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Thu Dec 12 12:30 pm

NCAA Basketball - Week 6 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 43 and 44. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Last 6 teams in - Iowa St., Missouri, Colorado, Arkansas, Penn State, San Diego St.
First 6 teams out - Nevada, Nebraska, SMU, Bradley, Baylor, Stanford

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 Oregon Big 10Big 10 96 9 1 100% 98% X
2 Florida SECSEC 94 9 0 100% 97% X
3 Auburn SECSEC 94 8 1 100% 96% X
4 Tennessee SECSEC 92 9 0 100% 92% X
5 Marquette Big EastBig East 91 9 1 100% 92% X
6 Alabama SECSEC 90 7 2 100% 86% X
7 Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 88 8 1 100% 84% X
8 Clemson ACCACC 88 9 1 100% 87% X
9 Kentucky SECSEC 88 9 1 100% 82% X
10 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 7 2 100% 87% X
11 Purdue Big 10Big 10 87 8 2 100% 79% X
12 Kansas Big 12Big 12 86 7 2 100% 77% X
13 Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 86 7 2 100% 82% X
14 Pittsburgh ACCACC 85 9 2 100% 78% X
15 Texas A&M SECSEC 85 8 2 100% 73% X
16 Michigan Big 10Big 10 85 8 2 100% 72% X
17 UC Irvine Big WestBig West 84 9 0 100% 80% X
18 Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 84 9 0 100% 76% X
19 LSU SECSEC 83 8 1 100% 67% X
20 Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 83 8 2 100% 68% X
21 Duke ACCACC 83 8 2 100% 69% X
22 St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 83 9 1 100% 71% X
23 Oklahoma SECSEC 82 9 0 100% 63% X
24 UCLA Big 10Big 10 82 8 1 100% 62% X
25 Vanderbilt SECSEC 82 9 1 100% 62% X
26 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 82 8 0 >99% 71% X
27 Georgia SECSEC 81 8 1 100% 61% X
28 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 81 8 1 100% 58% X
29 Indiana Big 10Big 10 80 8 2 100% 57% X
30 Ole Miss SECSEC 80 8 1 100% 56% X
31 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 79 8 3 100% 54% X
32 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 79 8 1 100% 59% X
33 UCF Big 12Big 12 78 7 2 100% 51% X
34 St. John's Big EastBig East 78 8 2 100% 51% X
35 Illinois Big 10Big 10 78 7 2 100% 48% X
36 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 78 8 0 100% 52% X
37 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 78 9 1 100% 52% X
38 Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 77 6 1 100% 49% X
39 Missouri SECSEC 77 8 1 100% 46% X
40 Colorado Big 12Big 12 76 7 1 100% 46% X
41 Arkansas SECSEC 76 8 2 100% 45% X
42 Penn State Big 10Big 10 76 8 2 100% 42% X
43 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 75 7 2 100% 46% X
Cutline - Click Here to View 108 Line Movers
44 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 75 7 2 100% 45% X
45 Nebraska Big 10Big 10 75 6 2 100% 41% X
46 SMU ACCACC 75 8 2 100% 41% X
47 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 75 8 1 100% 46% X
48 Baylor Big 12Big 12 75 7 3 100% 40% X
49 Stanford ACCACC 75 8 2 100% 40% X
50 Iowa Big 10Big 10 74 7 2 100% 38% X
51 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 74 9 1 100% 38% X
52 Maryland Big 10Big 10 73 8 2 100% 36% X
53 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 73 6 2 100% 37% X
54 Furman SouthernSouthern 73 9 1 100% 47% X
55 Xavier Big EastBig East 72 8 2 100% 33% X
56 Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 71 7 2 100% 32% X
57 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 71 7 1 100% 32% X
58 Creighton Big EastBig East 71 7 3 100% 32% X
59 Houston Big 12Big 12 71 6 3 100% 31% X
60 Florida St. ACCACC 70 7 3 100% 28% X
61 Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 70 9 1 >99% 35% X
62 Wake Forest ACCACC 70 8 3 100% 28% X
63 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 70 7 3 100% 27% X
64 Butler Big EastBig East 70 7 3 100% 29% X
65 Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 70 7 2 100% 27% X
66 BYU Big 12Big 12 69 7 2 100% 26% X
67 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 69 8 2 100% 26% X
68 Georgetown Big EastBig East 69 7 2 100% 27% X
69 Charleston CoastalCoastal 69 7 2 100% 32% X
70 Radford Big SouthBig South 69 9 2 >99% 36% X
71 Providence Big EastBig East 68 7 4 100% 24% X
72 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 68 8 2 100% 24% X
73 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 68 6 3 100% 23% X
74 North Carolina ACCACC 68 5 4 100% 22% X
75 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 67 6 2 100% 22% X
76 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 67 7 2 100% 22% X
77 Texas SECSEC 67 7 2 100% 20% X
78 Louisville ACCACC 67 6 4 100% 20% X
79 Grand Canyon WACWAC 66 6 2 >99% 37% X
80 UC San Diego Big WestBig West 66 8 2 X X X
81 Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 66 7 3 100% 27% X
82 Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 66 8 2 >99% 22% X
83 UConn Big EastBig East 66 7 3 100% 19% X
84 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 66 7 3 100% 18% X
85 South Carolina SECSEC 66 6 3 100% 17% X
86 Washington Big 10Big 10 66 7 3 100% 16% X
87 Samford SouthernSouthern 66 9 2 100% 27% X
88 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 65 10 1 >99% 29% X
89 UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 64 7 2 100% 22% X
90 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 64 6 3 100% 15% X
91 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 63 8 2 100% 14% X
92 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 63 6 4 100% 12% X
93 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 63 6 3 100% 12% X
94 N.C. State ACCACC 62 7 3 100% 12% X
95 DePaul Big EastBig East 62 7 2 100% 13% X
96 Kent State MACMAC 62 7 3 100% 22% X
97 USC Big 10Big 10 62 6 4 100% 10% X
98 Virginia ACCACC 62 5 4 100% 11% X
99 Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 62 8 2 100% 17% X
100 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 62 7 3 100% 24% X
101 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 61 6 3 100% 12% X
102 Arizona Big 12Big 12 61 4 3 100% 12% X
103 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 61 8 2 100% 10% X
104 Hofstra CoastalCoastal 61 8 3 100% 16% X
105 Utah Big 12Big 12 61 6 2 100% 12% X
106 Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 61 7 3 100% 16% X
107 High Point Big SouthBig South 60 9 2 99% 21% X
108 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 60 6 2 >99% 13% X
109 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 60 7 3 100% 9% X
110 Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 60 6 2 100% 9% X
111 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 60 5 5 100% 9% X
112 California ACCACC 60 6 4 100% 7% X
113 TCU Big 12Big 12 60 5 4 100% 8% X
114 NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 59 7 3 100% 15% X
115 Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 59 7 3 100% 14% X
116 Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 59 6 3 >99% 14% X
117 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 59 5 3 100% 9% X
118 Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 59 6 2 >99% 24% X
119 Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 58 7 3 100% 15% X
120 Miami OH MACMAC 58 5 3 >99% 18% X
121 Villanova Big EastBig East 58 7 4 100% 7% X
122 CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 58 7 3 >99% 12% X
123 Syracuse ACCACC 58 5 4 100% 6% X
124 Notre Dame ACCACC 58 6 5 100% 5% X
125 UC Riverside Big WestBig West 58 6 4 100% 12% X
126 Akron MACMAC 57 6 2 >99% 16% X
127 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 57 6 3 100% 6% X
128 Longwood Big SouthBig South 57 9 2 >99% 16% X
129 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 57 7 3 100% 17% X
130 Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 57 6 3 99% 37% X
131 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 57 7 4 100% 17% X
132 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 57 7 3 100% 6% X
133 Boston College ACCACC 56 6 4 100% 3% X
134 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 56 6 5 100% 3% X
135 Toledo MACMAC 56 6 3 >99% 14% X
136 Troy SunbeltSunbelt 56 5 4 100% 13% X
137 Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 56 6 4 >99% 23% X
138 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 55 5 4 100% 6% X
139 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 55 6 5 100% 6% X
140 Montana Big SkyBig Sky 55 7 4 100% 24% X
141 UC Davis Big WestBig West 55 5 4 >99% 10% X
142 Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 54 7 4 100% 19% X
143 North Dakota St. SummitSummit 54 8 4 >99% 23% X
144 Southern Utah WACWAC 54 8 3 100% 16% X
145 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 54 5 4 >99% 6% X
146 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 54 5 4 100% 5% X
147 Winthrop Big SouthBig South 54 8 3 100% 13% X
148 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 53 4 4 100% 5% X
149 Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 53 6 4 100% 16% X
150 North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 53 6 4 100% 18% X
151 James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 53 6 4 100% 10% X
152 Wright St. HorizonHorizon 52 7 5 >99% 16% X
153 Elon CoastalCoastal 52 6 3 100% 8% X
154 Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 52 7 4 100% 16% X
155 South Dakota St. SummitSummit 52 8 4 >99% 19% X
156 Appalachian St.App.St. SunbeltSunbelt 52 6 3 100% 9% X
157 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 52 4 4 100% 3% X
158 South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 52 6 3 100% 9% X
159 UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 52 7 4 >99% 25% X
160 St. Thomas SummitSummit 51 7 4 100% 19% X
161 Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 51 6 4 100% 9% X
162 UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 51 6 3 >99% 8% X
163 UCSB Big WestBig West 51 6 3 >99% 6% X
164 McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 51 5 4 >99% 19% X
165 American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 51 6 4 100% 20% X
166 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 50 5 4 100% 2% X
167 N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 50 5 4 >99% 9% X
168 California Baptist WACWAC 50 5 5 100% 13% X
169 Abilene Christian WACWAC 50 6 4 100% 13% X
170 South Dakota SummitSummit 50 8 4 100% 17% X
171 Cal Poly Big WestBig West 50 5 6 >99% 5% X
172 North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 49 7 4 100% 13% X
173 E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 49 6 4 100% 8% X
174 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 49 7 4 100% 3% X
175 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 49 5 4 100% 3% X
176 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 49 5 5 100% 2% X
177 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 49 5 4 >99% 3% X
178 Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 49 5 5 >99% 6% X
179 Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 49 6 5 100% 34% X
180 UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 49 6 4 100% 23% X
181 Eastern Michigan MACMAC 48 5 4 100% 8% X
182 Central Michigan MACMAC 48 5 3 >99% 8% X
183 Missouri St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 48 5 4 >99% 3% X
184 Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 48 5 4 >99% 17% X
185 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 48 5 5 100% 13% X
186 Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 48 7 3 100% 16% X
187 UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 48 5 4 92% 16% X
188 Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 48 5 5 100% 11% X
189 Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 48 5 5 100% 9% X
190 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 47 5 4 100% 2% X
191 Drexel CoastalCoastal 47 6 4 100% 6% X
192 ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 47 5 4 100% 7% X
193 Ohio MACMAC 47 4 5 >99% 8% X
194 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 47 6 5 100% 1% X
195 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 47 6 4 >99% 3% X
196 Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 46 5 5 >99% 15% X
197 Utah Valley WACWAC 46 5 5 100% 10% X
198 Maine America EastAmerica East 46 7 5 >99% 17% X
199 Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 46 5 5 100% 14% X
200 Hawai'i Big WestBig West 45 5 3 >99% 3% X
201 Albany America EastAmerica East 45 6 5 >99% 16% X
202 Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 45 6 5 100% 14% X
203 Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 45 5 5 100% 10% X
204 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 45 6 4 >99% 2% X
205 Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 45 7 4 >99% 13% X
206 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 44 6 4 >99% 18% X
207 N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 44 5 4 >99% 7% X
208 Georgia Tech ACCACC 44 4 5 100% <1% X
209 Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 44 6 5 >99% 9% X
210 Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 44 5 5 >99% 9% X
211 Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 44 4 5 100% 14% X
212 Delaware CoastalCoastal 44 6 4 >99% 4% X
213 Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 44 5 5 100% 5% X
214 Virginia Tech ACCACC 43 3 6 100% <1% X
215 Bryant America EastAmerica East 43 6 6 100% 14% X
216 Stonehill NortheastNorth East 43 6 5 X 16% X
217 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 43 4 4 >99% 2% X
218 Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 43 4 5 100% 9% X
219 Southern SouthwesternSWAC 43 5 4 >99% 20% X
220 Detroit HorizonHorizon 43 5 6 >99% 8% X
221 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 43 4 4 100% 2% X
222 Mercer SouthernSouthern 43 5 4 100% 5% X
223 Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 43 4 6 >99% 6% X
224 Wagner NortheastNorth East 43 5 4 95% 16% X
225 Oakland HorizonHorizon 43 3 5 >99% 8% X
226 Towson CoastalCoastal 42 4 6 100% 4% X
227 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 42 6 5 >99% 5% X
228 Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 42 5 5 100% 11% X
229 Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 42 4 6 100% 8% X
230 Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 42 5 5 >99% 7% X
231 Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 42 3 5 >99% 19% X
232 Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 42 4 6 >99% 8% X
233 Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 42 6 4 99% 10% X
234 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 42 4 6 >99% 2% X
235 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 41 3 5 100% 1% X
236 Vermont America EastAmerica East 41 5 6 >99% 12% X
237 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 41 5 4 >99% 3% X
238 Hampton CoastalCoastal 41 5 5 100% 3% X
239 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 41 6 5 100% 1% X
240 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 41 3 7 100% 7% X
241 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 41 4 6 >99% 2% X
242 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 40 5 6 100% 1% X
243 Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 40 4 5 100% 3% X
244 Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 40 5 5 >99% 10% X
245 St. Francis NortheastNorth East 40 2 6 >99% 12% X
246 UT Arlington WACWAC 40 4 5 100% 5% X
247 Miami ACCACC 40 3 7 100% <1% X
248 Wofford SouthernSouthern 40 4 6 100% 4% X
249 Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 40 5 6 >99% 7% X
250 Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 39 4 7 100% 9% X
251 New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 39 4 5 >99% 2% X
252 Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 39 5 5 100% 6% X
253 Buffalo MACMAC 38 5 5 >99% 4% X
254 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 38 4 6 100% <1% X
255 Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 38 3 6 99% 8% X
256 Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 38 5 5 >99% 7% X
257 Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 38 5 5 99% 8% X
258 Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 38 4 6 >99% 5% X
259 Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 38 5 5 >99% 6% X
260 Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 38 4 6 >99% 14% X
261 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 38 4 5 100% <1% X
262 San José State Mountain WestMntn West 38 5 6 100% 1% X
263 Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 38 4 5 >99% 8% X
264 North Dakota SummitSummit 38 4 5 >99% 8% X
265 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 37 4 5 100% 4% X
266 UMBC America EastAmerica East 37 7 5 >99% 9% X
267 Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 37 4 4 >99% 8% X
268 Seattle WACWAC 37 3 6 >99% 5% X
269 Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 37 4 5 >99% 5% X
270 Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 37 4 6 >99% 10% X
271 Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 37 5 5 100% 2% X
272 Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 37 4 6 99% 5% X
273 Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 36 6 4 >99% 9% X
274 Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 36 4 5 >99% 10% X
275 Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 36 4 5 >99% 7% X
276 Denver SummitSummit 36 6 6 100% 6% X
277 S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 35 5 6 >99% 16% X
278 Binghamton America EastAmerica East 35 5 6 >99% 7% X
279 Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 35 4 6 100% 6% X
280 Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 35 4 6 100% 4% X
281 Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 35 4 6 100% 7% X
282 St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 35 4 5 >99% 3% X
283 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 34 3 6 >99% 1% X
284 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 34 5 6 100% 1% X
285 Citadel SouthernSouthern 34 5 3 >99% 2% X
286 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 34 3 7 100% <1% X
287 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 34 4 6 100% <1% X
288 CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 34 3 8 100% 1% X
289 Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 34 4 5 >99% 6% X
290 Bowling Green MACMAC 34 4 5 >99% 2% X
291 Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 34 3 6 >99% 8% X
292 Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 33 6 6 99% 7% X
293 Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 33 4 6 99% 14% X
294 VMI SouthernSouthern 33 5 6 100% 2% X
295 Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 33 4 6 >99% 7% X
296 Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 33 5 6 98% 14% X
297 Portland West CoastWest Coast 32 3 6 100% <1% X
298 William & Mary CoastalCoastal 32 4 6 100% 1% X
299 Tarleton St. WACWAC 32 3 8 100% 3% X
300 Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 32 4 6 100% 1% X
301 Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 32 3 5 >99% 1% X
302 SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 32 3 6 >99% 7% X
303 Western Michigan MACMAC 32 3 5 100% 2% X
304 New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 31 2 6 >99% 3% X
305 UMass Atlantic 10Atl. 10 31 3 7 100% <1% X
306 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 31 3 7 100% 2% X
307 Campbell CoastalCoastal 31 4 5 >99% 1% X
308 Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 30 2 6 100% 8% X
309 N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 30 4 8 99% 12% X
310 Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 30 4 8 100% 1% X
311 Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 30 4 7 100% 4% X
312 N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 30 3 6 100% 1% X
313 Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 30 2 9 >99% 4% X
314 Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 30 3 9 100% 1% X
315 Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 30 3 8 >99% 2% X
316 Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 29 3 6 >99% 5% X
317 Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 29 2 6 100% 7% X
318 Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 29 2 8 100% 7% X
319 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 28 3 7 100% <1% X
320 UMKC SummitSummit 28 5 7 100% 3% X
321 SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 28 3 6 >99% 2% X
322 Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 28 2 7 100% 1% X
323 S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 28 4 8 >99% 1% X
324 IU Indy HorizonHorizon 28 5 7 100% 2% X
325 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 27 3 7 100% <1% X
326 FIU Conference USAConf. USA 27 3 6 >99% <1% X
327 Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 27 3 8 >99% 4% X
328 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 26 3 7 100% 1% X
329 UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 26 4 7 100% <1% X
330 Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 26 0 10 100% 6% X
331 Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 26 2 9 100% 2% X
332 Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 26 3 8 98% 3% X
333 Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 26 2 7 >99% 5% X
334 Ball State MACMAC 25 3 6 >99% 1% X
335 Northern Illinois MACMAC 25 3 7 >99% 1% X
336 Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 25 4 8 >99% 3% X
337 Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 24 3 7 >99% 3% X
338 Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 24 4 5 >99% 4% X
339 LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 23 2 8 100% <1% X
340 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 23 2 8 100% <1% X
341 Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 23 3 7 >99% 1% X
342 Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm SouthlandSouth-land 23 1 9 >99% 1% X
343 Utah Tech WACWAC 23 2 9 >99% 1% X
344 Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 23 0 10 >99% 4% X
345 Oral Roberts SummitSummit 22 3 7 >99% 1% X
346 Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 22 2 7 100% <1% X
347 Green Bay HorizonHorizon 21 2 9 >99% <1% X
348 Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 21 3 7 100% <1% X
349 Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 20 2 7 100% <1% X
350 Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 20 3 7 >99% 1% X
351 AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 19 2 9 >99% 3% X
352 Monmouth CoastalCoastal 19 1 10 100% <1% X
353 Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 19 5 8 99% 4% X
354 West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 19 1 10 >99% <1% X
355 MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 19 2 11 >99% 4% X
356 Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 18 1 8 100% 2% X
357 Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 17 2 7 100% 1% X
358 Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 17 3 7 >99% 1% X
359 Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 16 0 11 >99% 1% X
360 Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 15 1 8 100% <1% X
361 New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 12 2 11 >99% <1% X
362 NJIT America EastAmerica East 12 2 10 100% <1% X
363 Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 10 0 10 >99% <1% X
364 Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 10 0 11 >99% 1% X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot