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Sat Dec 9 8:00 pm

NCAA Basketball - Week 5 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Basketball
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Final Four Elite Eight Sweet Sixteen Round 2 Round 1
Team W L
Clemson 8 0 5% 10% 17% 30% 51% 82% 99%
Colorado St. 9 0 5% 10% 17% 30% 51% 81% 99%
Purdue 9 1 5% 9% 16% 28% 49% 80% 99%
Princeton 9 0 4% 8% 14% 24% 42% 71% 96%
Houston 10 0 4% 7% 12% 23% 41% 70% 94%
Arizona 8 0 3% 7% 12% 22% 39% 68% 93%
BYU 8 0 3% 6% 10% 19% 35% 61% 87%
Oklahoma 9 0 3% 6% 10% 19% 34% 60% 87%
South Carolina 8 1 3% 5% 10% 18% 33% 59% 85%
NorthwesternN. Western 6 1 2% 4% 8% 16% 29% 52% 78%
Baylor 9 0 2% 4% 8% 15% 28% 52% 77%
Ole Miss 8 0 2% 4% 8% 15% 28% 52% 77%
Grand Canyon 8 1 2% 4% 8% 15% 28% 51% 81%
UConn 9 1 2% 4% 8% 15% 28% 50% 76%
Creighton 8 1 2% 4% 7% 14% 26% 48% 73%
Marquette 7 2 2% 4% 7% 13% 25% 47% 72%
Kansas 8 1 2% 4% 7% 13% 25% 46% 70%
Virginia 8 1 2% 3% 7% 13% 24% 46% 71%
Florida Atlantic 7 2 2% 3% 7% 13% 24% 45% 72%
Ohio St. 8 1 2% 3% 6% 13% 25% 46% 70%
Miami 8 1 2% 3% 6% 13% 23% 43% 67%
Texas A&M 7 2 2% 3% 6% 11% 22% 41% 64%
Nevada 7 0 2% 3% 6% 11% 20% 38% 60%
Tennessee 6 3 1% 3% 6% 11% 21% 39% 61%
Cincinnati 7 0 1% 3% 5% 11% 21% 39% 62%
New Mexico 9 1 1% 3% 5% 10% 20% 38% 61%
Washington St. 7 1 1% 3% 5% 10% 19% 37% 59%
Indiana St. 9 1 1% 2% 5% 10% 19% 36% 61%
Dayton 7 2 1% 2% 5% 10% 19% 36% 59%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. 7 2 1% 2% 5% 9% 18% 34% 55%
James Madison 8 0 1% 2% 4% 9% 16% 32% 60%
Memphis 6 2 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 32% 53%
Illinois 7 2 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 32% 52%
Auburn 6 2 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 31% 51%
Drake 8 1 1% 2% 4% 8% 15% 30% 52%
Providence 7 2 1% 2% 4% 7% 15% 28% 48%
Arizona St. 6 2 1% 2% 4% 7% 14% 28% 47%
Wisconsin 7 3 1% 2% 3% 7% 15% 28% 48%
Oregon 5 1 1% 2% 3% 7% 14% 28% 46%
Kansas St. 8 2 1% 2% 3% 7% 14% 27% 46%
Utah St. 7 1 1% 2% 3% 7% 14% 27% 46%
Gonzaga 6 1 1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 26% 49%
North Carolina 7 2 1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 24% 41%
San Diego St. 7 2 1% 1% 3% 6% 11% 23% 39%
N.C. State 6 2 1% 1% 3% 5% 11% 23% 39%
TCU 7 0 1% 1% 3% 5% 10% 20% 35%
Kentucky 7 2 1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 22% 37%
Syracuse 7 3 1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 21% 37%
Utah 6 2 1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 22% 38%
UCF 6 2 1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 20% 36%
Indiana 7 2 <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 21% 36%
George Mason 7 2 <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 20% 36%
Duquesne 7 2 <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 19% 35%
Geo. Washington 7 2 <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 18% 34%
Fort Wayne 9 1 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 20% 42%
Bradley 6 3 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 18% 33%
Nebraska 7 2 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 18% 31%
Louisiana Tech 8 2 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 18% 39%
N.C. Greensboro 7 1 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 18% 38%
Butler 8 2 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 18% 33%
St. John's 6 2 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 17% 31%
Alabama 5 3 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 17% 31%
Iowa St. 7 2 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 17% 30%
Texas 7 2 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 17% 29%
Wichita St. 7 2 <1% 1% 2% 3% 7% 16% 30%
Southern Illinois 6 2 <1% 1% 2% 3% 7% 15% 28%
Missouri 7 2 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 15% 28%
Evansville 7 2 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 27%
Virginia Tech 7 3 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 26%
Cornell 7 2 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 13% 27%
Texas Tech 6 2 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 26%
Longwood 9 1 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 33%
Georgia 6 4 <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 12% 22%
Portland St. 8 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 13% 34%
McNeese 8 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 39%
San Francisco 6 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 26%
Liberty 7 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 27%
Colorado 6 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 21%
Washington 5 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 21%
Boston College 7 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 20%
Duke 6 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 20%
Hawai'i 6 1 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 27%
Vermont 8 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 25%
Western Carolina 7 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 25%
Santa Clara 7 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 23%
UIC 6 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 20%
UMass 5 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 20%
Florida 6 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 18%
Appalachian St.App.St. 7 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 21%
Tarleton St. 7 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 21%
Toledo 5 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 21%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt 7 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 19%
St. Joseph's 7 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 18%
Air Force 7 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 17%
Pittsburgh 6 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 17%
Tulane 6 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 17%
Seton Hall 5 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 17%
Minnesota 7 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 16%
Iowa 5 4 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 16%
Marist 6 2 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 9% 28%
USC 5 3 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 16%
UCLA 5 1 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 15%
Oakland 6 5 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 20%
Delaware 6 3 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 18%
Harvard 7 3 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 16%
Villanova 6 4 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 14%
Oregon St. 6 3 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 13%
Colgate 6 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 44%
Morehead St. 6 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 27%
UC Irvine 5 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 20%
Hofstra 6 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 18%
Utah Tech 5 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 16%
La Salle 8 2 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 14%
Arkansas 6 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 14%
UNC Wilmington 6 2 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 16%
Davidson 7 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 14%
Boise St. 6 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 13%
Wake Forest 5 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 13%
Rutgers 5 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 12%
Quinnipiac 7 2 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 22%
Norfolk St. 6 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 29%
Prairie View A&M 4 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 24%
Canisius 6 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 20%
High Point 8 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 18%
Samford 7 2 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 17%
Northern Illinois 5 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 17%
Monmouth 5 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
Missouri St. 6 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 13%
Lipscomb 6 5 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 21%
Northern Arizona 5 5 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 19%
Youngstown St. 7 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 17%
Winthrop 7 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 16%
New Hampshire 6 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 16%
UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell 6 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 15%
Charleston 4 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Illinois St. 6 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
Belmont 7 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11%
Georgia Tech 5 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 10%
Albany 6 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 14%
Akron 5 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 14%
Ball State 7 2 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 13%
Western Kentucky 7 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 13%
Charlotte 5 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10%
Temple 5 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 9%
Loyola Chicago 5 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8%
North Dakota St. 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 18%
SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18%
Tennessee St. 6 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18%
Denver 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16%
JacksonvilleJack.ville 6 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16%
CSU Fullerton 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 13%
Wagner 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 22%
Merrimack 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 21%
Howard 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 20%
Tenn-MartinTN-Martin 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Alabama St. 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Southern 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Radford 7 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
North Dakota 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Montana 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Stetson 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
UCSB 5 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Maine 8 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Kennesaw St. 6 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Long Beach St. 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Bowling Green 5 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
California Baptist 6 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Southern Methodist 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
Seattle 5 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
Fair. Dickinson 6 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 18%
Nicholls St. 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 14%
Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 13%
North Alabama 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 12%
Oral Roberts 3 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 12%
South Dakota 6 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Binghamton 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Queens U. 6 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Sam Houston 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Weber St. 4 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Bryant 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
ChattanoogaChattan. 5 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Drexel 5 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Wright St. 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
St. Peter's 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
UTEP 6 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Ohio 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Cleveland St. 6 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Portland 6 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
San Diego 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Utah Valley 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Northern Kentucky 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Wofford 5 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Columbia 7 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Tulsa 5 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
UT Arlington 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
St. Mary's 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
UL Monroe 4 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Saint Louis 6 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Stephen F. Austin 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Florida St. 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Wyoming 6 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
LSU 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Michigan 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Kent State 6 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 6%
North Texas 5 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Xavier 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Bucknell 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16%
Lamar 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11%
St. Thomas 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10%
Idaho 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9%
Manhattan 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9%
CSU Northridge 6 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7%
Delaware St. 6 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 14%
N.C. Central 4 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
American 5 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
St. Francis (PA) 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Boston U. 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
MD Eastern Shore 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Sacred Heart 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Central Conn. 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
South Dakota St. 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Texas A&M C.C. 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Jackson St. 2 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Texas Southern 0 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
PresbyterianPresbyter. 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
AR Pine Bluff 4 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
E. Tennessee St. 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Northern Colorado 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
UMKC 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Eastern Michigan 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Elon 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
LA Lafayette 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Middle Tenn. 5 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
N.C. Asheville 5 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Towson 5 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Citadel 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
North Florida 6 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Furman 5 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Loyola Marymount 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Miami OH 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
NortheasternN. Eastern 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
S. Carolina Upstate 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Central Michigan 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Texas State 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Green Bay 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
UC Riverside 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Marshall 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
E. Carolina 6 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
PennsylvaniaPenn. 6 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Yale 6 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Rhode Island 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Southern Miss 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Notre Dame 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Michigan St. 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
VCU 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
UNLV 3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Morgan St. 4 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
New Orleans 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Western Illinois 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Lindenwood 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
SE Missouri St. 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Florida A&M 2 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Navy 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Nebraska Omaha 5 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Austin Peay 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Eastern Kentucky 3 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Incarnate Word 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Iona 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Le Moyne 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Tennessee Tech 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
S. Carolina St. 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Eastern Washington 1 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Long Island U. 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Bellarmine 4 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Georgia St. 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Idaho St. 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Cal Poly 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Fairfield 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Old Dominion 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Army 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Holy Cross 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Lehigh 2 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
SE Louisiana 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
South Alabama 6 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
New Mexico St. 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Pacific 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Troy 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UAB 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Arkansas St. 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Charleston Southern 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
FIU 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Montana St. 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Stony Brook 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UC Davis 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Grambling 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Alabama A&M 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Alcorn St. 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Lafayette 1 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Miss. Valley St. 0 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
San José State 6 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgetown 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Maryland 5 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Richmond 5 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UMBC 5 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fordham 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fresno St. 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Pepperdine 4 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Stanford 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Texas-San Antonio 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Vanderbilt 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
West Virginia 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
William & Mary 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Wis. Milwaukee 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Abilene Christian 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Campbell 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fla Gulf Coast 3 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mercer 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mount St. Mary's 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Murray State 3 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rice 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
South Florida 3 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UT-Rio Grande Valley 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
NJIT 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rider 2 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Robert Morris 2 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Sacramento St. 2 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Indiana 2 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Utah 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Western Michigan 2 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Coppin St. 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Houston Christian 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Loyola-MD 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Niagara 1 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northwestern St.NWestrn St 1 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Eastern Illinois 5 5 X X X X X X X
UC San Diego 5 4 X X X X X X X
Hartford 4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Louisville 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn State 4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UALR 4 5 X X X X X X X
Valparaiso 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown 3 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
California 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chicago State 3 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Coastal Carolina 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
IUPUI 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Iowa 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oklahoma St. 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Central Arkansas 2 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dartmouth 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
DePaul 2 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Hampton 2 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Siena 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
VMI 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Buffalo 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stonehill 1 10 X X X X X X X
Detroit 0 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia Southern 0 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
N. Carolina A&T 0 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot