PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Northwestern Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Northwestern makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 89% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Northwestern makes the playoffs 89% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Northwestern making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Northwestern Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 102 12 1 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 101 11 1 - - 100%
3 NorthwesternN. Western (107) Big 10Big 10 100 13 0 - - 100%
4 Middle Tenn. St. (9) Conference USAConf. USA 96 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Minnesota (109) Big 10Big 10 94 12 1 - - X
6 Virginia (78) ACCACC 93 10 3 - - X
7 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 91 10 2 - - X
8 LSU (123) SECSEC 90 12 1 - - X
9 Tulane (33) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 12 1 - - X
10 Old Dominion (51) SunbeltSunbelt 89 12 1 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Northwestern misses the playoffs 11% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Northwestern missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (107)Northwestern opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (107)Northwestern does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (109)Minnesota wins 13 or more games
  • (2)Liberty wins out
Northwestern Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Appalachian St.App. St. (27) SunbeltSunbelt 108 13 0 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 108 13 0 - - 100%
3 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 94 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 NorthwesternN. Western (107) Big 10Big 10 93 13 0 - - X
6 Eastern Michigan (45) MACMAC 90 12 1 - - X
7 California (87) ACCACC 88 10 3 - - X
8 Liberty (2) Conference USAConf. USA 88 10 3 - - X
9 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 87 12 1 - - X
10 Florida Atlantic (63) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot