If it loses one of its remaining games, North Carolina will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, North Carolina makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to North Carolina making the playoffs.
(92)North Carolina opponents win (SOS related)
(92)North Carolina plays in the ACC Championship Game
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 95 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 94 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Arkansas (113) | SECSEC | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UConn (125) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Utah (53) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Nevada (43) | Mountain WestMntn West | 85 | 13 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Washington (95) | Big 10Big 10 | 85 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, North Carolina misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to North Carolina missing the playoffs.
(92)North Carolina opponents lose (SOS related)
(92)North Carolina does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(80)Louisville wins the ACC Championship
(98)Virginia Tech wins the ACC Championship
(103)Stanford wins the ACC Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Tulsa (30) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas (133) | SECSEC | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Stanford (103) | ACCACC | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 90 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Kansas St. (38) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | LSU (123) | SECSEC | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Temple (71) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |