If it loses one of its remaining games, Nevada will make the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 0% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Nevada misses the playoffs 100% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Nevada missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Alabama (8) | SECSEC | 116 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Oregon (7) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 110 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Texas (4) | Big 12Big 12 | 108 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Ohio St. (2) | Big 10Big 10 | 101 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | LSU (10) | SECSEC | 99 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Michigan (1) | Big 10Big 10 | 95 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Wisconsin (27) | Big 10Big 10 | 94 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Penn St. (3) | Big 10Big 10 | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Oklahoma (12) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Colorado (32) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |