How far is your team going to proceed into the College Football Playoffs? The College Football Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoffs rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. It will take several weeks of play (¼ to ½ of a season) before meaningful results start to appear. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | NCAA Football National Champions |
Championship Game Participate |
Semifinals | Quarterfinals | Round 1 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | |||||
| Indiana | 13 | 0 | 21% | 37% | 65% | 100% | ^ |
| Ohio St. | 12 | 1 | 15% | 30% | 59% | 100% | ^ |
| Georgia | 12 | 1 | 14% | 28% | 53% | 100% | ^ |
| Oregon | 12 | 1 | 13% | 26% | 53% | 100% | ^ |
| Ole Miss | 12 | 1 | 11% | 23% | 47% | 100% | ^ |
| Texas Tech | 12 | 1 | 11% | 21% | 47% | 100% | ^ |
| Miami | 11 | 2 | 8% | 19% | 41% | 100% | ^ |
| Alabama | 11 | 3 | 8% | 16% | 35% | 100% | ^ |
| James Madison | 12 | 2 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Texas A&M | 11 | 2 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Tulane | 11 | 3 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Oklahoma | 10 | 3 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| BYU | 11 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X |
| North Texas | 11 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Kennesaw St. | 10 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Notre Dame | 10 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X |
| UNLV | 10 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Utah | 10 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Vanderbilt | 10 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Virginia | 10 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Arizona | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Boise State | 9 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Georgia Tech | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Houston | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Michigan | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Navy | 9 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X |
| New Mexico | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Old Dominion | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| San Diego State | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| South Florida | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Texas | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| UConn | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| USC | 9 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Western Michigan | 9 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Arizona St. | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Duke | 8 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| East Carolina | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Fresno State | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Hawaii | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Illinois | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Iowa | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Iowa St. | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. | 8 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Louisville | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Memphis | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Missouri | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Ohio | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Pittsburgh | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| SMU | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| TCU | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Tennessee | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Toledo | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Troy | 8 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| W. Kentucky | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Wake Forest | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Washington | 8 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
| California | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Central Michigan | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Cincinnati | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Clemson | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Florida Intl. | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| LSU | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Louisiana Tech | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Miami OH | 7 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Minnesota | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Missouri St. | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| N.C. State | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Nebraska | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Southern Miss | 7 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Arkansas St. | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Black Knights | 6 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Coastal Carolina | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Delaware | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Ga. Southern | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Kansas St. | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Penn St. | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Texas St. | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| UL Lafayette | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| UTSA | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Utah St. | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Washington St. | 6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Akron | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Appalachian St.App. St. | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Auburn | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Baylor | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Buffalo | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Florida St. | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Kansas | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Kent State | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Kentucky | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Marshall | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Rice | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Rutgers | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Temple | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| UCF | 5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Air Force | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Ball State | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Bowling Green | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Eastern Michigan | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Florida | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Florida Atlantic | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Liberty | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Maryland | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Michigan St. | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| New Mexico St. | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| North Carolina | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| South Alabama | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| South Carolina | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Stanford | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Tulsa | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| UAB | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| West Virginia | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Wisconsin | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Wyoming | 4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Colorado | 3 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X |
| LA Monroe | 3 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Middle Tenn. St. | 3 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Nevada | 3 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Northern Illinois | 3 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X |
| San José State | 3 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Syracuse | 3 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X |
| UCLA | 3 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Virginia Tech | 3 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Arkansas | 2 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Boston College | 2 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Colorado St. | 2 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Oregon St. | 2 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Purdue | 2 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Sam Houston | 2 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X |
| UTEP | 2 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Charlotte | 1 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Georgia St. | 1 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Oklahoma St. | 1 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X |
| UMass | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X |