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Fri Dec 19 3:30 pm

NCAA Basketball - Week 7 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Basketball
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Final Four Elite Eight Sweet Sixteen Round 2 Round 1
W L
Michigan Big 10Big 10 9 0 100 .6734 7% 13% 22% 37% 60% 90% >99%
Nebraska Big 10Big 10 11 0 100 .6694 5% 10% 17% 31% 53% 84% 99%
Duke ACCACC 11 0 100 .6644 5% 9% 16% 29% 51% 83% 99%
Arizona Big 12Big 12 9 0 100 .6804 5% 9% 16% 29% 51% 82% 98%
Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 11 0 100 .6584 5% 9% 16% 29% 50% 82% 99%
BYU Big 12Big 12 10 1 91 .6570 4% 8% 14% 26% 46% 77% 97%
UConn Big EastBig East 11 1 92 .6599 4% 8% 14% 26% 46% 76% 98%
Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 10 1 91 .6461 4% 8% 14% 26% 45% 75% 96%
Vanderbilt SECSEC 10 0 100 .6523 4% 7% 13% 25% 44% 74% 96%
Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 11 0 100 .6523 4% 7% 12% 23% 42% 73% 95%
Purdue Big 10Big 10 10 1 91 .6340 3% 5% 10% 18% 33% 59% 84%
USC Big 10Big 10 11 1 92 .6334 2% 5% 9% 17% 33% 59% 85%
North Carolina ACCACC 10 1 91 .6244 2% 5% 9% 17% 31% 57% 82%
Colorado Big 12Big 12 10 0 100 .6275 2% 5% 9% 17% 31% 56% 80%
UCF Big 12Big 12 9 1 90 .6184 2% 4% 8% 15% 29% 52% 77%
St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 9 1 90 .6340 2% 3% 6% 13% 25% 49% 76%
Seton Hall Big EastBig East 9 1 90 .6162 2% 3% 6% 12% 22% 43% 67%
SMU ACCACC 9 2 82 .6117 1% 3% 6% 12% 23% 43% 67%
Houston Big 12Big 12 10 1 91 .6082 1% 3% 6% 11% 22% 41% 64%
Kansas Big 12Big 12 9 3 75 .6109 1% 3% 6% 11% 21% 41% 64%
UC San Diego Big WestBig West 10 1 91 .6020 1% 2% 5% 10% 21% 42% 75%
LSU SECSEC 8 1 89 .6057 1% 2% 5% 10% 19% 36% 58%
Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 8 3 73 .6142 1% 2% 5% 10% 19% 36% 57%
Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 10 1 91 .5977 1% 2% 5% 9% 19% 38% 63%
Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 11 1 92 .6029 1% 2% 4% 9% 19% 41% 75%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 10 2 83 .6012 1% 2% 4% 9% 18% 36% 61%
Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 9 1 90 .6057 1% 2% 4% 9% 18% 36% 60%
George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 10 1 91 .6040 1% 2% 4% 8% 17% 35% 59%
Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 10 1 91 .6083 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 33% 60%
Virginia Tech ACCACC 10 2 83 .5964 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 32% 53%
Georgia SECSEC 10 1 91 .5882 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 31% 52%
Iowa Big 10Big 10 9 2 82 .5929 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 31% 50%
Illinois Big 10Big 10 8 3 73 .6060 1% 2% 4% 8% 15% 30% 48%
Alabama SECSEC 7 3 70 .6091 1% 2% 4% 7% 15% 29% 48%
Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 9 1 90 .5871 1% 2% 4% 7% 15% 29% 46%
St. John's Big EastBig East 6 2 75 .6022 1% 2% 4% 7% 14% 28% 47%
Virginia ACCACC 9 1 90 .5844 1% 2% 3% 7% 14% 28% 46%
Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 11 1 92 .5840 1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 31% 57%
Arkansas SECSEC 8 2 80 .5961 1% 1% 3% 7% 13% 27% 44%
Oklahoma SECSEC 8 2 80 .5957 1% 1% 3% 6% 13% 27% 45%
California ACCACC 10 1 91 .5959 1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 25% 43%
Louisville ACCACC 9 2 82 .5854 1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 25% 41%
Villanova Big EastBig East 8 2 80 .5841 1% 1% 3% 6% 11% 23% 40%
Miami ACCACC 10 2 83 .5828 1% 1% 3% 5% 12% 24% 42%
Notre Dame ACCACC 9 3 75 .5797 1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 21% 37%
UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 9 1 90 .5766 <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 23% 46%
Clemson ACCACC 9 3 75 .5797 <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 21% 36%
Auburn SECSEC 7 2 78 .5798 <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 21% 35%
Baylor Big 12Big 12 7 2 78 .5826 <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 20% 34%
Tennessee SECSEC 8 3 73 .5847 <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 19% 34%
Miami OH MACMAC 11 0 100 .5780 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 23% 45%
New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 8 2 80 .5893 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 21% 39%
McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 10 2 83 .5784 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 21% 46%
Stanford ACCACC 9 2 82 .5765 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 19% 33%
UCLA Big 10Big 10 8 3 73 .5860 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 19% 32%
Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 8 2 80 .5804 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 18% 31%
California Baptist WACWAC 9 3 75 .5628 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 20% 44%
Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 8 3 73 .5804 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 17% 29%
Wake Forest ACCACC 9 3 75 .5681 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 28%
Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 9 2 82 .5687 <1% 1% 2% 3% 8% 18% 36%
Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 9 2 82 .5627 <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 19% 43%
Buffalo MACMAC 9 2 82 .5665 <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 17% 36%
Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 9 2 82 .5798 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 16% 30%
Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 8 3 73 .5925 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 15% 30%
Butler Big EastBig East 8 3 73 .5783 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 15% 27%
Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 9 3 75 .5618 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 28%
Washington Big 10Big 10 7 3 70 .5784 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 26%
Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 7 3 70 .5681 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 28%
Indiana Big 10Big 10 8 3 73 .5675 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 13% 23%
Florida SECSEC 7 4 64 .5611 <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 21%
Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 9 2 82 .5716 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 15% 29%
Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 8 3 73 .6067 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 29%
Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 8 2 80 .5538 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13% 34%
Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 9 3 75 .5512 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13% 32%
Utah Valley WACWAC 9 3 75 .5672 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13% 32%
Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 7 3 70 .5657 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13% 31%
Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 9 3 75 .5591 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13% 29%
William & Mary CoastalCoastal 9 3 75 .5589 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 29%
Missouri SECSEC 10 2 83 .5581 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 22%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 7 3 70 .5642 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 21%
Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 9 2 82 .5583 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 12% 33%
Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 8 3 73 .5568 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 11% 24%
Akron MACMAC 8 3 73 .5498 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 23%
TCU Big 12Big 12 8 3 73 .5579 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 18%
Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 7 4 64 .5429 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 24%
Georgetown Big EastBig East 8 3 73 .5556 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 19%
San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 6 3 67 .5532 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 19%
Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 7 4 64 .5630 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 17%
Hawai'i Big WestBig West 10 2 83 .5467 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 22%
Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 8 3 73 .5539 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 19%
Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 8 2 80 .5479 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 17%
VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 8 4 67 .5519 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 17%
N.C. State ACCACC 8 4 67 .5606 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 14%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 8 3 73 .5470 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 13%
Texas A&M SECSEC 8 3 73 .5484 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 13%
North Dakota St. SummitSummit 10 3 77 .5353 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 32%
Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 6 5 55 .5319 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 27%
Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 9 3 75 .5348 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 23%
Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 7 4 64 .5451 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 22%
Hofstra CoastalCoastal 8 4 67 .5476 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 20%
High Point Big SouthBig South 9 3 75 .5230 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 28%
Oakland HorizonHorizon 6 6 50 .5338 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 24%
UMass MACMAC 8 3 73 .5355 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 17%
Seattle West CoastWest Coast 9 2 82 .5583 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 15%
Vermont America EastAmerica East 8 5 62 .5094 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 36%
Mercer SouthernSouthern 7 4 64 .5342 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 23%
Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 7 4 64 .5213 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 23%
Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 9 4 69 .5233 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 20%
Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 8 4 67 .5271 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 18%
South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 9 3 75 .5281 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 17%
Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 7 3 70 .5382 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 17%
Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 8 4 67 .5500 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 13%
E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 8 4 67 .5221 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 19%
Wofford SouthernSouthern 7 4 64 .5170 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 19%
Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 6 4 60 .5283 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 16%
Towson CoastalCoastal 6 5 55 .5302 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 6 5 55 .5344 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
UT Arlington WACWAC 7 4 64 .5249 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 15%
Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 8 3 73 .5363 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10%
Ole Miss SECSEC 7 3 70 .5349 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9%
Utah Big 12Big 12 7 4 64 .5412 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9%
Kentucky SECSEC 7 4 64 .5389 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8%
Providence Big EastBig East 7 5 58 .5372 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 8%
Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 8 4 67 .5342 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 9%
Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West 6 3 67 .5244 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 9%
Creighton Big EastBig East 6 5 55 .5363 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8%
Xavier Big EastBig East 8 4 67 .5303 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7%
Syracuse ACCACC 7 4 64 .5360 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 6 5 55 .5422 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 6%
Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 5 5 50 .5003 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 36%
Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 6 5 55 .4956 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 33%
Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 6 5 55 .5014 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 26%
Furman SouthernSouthern 8 4 67 .5280 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 19%
St. Thomas SummitSummit 8 5 62 .5375 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 20%
Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 8 5 62 .4712 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 35%
Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 6 5 55 .4990 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 24%
Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 6 5 55 .4936 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 22%
Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 6 4 60 .5059 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 20%
Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 8 4 67 .5130 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 19%
S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 8 6 57 .4963 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18%
Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 7 4 64 .5169 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16%
New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 6 3 67 .5369 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14%
Bowling Green MACMAC 8 3 73 .5348 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 12%
American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 7 5 58 .4841 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 19%
Winthrop Big SouthBig South 7 6 54 .4894 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 16%
West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 6 5 55 .4878 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 9 4 69 .5088 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 5 50 .4962 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Tarleton St. WACWAC 8 4 67 .5116 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 7 3 70 .5117 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 7 3 70 .5209 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Troy SunbeltSunbelt 6 5 55 .5174 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Kent State MACMAC 9 3 75 .5267 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10%
UCSB Big WestBig West 8 4 67 .5218 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10%
UC Irvine Big WestBig West 7 4 64 .5180 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10%
Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 8 4 67 .5193 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 8 4 67 .5165 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 8 4 67 .5231 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
Pacific West CoastWest Coast 8 4 67 .5399 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 7 4 64 .5163 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 7 4 64 .5335 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7%
UMBC America EastAmerica East 6 5 55 .4728 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 20%
Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 7 5 58 .4993 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 12%
Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 6 4 60 .4906 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 12%
Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 7 5 58 .4963 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Abilene Christian WACWAC 7 4 64 .5101 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
East Texas A&M SouthlandSouth-land 6 5 55 .5000 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 6 4 60 .5021 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 7 5 58 .5055 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 7 6 54 .4858 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Green Bay HorizonHorizon 6 7 46 .4951 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
FIU Conference USAConf. USA 5 4 56 .4977 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 8 3 73 .5031 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Elon CoastalCoastal 6 4 60 .5126 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Appalachian St.App. St. SunbeltSunbelt 8 5 62 .5047 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 8 4 67 .5095 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 7 5 58 .5207 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 4 6 40 .5080 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
DePaul Big EastBig East 7 3 70 .5221 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 7 4 64 .5209 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 7 4 64 .5278 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Texas SECSEC 7 4 64 .5226 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Maryland Big 10Big 10 6 4 60 .5307 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 7 4 64 .5193 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3%
Oregon Big 10Big 10 6 5 55 .5251 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3%
Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 8 5 62 .4737 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12%
Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 4 8 33 .4095 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 18%
Wagner NortheastNorth East 4 6 40 .4404 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 16%
N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 4 9 31 .3589 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 15%
Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 4 6 40 .4660 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 14%
MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 4 12 25 .4041 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 14%
South Dakota St. SummitSummit 7 6 54 .4774 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 6 6 50 .4761 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 5 8 38 .4295 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 3 9 25 .4476 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
South Dakota SummitSummit 7 6 54 .4654 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Denver SummitSummit 6 7 46 .4687 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 5 7 42 .4539 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 6 7 46 .4550 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Samford SouthernSouthern 6 6 50 .4798 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Albany America EastAmerica East 5 9 36 .4275 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 3 8 27 .4462 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 7 5 58 .4629 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 6 7 46 .4512 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 5 7 42 .4480 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 6 45 .4769 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 5 50 .4721 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 5 6 45 .4703 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
NJIT America EastAmerica East 4 8 33 .4420 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 6 7 46 .4522 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 7 42 .4534 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 5 5 50 .4935 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 5 7 42 .4717 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 3 7 30 .4928 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 9 5 64 .4952 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 7 5 58 .4960 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 7 5 58 .4903 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 6 45 .4530 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 7 42 .4627 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 5 6 45 .4466 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 7 42 .4608 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
UC Davis Big WestBig West 5 5 50 .5080 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 4 6 40 .4778 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 4 7 36 .4475 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 4 6 40 .4660 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 7 5 58 .5012 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 6 5 55 .4986 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 6 4 60 .4793 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 6 7 46 .4803 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 5 5 50 .4711 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Wright St. HorizonHorizon 5 7 42 .4628 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 6 6 50 .4805 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Eastern Michigan MACMAC 6 5 55 .4937 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 6 4 60 .4800 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
UC Riverside Big WestBig West 6 6 50 .4800 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Utah Tech WACWAC 6 6 50 .4576 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Campbell CoastalCoastal 5 6 45 .4838 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 5 4 56 .4698 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Ohio MACMAC 5 6 45 .4988 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Toledo MACMAC 5 6 45 .4947 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Georgia Tech ACCACC 7 4 64 .5190 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 7 5 58 .4882 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
South Carolina SECSEC 7 4 64 .5207 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Charleston CoastalCoastal 6 6 50 .4760 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 6 4 60 .4972 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 6 6 50 .4912 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 4 5 44 .4821 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
West Virginia Big 12Big 12 8 4 67 .5160 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 7 4 64 .5060 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 4 9 31 .4197 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 4 7 36 .4150 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Southern SouthwesternSWAC 4 7 36 .4202 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 3 8 27 .4393 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 1 5 17 .4194 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Oral Roberts SummitSummit 5 9 36 .4346 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Bryant America EastAmerica East 3 9 25 .4125 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 3 6 33 .4186 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 2 9 18 .4046 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Longwood Big SouthBig South 6 7 46 .4346 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 4 7 36 .4194 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 4 7 36 .4344 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 4 7 36 .4489 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 3 7 30 .4293 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 9 10 .4103 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Montana Big SkyBig Sky 6 6 50 .4709 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
North Dakota SummitSummit 5 9 36 .4254 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Radford Big SouthBig South 5 8 38 .4193 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
VMI SouthernSouthern 5 7 42 .4286 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 4 8 33 .4216 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 4 6 40 .4354 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 4 5 44 .4645 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 2 12 14 .3679 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 2 8 20 .3599 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 10 9 .3998 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 1 8 11 .3542 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 7 6 54 .4662 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 5 7 42 .4585 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 5 6 45 .4624 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 5 6 45 .4678 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Missouri St. Conference USAConf. USA 5 5 50 .4496 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 5 7 42 .4586 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Detroit HorizonHorizon 4 7 36 .4413 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 4 8 33 .4422 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 3 9 25 .4328 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Stonehill NortheastNorth East 3 9 25 .3546 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 2 8 20 .3304 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
St. Francis NortheastNorth East 2 10 17 .3161 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 1 12 8 .3161 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Portland West CoastWest Coast 7 5 58 .5025 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 6 6 50 .4664 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 6 6 50 .4703 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 6 5 55 .4667 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 5 7 42 .4468 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Cal Poly Big WestBig West 5 7 42 .4654 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 5 7 42 .4718 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 5 7 42 .4156 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 5 7 42 .4651 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Monmouth CoastalCoastal 5 7 42 .4613 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Western Michigan MACMAC 5 6 45 .4933 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 4 8 33 .3917 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 4 8 33 .4387 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 4 8 33 .4565 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 4 8 33 .4075 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 4 6 40 .4895 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 3 6 33 .3825 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 8 4 67 .4664 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 5 55 .4936 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Hampton CoastalCoastal 6 6 50 .4528 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 6 5 55 .5140 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 6 6 50 .4854 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Pittsburgh ACCACC 6 6 50 .5013 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 5 7 42 .4645 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
San José State Mountain WestMntn West 5 6 45 .4793 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Central Michigan MACMAC 4 7 36 .4257 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Delaware Conference USAConf. USA 4 7 36 .4520 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Drexel CoastalCoastal 4 7 36 .4257 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 4 8 33 .4400 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northern Illinois MACMAC 4 6 40 .4361 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 4 7 36 .4403 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Utah WACWAC 4 9 31 .3938 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 4 7 36 .4591 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 4 7 36 .4457 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 4 8 33 .3754 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Binghamton America EastAmerica East 3 9 25 .3614 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 3 9 25 .3872 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 3 8 27 .4285 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 3 9 25 .4219 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 3 8 27 .4063 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 3 8 27 .4086 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 3 6 33 .3810 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 2 9 18 .4025 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 2 7 22 .4073 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 2 9 18 .3147 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 2 8 20 .4062 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UMKC SummitSummit 2 11 15 .3059 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Maine America EastAmerica East 1 12 8 .3846 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 10 9 .3193 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Boston College ACCACC 5 6 45 .4766 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 5 8 38 .4316 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Florida St. ACCACC 5 6 45 .4918 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 5 6 45 .4511 X X X X X X X
Marquette Big EastBig East 5 7 42 .4804 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
New Haven NortheastNorth East 5 6 45 .4479 X X X X X X X
Rutgers Big 10Big 10 5 6 45 .4969 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 4 9 31 .3798 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 4 7 36 .4018 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
IU Indy HorizonHorizon 4 9 31 .4108 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 4 6 40 .3860 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 4 7 36 .4370 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 4 8 33 .4182 X X X X X X X
Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 4 8 33 .4266 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San Diego West CoastWest Coast 4 6 40 .4466 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 4 7 36 .4667 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 3 9 25 .4343 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ball State MACMAC 3 8 27 .3798 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Citadel SouthernSouthern 3 9 25 .3069 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 3 9 25 .4184 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 3 9 25 .4001 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 3 10 23 .4043 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 3 9 25 .3680 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 2 12 14 .3291 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 2 10 17 .3828 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 2 9 18 .3923 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 1 10 9 .3707 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 1 9 10 .2851 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot