 Michigan Big 10Big 10 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
157 Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 17% 4% <1% 76%
158 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 14 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
159 Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 20 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 17% 8% <1% 72%
160 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
161 Southern SouthwesternSWAC 16 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 14% 10% 1% 73%
162 Delaware CoastalCoastal 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 4% 1% <1% 93%
163 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 99%
164 Central Michigan MACMAC 16 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 7% 3% <1% 88%
165 Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 1% <1% 94%
166 Wofford SouthernSouthern 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 1% <1% 93%
167 Monmouth CoastalCoastal 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% 1% <1% 95%
168 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
169 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 99%
170 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 15 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 98%
171 Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 2% <1% 93%
172 Green Bay HorizonHorizon 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 5% <1% 88%
173 New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 3% <1% 91%
174 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
175 Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 19 9 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 10% 25% 5% 59%
176 Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 12% 1% 80%
177 Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 6% <1% 87%
178 Furman SouthernSouthern 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% 95%
179 Wright St. HorizonHorizon 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 5% <1% 89%
180 UC Davis Big WestBig West 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 8% <1% 85%
181 Stephen F. Austin WACWAC 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% <1% 96%
182 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
183 Utah Valley WACWAC 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% <1% 96%
184 Winthrop Big SouthBig South 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 6% <1% 88%
185 Merrimack NortheastNorth East 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 30% 7% 59%
186 South Dakota St. SummitSummit 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 16% 3% 77%
187 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
188 Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 18 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 11% 2% 82%
189 Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 4% <1% 92%
190 Ohio MACMAC 16 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 5% <1% 90%
191 Vanderbilt SECSEC 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
192 Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 15% 1% 80%
193 Bowling Green MACMAC 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 5% <1% 90%
194 Hawai'i Big WestBig West 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% 94%
195 CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 3% <1% 94%
196 Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 11% 1% 84%
197 UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
198 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
199 Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% <1% 96%
200 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
201 Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 6% <1% 90%
202 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
203 Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 7% 1% 89%
204 Missouri SECSEC 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
205 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
206 UCSB Big WestBig West 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 3% <1% 94%
207 E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% <1% 96%
208 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
209 Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 17 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 8% 1% 90%
210 Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 6% 80%
211 Georgetown Big EastBig East 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
212 St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 15 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 9% 3% 86%
213 Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 16 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 7% 2% 90%
214 Abilene Christian WACWAC 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% <1% 97%
215 Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% <1% 98%
216 Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 1% 93%
217 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
218 Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 16 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 9% 4% 86%
219 Louisville ACCACC 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
220 Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 18 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 14% 19% 67%
221 St. Thomas SummitSummit 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 9% 83%
222 Longwood Big SouthBig South 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 1% 94%
223 Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 2% 94%
224 Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
225 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
226 Radford Big SouthBig South 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 2% 94%
227 Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 4% 90%
228 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
229 California Baptist WACWAC 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
230 UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 1% 95%
231 Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 12 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 8% 85%
232 South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
233 North Dakota SummitSummit 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 11% 85%
234 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
235 Miami OH MACMAC 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 3% 94%
236 Mercer SouthernSouthern 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
237 UC Riverside Big WestBig West 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% 97%
238 North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 7% 91%
239 CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
240 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 13 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
241 Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 2% 95%
242 Kent State MACMAC 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 2% 96%
243 North Dakota St. SummitSummit 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 10% 87%
244 Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% <1% 99%
245 San José State Mountain WestMntn West 9 20 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
246 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 3% 96%
247 Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 15 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 3% 95%
248 SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 3% 96%
249 N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 15 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 17% 81%
250 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
251 NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% 99%
252 Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 92%
253 North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% 96%
254 Maine America EastAmerica East 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 98%
255 Binghamton America EastAmerica East 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
256 Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 94%
257 UMKC SummitSummit 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 11% 88%
258 Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 13 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
259 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 95%
260 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
261 Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 8% 91%
262 Kennesaw St. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
263 Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% 96%
264 Ball State MACMAC 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
265 Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 95%
266 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
267 Albany America EastAmerica East 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
268 Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 94%
269 Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 12 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
270 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
271 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 95%
272 Portland West CoastWest Coast 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
273 Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 94%
274 Utah Tech WACWAC 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 99%
275 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
276 Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 8% 91%
277 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
278 New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
279 Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 9 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 8% 92%
280 Denver SummitSummit 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 92%
281 Northern Illinois MACMAC 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
282 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
283 Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
284 Chicago State NCAA IndependentsInd. 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
285 Elon CoastalCoastal 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 99%
286 UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
287 S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 12% 88%
288 Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
289 DePaul Big EastBig East 3 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
290 Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
291 Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 11% 89%
292 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
293 Campbell CoastalCoastal 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
294 American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 14% 87%
295 Citadel SouthernSouthern 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
296 Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
297 Oral Roberts SummitSummit 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 96%
298 Eastern Michigan MACMAC 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
299 Southern Utah WACWAC 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
300 Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
301 AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
302 Western Michigan MACMAC 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
303 Sacred Heart NortheastNorth East 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 92%
304 FIU Conference USAConf. USA 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
305 S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
306 Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 92%
307 Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
308 Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
309 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
310 Wagner NortheastNorth East 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
311 Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 92%
312 Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm SouthlandSouth-land 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
313 Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
314 Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 95%
315 Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
316 UMBC America EastAmerica East 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
317 Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 8 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
318 South Dakota SummitSummit 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
319 Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 95%
320 Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
321 Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 10 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
322 Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
323 Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 95%
324 Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
325 N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 7 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
326 Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 10 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
327 Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
328 Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
329 UT-Rio Grande Valley WACWAC 6 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
330 Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
331 Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 7 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
332 NJIT America EastAmerica East 7 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
333 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 5 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
334 Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
335 Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 7 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
336 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
337 Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 9 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
338 Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 8 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
339 William & Mary CoastalCoastal 8 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
340 Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
341 New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
342 Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
343 MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 8 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
344 Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
345 Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
346 Hampton CoastalCoastal 7 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
347 Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
348 SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 8 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
349 Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
350 Buffalo MACMAC 4 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
351 Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 7 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
352 Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
353 Cal Poly Big WestBig West 4 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
354 St. Francis (PA) NortheastNorth East 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
355 VMI SouthernSouthern 4 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
356 IUPUI HorizonHorizon 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
357 Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 4 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
358 Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
359 Detroit HorizonHorizon 1 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
360 Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
361 Stonehill NortheastNorth East 4 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
362 Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 2 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
363 Hartford NCAA IndependentsInd. 7 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot