PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Oregon St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Oregon St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 24% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Oregon St. makes the playoffs 24% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oregon St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (85)Oregon St. opponents win (SOS related)
Oregon St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Pittsburgh (79) ACCACC 101 13 0 - - 100%
2 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 92 11 1 - - 100%
4 Western Michigan (17) MACMAC 90 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Tulane (33) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 11 2 - - X
6 Texas (133) SECSEC 88 9 3 - - X
7 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 10 2 - - X
8 Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) SECSEC 86 10 2 - - X
9 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 86 12 1 - - X
10 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 85 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Oregon St. misses the playoffs 76% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oregon St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (85)Oregon St. opponents lose (SOS related)
Oregon St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 93 10 2 - - 100%
2 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 92 12 1 - - 100%
3 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 90 11 2 - - 100%
4 Clemson (93) ACCACC 89 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 89 11 2 - - X
6 Florida Atlantic (63) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 11 1 - - X
7 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 86 10 2 - - X
8 Florida (84) SECSEC 84 11 2 - - X
9 Middle Tenn. St. (9) Conference USAConf. USA 84 11 2 - - X
10 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 83 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot