2019 NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities

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NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
	Record		NCAA Basketball National Champions	Championship Game Participate	Final Four	Elite Eight	Sweet Sixteen	Round 2	Round 1
Team	W	L	NCAA Basketball National Champions	Championship Game Participate	Final Four	Elite Eight	Sweet Sixteen	Round 2	Round 1
Virginia	35	3	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^
Texas Tech	31	7	X	100%	^	^	^	^	^
Michigan St.	32	7	X	X	100%	^	^	^	^
Auburn	30	10	X	X	100%	^	^	^	^
Gonzaga	33	4	X	X	X	100%	^	^	^
Duke	32	6	X	X	X	100%	^	^	^
Kentucky	30	7	X	X	X	100%	^	^	^
Purdue	26	10	X	X	X	100%	^	^	^
Houston	33	4	X	X	X	X	100%	^	^
Tennessee	31	6	X	X	X	X	100%	^	^
Michigan	30	7	X	X	X	X	100%	^	^
Florida St.	29	8	X	X	X	X	100%	^	^
North Carolina	29	7	X	X	X	X	100%	^	^
LSU	28	7	X	X	X	X	100%	^	^
Virginia Tech	26	9	X	X	X	X	100%	^	^
Oregon	25	13	X	X	X	X	100%	^	^
Buffalo	32	4	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
UC Irvine	31	6	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Wofford	30	5	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Liberty	29	7	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Murray St.	28	5	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Washington	27	9	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Kansas	26	10	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Villanova	26	10	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
UCF	24	9	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Iowa	23	12	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Maryland	23	11	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Minnesota	22	14	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Baylor	20	14	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Florida	20	16	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Ohio St.	20	15	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
Oklahoma	20	14	X	X	X	X	X	100%	^
New Mexico St.	30	5	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Nevada	29	5	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Cincinnati	28	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Utah St.	28	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Abilene Christian	27	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Vermont	27	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Belmont	26	6	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Montana	26	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Northern Kentucky	26	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Kansas St.	25	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
VCU	25	8	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Colgate	24	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Georgia St.	24	10	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Marquette	24	10	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Old Dominion	24	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb	23	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Iowa St.	23	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Mississippi St.Miss. St.	23	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
NortheasternN. Eastern	23	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Saint Louis	23	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Wisconsin	23	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Arizona St.	22	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
St. Mary's	22	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Yale	22	8	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Bradley	20	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Fair. Dickinson	20	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Louisville	20	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Ole Miss	20	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Seton Hall	20	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Syracuse	20	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
North Dakota St.	18	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
Iona	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
N.C. Greensboro	28	6	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Hofstra	27	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Furman	25	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Lipscomb	25	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Toledo	25	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Charleston	24	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Davidson	24	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Drake	24	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
E. Tennessee St.	24	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Jacksonville St.Jack.ville St.	24	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
South Dakota St.	24	8	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Stony Brook	24	8	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Texas St. (SM)	24	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Utah Valley	24	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Central Michigan	23	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Fresno St.	23	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Temple	23	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Austin Peay	22	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Bowling Green	22	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Kent State	22	10	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
N.C. State	22	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Prairie View A&M	22	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Radford	22	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UCSB	22	10	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Colorado	21	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Dayton	21	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Georgia Southern	21	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Memphis	21	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Nebraska Omaha	21	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
New Jersey Tech	21	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Norfolk St.	21	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
North Texas	21	8	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Northern Colorado	21	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Sam Houston St.	21	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
San Diego	21	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
San Diego St.	21	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
San Francisco	21	10	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
St. John's	21	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Texas Southern	21	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UMBC	21	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Wright St.	21	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Bucknell	20	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Campbell	20	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Grand Canyon	20	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Lamar	20	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Lehigh	20	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Loyola Marymount	20	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Loyola-ChicagoLoyl-Chcgo	20	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
TCU	20	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
BYU	19	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Brown	19	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Clemson	19	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Duquesne	19	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Georgetown	19	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
LA Lafayette	19	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
N.C. A&T	19	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
New Orleans	19	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
PennsylvaniaPenn.	19	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UT-Rio Grande Valley	19	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Wichita St.	19	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Alabama	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Creighton	18	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
George Mason	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Hartford	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Harvard	18	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Hawaii	18	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
IPFW	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
LA Monroe	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Louisiana Tech	18	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
N.C. Central	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Nebraska	18	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Oregon St.	18	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
PresbyterianPresbyter.	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Providence	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Rhode Island	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Seattle	18	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
South Florida	18	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Southern Miss	18	10	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt	18	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
St. Francis (PA)	18	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Tulsa	18	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UAB	18	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Weber St.	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Western Kentucky	18	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Winthrop	18	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Xavier	18	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Akron	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Arizona	17	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Arkansas	17	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Charleston Southern	17	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Delaware	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Grambling	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Green Bay	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Howard	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Illinois St.	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Indiana	17	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Northern Illinois	17	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Robert Morris	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
SE Louisiana	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Samford	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Siena	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
South Alabama	17	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Southern Illinois	17	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
St. Francis (NY)	17	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Texas Arlington	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UCLA	17	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UNLV	17	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Ball State	16	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Butler	16	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
CSU Fullerton	16	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Cal St. BakersfieldCal St. BF	16	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
ConnecticutConnect.	16	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Eastern Washington	16	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
FIU	16	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Florida Atlantic	16	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
High Point	16	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Holy Cross	16	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
IUPUI	16	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Ill. Chicago	16	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
LIU-BrooklynLIU-Brklyn	16	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Missouri St.	16	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
North Florida	16	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Northern Iowa	16	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Oakland	16	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Pepperdine	16	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Portland St.	16	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Princeton	16	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Quinnipiac	16	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Rider	16	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Santa Clara	16	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
South Carolina	16	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Southern Utah	16	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Texas	16	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
USC	16	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Utah	16	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
American	15	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Boston U.	15	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
California Baptist	15	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Canisius	15	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Coastal Carolina	15	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Cornell	15	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
DePaul	15	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Eastern Michigan	15	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Hampton	15	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Indiana St.	15	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Long Beach St.	15	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Longwood	15	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Marshall	15	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Miami OH	15	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Missouri	15	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Montana St.	15	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Sacred Heart	15	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Southern Methodist	15	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Stanford	15	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Texas-San Antonio	15	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell	15	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Valparaiso	15	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Air Force	14	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn	14	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Boston College	14	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Central Arkansas	14	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Eastern Illinois	14	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Fla Gulf Coast	14	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Georgia Tech	14	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
James Madison	14	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Miami	14	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Monmouth	14	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
New Mexico	14	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Nicholls St.	14	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Notre Dame	14	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Ohio	14	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Pacific	14	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Penn State	14	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Pittsburgh	14	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Rutgers	14	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Sacramento St.	14	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
St. Joseph's	14	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Stephen F. Austin	14	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Texas A&M	14	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Texas A&M C.C.	14	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
West Virginia	14	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
William & Mary	14	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
AR Pine Bluff	13	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Arkansas St.	13	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Army	13	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Boise St.	13	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
CSU Northridge	13	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Drexel	13	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Eastern Kentucky	13	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Morehead St.	13	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Niagara	13	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
NorthwesternN. Western	13	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Richmond	13	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
South Dakota	13	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Wagner	13	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Alabama St.	12	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Albany	12	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
ChattanoogaChattan.	12	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Citadel	12	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Colorado St.	12	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Florida A&M	12	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Fordham	12	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Houston Baptist	12	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Illinois	12	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
JacksonvilleJack.ville	12	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Marist	12	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Navy	12	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
North Dakota	12	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Oklahoma St.	12	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Tenn-MartinTN-Martin	12	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Troy	12	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Youngstown St.	12	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Appalachian St.App. St.	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Central Conn. St.	11	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Dartmouth	11	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Detroit	11	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Elon	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Evansville	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Georgia	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Idaho St.	11	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Jackson St.	11	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Loyola-MD	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Manhattan	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
MassachusettsMass.	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Mercer	11	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Northwestern St.NWestrn St	11	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Oral Roberts	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Savannah St.	11	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UC Davis	11	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UMKC	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
VMI	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Wake Forest	11	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Washington St.	11	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Alcorn St.	10	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Binghamton	10	23	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Bryant	10	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Cleveland St.	10	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Columbia	10	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
E. Carolina	10	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
La Salle	10	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Lafayette	10	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
N.C. Wilmington	10	23	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
North Alabama	10	22	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Northern Arizona	10	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Rice	10	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
SE Missouri St.	10	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville	10	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
St. Peter's	10	22	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Towson	10	22	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UALR	10	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UC Riverside	10	23	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Western Illinois	10	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Fairfield	9	22	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Geo. Washington	9	24	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Morgan St.	9	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Mount St. Mary's	9	22	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Tennessee St.	9	21	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Vanderbilt	9	23	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Wis. Milwaukee	9	22	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
California	8	23	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Coppin St.	8	25	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Denver	8	22	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
McNeese St.	8	22	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Middle Tenn.	8	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
S. Carolina St.	8	26	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Tennessee Tech	8	23	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
UTEP	8	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Western Michigan	8	24	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Wyoming	8	24	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
MD Eastern Shore	7	25	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Portland	7	25	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Southern	7	25	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Stetson	7	24	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Western Carolina	7	25	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Cal Poly	6	23	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Charlotte	6	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Delaware St.	6	25	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Incarnate Word	6	25	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Kennesaw St.	6	26	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Miss. Valley St.	6	26	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
S. Carolina Upstate	6	26	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Alabama A&M	5	27	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Idaho	5	27	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Maine	5	27	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
New Hampshire	5	24	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
N.C. Asheville	4	27	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
San Jose St.	4	27	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Tulane	4	27	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
Chicago St.	3	28	X	X	X	X	X	X	X

Notes
^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

NCAA Basketball - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities