PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Pittsburgh Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Pittsburgh will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Pittsburgh makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Pittsburgh making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (79)Pittsburgh opponents win (SOS related)
  • (79)Pittsburgh plays in the ACC Championship Game
Pittsburgh Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Miami (81) ACCACC 103 13 0 - - 100%
2 Pittsburgh (79) ACCACC 102 12 1 - - 100%
3 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 95 12 1 - - 100%
4 Auburn (128) SECSEC 92 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 89 12 1 - - X
6 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 88 12 1 - - X
7 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 85 11 2 - - X
8 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 85 11 2 - - X
9 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 85 11 2 - - X
10 Clemson (93) ACCACC 84 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Pittsburgh misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Pittsburgh missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (79)Pittsburgh opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (79)Pittsburgh does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
  • (81)Miami wins the ACC Championship
  • (98)Virginia Tech wins the ACC Championship
Pittsburgh Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Kansas (57) Big 12Big 12 98 12 1 - - 100%
2 UNLV (56) Mountain WestMntn West 96 12 1 - - 100%
3 Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) SECSEC 96 13 0 - - 100%
4 Eastern Michigan (45) MACMAC 92 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Pittsburgh (79) ACCACC 91 12 1 - - X
6 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 91 11 2 - - X
7 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 91 12 1 - - X
8 Notre Dame (130) NCAA IndependentsInd. 91 12 0 - - X
9 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 89 11 1 - - X
10 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 87 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot