If it wins its remaining games, Notre Dame makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 81% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Notre Dame makes the playoffs 81% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Notre Dame making the playoffs.
(130)Notre Dame opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Tulsa (30) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Washington (95) | Big 10Big 10 | 98 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 91 | 12 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 91 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Coastal Carolina (10) | SunbeltSunbelt | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Appalachian St.App. St. (27) | SunbeltSunbelt | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Buffalo (48) | MACMAC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Ga. Southern (8) | SunbeltSunbelt | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Oregon St. (85) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 87 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Notre Dame misses the playoffs 19% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Notre Dame missing the playoffs.
(130)Notre Dame opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 104 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Arkansas St. (6) | SunbeltSunbelt | 100 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Houston (75) | Big 12Big 12 | 100 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 94 | 12 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | NorthwesternN. Western (107) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Hawaii (20) | Mountain WestMntn West | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Tulane (33) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | South Florida (70) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |