If it loses one of its remaining games, Air Force will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 52% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Air Force makes the playoffs 52% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Air Force making the playoffs.
(46)Air Force opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 103 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 94 | 9 | 3 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 84 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 84 | 8 | 4 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Marshall (50) | SunbeltSunbelt | 83 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Ohio (21) | MACMAC | 83 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | California (87) | ACCACC | 83 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Air Force misses the playoffs 48% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Air Force missing the playoffs.
(46)Air Force opponents lose (SOS related)
(46)Air Force does not plays in the Mntn West Championship Game
(65)Utah St. wins the Mntn West Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 102 | 12 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Houston (75) | Big 12Big 12 | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | UAB (35) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Iowa (122) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |