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Thu Mar 12 4:00 am

NCAA Basketball - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 42 and 43. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Last 6 teams in - Penn State, Illinois, Marquette, Florida, Texas, Rhode Island
First 6 teams out - Xavier, Michigan, Cincinnati, Rutgers, Indiana, Mississippi St.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 Kansas Big 12Big 12 118 28 3 100% 100% 100%
2 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 107 29 2 100% 100% 100%
3 Baylor Big 12Big 12 107 26 4 100% 100% 100%
4 Florida St. ACCACC 104 26 5 100% 100% 100%
5 Villanova Big EastBig East 103 24 7 100% 100% 100%
6 Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 102 31 2 - 100% -
7 Duke ACCACC 100 25 6 100% 100% 100%
8 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 99 30 2 - 100% -
9 Creighton Big EastBig East 99 24 7 100% 100% 100%
10 Auburn SECSEC 98 25 6 100% 100% 100%
11 Oregon PAC 12PAC 12 98 24 7 100% 100% 100%
12 Maryland Big 10Big 10 98 24 7 100% 100% 100%
13 Louisville ACCACC 96 24 7 100% 100% 100%
14 Kentucky SECSEC 96 25 6 100% 100% 100%
15 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 95 21 9 100% 100% 100%
16 Virginia ACCACC 93 23 7 100% 100% 100%
17 Butler Big EastBig East 93 22 9 100% 100% 100%
18 Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 92 22 9 100% 100% 100%
19 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 92 21 10 100% 100% 100%
20 St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 89 25 8 - 100% -
21 Houston American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 23 8 100% 100% 100%
22 BYU West CoastWest Coast 88 24 8 - 100% -
23 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 87 21 10 100% >99% >99%
24 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 87 21 10 100% 100% 100%
25 USC PAC 12PAC 12 86 22 9 100% >99% >99%
26 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 86 23 8 100% >99% >99%
27 LSU SECSEC 86 21 10 100% >99% >99%
28 Oklahoma Big 12Big 12 86 19 12 100% >99% >99%
29 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 85 24 7 100% 99% 97%
30 Colorado PAC 12PAC 12 85 21 11 - 100% -
31 Arizona St. PAC 12PAC 12 85 20 11 100% 97% 89%
32 Arizona PAC 12PAC 12 84 21 11 100% 98% 97%
33 E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 83 30 4 - 100% -
34 Iowa Big 10Big 10 83 20 11 100% 65% 9%
35 Providence Big EastBig East 83 19 12 >99% 85% 74%
36 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 83 23 8 >99% 65% 2%
37 Penn State Big 10Big 10 83 21 10 100% 53% 2%
38 Illinois Big 10Big 10 83 21 10 100% 58% 9%
39 Marquette Big EastBig East 82 18 12 >99% 64% 41%
40 Florida SECSEC 82 19 12 100% 60% 10%
41 Texas Big 12Big 12 82 19 12 >99% 56% 9%
42 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 82 21 9 97% 48% 2%
Cutline - Click Here to View 44 Line Movers
43 Xavier Big EastBig East 82 19 13 - 76% -
44 Michigan Big 10Big 10 81 19 12 100% 44% X
45 Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 81 26 8 - 100% -
46 Cincinnati American AthleticAm. Athletic 81 20 10 89% 42% X
47 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 81 20 11 100% 29% X
48 Indiana Big 10Big 10 79 20 12 >99% 12% X
49 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 79 20 11 43% 14% X
50 N.C. State ACCACC 79 20 12 74% 10% X
51 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 79 21 10 12% 13% X
52 Arkansas SECSEC 79 20 12 64% 9% X
53 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 79 18 14 34% 5% X
54 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 78 25 6 - X -
55 Stanford PAC 12PAC 12 78 20 12 - X -
56 Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 78 18 13 19% 5% X
57 Akron MACMAC 77 24 7 X 35% X
58 UCLA PAC 12PAC 12 76 19 12 X 11% X
59 Notre Dame ACCACC 76 20 12 X 4% X
60 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 75 21 9 X 6% X
61 Tennessee SECSEC 74 17 14 X 3% X
62 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 74 21 10 X 10% X
63 Purdue Big 10Big 10 73 16 15 X 2% X
64 South Carolina SECSEC 73 18 13 X 3% X
65 Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 72 28 3 X 58% X
66 Oregon St. PAC 12PAC 12 72 18 13 X 5% X
67 Georgia Tech ACCACC 72 17 14 - X -
68 St. John's Big EastBig East 72 17 15 X 3% X
69 Liberty Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 72 30 4 - 100% -
70 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 72 22 12 - X -
71 ConnecticutConnect. American AthleticAm. Athletic 72 19 12 X 6% X
72 Syracuse ACCACC 71 18 14 X 3% X
73 Furman SouthernSouthern 71 25 7 - X -
74 Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 71 23 7 X 38% X
75 Vermont America EastAmerica East 71 26 7 X 82% X
76 Georgetown Big EastBig East 70 15 17 - X -
77 Alabama SECSEC 69 16 15 X 2% X
78 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 69 15 16 X 2% X
79 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 69 20 12 - X -
80 DePaul Big EastBig East 69 16 16 X 2% X
81 TCU Big 12Big 12 69 16 16 - X -
82 Utah PAC 12PAC 12 69 16 15 - X -
83 Southern Methodist American AthleticAm. Athletic 69 19 11 X 4% X
84 Clemson ACCACC 69 16 15 X 2% X
85 New Mexico St. WACWAC 68 25 6 X 59% X
86 Georgia SECSEC 68 16 16 X 2% X
87 Hofstra Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 68 26 8 - 100% -
88 Texas A&M SECSEC 68 16 14 X 2% X
89 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 68 19 12 - X -
90 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 68 18 13 X 2% X
91 Miami ACCACC 68 15 16 - X -
92 N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 68 23 9 - X -
93 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 67 21 8 X 35% X
94 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 67 20 12 - X -
95 Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 67 23 8 X 30% X
96 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 67 23 10 - X -
97 Bowling Green MACMAC 66 21 10 X 19% X
98 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 66 23 11 - 100% -
99 Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 66 22 8 X 21% X
100 Belmont Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 65 26 7 - 100% -
101 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 65 19 12 X 2% X
102 Pittsburgh ACCACC 65 16 17 - X -
103 North Carolina ACCACC 65 14 19 - X -
104 Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 64 20 10 X 20% X
105 Washington PAC 12PAC 12 64 15 17 - X -
106 North Texas Conference USAConf. USA 64 20 11 X 22% X
107 Missouri SECSEC 64 15 16 X 1% X
108 Virginia Tech ACCACC 64 16 16 - X -
109 Loyola-ChicagoLoyl-Chcgo Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 63 21 11 - X -
110 UALR SunbeltSunbelt 63 21 10 X 31% X
111 California PAC 12PAC 12 63 14 18 X 4% X
112 North Dakota St. SummitSummit 63 25 8 - 100% -
113 Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 63 25 9 - X -
114 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 63 18 12 - X -
115 Wright St. HorizonHorizon 62 25 7 - X -
116 UCF American AthleticAm. Athletic 62 16 14 X 3% X
117 Buffalo MACMAC 62 20 12 - X -
118 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 62 16 14 X 2% X
119 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 62 17 15 - X -
120 Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 61 22 9 X 23% X
121 Texas St. (SM) SunbeltSunbelt 61 21 11 X 28% X
122 Ole Miss SECSEC 61 15 17 - X -
123 Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 61 12 20 - X -
124 Kent State MACMAC 61 20 12 X 13% X
125 Wake Forest ACCACC 60 13 18 - X -
126 Washington St. PAC 12PAC 12 60 16 16 X 3% X
127 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 59 14 17 X 2% X
128 Delaware Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 59 22 11 - X -
129 William & Mary Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 59 21 11 - X -
130 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 59 19 14 - X -
131 Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 59 23 9 - 100% -
132 Boston College ACCACC 58 13 19 - X -
133 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 58 16 16 - X -
134 UC Irvine Big WestBig West 58 21 11 X 30% X
135 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 57 20 14 - X -
136 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 57 20 13 - X -
137 MassachusettsMass. Atlantic 10Atl. 10 57 14 17 X 1% X
138 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 57 17 15 X 1% X
139 Winthrop Big SouthBig South 57 24 10 - 100% -
140 Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 57 19 12 - X -
141 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 57 11 21 X <1% X
142 South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 56 20 11 X 21% X
143 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 56 16 11 X 16% X
144 St. Francis (PA) NortheastNorth East 56 22 10 - X -
145 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 55 19 16 - X -
146 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 55 15 15 X 1% X
147 Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 55 19 13 - X -
148 Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 55 20 13 X 20% X
149 ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 55 20 13 - X -
150 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 55 14 17 X 1% X
151 North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 55 21 12 - X -
152 UCSB Big WestBig West 55 21 10 X 24% X
153 Murray St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 55 23 9 - X -
154 Towson Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 55 18 13 - X -
155 South Dakota St. SummitSummit 55 22 10 - X -
156 Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 54 20 10 X 34% X
157 Stony Brook America EastAmerica East 54 20 13 - X -
158 Radford Big SouthBig South 53 21 11 - X -
159 Charleston Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 52 17 14 - X -
160 Northern Illinois MACMAC 52 18 13 X 9% X
161 Ball State MACMAC 52 17 13 X 7% X
162 Austin Peay Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 52 21 12 - X -
163 Missouri St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 51 16 17 - X -
164 Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 51 21 13 - 100% -
165 Ohio MACMAC 51 17 15 X 7% X
166 Montana Big SkyBig Sky 51 18 13 X 17% X
167 Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 51 21 10 X 13% X
168 Wofford SouthernSouthern 50 19 16 - X -
169 FIU Conference USAConf. USA 50 19 13 X 9% X
170 Appalachian St.App. St. SunbeltSunbelt 50 18 15 - X -
171 Toledo MACMAC 50 17 15 X 6% X
172 Merrimack NortheastNorth East 50 20 11 - X -
173 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 49 15 12 - X -
174 Charlotte Conference USAConf. USA 49 16 13 X 9% X
175 Marshall Conference USAConf. USA 49 17 15 X 7% X
176 UAB Conference USAConf. USA 49 19 13 X 7% X
177 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 48 16 16 - X -
178 South Dakota SummitSummit 48 20 12 - X -
179 Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 48 18 12 X 18% X
180 Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 48 19 12 - X -
181 Vanderbilt SECSEC 48 11 21 - X -
182 Hawaii Big WestBig West 48 17 13 X 16% X
183 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 48 14 13 X 11% X
184 California Baptist WACWAC 48 21 10 - X -
185 Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 47 18 14 X 10% X
186 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 47 12 18 X <1% X
187 Monmouth Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 47 18 13 X 14% X
188 NortheasternN. Eastern Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 46 17 16 - X -
189 St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 46 18 12 X 25% X
190 Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 46 16 16 - X -
191 Oral Roberts SummitSummit 45 17 14 - X -
192 Eastern Michigan MACMAC 45 16 16 - X -
193 Sacred Heart NortheastNorth East 45 20 13 - X -
194 Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 45 19 13 X 34% X
195 Abilene Christian SouthlandSouth-land 45 20 11 X 15% X
196 Texas Arlington SunbeltSunbelt 45 14 18 - X -
197 Robert Morris NortheastNorth East 45 20 14 - 100% -
198 Mercer SouthernSouthern 45 17 15 - X -
199 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 44 8 23 - X -
200 Southern Utah Big SkyBig Sky 44 17 15 X 7% X
201 UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 43 17 15 - X -
202 Green Bay HorizonHorizon 43 17 16 - X -
203 Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 43 16 17 - X -
204 Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 43 16 16 - X -
205 Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 43 16 16 X 28% X
206 Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 42 16 14 X 6% X
207 Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 42 16 15 X 7% X
208 Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 42 16 14 - X -
209 American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 42 16 14 - X -
210 UMKC WACWAC 42 17 14 X 11% X
211 CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 42 15 17 X 12% X
212 Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 42 18 15 - X -
213 Florida Atlantic Conference USAConf. USA 41 17 15 X 4% X
214 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 41 12 20 - X -
215 Ill. Chicago HorizonHorizon 41 18 17 - X -
216 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 41 11 21 - X -
217 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 41 11 19 - X -
218 Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 40 18 15 - X -
219 Nebraska Big 10Big 10 40 7 25 - X -
220 Hartford America EastAmerica East 40 18 15 X 18% X
221 Sam Houston St. SouthlandSouth-land 40 18 13 X 6% X
222 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 40 12 20 - X -
223 Miami OH MACMAC 39 13 19 X 3% X
224 Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 39 16 16 - X -
225 Rice Conference USAConf. USA 39 15 17 - X -
226 Central Michigan MACMAC 39 14 18 - X -
227 Old Dominion Conference USAConf. USA 38 13 19 - X -
228 LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 38 14 19 - X -
229 N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 38 18 13 X 32% X
230 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 38 11 20 X <1% X
231 Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 38 16 16 - X -
232 Drexel Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 37 14 19 - X -
233 Western Michigan MACMAC 37 13 19 - X -
234 UC Riverside Big WestBig West 37 17 15 X 7% X
235 North Dakota SummitSummit 37 15 18 - X -
236 Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 37 17 15 X 4% X
237 Southern SouthwesternSWAC 37 17 15 X 21% X
238 N.C. A&T MideasternMid-Eastern 37 17 15 X 31% X
239 Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 36 15 15 X 6% X
240 Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 36 15 15 - X -
241 Eastern Kentucky Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 36 16 17 - X -
242 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 35 10 21 - X -
243 UMBC America EastAmerica East 35 16 17 - X -
244 Oakland HorizonHorizon 35 14 19 - X -
245 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 35 9 23 - X -
246 Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 34 14 16 - X -
247 New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 34 15 15 - X -
248 Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 34 16 17 - X -
249 Texas-San Antonio Conference USAConf. USA 34 13 19 - X -
250 Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 34 14 20 - X -
251 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 34 12 17 - X -
252 UC Davis Big WestBig West 34 14 18 X 5% X
253 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 33 6 26 - X -
254 Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 33 17 15 - X -
255 UT-Rio Grande Valley WACWAC 33 14 16 X 8% X
256 Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 33 17 15 - X -
257 LIU NortheastNorth East 33 15 18 - X -
258 Florida A&M MideasternMid-Eastern 32 12 15 - X -
259 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 32 9 24 - X -
260 Grand Canyon WACWAC 32 13 17 X 5% X
261 Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 32 11 21 X 4% X
262 Bryant NortheastNorth East 32 15 17 - X -
263 Albany America EastAmerica East 32 14 18 - X -
264 Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn MideasternMid-Eastern 32 16 14 X 13% X
265 Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 32 15 17 X 16% X
266 Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 31 15 15 X 3% X
267 Seattle WACWAC 31 14 17 X 8% X
268 Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 31 15 17 - X -
269 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 31 14 18 - X -
270 Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 30 12 17 - X -
271 N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 30 15 16 - X -
272 Hampton Big SouthBig South 30 15 19 - X -
273 Elon Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 30 12 21 - X -
274 Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 30 15 15 - X -
275 San Jose St. Mountain WestMntn West 30 7 24 - X -
276 Portland West CoastWest Coast 30 9 22 - X -
277 Campbell Big SouthBig South 29 15 16 - X -
278 North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 29 13 17 - X -
279 Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 29 12 20 - X -
280 UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 29 13 19 - X -
281 IPFW SummitSummit 29 14 19 - X -
282 Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 29 13 18 - X -
283 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 29 9 22 X <1% X
284 Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 29 14 18 - X -
285 McNeese St. SouthlandSouth-land 28 15 17 - X -
286 Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 28 12 20 X 4% X
287 Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 28 16 15 X 12% X
288 LA Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 28 9 20 - X -
289 Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 28 11 21 - X -
290 Central Arkansas SouthlandSouth-land 28 10 21 - X -
291 Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 28 12 19 - X -
292 CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 28 11 20 X 3% X
293 Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 27 12 20 - X -
294 Cal St. BakersfieldCal St. BF WACWAC 27 12 19 X 5% X
295 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 27 9 23 - X -
296 Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 27 14 18 - X -
297 S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 27 13 20 - X -
298 Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 27 11 21 - X -
299 Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 26 12 20 - X -
300 St. Francis (NY) NortheastNorth East 26 13 18 - X -
301 Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 25 11 19 - X -
302 Southern Miss Conference USAConf. USA 25 9 22 - X -
303 Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 25 15 16 X 8% X
304 N.C. Wilmington Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 24 10 22 - X -
305 Longwood Big SouthBig South 24 14 18 - X -
306 Utah Valley WACWAC 24 12 19 X 4% X
307 James Madison Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. 24 9 21 - X -
308 Jacksonville St.Jack.ville St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 23 13 19 - X -
309 Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 23 13 19 - X -
310 Samford SouthernSouthern 23 10 23 - X -
311 Troy SunbeltSunbelt 23 9 22 - X -
312 Binghamton America EastAmerica East 22 10 19 - X -
313 Maine America EastAmerica East 22 9 22 - X -
314 Detroit HorizonHorizon 21 8 23 - X -
315 Mount St. Mary's NortheastNorth East 20 11 21 - X -
316 Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 20 8 23 - X -
317 New Jersey Tech Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 20 9 21 - X -
318 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 20 10 22 - X -
319 Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 20 8 22 X 1% X
320 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 20 7 20 - X -
321 Cal Poly Big WestBig West 19 7 23 - X -
322 VMI SouthernSouthern 19 9 24 - X -
323 Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 18 9 20 - X -
324 Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 18 11 20 X 5% X
325 High Point Big SouthBig South 18 9 23 - X -
326 S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 17 11 18 - X -
327 Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 17 8 24 - X -
328 Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 16 9 22 - X -
329 New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 16 9 21 - X -
330 Wagner NortheastNorth East 16 8 21 - X -
331 Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 15 8 24 - X -
332 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 15 6 24 - X -
333 Denver SummitSummit 15 7 24 - X -
334 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 15 10 22 - X -
335 Citadel SouthernSouthern 13 6 24 - X -
336 Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 13 8 22 - X -
337 IUPUI HorizonHorizon 12 7 25 - X -
338 SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 11 8 23 - X -
339 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 10 8 23 - X -
340 Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 10 9 22 - X -
341 Houston Baptist SouthlandSouth-land 8 4 25 - X -
342 Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 7 7 23 - X -
343 Western Illinois SummitSummit 7 5 21 - X -
344 SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 7 7 24 - X -
345 Chicago St. WACWAC 4 5 26 X <1% X
346 AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 4 4 26 - X -
347 Central Conn. St. NortheastNorth East 3 4 27 - X -
348 MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 2 5 27 - X -
349 Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 1 3 29 - X -
350 Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 0 4 27 - X -
351 Kennesaw St. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 0 1 28 - X -
352 Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern -1 6 26 - X -
353 Howard MideasternMid-Eastern -5 4 29 - X -
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot